Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 4, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this wind advisory at Apr 13, 2019, 3:19 AM CDT for 32 counties in Mississippi; 9 parishes in Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Apr 13, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 13, 2019, 3:19 AM CDT (08:19 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 13, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 13, 2019, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
All 43 counties
Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 131 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 858 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
008 WWUS74 KJAN 130819 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson MS 319 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036- 040>043-047>049-053>066-072>074-131630- /O.NEW.KJAN.WI.Y.0004.190413T1800Z-190414T0300Z/ Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes- Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne- Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS- Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar- Forrest- Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove, Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, Carrollton, Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs, Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, New Hebron, Prentiss, Bassfield, Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg 319 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM CDT this evening. * TIMING...1 pm until 10 pm * WINDS...Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph with gusts from 30 to 40 mph. * IMPACTS...Downed trees and powerlines are possible. Driving will be difficult for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution when driving. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph occasionally bring down large limbs and rotted trees causing serious injury and property damage. Exercise caution when outdoors during these conditions. && $$ GG
1 follow-up statement
680 WWUS74 KJAN 131640 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson MS 1140 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036- 040>043-047>049-053>066-072>074-140045- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0004.190413T1800Z-190414T0300Z/ Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes- Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne- Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS- Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar- Forrest- Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg, West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove, Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola, Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, Carrollton, Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Vicksburg, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs, Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Fayette, Natchez, Bude, Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, New Hebron, Prentiss, Bassfield, Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia, West Hattiesburg, Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg 1140 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...1 pm until 10 pm * WINDS...Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph with gusts from 30 to 40 mph. * IMPACTS...Downed trees and powerlines are possible. Driving will be difficult for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution when driving. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph occasionally bring down large limbs and rotted trees causing serious injury and property damage. Exercise caution when outdoors during these conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Apr 13, 12:33 AM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 12:33 AM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 1233 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .UPDATE... Updated for 06Z aviation discussion && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF discussion: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the area prior to dawn as a warm front slowly moves north from south MS. Where storms occur, lowerings of ceiling and visibility to IFR can be expected. Otherwise, MVFR/IFR ceilings will become widespread prior to dawn then slowly rise through the morning, becoming mostly VFR during the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will once again increase from the west by late afternoon into the evening as ceilings lower to MVFR. Southeast winds will increase toward sunrise with sustained 15 to 25 knots by mid morning with gusts increasing to 25 to 35 knots by afternoon./GG/ && .DISCUSSION... Showers and thunderstorms continue across portions of the area as a warm front makes slow northward progression ahead of a potent storm system taking shape over the Southern Plains. These showers and storms will linger through the overnight hours, but coverage will gradually become confined further north. Temperatures will either remain steady or warm a degree or two behind the warm frontal passage with the coolest overnight lows along the Hwy 82 corridor north of the boundary. A severe weather outbreak is still expected tomorrow afternoon through early Sunday morning in association with the aforementioned storm system, see the previous discussion below for more details. /TW/ Prior discussion below: Tonight through Saturday night: An outbreak of severe weather is expected for the ArkLaMiss region beginning mid/late afternoon Saturday and going through much of Saturday night. In the meantime, storms are expected to develop late this afternoon into the early evening along a stalled frontal boundary over southern/eastern portions of the ArkLaMiss in response to the next strong shortwave trough. Strong deep layer shear and increasing convective instability will support a few robust updrafts capable of producing large hail and a marginal risk continues for this potential. Later tonight into early Saturday, expect the best lift to refocus farther west of the ArkLaMiss in region of very impressive split upper jet dynamics and strong pressure falls/surface cyclogenesis, and this will result in a lull in storm chances for most of the area that will continue until early afternoon. It should be noted that there is increasing concern for strengthening gradient sfc winds during the late morning/aftn and it is possible we could eventually need a wind advisory for portions of the area. Later in the day, an uncommon combination of very unstable air and strong wind shear is expected to support an outbreak of severe thunderstorms with the potential for strong tornadoes, especially for locations along/west of the MS River during the mid/late afternoon into the early evening hours. There are some significant disagreements among CAM guidance in where initial best deep convection will develop over northern LA/southern AR given more subtle focusing mechanisms, and our confidence is not especially high with this, but there is good agreement that strong pressure falls in the warm sector should support discrete storms in the general vicinity of the Delta region with shear profiles favoring supercells. During the evening, storms will eventually evolve into a more linear convective mode, and a severe weather probabilities will remain high as the LCS moves east, although the threat for significant severe weather will diminish some overnight. Have maintained the moderate risk and expanded the enhanced severe risk farther east per latest SPC. Flash flooding continues to be a concern with very intense rainfall rates possibly supporting rainfall of a few inches in a short time, and this especially appears to be the case over the Delta region if initial activity develops sooner rather than later. Later in the evening, as convective becomes more linear, we expect activity to become more progressive, but a quick one to two inches of rainfall will still be possible. Overall, have kept the flood potential graphic going as previous, with an elevated threat for western portions of the ArkLaMiss. /EC/ Sunday through Wednesday: The severe/flood threat will end early Sunday morning as the cold front shifts east of Mississippi. Cooler and much drier air will filter into our region in the wake of the front. Highs Sunday will be held in the 60s at most locations. Coldest morning of the period is expected Monday morning with lows in the low to mid 40s. A surface high will become centered over our CWA Monday while shortwave ridging aloft moves over our region. This will allow for a decent warm up and the start of a warming trend going into the middle of the week. Ridging surface and aloft will shift east Tuesday ahead of another shortwave trough dropping over the Plains from the northwest. Models differ on timing and evolution of this next low pressure system with the GFS depicting a closed low and the ECMWF maintaining an open wave. Consensus suggests rain chances will return to our CWA Wednesday and increase into Thursday. There remains the potential for additional heavy rainfall and a few strong to severe storms with this system but wl refrain from introducing anything in the HWO until better agreement occur in later model runs. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 62 80 59 67 / 76 56 98 26 Meridian 62 81 63 73 / 76 37 92 39 Vicksburg 62 77 57 64 / 57 85 98 17 Hattiesburg 65 82 64 74 / 33 32 92 32 Natchez 63 79 55 64 / 61 78 98 14 Greenville 59 71 56 63 / 61 90 98 29 Greenwood 59 75 58 64 / 58 72 98 36 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 12, 4:48 PM CDT, 10 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-034-035-040-041- 047-132200- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Bolivar-Sunflower-Washington- Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Moderate TIMING...Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday through Saturday night. MSZ029>033-037>039-043-132200- Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee- Madison MS- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday through Saturday night. MSZ025>028-036-042-048-132200- Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Holmes-Yazoo-Hinds- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, and north central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday through Saturday night. MSZ044>046-049>052-057-058-132200- Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Jasper-Clarke- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, and east central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 20-25mph sustained winds with gusts up to 30mph will be capable of downing a few weak trees and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday through Saturday night. LAZ026-MSZ053-059-060-132200- Concordia-Claiborne-Jefferson-Adams- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Mainly Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight through Saturday night. MSZ061-132200- Franklin MS- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Mainly Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 20-25mph sustained winds with gusts up to 30mph will be capable of downing a few weak trees and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight through Saturday night. MSZ055-056-062>066-072>074-132200- Simpson-Smith-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones- Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Mainly Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 20-25mph sustained winds with gusts up to 30mph will be capable of downing a few weak trees and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight through Saturday night. MSZ054-132200- Copiah- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Mainly Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight through Saturday night. LAZ024-132200- Catahoula- 448 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Moderate TIMING...Mainly Saturday A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts is expected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Saturday Winds will be gusty throughout the day on Saturday into Saturday evening. 25-30mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40mph will be capable of downing a few trees and powerlines and will make travel difficult in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight through Saturday night. 1 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. *FLOODING* Extreme...Confident in significant flooding. Significant...Significant flooding possible. Elevated...Confident in flooding. Limited...Flooding possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph or greater. Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph. Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph. Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/ ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 12, 10:33 PM CDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1033 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
LAZ026-MSZ059>061-130415-
Concordia LA-Adams MS-Jefferson MS-Franklin MS-
1033 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CONCORDIA PARISH...
JEFFERSON...NORTHERN FRANKLIN AND ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...
At 1033 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Sibley, or 11 miles south of Natchez, moving northeast at 60
mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Kingston around 1040 PM CDT.
Cranfield around 1050 PM CDT.
Stanton around 1055 PM CDT.
Hamburg and Stampley around 1100 PM CDT.
Fayette and Mcnair around 1105 PM CDT.
Red Lick around 1115 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Roxie and Ridgecrest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 9183 3138 9178 3140 9181 3144 9178
3144 9172 3146 9173 3147 9176 3165 9164
3175 9149 3175 9127 3176 9126 3176 9136
3178 9136 3185 9133 3186 9130 3181 9126
3187 9125 3186 9104 3154 9075 3131 9143
TIME...MOT...LOC 0333Z 234DEG 50KT 3139 9143
TWSpecial weather statement, Apr 12, 11:05 PM CDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1105 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
LAZ023-024-130430-
Catahoula LA-Franklin LA-
1105 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CATAHOULA AND
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...
At 1105 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Sherwood, or 21 miles south of Columbia, moving northeast at 45
mph.
Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Enterprise around 1115 PM CDT.
Jigger around 1130 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3193 9201 3193 9190 3197 9190 3197 9189
3200 9190 3204 9190 3210 9183 3192 9159
3174 9198 3178 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 223DEG 40KT 3181 9196
TWSpecial weather statement, Apr 12, 11:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1122 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
MSZ054-130500-
Copiah MS-
1122 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL COPIAH COUNTY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT CDT...
At 1122 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Barlow, or 13 miles west of Hazlehurst, moving northeast at 55
mph.
Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Hazlehurst and Dentville around 1135 PM CDT.
Gallman around 1140 PM CDT.
Crystal Springs around 1145 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3186 9069 3205 9045 3205 9036 3187 9019
3176 9057
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 234DEG 46KT 3180 9061
TWLocal storm report, Apr 13, 1:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
121 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1107 PM HAIL UNION CHURCH 31.68N 90.79W
04/12/2019 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
RESENDS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM UNION
CHURCH. LOTS OF DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL
WITH SEVERAL LARGER STONES AROUND QUARTER
SIZE.
&&
TWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 8:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Copiah | 45 min |
| Apr 12, 10:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Adams, Jefferson | 42 min |
| Apr 12, 10:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson | 39 min |
| Apr 12, 11:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Copiah | 38 min |
| Apr 12, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith | 38 min |
| Apr 13, 5:25 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Forrest | 35 min |
| Apr 13, 5:39 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 51 min |
| Apr 13, 7:08 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Sharkey | 52 min |
| Apr 13, 9:25 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clay | 4 days |
| Apr 13, 9:59 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 10 days |
| Apr 13, 10:01 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 4 days |
| Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 15 days |
| Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Lawrence | 16 days |
| Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Leflore | 8 days |
| Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Humphreys | 34 hr |
| Apr 13, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne | 61 min |
| Apr 13, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington | 57 min |
| Apr 13, 4:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Warren | 55 min |
| Apr 13, 4:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington | 48 min |
| Apr 13, 4:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo | 63 min |
| Apr 13, 4:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Warren | 3 hr |
| Apr 13, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington | 51 min |
| Apr 13, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Warren | 48 min |
| Apr 13, 5:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Issaquena, Warren | 25 min |
| Apr 13, 5:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Sunflower | 23 min |
| Apr 13, 5:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 63 min |
| Apr 13, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 50 min |
| Apr 13, 5:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo | 3 hr |
| Apr 13, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo | 15 min |
| Apr 13, 6:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 3 hr |
| Apr 13, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo | 43 min |
| Apr 13, 6:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 11 min |
| Apr 12, 11:05 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Franklin | 25 min |
| Apr 13, 5:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 39 min |
| Apr 13, 6:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 51 min |
| Apr 13, 6:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, West Carroll | 41 min |
| Apr 13, 10:53 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | West Carroll | 37 min |
| Apr 13, 11:54 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Morehouse | 36 min |
| Apr 13, 12:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Morehouse, Richland | 31 min |
| Apr 13, 12:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 39 min |
| Apr 13, 12:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 52 min |
| Apr 13, 2:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 6 hr |
| Apr 13, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 61 min |
| Apr 13, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin | 43 min |
| Apr 13, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Morehouse, Richland | 66 min |
| Apr 13, 3:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse, West Carroll | 58 min |
| Apr 13, 3:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 30 min |
| Apr 13, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland | 26 min |
| Apr 13, 8:09 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Ashley | 51 min |
| Apr 13, 1:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Chicot | 38 min |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2019Wind Advisories in Louisiana, 2019Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.