Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 322

July 29, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 29, 2018, 1:07 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2018, 1:07 PM MDT (19:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2018, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 35 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Greeley County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Albany County, WY, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

57 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 1:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie50 min
Jul 29, 1:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSPlatte47 min
Jul 29, 1:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie, Platte51 min
Jul 29, 1:44 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSLaramie, Platte14 min
Jul 29, 1:57 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedCYSKimball33 min
Jul 29, 2:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie, Platte49 min
Jul 29, 2:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Morrill, Scotts Bluff32 min
Jul 29, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie25 min
Jul 29, 2:26 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSKimball34 min
Jul 29, 2:28 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSLaramie47 min
Jul 29, 2:47 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld28 min
Jul 29, 2:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes38 min
Jul 29, 2:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie52 min
Jul 29, 2:54 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSKimball36 min
Jul 29, 3:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld39 min
Jul 29, 3:14 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSLaramie29 min
Jul 29, 3:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Weld44 min
Jul 29, 3:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse, Niobrara41 min
Jul 29, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie, Platte61 min
Jul 29, 3:32 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld43 min
Jul 29, 3:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie30 min
Jul 29, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Niobrara33 min
Jul 29, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld46 min
Jul 29, 3:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSLaramie3 hr
Jul 29, 4:00 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld30 min
Jul 29, 4:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo42 min
Jul 29, 4:10 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULogan, Morgan, Washington, Weld35 min
Jul 29, 4:17 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie, Platte43 min
Jul 29, 4:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie, Platte39 min
Jul 29, 4:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Niobrara39 min
Jul 29, 4:26 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan, Weld34 min
Jul 29, 4:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld29 min
Jul 29, 4:37 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULogan, Morgan, Washington23 min
Jul 29, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Converse, Platte45 min
Jul 29, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie19 min
Jul 29, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSSioux34 min
Jul 29, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan25 min
Jul 29, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Carbon47 min
Jul 29, 5:01 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan, Washington44 min
Jul 29, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany46 min
Jul 29, 5:32 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln, Washington28 min
Jul 29, 5:40 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson35 min
Jul 29, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln, Washington23 min
Jul 29, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany, Laramie14 min
Jul 29, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson62 min
Jul 29, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln, Washington50 min
Jul 29, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer, Weld32 min
Jul 29, 6:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson51 min
Jul 29, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa45 min
Jul 29, 7:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld26 min
Jul 29, 7:04 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln26 min
Jul 29, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Weld32 min
Jul 29, 7:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers51 min
Jul 29, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe31 min
Jul 29, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe, Elbert33 min
Jul 29, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln32 min
Jul 29, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 181 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
181 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-407 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1180 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

572 
WWUS20 KWNS 291904
SEL2  
SPC WW 291904
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-300300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 322
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Northwest Kansas
  Nebraska Panhandle
  Southeast Wyoming

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered discrete supercells should evolve southeast from
southeast Wyoming and may develop into a cluster near the
Colorado/Kansas border this evening. All hazards are anticipated.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Torrington
WY to 55 miles south southwest of Burlington CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 31035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 12:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Denver, Douglas and 10 more59 min
Jul 29, 5:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Crowley and 19 more67 min
Jul 28, 9:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Gove, Graham, Logan, Norton, Rawlins and 2 more89 min
Jul 28, 10:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 12 more2 hr
Jul 29, 12:59 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 15 more5 hr
Jul 29, 3:00 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Sedgwick and 1 more2 hr
Jul 29, 1:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Gove, Logan, Rawlins, Sheridan, Thomas and 1 more7 hr
Jul 29, 4:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Lane, Logan, Rawlins and 5 more53 min
Jul 28, 6:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff and 1 more97 min
Jul 29, 1:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Campbell, Converse, Crook, Fremont, Hot Springs and 5 more2 hr
Jul 29, 2:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLaramie55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2018Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2018Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.