Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Watches in 2019
Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood watch at Jan 26, 2019, 6:18 AM EST for Erie County, Niagara County, New York. It was in force for 46 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 26, 2019, 6:18 AM EST (11:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 28, 2019, 4:41 AM EST
- In force
- 46 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 2 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 5 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 551 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 172 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
669 WGUS61 KBUF 261118 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 618 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 NYZ001-010-261930- /O.NEW.KBUF.FF.A.0001.190126T1118Z-190127T1400Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 618 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for a portion of western New York... including the following areas...The Upper Niagara River in Niagara and Northern Erie counties. * Through Sunday morning. * The Niagara River Control Center reports an ice jam on the Upper Niagara River near the North Grand Island Bridge. The water level is starting to rise in the area. The water level so far is just below the level where inundation and damage begins, but if the ice jam grows flooding may develop. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Hitchcock
8 follow-up statements
615 WGUS61 KBUF 261851 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 151 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 NYZ001-010-270400- /O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190127T1400Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 151 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York...including the following counties...Niagara and Northern Erie. * Through Sunday morning. * The Niagara River Control Center reports an ice jam on the Upper Niagara River near the North Grand Island Bridge. The water level is stable, but still just below the level where inundation and damage begins. If the ice jam grows flooding may develop. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Apffel
174 WGUS61 KBUF 270248 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 948 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 NYZ001-010-271100- /O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190127T1400Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 948 PM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York...including the following counties...Niagara and Northern Erie. * Until 9 AM EST Sunday. * An ice jam remains on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river, although high has lowered slightly and remains stable. The water level remains just below where inundation and damage begins. If the ice jam grows flooding may develop. Southwest winds are expected to increase late tonight and Sunday morning and may increase water levels. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ TMA
116 WGUS61 KBUF 270818 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 318 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ001-010-271400- /O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190127T1400Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 318 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York...including the following areas...The Upper Niagara River in Niagara and Northern Erie counties. * Until 9 AM EST this morning. * An ice jam remains on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river, although high, has lowered slightly and remains stable. The water level remains just below where inundation and damage begins. If the ice jam grows flooding may develop. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Hitchcock
967 WGUS61 KBUF 271235 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 735 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ001-010-272045- /O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190127T2100Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 735 AM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * A portion of western New York...including the following counties...Niagara and Northern Erie. * Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * An ice jam remains on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river remains high. Rises in the water level on Lake Erie and Niagara River may cause the water level behind the ice jam to rise today. The water level remains just below where inundation and damage begins. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Apffel
718 WGUS61 KBUF 272033 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 333 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ001-010-280500- /O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190128T0900Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 333 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * A portion of western New York...including the following counties...Niagara and Northern Erie. * Through late tonight. * An ice jam remains on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river remains high. The water level is near the level where inundation and damage begins. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Apffel
445 WGUS61 KBUF 280433 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1133 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ001-010-280900- /O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190128T0900Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 1133 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of western New York...including the following areas...Upper Niagara River in Niagara and Northern Erie counties. * Until 4 AM EST Monday. * An ice jam remains in place on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river remains high. The water level is near the level where inundation and damage begins. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Hitchcock
196 WGUS61 KBUF 280831 FFABUF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 331 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 NYZ001-010-281645- /O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190129T0300Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 331 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * A portion of western New York...including the following areas...The Upper Niagara River of Niagara and Northern Erie counties. * Through this evening. * An ice jam remains in place on the Upper Niagara River. The Niagara River Control Center reports that the water level on the river remains high. The water level is just below the level where inundation and damage begins. If the ice jam worsens flooding may be possible. * Areas susceptible to flooding from rising water on the Upper Niagara River include the Grand Island shoreline, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means the threat of flash flooding exists along rivers and creeks. If you are in the watch area you should monitor weather conditions closely. Be ready to move to higher ground if flooding is observed or a warning is issued. Stay tuned to weather radio or other radio and tv stations for further updates. && $$ Hitchcock
558 WGUS61 KBUF 280941 FFABUF Flood Watch National Weather Service Buffalo NY 441 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 NYZ001-010-281045- /O.CAN.KBUF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190129T0300Z/ /00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Niagara-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo 441 AM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of western New York has been cancelled. The Niagara River control center reports that their crews have made good progress in clearing the ice jam in the Upper Niagara River. The risk of flooding from ice jams along the river has diminished. $$ Hitchcock
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jan 26, 6:18 AM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 26, 6:18 AM EST, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
618 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Bands of locally heavy lake effect snow will continue this morning
along the Lake Erie shore well south of Buffalo, and also northeast
of Lake Ontario. The lake effect snow will gradually diminish later
today. A weak area of low pressure will then cross the area late
tonight and Sunday with a few periods of light snow and minor
accumulations. Lake enhancement may bring some additional
accumulation east and northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Another
area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night
and Tuesday with snow and some mixed precipitation.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Ongoing heavy lake effect snow continues to be the focus through the
near term. The airmass will continue to be more than cold enough to
support lake effect today and tonight, but other parameters will
become less favorable with time. Boundary layer flow will continue
to slacken today with shear increasing as near surface winds become
lighter and more variable. This will slowly erode the strong
convergence zones which are still supporting the heavy snow.
Off Lake Erie...
A band of heavy snow is found along and just inland from the
lakeshore from the Boston Hills southwest through Dunkirk and
Westfield. Expect this band to remain in place this morning as the
boundary layer flow continues to weaken. It may take on more of a
"tea kettle" appearance, supported by land breeze circulations right
along the lakeshore. This band may produce another 6-10 inches
in a few localized areas that remain under it this morning
across northern and western Chautauqua County and southwest Erie
County. With this in mind, extended the warning for S.Erie and
Chautauqua through 18Z today. Some light snow will also impact
areas farther inland, and also a few general light snow showers
will cross the Western Southern Tier this morning as a weak
baroclinic wave moves across PA.
The band of snow will weaken quickly this afternoon, with what
remains focusing out over the lake by mid afternoon.
Off Lake Ontario...
The band of heavy snow will continue to be steady state across
Central Jefferson and northern Lewis counties through mid morning
with snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour under the center of the
band. During the late morning and early afternoon the eastern extent
of the band will shrink back towards the lake as boundary layer flow
continues to weaken. This will bring an end to the heavier snow
across Lewis and eastern Jefferson counties. The heavy snow may
linger through early to mid afternoon close to the lake from near
Watertown southward to Ellisburg. With this in mind, extended the
warning for Jefferson County through 21Z, and kept the 15Z end time
for Lewis County. Expect additional accumulations of 8-12 inches in
southern Jefferson County today, and a few more inches in northwest
Lewis County.
What remains of the lake band will lift north into Canada by early
this evening as boundary layer flow becomes SSW.
Tonight a weak area of low pressure will move from the Ohio Valley
to the western end of Lake Ontario. Weak warm advection ahead of
this system may bring a few scattered light snow showers to the
western Southern Tier this evening. A more widespread area of light
snow will develop across Western NY by late tonight. Accumulations
will be minor, with an inch or less by daybreak in most areas, and
1-2 inches for the Western Southern Tier.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Cold advection will begin by mid morning Sunday behind an area of
low pressure tracking from the north shore of Lake Ontario to the
Saint Lawrence Valley. A cold front trailing this area of low
pressure will sweep across the region during the morning on
Sunday. Widespread light snow will continue through the late
morning before transitioning to lake effect off of both lakes.
With the cold air advection, 850 temperatures will cool to near
-20C by the evening on Sunday. Synoptic moisture from the
departing low and cold front will decrease from west to east,
supporting some better lake snow potential off of Lake Ontario,
where advisory level snow amounts may be possible.
Off of Lake Erie, the best chance for lake snow will be
over the Western Southern Tier north to Wyoming and southern Erie
counties. Lake enhanced/effect should start out more north toward
the City of Buffalo and the Northtowns, but as winds shift from 240
degrees early in the morning to 260 degrees in the early afternoon
and then to 280 degrees by the evening, the band of lake effect snow
that does develop will drop south through the day. As this occurs,
snow that accumulates from the lake, will be fairly well spread out,
keeping any one location to around 3 to 5 inches, with these amounts
mostly across the higher terrain of the Western Southern Tier and
Southern Erie County. These amounts will be near advisory level, and
future updates will address the need for an advisory if it is
warranted. Lake effect off of Lake Erie will diminish in coverage
through the evening as the trough over the area tracks northeast.
Off of Lake Ontario, lake enhanced snow behind the departing cold
front and light synoptic snow will start in the early afternoon and
transition to lake effect by the mid to late afternoon. Initially a
west-southwest flow will start the lake effect over the northern
portion of the North Country. Winds shift more to a westerly (260-
280) direction and the longer fetch of the lake allows a better
developed lake band to form and focus on the Tug Hill during the
late afternoon and into the evening. Guidance is suggesting the
potential for a three lake connection with the Lake Ontario band,
with the connection extending upstream to Lake Huron and Lake
Superior. Winds will continue to shift through the evening to a more
northwest direction and then northerly by the middle of the night on
Sunday night. This will result in the band shifting south through
the early morning, and then dissipating with minimal fetch. Some
guidance is holding on to the band over the lake through the morning
via a convergence zone over the lake with the much colder airmass
over the lake, but winds appear to be a bit to strong to support
this. Area east of Lake Ontario, especially over the Tug Hill can
expect to receive up to 4 to 8 inches of snow for Sunday into Sunday
night.
Temperatures on Sunday will be in the low to mid 20s across the
area, except for areas of the Genesee Valley and Northern Finger
Lakes will daytime highs will approach 30 degrees. Sunday night lows
will be in the single digits from the Northern Finger Lakes
westward, and near or a few degrees below zero in the North Country.
Brief surface ridging through Monday morning will give way to the
next area of low pressure approaching the region. The warm front of
this approaching low will move north through the area during the
middle of the day on Monday bringing the chance for snow as it moves
through the area. The area of low pressure will trek northeast from
the southern Great Lakes on Monday afternoon to the Georgian Bay by
Tuesday morning. As this system approaches the region, precipitation
chances will start to increase through the evening and overnight on
Monday night. Likely POPs will cover most of the forecast area by
mid to late evening. Precipitation should be mostly snow, but if
stronger than anticipated advection occurs, resulting in warmer
temperatures, then a mix with or change over to rain may occur as
the night progresses.
High temperatures on Monday will be in the mid to upper 20s across
most of the area, the exception being across the North Country where
temperatures will be in the teens as warm air advection from the
warm front will start later. Lows on Monday night will not cool much
from daytime highs, with lows in the low to mid 20s across Western
NY and the Northern Finger Lakes. Temperatures will be in the low
teens across the North Country.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Behind this system, latest medium range models and ensembles
continuing to advertise a true arctic blast Wednesday into Friday.
850 mb temperatures nearing -30C will cover much of the area through
this time frame. Certainly record cold is a possibility within this
airmass. Daytime high temperatures only in the single digits with
overnight lows below zero. Brisk winds during this time frame will
certainly produce dangerously cold wind chills for an extended
period. Additionally, this airmass will certainly bring the
potential for lake effect snow downwind of the lakes, although with
an airmass this cold and dry it may limit really significant
accumulations. The greater concern may be the potential for
significant blowing and drifting with gusty winds and a fine,
powdery snow in this frigid airmass.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Bands of very heavy lake effect snow will east of Lakes Erie and
Ontario through this morning with VLIFR conditions within the bands.
Off lake Erie, the band of heavy snow will focus along and just
inland of the lakeshore, including areas near KDKK. The band should
stay north and west of KJHW, with just some light snow possible
there. Off Lake Ontario, the band of heavy snow will remain focused
on KART and extending out to just south of KGTB. This morning the
eastern extent of the band will shrink back towards the lake as
boundary layer flow weakens, with heavy snow focusing near the lake
just to the south of KART. Outside of lake effect areas expect
mainly VFR today with variable amounts of cloud cover.
A weak area of low pressure will move into the region late tonight.
A few scattered light snow showers may develop across the western
Southern Tier by mid to late evening. A more widespread area of
light snow and associated IFR VSBY/MVFR CIGS will move into Western
NY late tonight.
Outlook...
Sunday...Areas of IFR in light snow and some lake effect snow east
of the lakes.
Monday...A chance of snow showers. MVFR likely. LLWS possible Monday
night.
Tuesday...Snow and rain showers with areas of IFR.
Wednesday...Areas of IFR with lake effect snow and blowing snow
northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario.
&&
.MARINE...
Southwest winds will continue to diminish today, with conditions
improving to below Small Craft Advisory levels later this morning on
Lake Erie and the west end of Lake Ontario, and by later this
afternoon on the east of of Ontario. Southwest winds will increase
again by Sunday morning and continue through Sunday night as a cold
front crosses the eastern Great Lakes. This will bring the next
round of Small Craft Advisory conditions.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Northern Erie and
Niagara counties, specifically for the Upper Niagara River. The
Niagara River Control Center reports an ice jam on the river
near the North Grand Island Bridge. The water level is starting
to rise in the area. So far the level is just under where
inundation and damage begins, but if the ice jam becomes worse
flooding may develop along the river. Areas susceptible include
Grand Island, Cayuga Island in Niagara Falls, and the river
shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ007.
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for NYZ001-010.
Winter Storm Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ019-
085.
Winter Storm Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for NYZ008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
LOZ043>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
HYDROLOGY...HitchcockHazardous weather outlook, Jan 26, 3:48 AM EST, 2 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 NYZ019-085-270900- Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Erie during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010>012-020-270900- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Cattaraugus- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Erie during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001>005-013-014-021-270900- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario- Allegany- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. Extremely cold air will build down into Tuesday night through Friday with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ008-270900- Lewis- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-270900- Jefferson- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-270900- Oswego- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region. An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-270900- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-270900- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 348 AM EST Sat Jan 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf Hitchcock
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 26, 12:36 AM EST, 5 hours 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1236 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
NYZ010>012-019-085-260700-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-Wyoming-Genesee-Northern Erie-
1236 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
...A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
WYOMING... CENTRAL ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND WESTERN GENESEE
COUNTIES...
At 1234 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 3 inches per hour was found across South Buffalo and the
immediate southern and eastern suburbs. This band of heavy snow will
continue to drift slowly south through the Buffalo Southtowns, and
will also begin to move onshore from Hamburg to Dunkirk. Travel
along the NY Thruway along the Lake Erie shore southwest of Hamburg
will deteriorate rapidly.
If you must travel within this band, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with deep snow cover on roads and very poor
visibility.
This includes Interstate 90 between exits 60 and 52A, and near exit
48A.
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.
LAT...LON 4244 7950 4253 7939 4259 7919 4272 7909
4277 7897 4280 7892 4282 7892 4311 7824
4280 7824 4253 7902 4254 7906 4252 7906
4228 7973 4231 7977
HitchcockSpecial weather statement, Jan 26, 12:38 AM EST, 5 hours 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1238 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
NYZ007-008-260700-
Jefferson-Lewis-
1238 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...
At 1237 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour will continue from near Watertown and
Adams eastward across Carthage and Croghan. This band is expected to
remain nearly stationary over the next few hours.
If you must travel within this band, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with deep snow cover on roads and very poor
visibility.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 41 and 48.
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.
LAT...LON 4376 7628 4378 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635
4384 7645 4387 7650 4391 7650 4396 7644
4396 7634 4402 7636 4405 7639 4423 7548
4410 7517 4387 7514 4386 7514
HitchcockLocal storm report, Jan 26, 1:46 AM EST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
146 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 PM SNOW 1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE 42.97N 78.75W
01/25/2019 M7.8 INCH ERIE NY NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900478
HITCHCOCKLocal storm report, Jan 26, 4:55 AM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
455 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1254 AM SNOW BUFFALO AIRPORT 42.94N 78.74W
01/26/2019 M18.2 INCH ERIE NY ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900479
SJWSpecial weather statement, Jan 26, 5:06 AM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
506 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
NYZ019-085-261200-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
506 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...
At 504 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 inches per hour will continue along the Lake Erie shore from
Ripley to Silver Creek, and extending inland across the Boston
Hills. This band of heavy snow will remain nearly stationary early
this morning.
Travel will be extremely difficult in this band of heavy snow. If
you must travel, be prepared for severe winter driving conditions
with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility.
This includes Interstate 90 between exits 61 and 57A.
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.
LAT...LON 4231 7977 4244 7950 4251 7942 4278 7871
4274 7848 4266 7855 4253 7901 4254 7906
4251 7906 4249 7910 4224 7976 4227 7976
4228 7973
HitchcockSpecial weather statement, Jan 26, 5:10 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
510 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
NYZ007-008-261200-
Jefferson-Lewis-
510 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND WEST
CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES...
At 507 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour will continue across southern Jefferson
County from Mannsville to Adams. A weaker band will extend inland
into northern Lewis County. This band of snow will remain nearly
stationary.
Travel will be extremely difficult in this band of heavy snow. If
you must travel, be prepared for severe winter driving conditions
with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 39 and 47.
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time when traveling.
LAT...LON 4401 7549 4380 7567 4366 7626 4369 7626
4378 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635 4384 7644
4387 7645 4390 7632 4391 7632 4391 7631
4405 7574
HitchcockThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 8:57 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Genesee | 78 min |
| Jan 25, 9:39 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 21 min |
| Jan 25, 10:33 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Genesee | 117 min |
| Jan 25, 10:42 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 108 min |
| Jan 26, 12:36 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 84 min |
| Jan 26, 12:38 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 82 min |
| Jan 26, 5:06 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 114 min |
| Jan 26, 5:10 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 110 min |
| Jan 26, 7:21 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 54 min |
| Jan 26, 7:24 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 2 hr |
| Jan 26, 8:45 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 2 hr |
| Jan 26, 9:16 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 119 min |
| Jan 26, 10:39 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Chautauqua | 66 min |
| Jan 26, 2:38 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis and 1 more | 37 hr |
| Jan 26, 2:44 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 36 hr | |
| Jan 26, 6:38 PM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 24 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in New York, 2019Every flash flood watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.