Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 25, NWS Jackson, MS

April 13, 2019Morehouse Parish, Richland Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Apr 13, 2019, 3:35 PM CDT for Morehouse Parish, Richland Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 30 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2019, 3:35 PM CDT (20:35 UTC)
Expired
Apr 13, 2019, 4:05 PM CDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 13, 4:10 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ese Forest, LASOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ALONG HWY 582 EAST OF FOREST.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 13, 2:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 29 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 515 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-284 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
515 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
933 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

221 
WFUS54 KJAN 132035
TORJAN
LAC067-083-123-132115-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0025.190413T2035Z-190413T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
335 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  South central Morehouse Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Northeastern Richland Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  West Carroll Parish in northeastern Louisiana...

* Until 415 PM CDT.
    
* At 335 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles north of Rayville, moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Goodwill and Darnell around 355 PM CDT.
  Oak Grove around 405 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Forest, Pioneer, Oak Ridge and Epps.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3295 9134 3287 9132 3287 9133 3282 9135
      3282 9134 3275 9134 3272 9137 3269 9138
      3269 9140 3262 9140 3261 9139 3259 9144
      3249 9181 3258 9188
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 231DEG 49KT 3257 9175 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BYB
3 follow-up statements
915 
WWUS54 KJAN 132046
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
346 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAC067-083-123-132115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190413T2115Z/
Morehouse LA-Richland LA-West Carroll LA-
346 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL MOREHOUSE...NORTHEASTERN RICHLAND AND WEST CARROLL
PARISHES...
    
At 346 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles northwest of Warden, or 13 miles northeast of
Rayville, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Darnell and Goodwill around 355 PM CDT.
  Oak Grove around 405 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Pioneer, Forest and Epps.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3253 9166 3270 9171 3295 9134 3287 9132
      3287 9133 3282 9135 3282 9134 3275 9134
      3272 9137 3269 9138 3269 9140 3262 9140
      3261 9139 3258 9148 3255 9159
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 239DEG 48KT 3264 9162 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BYB
651 
WWUS54 KJAN 132058
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
358 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAC067-083-132107-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190413T2115Z/
Morehouse LA-Richland LA-
358 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE AND NORTHEASTERN
RICHLAND PARISHES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for northeastern
Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3269 9158 3284 9135 3282 9135 3282 9134
      3275 9134 3272 9137 3269 9138 3269 9140
      3262 9140 3261 9139 3259 9145 3258 9153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 248DEG 44KT 3268 9148 

$$

LAC123-132115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190413T2115Z/
West Carroll LA-
358 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
WEST CARROLL PARISH...
    
At 357 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Darnell, or 17 miles west of Transylvania, moving
east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southern West Carroll Parish, including the following locations...
Pioneer, Forest and Epps.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9158 3284 9135 3282 9135 3282 9134
      3275 9134 3272 9137 3269 9138 3269 9140
      3262 9140 3261 9139 3259 9145 3258 9153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 248DEG 44KT 3268 9148 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BYB
682 
WWUS54 KJAN 132105
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
405 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAC123-132114-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190413T2115Z/
West Carroll LA-
405 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN WEST CARROLL PARISH IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, hail and damaging winds remain likely and a 
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area. 

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for northeastern
Louisiana.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Jackson.

LAT...LON 3269 9158 3284 9135 3282 9135 3282 9134
      3275 9134 3272 9137 3269 9138 3269 9140
      3262 9140 3261 9139 3259 9145 3258 9153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 231DEG 49KT 3273 9138 

$$

BYB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 13, 1:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 1:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
132 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:

Expect TSRA/+TSRA to increase from west to east across the area
from this afternoon through the evening, moving east of the
GTR/MEI/HBG corridor after 06z, with prevailing ceilings likely
to drop to MVFR category. A strong pressure gradient and frontal
passages will make for changeable, gusty surface wind. Overall,
aviation conditions will be poor to hazardous during this forecast
period. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A severe weather outbreak with the potential for strong tornadoes
is still expected and no significant adjustments are planned to
the current outlook graphics. The warm sector has been a bit
slower to build northward than prior guidance indicated with
relatively cool, dense air wedging into the Delta region this
morning, however, very strong height/pressure falls mix the warm
front northward this afternoon with a very favorable environment
for tornadic supercells quickly taking shape over the Delta
region as ML CAPE increases to > 2500 j/kg and effective SRH to
~400 m2/s2 in the warm sector. There are uncertainties with storm
evolution as much of the near term CAM guidance is in conflict
concerning initial supercell development both in terms of areal
coverage and mode. Some guidance shows broader/greater coverage
with HP supercell activity while some is indicative of more
discrete and classic supercell activity. These uncertainties will
keep us from increasing our current messaging/threat levels, which
are already strong. Otherwise, will be considering adjustments in
timing depending on how convection evolves initially, most likely
to speed things up slightly. /EC/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight: Area radars showing some rather robust elevated
convection this morning over the ArkLaTex into northern portions of
the forecast area. A few supercells have been in this mix with
reports of large hail in some. All of this occurring in the elevated
ascent overtop of the old stationary front located over far south
MS/south LA. This boundary should earnestly move northward later
this morning into the afternoon, putting most of the area in the
warm sector ahead of the potent storm system taking shape over TX.

Strong pressure falls and tightening pressure gradient ahead of this
system will result in strong surface winds over much of the area,
especially the ArkLaMiss Delta region, this afternoon and evening.
Thus have issued a wind advisory to account for this.

Models showing PWs with this system near 2 inches which will make
for efficient rainfall rates in the heaviest storms, but progressive
nature of the system should preclude the need for a flash flood
watch as any flash flooding that does occur, should be localized. Of
greater concern will be the significant severe weather threat this
afternoon into tonight. Already, strong low and deep layer shear is
in place over the region and will increase further as the storm
system approaches. As the storm system approaches, the rare
combination of strong instability with steepening mid level lapse
rates coincident with strong shear will support strongly rotating
supercells capable of tornadoes (some strong and long track), very
large hail and damaging straight line winds. These look to develop
from the west during the afternoon, eventually becoming aligned
north to south during the evening as they approach eastern MS.
Severe storm potential will linger in the far east after midnight,
but the majority will move into AL prior to dawn./GG/

Sunday through Friday: As the upper trough lifts to the northeast
on Sunday morning, the line of storms will exit our area leaving
some wrap-around showers possible in the northern half of the CWA
as the surface low lifts away. A surface high quickly builds into
the region on Monday and upper ridging will set the stage for
quiet weather for the first half of the week. Temperatures will be
near normal for this time of year during this period - highs in
the 70s/lower 80s and lows near 50. Now, Monday morning will be a
bit chilly with the surface high developing over the area and
temps will fall into the lower 40s, perhaps into the 30s in some
sheltered locations.

The next weather-maker will come as another strong upper trough that
will move over the Central Plains on Wednesday. Being 5 days out,
the global models still differ a bit in solutions. The EMCWF still
has an open trough while the GFS has a deeper, closed low, both over
the same vicinity though. As the trough tracks eastward Wednesday
into Thursday, a frontal boundary will push through the ArkLaMiss.
Diffluent flow aloft will be conducive for intense vertical motion
and storm development over our region. In the warm sector of this
system, PWs will peak above 1.5 inches. At this time, the
instability and shear values appear to be conducive for another
potential round of severe storms. Will hold off of mentioning it in
the HWO at this time since there's so much going on in the short
term and we are still 5 days out with this system. Also, at this
time, it appears that the system will be progressive enough that
heavy rains and flash flooding shouldn't be much of an issue, but
depending on how the models continue to develop this system, that
will need to be re-evaluated. The model consensus has the system
exiting the area by Thursday night. The trough will push east and a
surface high builds into the region again. This appears to allow the
weather over the Easter weekend to be quiet and near normal.
Hopefully this solution continues. /10/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       78  60  62  42 /  43  87  23   6
Meridian      78  64  70  43 /  36  92  24   8
Vicksburg     75  58  61  43 /  78  86  19   5
Hattiesburg   82  65  69  43 /  38  86  12   4
Natchez       77  56  61  43 /  75  83  13   2
Greenville    69  57  60  44 /  90  92  34   6
Greenwood     71  59  60  42 /  64  89  34   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>027-034>036-040>043-047>049-053>066-072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 3:06 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ034>036-040>042-047-
142015-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ018-019-025-142015-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ029>033-037>039-045-046-051-052-142015-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ026>028-142015-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ044-050-142015-
Leake-Scott-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-026-MSZ043-048-049-053>055-059>063-142015-
Catahoula-Concordia-Madison MS-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ056>058-064>066-072>074-142015-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

3

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 13, 9:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
957 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S GASSOWAY            32.90N 91.23W
04/13/2019                   EAST CARROLL       LA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            AN 18 WHEELER WAS FLIPPED OVER ON HIGHWAY 65
            NORTH.

&&
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 10:53 AM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1053 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

ARZ074-LAZ007-131630-
Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-
1053 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES UNTIL 1130
AM CDT...

At 1053 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Goodwill, or 15 miles east of Bastrop, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Jones around 1105 AM CDT.
  Wilmot around 1115 AM CDT.
  Parkdale around 1120 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Bonita.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3318 9167 3315 9146 3301 9146 3301 9144
      3299 9145 3298 9144 3294 9148 3293 9148
      3290 9150 3289 9150 3288 9151 3288 9155
      3285 9157 3283 9157 3279 9160 3275 9160
      3271 9164 3276 9177
TIME...MOT...LOC 1553Z 203DEG 41KT 3280 9164

BYB
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 11:54 AM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1154 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

ARZ074-LAZ007-131730-
Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-
1154 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES UNTIL 1230
PM CDT...

At 1154 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Bastrop, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Jones around 1210 PM CDT.
  Berlin around 1215 PM CDT.
  Wilmot around 1220 PM CDT.
  Parkdale around 1225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Mer Rouge and Bonita.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 9172 3321 9146 3315 9146 3269 9176
      3276 9195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1654Z 203DEG 49KT 3280 9182

BYB
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 12:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1214 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAZ007-008-015-131745-
Richland LA-Morehouse LA-West Carroll LA-
1214 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE...
RICHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN WEST CARROLL PARISHES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1214 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Alto, or near Mangham, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Rayville and Start around 1225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Collinston, Mer Rouge
and Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 9193 3252 9190 3254 9192 3284 9183
      3274 9147 3233 9173 3234 9175 3233 9176
      3229 9176 3222 9180 3230 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 203DEG 49KT 3234 9186

BYB
Local storm report, Apr 13, 1:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
147 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAYVILLE                32.48N 91.76W
04/13/2019                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TWO LARGE TREES
            DOWN, ONE FROM LIGHTNING, ONE WIND BLOWN.

&&

TP
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 1:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

ARZ074-075-131930-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT AND EASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 152 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Montrose, or 14 miles west of Lake Village, moving north at 55
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Dermott around 205 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 9163 3339 9146 3356 9145 3356 9135
      3352 9135 3353 9133 3352 9132 3352 9125
      3356 9123 3353 9122 3351 9118 3347 9121
      3345 9123 3344 9123 3343 9120 3301 9130
      3301 9159 3312 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 201DEG 48KT 3333 9153

BYB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 10:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANConcordia42 min
Apr 12, 11:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANFranklin25 min
Apr 13, 3:19 AM CDTWind AdvisoryJANCatahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Morehouse and 3 more19 hr
Apr 13, 5:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse39 min
Apr 13, 6:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll51 min
Apr 13, 6:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll41 min
Apr 13, 10:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWest Carroll37 min
Apr 13, 11:54 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse36 min
Apr 13, 12:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse, Richland31 min
Apr 13, 12:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll39 min
Apr 13, 12:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll52 min
Apr 13, 2:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll6 hr
Apr 13, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse61 min
Apr 13, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin43 min
Apr 13, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Morehouse, Richland66 min
Apr 13, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll58 min
Apr 13, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin, Madison, Tensas61 min
Apr 13, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland26 min
Apr 13, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll57 min
Apr 13, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Madison, Tensas55 min
Apr 13, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas3 hr
Apr 13, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Tensas48 min
Apr 13, 5:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMadison25 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.