River Flood Warning 12, NWS Atlanta, GA

253 
WGUS82 KFFC 042103
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
403 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Alcovy River near Lawrenceville affecting Gwinnett and Walton 
  Counties 


GAC135-297-051103-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ALCG1.1.ER.190104T1729Z.190104T1917Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
403 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alcovy River near Lawrenceville.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 9.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 9 feet.
* At 9 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of the 
  woodlands upstream and downstream from the river gauge at New Hope 
  Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3391 8394 3394 8392 3396 8388 3383 8374 3379 8379


$$

039 
WGUS82 KFFC 042224
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
524 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Alcovy River near Lawrenceville affecting Gwinnett and Walton 
  Counties

 
GAC135-297-042254-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190104T2224Z/
/ALCG1.1.ER.190104T1729Z.190104T1917Z.190104T2115Z.UU/
524 PM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alcovy River near Lawrenceville.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 5 PM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 9 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 9 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of the 
  woodlands upstream and downstream from the river gauge at New Hope 
  Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 8394 3394 8392 3396 8388 3383 8374 3379 8379


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
920 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

.UPDATE...

Made some adjustments to a quicker eastward progression of pops as
once again the dry slot has advected quicker than previous model
guidance around the south and east of the upper cutoff low. While
instability is limited in the south, there's enough of a helicity
rich environment to have some embedded bowing segments and
possible weak rotation along the main convective line tracking
with the associated sfc occluded front. Enough progression with
areas of precip to where the threat for flash flooding is no
longer widespread enough to warrant the watch so went ahead to
cancel, though isolated flooding and some river/creek flooding is
still possible. Should just be some lingering chances of isolated
to scattered light showers mainly in the north this afternoon on
the backside of the aforementioned main precip with the upper low
wraparound and some continued mostly cloudy conditions. Previous
discussion follows...

Baker

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 332 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019/

SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...
Current radar loop shows frontal boundary sweeping across AL and
about to push into western GA over the next few hours. Light to
moderate precip over the state right now but will see periods of
heavy rain move in as the actual front. With already soaked soils
and rivers and creeks near bankfull...the additional 1 to 2 inches
were expecting with this system will create some minor flooding
across the area through tonight. Have continued the Flood Watch
through 7pm tonight. This system is expected to exit the CWA later
this afternoon. We will still be dealing with some light rain
through early Saturday morning especially across N GA associated with
the wrap around moisture around the backside of the main low center.

As this front moves across the state today there is some minimal
instability across central GA. We could see some isolated
thunderstorms this afternoon so decided to keep them in the forecast.
No severe storms expected.

We will finally see some much needed drier conditions this weekend
with high temps in the 50s and 60s and lows mainly in the 30s and
40s.

01

LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...
The long term begins with a ridge of high pressure building over
the central U.S. This will bring dry and more stable air into the
CWA for a few days. Another weak but fast moving system will move
across the CWA late Monday and Monday night. The system will
weaken as it moves across the CWA, however it will have enough
moisture for another chance of showers. After Monday night, a
broad trough will dominate the eastern half of the nation with the
axis just off the east coast. This puts the CWA in a west
northwest flow bringing dry and stable conditions for the
remainder of the long term. Temperatures will be at or just above
normal through the long term.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...

Ceilings are all over the map this morning but with heavy rain
beginning to move in should see ceilings level off in the IFR range
over the next few hours. VSBYs will do the same thing. Will see IFR
ceilings until this system sweeps through the TAF sites later this
afternoon. Ceilings will lift slowly this evening and stay in the
MVFR range through the end of the period. Winds are out of the E to
SE but will turn to the SW/W as the front moves through. wind speeds
expected to stay 10kt or less through 16-19z then will see increased
gust to 20kt behind the frontal passage through Saturday morning.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
Medium to high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  42  58  39 / 100  20   0   0
Atlanta         64  41  56  41 /  70  10   0   0
Blairsville     57  37  52  35 / 100  40  20   0
Cartersville    62  40  55  37 /  50  20   0   0
Columbus        66  43  60  42 /  40  10   0   0
Gainesville     60  41  54  41 / 100  20   0   0
Macon           67  44  61  40 / 100  10   0   0
Rome            60  40  56  36 /  40  30   0   0
Peachtree City  64  41  58  39 /  70  10   0   0
Vidalia         69  45  61  42 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01/Baker
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
940 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-051100-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
940 AM EST Fri Jan 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Moderate to heavy rain will be ending from the west today. Some
creeks and rivers will rise but flash flooding is not expected. A
few strong thunderstorms may produce brief areas of strong winds or
isolated weak tornadoes this morning across areas south and east of
Macon. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of flooding through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
921 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ083-084-095>097-105>109-041500-
Crisp GA-Wilkinson GA-Dooly GA-Houston GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-
Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Twiggs GA-Pulaski GA-
921 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRISP...SOUTHERN
WILKINSON...SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY...SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...WILCOX...
NORTHWESTERN LAURENS...BLECKLEY...DODGE...SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS AND
PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM EST...

At 919 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms extended from
Tarversville to near Hawkinsville and Rochelle, moving northeast at
30 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain will cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Cochran, Eastman, Hawkinsville, Abbeville, Chester, Rochelle, Dudley,
Pineview, Pitts, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Union, Plainfield,
Mobley Crossing, Mock Springs, Seville, Finleyson, District Path and
Ocmulgee Public Fishing Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3229 8361 3256 8348 3268 8329 3269 8306
      3223 8310 3185 8330 3185 8361 3180 8361
      3181 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 1419Z 233DEG 27KT 3253 8343 3208 8347 3182 8361

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
936 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ060-072-073-083-084-041515-
Wilkinson GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Jones GA-Twiggs GA-
936 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WILKINSON...SOUTHERN
PUTNAM...BALDWIN...EASTERN JONES AND NORTHERN TWIGGS COUNTIES UNTIL
1015 AM EST...

At 934 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of thunderstorms from near Gray to Griswoldville and Marion,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and enhanced risk of brief tornadoes.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Milledgeville, Gray, Irwinton, Gordon, Ivey, McIntyre,
Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether, Postell, Allenwood, Mountain Springs,
Griswoldville, Plant Harlee Branch, Hardwick, Browns Crossing, James,
Coopers, Haddock, Pancras and Fitzpatrick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3265 8349 3280 8351 3282 8349 3284 8351
      3302 8358 3329 8326 3326 8325 3319 8327
      3318 8322 3307 8319 3284 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1434Z 228DEG 26KT 3301 8354 3286 8349 3268 8346

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
956 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-084-085-096-097-108>111-041545-
Wilkinson GA-Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Johnson GA-
Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
956 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WILKINSON...SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN WHEELER...WESTERN TELFAIR...NORTHWESTERN
JOHNSON...SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX...LAURENS...EASTERN BLECKLEY AND DODGE
COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 AM EST...

At 954 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar showed a line
of thunderstorms from near Nicklesville to Eastman and Abbeville,
moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, McRae, Cochran, Eastman, Abbeville, Alamo, Helena, East
Dublin, Chester, Milan, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell, Toomsboro, Rhine,
Chauncey, Rentz, Oconee, Montrose and Allentown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3181 8313 3185 8318 3185 8341 3210 8328
      3216 8331 3218 8329 3222 8334 3238 8334
      3257 8326 3259 8323 3273 8331 3292 8286
      3269 8273 3249 8280 3235 8280 3222 8275
      3211 8281 3181 8296
TIME...MOT...LOC 1454Z 253DEG 29KT 3268 8323 3258 8318 3241 8327 3223
8327 3213 8321 3186 8335

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1038 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-085-086-097-098-109>112-041615-
Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-
Johnson GA-Montgomery GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
1038 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...
WHEELER...TELFAIR...WESTERN EMANUEL...TREUTLEN...JOHNSON...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...LAURENS AND SOUTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTIES
UNTIL 1115 AM EST...

At 1035 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong storms from Wrightsville to Dublin, Cedar Grove and
Milan, moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, McRae, Soperton, Alamo, Wrightsville, Helena, East Dublin,
Glenwood, Milan, Adrian, Harrison, Scotland, Jacksonville, Tarrytown,
Towns, Kite, Spann, Horse Creek Wma, Lothair and Spring Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3182 8311 3181 8313 3184 8315 3228 8297
      3276 8296 3290 8251 3283 8252 3279 8249
      3272 8248 3245 8250 3188 8274 3178 8287
      3178 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1535Z 247DEG 27KT 3271 8287 3259 8287 3232 8289 3186
8309

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1120 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ074-076-085-086-097-098-110>113-041715-
Toombs GA-Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-
Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-Montgomery GA-Laurens GA-
1120 AM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TOOMBS...SOUTHEASTERN
JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...WHEELER...EASTERN TELFAIR...
EMANUEL...TREUTLEN...JOHNSON...MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM EST...

At 1118 AM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong storms from Louisville to Soperton and Lumber City,
moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Swainsboro, McRae, Lyons, Soperton, Alamo, Louisville, Mount Vernon,
Vidalia, Wadley, Twin City, Lumber City, Glenwood, Adrian, Uvalda,
Stillmore, Oak Park, Ailey, Scotland, Higgston and Bartow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3235 8225
      3217 8218 3191 8223 3197 8244 3196 8257
      3192 8268 3178 8289 3208 8287 3285 8264
      3295 8251 3305 8229 3293 8227 3284 8232
      3280 8221 3281 8215 3266 8208 3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1618Z 248DEG 26KT 3291 8245 3269 8249 3228 8265 3205
8279 3185 8281

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1215 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

GAZ113-041730-
Toombs GA-
1215 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN TOOMBS COUNTY UNTIL 1230
PM EST...

At 1214 PM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong storm over Toombs Central, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...30 to 40 mph wind and an enhanced risk of a brief
           tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light, unsecured objects, this
           storm has also exhibited localized rotation. A brief
           tornado could quickly form.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
South Thompson, English Eddy, Toombs Central, Ohoopee, New Branch,
Ponderosa, Rock Springs, Cedar Crossing and Johnson Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3214 8220 3197 8222 3194 8234 3194 8237
      3209 8245 3223 8222 3218 8219 3216 8218
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 242DEG 29KT 3205 8233

WIND...50MPH