Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 25, 2019Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jan 25, 2019, 9:39 PM EST for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2019, 9:39 PM EST (02:39 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2019, 10:00 PM EST
In force
21 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-01-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
551 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 25, 7:12 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 7:12 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 25, 6:05 PM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

NYZ012-019-020-085-262315-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Erie during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-262315-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Erie during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-013-014-021-262315-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
Allegany-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Extremely cold air will build down into Tuesday night through Friday
with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006>008-262315-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-262315-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-262315-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heavy Freezing Spray Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-262315-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
605 PM EST Fri Jan 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 25, 6:21 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
621 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

NYZ010-011-260045-
Genesee-Northern Erie-
621 PM EST FRI JAN 25 2019

...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ERIE
AND NORTHERN GENESEE COUNTIES...

At 612 PM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall
rates of up to 2 inches per hour is expected to remain nearly
stationary across the Buffalo metro area through 11 pm. This band
will extend into northern Genesee county.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will produce significant blowing and
drifting snow with brief periods of near whiteout conditions.

Locations impacted include...
Buffalo, Cheektowaga, West Seneca, Clarence, Lackawanna, Batavia,
Kenmore, Depew, Amherst, Tonawanda, Lancaster, Williamsville, Darien
Lakes State Park, Elma, Pembroke, Akron, Erie Basin Marina, Small
Boat Harbor, Alden and Blasdell.

This includes Interstate 90 between exits 56 and 48.

Travelling through any of the above mentioned locations will be very
difficult this evening. Anticipate snow covered and very slippery
roads. If you must travel this evening use extra caution. Allow
plenty of extra time to reach your destination.

LAT...LON 4308 7850 4308 7847 4313 7832 4313 7810
      4307 7794 4278 7881 4278 7886 4276 7889
      4289 7891 4292 7890 4296 7892

TMA
Local storm report, Jan 25, 6:46 PM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 6:48 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jan 25, 8:16 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 8:57 PM EST, 42 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jan 25, 9:39 PM EST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 8:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee78 min
Jan 25, 10:33 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee117 min
Jan 25, 10:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson108 min
Jan 26, 12:36 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie84 min
Jan 26, 12:38 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson82 min
Jan 26, 5:06 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie114 min
Jan 26, 5:10 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson110 min
Jan 26, 6:18 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchBUFErie, Niagara46 hr
Jan 26, 7:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua54 min
Jan 26, 7:24 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson2 hr
Jan 26, 8:45 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua2 hr
Jan 26, 9:16 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson119 min
Jan 26, 10:39 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua66 min
Jan 26, 2:38 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis and 1 more37 hr
Jan 26, 2:44 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF36 hr
Jan 26, 6:38 PM ESTGale WarningBUF24 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.