Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 27, NWS Jackson, MS

April 13, 20195 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Apr 13, 2019, 4:42 PM CDT for 5 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 63 min. 12 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2019, 4:42 PM CDT (21:42 UTC)
Expired
Apr 13, 2019, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Warren County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 13, 4:57 PM CDTTORNADO1 Wnw Culkin, MSTHIS EF-2 TORNADO STARTED WEST OF US 61 ON SHERMAN AVE AND CONTINUED EAST-NORTHEAST PASSING NEAR RIVER REGIONAL HEATH CENTER, CROSSING BRISTER RD, BOY SCOUT RD, OAK RIDGE RD, NEWITT VICK DR, HENRY RD, AND TUCKER RD. IT CONTINUED ACROSS NE WARREN CO, MOVING INT
Apr 13, 5:04 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Vicksburg, MSCORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 3 SSW VICKSBURG. WARRENTON ROAD WAS BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES.
Apr 13, 5:04 PM CDTTORNADO3 Ssw Vicksburg, MSTHIS TORNADO STARTED NEAR THE WALMART OFF OF IOWA BOULEVARD WHERE IT KNOCKED DOWN SOME LARGE LIMBS AND ALSO CAUSED SOME DAMAGE TO SOME PLANTS AND MATERIALS AT WALMART. THE TORNADO PROCEEDED NORTHEAST ALONG PEMBERTON SQUARE BOULEVARD WHERE IT CAUSED SIGNIFICANT
Apr 13, 5:08 PM CDTTORNADO1 Ssw Vicksburg, MSTHE TORNADO BEGAN AT THE INTERSECTION OF BOWMAR AVENUE AND JEANETTE STREET , WHERE IT IMPACTED A BRICK HOME RESULTING IN TAKING THE ROOF COMPLETELY OFF AND THUS CAVING IN THE FRONT OF THE HOUSE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARDS HALLS FERRY
Apr 13, 5:10 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 W Beechwood, MSCORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 W BEECHWOOD. TREE AND POWER LINE DOWN ON LEE ROAD.
Apr 13, 5:21 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 S Vicksburg, MSROOF OVER KROGER AND UPS STORE KNOCKED OVER, CARS DESTROYED BY KROGER AND POWER POLES DOWN.
Apr 13, 5:23 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Beechwood, MSDEBRIS ON I-20, TREES DOWN ACROSS WEST-BOUND LANES, POWER LINES CROSSING ALL OF I-20 NEAR MILE MARKER 4 AND 5.
Apr 13, 5:32 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Vicksburg, MSWARRENTON ROAD BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES.
Apr 13, 5:34 PM CDTHAIL 11 Nne Flowers, MSCORRECTS TIME FOR PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 1 NNE FLOWERS. QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON BIRDSONG RD.
Apr 13, 5:43 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ese Phoenix, MSDAMAGE ON HEBRON CHURCH RD.
Apr 13, 5:47 PM CDTHAIL 11 Nne Flowers, MSQUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON BIRDSONG RD.
Apr 13, 5:51 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 W Beechwood, MSTREE AND POWER LINE DOWN ON LEE ROAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 15 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 13, 2:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 29 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 515 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-284 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
515 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
933 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

015 
WFUS54 KJAN 132142
TORJAN
MSC049-055-125-149-163-132245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0027.190413T2142Z-190413T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
442 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northern Warren County in west central Mississippi...
  Southwestern Yazoo County in central Mississippi...
  Northwestern Hinds County in central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Issaquena County in west central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Sharkey County in west central Mississippi...

* Until 545 PM CDT.
    
* At 441 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 8 miles east of Afton, or 11 miles southeast of
  Tallulah, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. This storm has a history of 
           producing tornadoes.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Redwood around 510 PM CDT.
  Oak Ridge around 515 PM CDT.
  Phoenix around 530 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 9103 3249 9099 3251 9100 3279 9074
      3251 9045 3249 9045 3249 9043 3247 9041
      3227 9087 3231 9091 3237 9087 3237 9089
      3234 9091 3235 9095 3239 9100 3242 9097
      3244 9097 3245 9100 3243 9103 3245 9106
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 227DEG 38KT 3229 9106 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

NF
3 follow-up statements
291 
WWUS54 KJAN 132203
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
503 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

MSC055-125-132212-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190413T2245Z/
Issaquena MS-Sharkey MS-
503 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHEASTERN
SHARKEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for central and
west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3245 9087 3245 9086 3246 9086 3257 9074
      3257 9073 3258 9073 3268 9063 3251 9045
      3249 9045 3249 9043 3247 9041 3231 9079
      3237 9087 3242 9090
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 238DEG 41KT 3241 9077 

$$

MSC049-149-163-132245-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190413T2245Z/
Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Hinds MS-
503 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO AND NORTHWESTERN HINDS
COUNTIES...
    
At 502 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Bovina, or near Redwood, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Oak Ridge around 510 PM CDT.
  Youngton around 515 PM CDT.
  Phoenix around 525 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3245 9087 3245 9086 3246 9086 3257 9074
      3257 9073 3258 9073 3268 9063 3251 9045
      3249 9045 3249 9043 3247 9041 3231 9079
      3237 9087 3242 9090
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 238DEG 41KT 3241 9077 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

NF
266 
WWUS54 KJAN 132213
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
513 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

MSC049-149-163-132245-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190413T2245Z/
Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Hinds MS-
513 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO AND NORTHWESTERN HINDS
COUNTIES...
    
At 512 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Oak Ridge, or
near Redwood, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. At 501 PM CDT, a 
         tornado was reported near Culkin Road and Oak Ridge moving 
         northeast..

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Phoenix around 525 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3257 9074 3257 9073 3258 9073 3268 9063
      3251 9045 3249 9045 3249 9043 3247 9041
      3236 9067 3249 9083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 231DEG 44KT 3248 9068 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

NF
593 
WWUS54 KJAN 132232
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
532 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

MSC049-149-163-132245-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190413T2245Z/
Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Hinds MS-
532 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WARREN...SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO AND NORTHWESTERN HINDS
COUNTIES...
    
At 532 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Youngton, or 10
miles east of Redwood, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and baseball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Phoenix around 540 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3257 9074 3257 9073 3258 9073 3268 9063
      3251 9045 3249 9045 3249 9043 3247 9041
      3236 9067 3249 9083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 228DEG 39KT 3248 9063 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...2.75IN

$$

NF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 13, 1:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 1:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
132 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:

Expect TSRA/+TSRA to increase from west to east across the area
from this afternoon through the evening, moving east of the
GTR/MEI/HBG corridor after 06z, with prevailing ceilings likely
to drop to MVFR category. A strong pressure gradient and frontal
passages will make for changeable, gusty surface wind. Overall,
aviation conditions will be poor to hazardous during this forecast
period. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A severe weather outbreak with the potential for strong tornadoes
is still expected and no significant adjustments are planned to
the current outlook graphics. The warm sector has been a bit
slower to build northward than prior guidance indicated with
relatively cool, dense air wedging into the Delta region this
morning, however, very strong height/pressure falls mix the warm
front northward this afternoon with a very favorable environment
for tornadic supercells quickly taking shape over the Delta
region as ML CAPE increases to > 2500 j/kg and effective SRH to
~400 m2/s2 in the warm sector. There are uncertainties with storm
evolution as much of the near term CAM guidance is in conflict
concerning initial supercell development both in terms of areal
coverage and mode. Some guidance shows broader/greater coverage
with HP supercell activity while some is indicative of more
discrete and classic supercell activity. These uncertainties will
keep us from increasing our current messaging/threat levels, which
are already strong. Otherwise, will be considering adjustments in
timing depending on how convection evolves initially, most likely
to speed things up slightly. /EC/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight: Area radars showing some rather robust elevated
convection this morning over the ArkLaTex into northern portions of
the forecast area. A few supercells have been in this mix with
reports of large hail in some. All of this occurring in the elevated
ascent overtop of the old stationary front located over far south
MS/south LA. This boundary should earnestly move northward later
this morning into the afternoon, putting most of the area in the
warm sector ahead of the potent storm system taking shape over TX.

Strong pressure falls and tightening pressure gradient ahead of this
system will result in strong surface winds over much of the area,
especially the ArkLaMiss Delta region, this afternoon and evening.
Thus have issued a wind advisory to account for this.

Models showing PWs with this system near 2 inches which will make
for efficient rainfall rates in the heaviest storms, but progressive
nature of the system should preclude the need for a flash flood
watch as any flash flooding that does occur, should be localized. Of
greater concern will be the significant severe weather threat this
afternoon into tonight. Already, strong low and deep layer shear is
in place over the region and will increase further as the storm
system approaches. As the storm system approaches, the rare
combination of strong instability with steepening mid level lapse
rates coincident with strong shear will support strongly rotating
supercells capable of tornadoes (some strong and long track), very
large hail and damaging straight line winds. These look to develop
from the west during the afternoon, eventually becoming aligned
north to south during the evening as they approach eastern MS.
Severe storm potential will linger in the far east after midnight,
but the majority will move into AL prior to dawn./GG/

Sunday through Friday: As the upper trough lifts to the northeast
on Sunday morning, the line of storms will exit our area leaving
some wrap-around showers possible in the northern half of the CWA
as the surface low lifts away. A surface high quickly builds into
the region on Monday and upper ridging will set the stage for
quiet weather for the first half of the week. Temperatures will be
near normal for this time of year during this period - highs in
the 70s/lower 80s and lows near 50. Now, Monday morning will be a
bit chilly with the surface high developing over the area and
temps will fall into the lower 40s, perhaps into the 30s in some
sheltered locations.

The next weather-maker will come as another strong upper trough that
will move over the Central Plains on Wednesday. Being 5 days out,
the global models still differ a bit in solutions. The EMCWF still
has an open trough while the GFS has a deeper, closed low, both over
the same vicinity though. As the trough tracks eastward Wednesday
into Thursday, a frontal boundary will push through the ArkLaMiss.
Diffluent flow aloft will be conducive for intense vertical motion
and storm development over our region. In the warm sector of this
system, PWs will peak above 1.5 inches. At this time, the
instability and shear values appear to be conducive for another
potential round of severe storms. Will hold off of mentioning it in
the HWO at this time since there's so much going on in the short
term and we are still 5 days out with this system. Also, at this
time, it appears that the system will be progressive enough that
heavy rains and flash flooding shouldn't be much of an issue, but
depending on how the models continue to develop this system, that
will need to be re-evaluated. The model consensus has the system
exiting the area by Thursday night. The trough will push east and a
surface high builds into the region again. This appears to allow the
weather over the Easter weekend to be quiet and near normal.
Hopefully this solution continues. /10/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       78  60  62  42 /  43  87  23   6
Meridian      78  64  70  43 /  36  92  24   8
Vicksburg     75  58  61  43 /  78  86  19   5
Hattiesburg   82  65  69  43 /  38  86  12   4
Natchez       77  56  61  43 /  75  83  13   2
Greenville    69  57  60  44 /  90  92  34   6
Greenwood     71  59  60  42 /  64  89  34   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>027-034>036-040>043-047>049-053>066-072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 3:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ034>036-040>042-047-
142015-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ018-019-025-142015-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ029>033-037>039-045-046-051-052-142015-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ026>028-142015-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ044-050-142015-
Leake-Scott-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-026-MSZ043-048-049-053>055-059>063-142015-
Catahoula-Concordia-Madison MS-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ056>058-064>066-072>074-142015-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

3

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 13, 12:14 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1214 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAZ007-008-015-131745-
Richland LA-Morehouse LA-West Carroll LA-
1214 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE...
RICHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN WEST CARROLL PARISHES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1214 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Alto, or near Mangham, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Rayville and Start around 1225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Collinston, Mer Rouge
and Oak Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 9193 3252 9190 3254 9192 3284 9183
      3274 9147 3233 9173 3234 9175 3233 9176
      3229 9176 3222 9180 3230 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 203DEG 49KT 3234 9186

BYB
Local storm report, Apr 13, 1:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
147 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAYVILLE                32.48N 91.76W
04/13/2019                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TWO LARGE TREES
            DOWN, ONE FROM LIGHTNING, ONE WIND BLOWN.

&&

TP
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 1:52 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

ARZ074-075-131930-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT AND EASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 152 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Montrose, or 14 miles west of Lake Village, moving north at 55
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Dermott around 205 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 9163 3339 9146 3356 9145 3356 9135
      3352 9135 3353 9133 3352 9132 3352 9125
      3356 9123 3353 9122 3351 9118 3347 9121
      3345 9123 3344 9123 3343 9120 3301 9130
      3301 9159 3312 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 201DEG 48KT 3333 9153

BYB
Local storm report, Apr 13, 3:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
338 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DERMOTT                 33.52N 91.43W
04/13/2019                   CHICOT             AR   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS OF VEHICLE STUCK IN THE 400
            BLOCK S MAIN ST DUE TO FLOODING IN DERMOTT
            AR VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

TP
Local storm report, Apr 13, 4:27 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TORNADO          10 WNW NEWELLTON        32.12N 91.39W
04/13/2019                   TENSAS             LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SHEET
            METAL DEBRIS NEAR HIGHWAY 888 BETWEEN
            NEWELLTON AND GILBERT. TORNADO DEBRIS
            SIGNATURE ALSO NOTED ON RADAR. LIKELY
            TORNADO.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Apr 13, 4:42 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N NEWELLTON           32.18N 91.23W
04/13/2019                   TENSAS             LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE POWER POLES BROKEN INTO MULTIPLE
            PIECES NEAR US65 AND HWY 888.

&&

TP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah45 min
Apr 12, 10:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams, Jefferson42 min
Apr 12, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson39 min
Apr 12, 11:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah38 min
Apr 12, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith38 min
Apr 13, 3:19 AM CDTWind AdvisoryJANAdams, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah and 26 more19 hr
Apr 13, 5:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest35 min
Apr 13, 5:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds, Madison51 min
Apr 13, 7:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey52 min
Apr 13, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClay4 days
Apr 13, 9:59 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake10 days
Apr 13, 10:01 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson15 days
Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence16 days
Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore8 days
Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHumphreys34 hr
Apr 13, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne61 min
Apr 13, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Washington57 min
Apr 13, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANWarren55 min
Apr 13, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington48 min
Apr 13, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClaiborne, Warren3 hr
Apr 13, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington51 min
Apr 13, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Warren48 min
Apr 13, 5:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Warren25 min
Apr 13, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHumphreys, Sunflower23 min
Apr 13, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMadison, Yazoo63 min
Apr 13, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison50 min
Apr 13, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo3 hr
Apr 13, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo15 min
Apr 13, 6:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison3 hr
Apr 13, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo43 min
Apr 13, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningJANAttala, Holmes11 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.