Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 51

April 15, 201828 counties in Florida; 35 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2018, 10:12 AM EDT for 28 counties in Florida; 35 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2018, 10:12 AM EDT (14:12 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2018, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 63 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 10:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAtkinson, Coffee, Jeff Davis61 min
Apr 15, 11:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXColumbia, Hamilton, Suwannee47 min
Apr 15, 11:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Coffee, Jeff Davis, Ware45 min
Apr 15, 11:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMontgomery, Telfair, Toombs, Wheeler42 min
Apr 15, 11:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen39 min
Apr 15, 11:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAppling, Bacon, Jeff Davis, Pierce, Wayne49 min
Apr 15, 12:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Columbia, Hamilton, Suwannee44 min
Apr 15, 12:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel50 min
Apr 15, 1:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBulloch, Screven42 min
Apr 15, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Clay, Marion, Putnam53 min
Apr 15, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBrantley, Glynn, Wayne45 min
Apr 15, 2:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Nassau44 min
Apr 15, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXNassau52 min
Apr 15, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBryan, Liberty, Long, McIntosh49 min
Apr 15, 2:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCamden, Glynn41 min
Apr 15, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Marion, Putnam50 min
Apr 15, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns45 min
Apr 15, 2:51 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas27 min
Apr 15, 2:54 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXCamden, Glynn27 min
Apr 15, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXNassau46 min
Apr 15, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXDuval, Flagler, Nassau, Saint Johns38 min
Apr 15, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCamden, Glynn52 min
Apr 15, 3:27 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough6 min
Apr 15, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Polk29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 651 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2018-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
651 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

293 
WWUS20 KWNS 151407
SEL1  
SPC WW 151407
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-152200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 51
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1010 AM EDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Florida
  East and Southeast Georgia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1010 AM until
  600 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue to intensify through midday
with increasing low-level moisture and strengthening low-level shear
supportive of storms capable of damaging winds and a few tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of Vidalia GA to 30
miles southwest of Ocala FL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 10:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Santa Rosa93 min
Apr 14, 11:58 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Walton and 1 more8 hr
Apr 15, 2:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson, Walton and 1 more2 hr
Apr 15, 6:42 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Gulf, Jackson93 min
Apr 15, 9:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Columbia, Gilchrist, Hamilton and 4 more86 min
Apr 15, 12:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk57 min
Apr 15, 2:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Duval, Lake, Manatee, Polk, Putnam and 1 more90 min
Apr 15, 4:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry and 4 more63 min
Apr 15, 12:13 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, Lincoln, McDuffie, Richmond9 hr
Apr 15, 11:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnwell, Calhoun, Chester, Chesterfield, Fairfield, Kershaw and 8 more2 hr
Apr 15, 2:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChesterfield, Dillon, Marlboro91 min
Apr 15, 3:02 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDarlington, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion and 2 more8 hr
Apr 15, 3:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Dorchester, Lee, Sumter88 min
Apr 15, 5:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Calhoun, Charleston, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Colleton and 14 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2018Tornado Watches in Florida, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.