Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2018
Tornado Watch 51
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2018, 10:12 AM EDT for 28 counties in Florida; 35 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 15, 2018, 10:12 AM EDT (14:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 15, 2018, 6:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA
The radar
The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 10:14 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Atkinson, Coffee, Jeff Davis | 61 min |
| Apr 15, 11:13 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Columbia, Hamilton, Suwannee | 47 min |
| Apr 15, 11:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Coffee, Jeff Davis, Ware | 45 min |
| Apr 15, 11:18 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Montgomery, Telfair, Toombs, Wheeler | 42 min |
| Apr 15, 11:51 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Emanuel, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen | 39 min |
| Apr 15, 11:56 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Appling, Bacon, Jeff Davis, Pierce, Wayne | 49 min |
| Apr 15, 12:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Baker, Columbia, Hamilton, Suwannee | 44 min |
| Apr 15, 12:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Emanuel | 50 min |
| Apr 15, 1:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CHS | Bulloch, Screven | 42 min |
| Apr 15, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Clay, Marion, Putnam | 53 min |
| Apr 15, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Brantley, Glynn, Wayne | 45 min |
| Apr 15, 2:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Nassau | 44 min |
| Apr 15, 2:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Nassau | 52 min |
| Apr 15, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CHS | Bryan, Liberty, Long, McIntosh | 49 min |
| Apr 15, 2:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Camden, Glynn | 41 min |
| Apr 15, 2:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Bradford, Marion, Putnam | 50 min |
| Apr 15, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Clay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns | 45 min |
| Apr 15, 2:51 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas | 27 min |
| Apr 15, 2:54 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Camden, Glynn | 27 min |
| Apr 15, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Nassau | 46 min |
| Apr 15, 3:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Duval, Flagler, Nassau, Saint Johns | 38 min |
| Apr 15, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Camden, Glynn | 52 min |
| Apr 15, 3:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 6 min |
| Apr 15, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Polk | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 651 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -59 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 809 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 145 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 3.1
The text
As transmitted.
293 WWUS20 KWNS 151407 SEL1 SPC WW 151407 FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-152200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 51 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 AM EDT Sun Apr 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North Florida East and Southeast Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1010 AM until 600 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue to intensify through midday with increasing low-level moisture and strengthening low-level shear supportive of storms capable of damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of Vidalia GA to 30 miles southwest of Ocala FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 22040. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 10:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 93 min |
| Apr 14, 11:58 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Walton and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Apr 15, 2:45 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Walton and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 15, 6:42 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Jackson | 93 min |
| Apr 15, 9:34 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Columbia, Gilchrist, Hamilton and 4 more | 86 min |
| Apr 15, 12:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk | 57 min |
| Apr 15, 2:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Duval, Lake, Manatee, Polk, Putnam and 1 more | 90 min |
| Apr 15, 4:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broward, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry and 4 more | 63 min |
| Apr 15, 12:13 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Burke, Columbia, Lincoln, McDuffie, Richmond | 9 hr |
| Apr 15, 11:15 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barnwell, Calhoun, Chester, Chesterfield, Fairfield, Kershaw and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 15, 2:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chesterfield, Dillon, Marlboro | 91 min |
| Apr 15, 3:02 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Darlington, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion and 2 more | 8 hr |
| Apr 15, 3:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkeley, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Dorchester, Lee, Sumter | 88 min |
| Apr 15, 5:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkeley, Calhoun, Charleston, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Colleton and 14 more | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2018Tornado Watches in Florida, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.