River Flood Warning 14, NWS Atlanta, GA

261 
WGUS82 KFFC 042059
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
359 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

 
GAC117-121-051058-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0014.190105T0000Z-190106T1800Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190105T0000Z.190106T0000Z.190106T1200Z.NO/
359 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* From this evening until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near 7.9 feet by Saturday evening.The river will fall below
  flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

986 
WGUS82 KFFC 050057
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
757 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

 
GAC117-121-051457-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190106T1912Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190104T2100Z.190106T0000Z.190106T1312Z.NO/
757 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.2 feet by Saturday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

740 
WGUS82 KFFC 050918
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Falling Creek near East Juliette  affecting Jones County 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Coosa River near Plant Hammond affecting Floyd County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Columbus affecting Lee...Russell...
  Chattahoochee and Muscogee Counties 

  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Little River near Washington affecting Taliaferro and Wilkes 
  Counties 


GAC059-133-219-052318-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190107T2112Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.190104T2205Z.190106T1800Z.190107T1512Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 4 AM Saturday the stage was 14.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet by Sunday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Jan 12 2014.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC009-303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190107T2154Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.190104T2007Z.190105T0645Z.190107T1554Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 30.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Monday
  morning.
* At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage near 
  the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Fishing Creek backs up and a 
  few buildings along the creek will be flooded. Also Tanyard Branch 
  Stream between East Thomas and East Charleston Streets in 
  Milledgeville will flood. Sinclair Dam will likely have four to 
  five gates open to reach this height.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.8 feet on Sep 22 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$

GAC303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.190105T0835Z.190105T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* At 18.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
  a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant Mine 
  off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will be at the
  top of the boat ramp.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet on Dec 4 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC167-303-319-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.190102T0700Z.190109T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and slowly rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 23.7 feet by Tuesday evening.
* At 23.0 feet...Moderate flooding continues. Portions of the Old 
  Balls Ferry Road leading to the boat ramp becomes flooded with a 
  foot of water or more.  The entire dirt parking lot near the boat 
  ramp is under three to five feet of water. Extensive flooding of 
  the woodlands near the river continues.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.8 feet on Nov 14 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

GAC313-052132-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190105T2132Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190104T0615Z.190104T2145Z.190105T1532Z.UU/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding begins. Pasture and fields 
  upstream...right and left bank from the Keiths Mill Road bridge...
  and downstream on the left bank begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.5 feet on Apr 5 2017.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC115-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMG1.1.ER.190104T1300Z.190105T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Plant Hammond.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 571.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 570.0 feet.
* At 572.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  behind Plant Hammond. The water reaches a low lying portion of a 
  parking lot near the intakes behind the plant. The boat ramp near 
  the intakes and a small portion of an access road near and under 
  the Georgia Highway 100 bridge will be under two feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 571.7 feet on Jan 6 2015.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8531 3420 8536 3421 8539 3427 8542 3428 8537


$$

GAC117-121-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190106T1912Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190104T2100Z.190106T0000Z.190106T1312Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.2 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 8.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Jul 18 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190107T1536Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.190104T1216Z.190106T1200Z.190107T0936Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Columbus.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 4 AM Saturday the stage was 28.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will begin rising to near 30.2 feet by Sunday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river upstream 
  and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. Large 
  portions of the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded up to 3 feet
  deep. The water level reaches the top of the boat ramp behind the 
  Columbus Convention and Trade Center. The Phenix City Amphitheater 
  in Alabama will be flooded up to two feet deep. Portions of the 
  River Walk in Phenix City will begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.4 feet on Apr 1 2016.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503             

$$

GAC079-263-269-293-052150-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190105T2150Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.190104T1834Z.190105T0330Z.190105T1550Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 20.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river in the 
  woodlands and fields upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 19. The flood waters will cover the boat ramp up to two 
  feet deep and cover a portion of the access road by the bridge on 
  the Taylor County side of the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.0 feet on Apr 8 2014.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC035-151-217-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.190105T0130Z.190105T0830Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions 
  of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to 
  flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Feb 6 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

GAC169-051507-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190105T1507Z/
/FALG1.1.ER.190104T1723Z.190105T0045Z.190105T0907Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Falling Creek near East Juliette .
* Until this morning.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage later this 
  morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and natural flood plain along the creek in the Piedmont 
  National Wildlife Refuge upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Round Oak-Juliette Road. 
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Apr 2 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8377 3317 8366 3310 8368 3303 8368
      3302 8372 3310 8376             

$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190108T1312Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.190104T1600Z.190105T1800Z.190108T0712Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand. Large portions 
  of the Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the 
  Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to
  3 feet deep on portions of the trail. Large portions of 
  agricultural lands east of Macon and well downstream will be under 
  1 to 5 feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Mar 29 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC091-271-315-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0192.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.1.ER.181215T1900Z.190110T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Roads to homes along the 
  west side of the river in Abbeville become inaccessible.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.1 feet on Apr 7 2016.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

GAC013-157-052015-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190105T2015Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.190105T0650Z.190105T0830Z.190105T1415Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage at Georgia Highway 82. A few dirt access roads will be 
  flooded. A residential yard just downstream will begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.7 feet on Dec 24 2013.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC265-317-052318-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTNG1.1.ER.190104T2358Z.190105T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Washington.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 21.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage at Lundberg 
  Road. 
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet on Dec 24 2013.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3363 8283 3368 8280 3364 8270 3367 8260
      3361 8258 3358 8272             

$$

409 
WGUS82 KFFC 051435
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
935 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Columbus affecting Lee...Russell...
  Chattahoochee and Muscogee Counties 

 
GAC117-121-060435-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190106T1525Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190104T2100Z.190106T0000Z.190106T0925Z.NO/
935 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 7.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.8 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-060400-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190106T0400Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.190104T1216Z.190104T1845Z.190105T2200Z.NO/
935 AM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Columbus.
* Until this evening.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 27.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 28 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river upstream 
  and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. Portions of
  the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded around one foot deep and
  closed to the public. The Phenix City Amphitheater on the Alabama 
  side will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503             

$$

715 
WGUS82 KFFC 052333
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 PM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties

 
GAC117-121-060003-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190106T1525Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190104T2100Z.190105T1745Z.190105T2210Z.NO/
633 PM EST Sat Jan 5 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
105 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

.UPDATE...

18z Aviation update below.

Baker

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 920 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019/

UPDATE...

Made some adjustments to a quicker eastward progression of pops as
once again the dry slot has advected quicker than previous model
guidance around the south and east of the upper cutoff low. While
instability is limited in the south, there's enough of a helicity
rich environment to have some embedded bowing segments and
possible weak rotation along the main convective line tracking
with the associated sfc occluded front. Enough progression with
areas of precip to where the threat for flash flooding is no
longer widespread enough to warrant the watch so went ahead to
cancel, though isolated flooding and some river/creek flooding is
still possible. Should just be some lingering chances of isolated
to scattered light showers mainly in the north this afternoon on
the backside of the aforementioned main precip with the upper low
wraparound and some continued mostly cloudy conditions. Previous
discussion follows...

Baker

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 332 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019/

SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...
Current radar loop shows frontal boundary sweeping across AL and
about to push into western GA over the next few hours. Light to
moderate precip over the state right now but will see periods of
heavy rain move in as the actual front. With already soaked soils
and rivers and creeks near bankfull...the additional 1 to 2 inches
were expecting with this system will create some minor flooding
across the area through tonight. Have continued the Flood Watch
through 7pm tonight. This system is expected to exit the CWA later
this afternoon. We will still be dealing with some light rain
through early Saturday morning especially across N GA associated with
the wrap around moisture around the backside of the main low center.

As this front moves across the state today there is some minimal
instability across central GA. We could see some isolated
thunderstorms this afternoon so decided to keep them in the forecast.
No severe storms expected.

We will finally see some much needed drier conditions this weekend
with high temps in the 50s and 60s and lows mainly in the 30s and
40s.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...
The long term begins with a ridge of high pressure building over
the central U.S. This will bring dry and more stable air into the
CWA for a few days. Another weak but fast moving system will move
across the CWA late Monday and Monday night. The system will
weaken as it moves across the CWA, however it will have enough
moisture for another chance of showers. After Monday night, a
broad trough will dominate the eastern half of the nation with the
axis just off the east coast. This puts the CWA in a west
northwest flow bringing dry and stable conditions for the
remainder of the long term. Temperatures will be at or just above
normal through the long term.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
While the main precip has pushed east of the taf sites, there
could be some lingering VCSH especially near the northern sites
this afternoon. Some initial LIFR cigs in the north should lift to
MVFR in the next few hours with a possible VFR break before
lowering back into MVFR/IFR range overnight for most sites. Cigs
should at least scatter out pretty quickly Saturday after 12/15z.
Winds becoming SW near 10 kts gusting 16 kts into this evening,
then shift more west to NW near 12 kts gusting 20 kts into
Saturday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on evening cig trend.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  41  58  39 / 100  20   5   0
Atlanta         63  40  56  41 /  70  10   0   0
Blairsville     56  35  52  35 / 100  40  10   0
Cartersville    62  39  55  37 /  50  20   0   0
Columbus        66  43  60  42 /  40  10   5   0
Gainesville     60  40  54  41 / 100  20   5   0
Macon           68  44  61  40 / 100  10   5   0
Rome            61  39  56  36 /  40  20   0   0
Peachtree City  65  41  58  39 /  70  10   0   0
Vidalia         68  43  61  42 / 100  20   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01/Baker
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
940 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051100-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
940 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Moderate to heavy rain will be ending from the west today. Some
creeks and rivers will rise but flash flooding is not expected. A
few strong thunderstorms may produce brief areas of strong winds or
isolated weak tornadoes this morning across areas south and east of
Macon. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of flooding through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
921 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ083-084-095>097-105>109-041500-
Crisp GA-Wilkinson GA-Dooly GA-Houston GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-
Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Twiggs GA-Pulaski GA-
921 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRISP...SOUTHERN
WILKINSON...SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY...SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...WILCOX...
NORTHWESTERN LAURENS...BLECKLEY...DODGE...SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS AND
PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM EST...

At 919 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms extended from
Tarversville to near Hawkinsville and Rochelle, moving northeast at
30 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain will cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Cochran, Eastman, Hawkinsville, Abbeville, Chester, Rochelle, Dudley,
Pineview, Pitts, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Union, Plainfield,
Mobley Crossing, Mock Springs, Seville, Finleyson, District Path and
Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3229 8361 3256 8348 3268 8329 3269 8306
      3223 8310 3185 8330 3185 8361 3180 8361
      3181 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 1419Z 233DEG 27KT 3253 8343 3208 8347 3182 8361

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
936 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ060-072-073-083-084-041515-
Wilkinson GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Jones GA-Twiggs GA-
936 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WILKINSON...SOUTHERN
PUTNAM...BALDWIN...EASTERN JONES AND NORTHERN TWIGGS COUNTIES UNTIL
1015 AM EST...

At 934 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of thunderstorms from near Gray to Griswoldville and Marion,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and enhanced risk of brief tornadoes.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Milledgeville, Gray, Irwinton, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre,
Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether, Postell, Allenwood, Mountain Springs,
Griswoldville, Plant Harlee Branch, Hardwick, Browns Crossing, James,
Coopers, Haddock, Pancras and Fitzpatrick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3265 8349 3280 8351 3282 8349 3284 8351
      3302 8358 3329 8326 3326 8325 3319 8327
      3318 8322 3307 8319 3284 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1434Z 228DEG 26KT 3301 8354 3286 8349 3268 8346

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
956 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-084-085-096-097-108>111-041545-
Wilkinson GA-Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Johnson GA-
Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
956 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WILKINSON...SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN WHEELER...WESTERN TELFAIR...NORTHWESTERN
JOHNSON...SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX...LAURENS...EASTERN BLECKLEY AND DODGE
COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 AM EST...

At 954 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar showed a line
of thunderstorms from near Nicklesville to Eastman and Abbeville,
moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, McRae, Cochran, Eastman, Abbeville, Alamo, Helena, East
Dublin, Chester, Milan, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell, Toomsboro, Rhine,
Chauncey, Rentz, Oconee, Montrose and Allentown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3181 8313 3185 8318 3185 8341 3210 8328
      3216 8331 3218 8329 3222 8334 3238 8334
      3257 8326 3259 8323 3273 8331 3292 8286
      3269 8273 3249 8280 3235 8280 3222 8275
      3211 8281 3181 8296
TIME...MOT...LOC 1454Z 253DEG 29KT 3268 8323 3258 8318 3241 8327 3223
8327 3213 8321 3186 8335

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1038 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-085-086-097-098-109>112-041615-
Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-
Johnson GA-Montgomery GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
1038 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...
WHEELER...TELFAIR...WESTERN EMANUEL...TREUTLEN...JOHNSON...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...LAURENS AND SOUTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTIES
UNTIL 1115 AM EST...

At 1035 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong storms from Wrightsville to Dublin, Cedar Grove and
Milan, moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, McRae, Soperton, Alamo, Wrightsville, Helena, East Dublin,
Glenwood, Milan, Adrian, Harrison, Scotland, Jacksonville, Tarrytown,
Towns, Kite, Spann, Horse Creek Wma, Lothair and Spring Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3182 8311 3181 8313 3184 8315 3228 8297
      3276 8296 3290 8251 3283 8252 3279 8249
      3272 8248 3245 8250 3188 8274 3178 8287
      3178 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1535Z 247DEG 27KT 3271 8287 3259 8287 3232 8289 3186
8309

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1120 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-076-085-086-097-098-110>113-041715-
Toombs GA-Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-
Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-Montgomery GA-Laurens GA-
1120 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TOOMBS...SOUTHEASTERN
JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...WHEELER...EASTERN TELFAIR...
EMANUEL...TREUTLEN...JOHNSON...MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM EST...

At 1118 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong storms from Louisville to Soperton and Lumber City,
moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Swainsboro, McRae, Lyons, Soperton, Alamo, Louisville, Mount Vernon,
Vidalia, Wadley, Twin City, Lumber City, Glenwood, Adrian, Uvalda,
Stillmore, Oak Park, Ailey, Scotland, Higgston and Bartow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3235 8225
      3217 8218 3191 8223 3197 8244 3196 8257
      3192 8268 3178 8289 3208 8287 3285 8264
      3295 8251 3305 8229 3293 8227 3284 8232
      3280 8221 3281 8215 3266 8208 3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1618Z 248DEG 26KT 3291 8245 3269 8249 3228 8265 3205
8279 3185 8281

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1215 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ113-041730-
Toombs GA-
1215 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN TOOMBS COUNTY UNTIL 1230
PM EST...

At 1214 PM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong storm over Toombs Central, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, this
           storm has also exhibited localized rotation. A brief
           tornado could quickly form.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
South Thompson, English Eddy, Toombs Central, Ohoopee, New Branch,
Ponderosa, Rock Springs, Cedar Crossing and Johnson Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3214 8220 3197 8222 3194 8234 3194 8237
      3209 8245 3223 8222 3218 8219 3216 8218
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 242DEG 29KT 3205 8233

WIND...50MPH