Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 197, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 29, 2018El Paso County, Pueblo County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2018, 4:03 PM MDT for El Paso County, Pueblo County, Colorado. It was in force for 42 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2018, 4:03 PM MDT (22:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2018, 4:45 PM MDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties El Paso County, CO, Pueblo County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 29, 4:08 PM MDTHAIL 1.253 W Fountain, COFORT CARSON.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 29, 1:07 PM MDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 181 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2018-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
181 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-407 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1180 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

618 
WUUS55 KPUB 292203
SVRPUB
COC041-101-292245-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0197.180729T2203Z-180729T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
403 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern El Paso County in east central Colorado...
  North central Pueblo County in southeastern Colorado...

* Until 445 PM MDT.

* At 402 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fort Carson,
  or 9 miles south of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Southern Colorado Springs, Fountain, and Fort Carson. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3872 10487 3878 10478 3857 10446 3843 10476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 325DEG 14KT 3870 10479 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28
6 follow-up statements
411 
WWUS55 KPUB 292210
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
410 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
410 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO AND NORTH CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 409 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fort Carson, 
or 12 miles south of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fountain, and Fort Carson. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3870 10486 3875 10473 3857 10446 3843 10476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 313DEG 19KT 3867 10474 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28
780 
WWUS55 KPUB 292214
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
414 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
414 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO AND NORTH CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 413 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fountain, or 13
miles south of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fountain, Fort Carson and Interstate 25 near Fountain. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3864 10484 3873 10470 3857 10446 3843 10476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 327DEG 16KT 3865 10472 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28
773 
WWUS55 KPUB 292220
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
420 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
420 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO AND NORTH CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 419 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fountain, or 16
miles southeast of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fountain and Interstate 25 near Fountain. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3860 10482 3869 10465 3857 10446 3843 10476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 325DEG 17KT 3862 10469 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28
876 
WWUS55 KPUB 292228
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
428 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
428 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO AND NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 427 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fountain, or 18
miles southeast of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fountain and Interstate 25 near Fountain. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3862 10475 3866 10460 3857 10446 3844 10473
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 309DEG 15KT 3860 10465 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28
691 
WWUS55 KPUB 292233
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
433 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292245-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
433 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO AND NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 432 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southeast of
Fountain, or 20 miles southeast of Colorado Springs, moving southeast
at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Areas south of Fountain and east of Interstate 25.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3857 10474 3864 10457 3857 10446 3846 10469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 304DEG 16KT 3859 10462 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

28
937 
WWUS55 KPUB 292242
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
442 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COC041-101-292252-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-180729T2245Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
442 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO AND
NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM MDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3857 10474 3864 10457 3857 10446 3846 10469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 325DEG 14KT 3856 10460 

$$

28

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 29, 3:07 PM MDT, 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 3:07 PM MDT, 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
307 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 307 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

...Severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon through this
evening...with some strong thunderstorm possible into the overnight
hours far southeast plains...

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis is indicating
moderate to strong northwest flow aloft across the region as a broad
upper trough is translating across the Northern Rockies at this
time. At the surface, this morning's low clouds across the southeast
Plains have cleared and are starting to see scattered storms
developing across the higher terrain which are moving quickly
southeast with the moderate northwest steering flow.

Tonight...Latest models differ on exact placement of storms though
agree on two rounds of storms across southeast Colorado tonight.
This mornings low clouds hampered destabilization across the Plains
thus far, though should see continue cooling aloft with approaching
trough with models indicating 1000 to over 2000 j/kg of MLCAPE
across the plains. This, combined with deep layer shears of 50-60
kts, will support the development of severe thunderstorms across the
southeast Plains, mainly east of a line from Monument to Trinchera.
Various models runs indicating large hail and damaging winds will be
the main storm threats...with the potential for hail up to around 2
inches in diameter across northern portions of the southeast plains.
Wind gusts over 60 mph will also be possible. An isolated tornado
will be possible as well, particularly northern portions of the
southeast plains...where low level helicity is greatest.  These
parameters look best though across northeast CO but does spread
southeastward into northeast El Paso, Crowley, Kiowa, Bent and
Prowers counties later this evening. Depending on the evolution of
convection, could see more convective watches issued across the rest
of southeast Colorado.

This initial wave of convection this evening looks to be the
strongest...with models indicating a second round of storms
spreading across the area with moist easterly outflow from Northeast
Colorado convection interacting with broad upper trough and
associated jet streak, translating southeast across the state.
Various high res models show another round of rather intense cells
dropping southeastward into the southeast plains after 03Z and
continuing into the overnight hours.  The severe threat could
persist until around midnight for northern and eastern portions of
the plains.

As for flash flood threat...current watch area still looks on
target.  Although its difficult to pin down where the heaviest
precipitation will fall in cases like these...this area certainly
captures the greatest threat area based on antecedent soil moistures
given recent heavy rains.  This area also seems to capture the swath
of heavier precipitation forecast by various high res models.  Kiowa
county appears to have the greatest risk for flash flooding through
the overnight hours.

Burn scars are not out of the woods...but storms will be moving at a
pretty good clip, thanks to stronger flow aloft, and this should
help decrease the threat some.  Certainly intense storms will be
capable of producing high rainfall rates so these areas will need to
be monitored closely through this evening into the overnight hours.

Monday will be a less active day.  Northerly flow brings drier dew
points into the southeast plains which cuts back CAPE some.  Morning
showers and stratus will also hinder instability, and area will be
on the subsident back side of the system which should also limit
thunderstorm coverage.  Best chance of thunderstorms will be
southern Sangres and Wets during the afternoon.  Shear will still be
sufficient for one or two strong to severe storms if the instability
can be realized. Will carry isolated to scattered pops across the
southeast mountains for now to encompass this possibility.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 307 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

Best chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday evening will be
across the Sangre De Cristo and Wet mountains where upslope flow
will keep some low level moisture pooled up. There are some
uncertainties however with regard to instability and how far east
any thunderstorms will be able to persist as they move south
southeastward off the mountains.  First there looks to be some
subsidence behind the upper trof which should limit coverage across
northern portions of the area.  Meanwhile low levels just east of
the mountains may be quite stable given morning convection and
likelihood for persistent clouds. Dew points also appear to dry out
from north to south across the plains as well. Plenty of deep layer
shear (running around 50-60 kts) to support one or two strong to
severe storms...but it will all depend on low level
moisture/instability. Hunch is areas farther south (southern
Sangres) will stand the best chance for an isolated strong storm.
Burn scars...particularly the Spring scar...will have to be watched
for flash flood potential...though storm motions should still be
fast enough...(south southeast around 20 mph) which could help
decrease rainfall amounts on burn scars for all but the strongest
storms.  Thunderstorm activity diminishes quickly during the
evening.

Tuesday looks like a dry day over most of southern CO.  There will
still be some isolated to low end scattered thunderstorm chances
across the southern Sangres and Eastern San Juans...but coverage
looks pretty limited and with dew points falling off into the 30s
(in the NW) and 40s (SE) in the afternoon...CAPE looks limited and
high based. So overall it looks like a down day in the weather
department for southern CO.

Thunderstorm chances slowly increase again from Wednesday onward as
moisture recirculating within the western U.S. upper high spreads
back over CO.  Moisture still looks a little high based across most
of the area for Wednesday as dew points will be slow to increase.
CAPE looks a little better across Baca county where southerly flow
on the east side of the surface trof starts to advect 50 dew points
back northward into the area (GFS looks a little drier though).

Gradual moistening occurs for late week into next weekend as the
upper ridge axis shifts eastward over CO...then briefly gets cut
down as energy rides overtop across the northern U.S. Rockies late
Friday into Saturday.  Upper high is quick to reestablish across the
Great Basin and western CO by late next weekend.  Overall, this will
mean a trend towards hotter temperatures and a more typical summer
pattern of slow moving afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms over the mountains drifting into the adjacent plains
each day.  With weak flow aloft...the threat for severe
thunderstorms looks nil...and the risk for flash flooding looks
confined mainly to burn scars.  -KT

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 307 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms over the mountains this
afternoon will increase in coverage and intensity as the spread
southeast across the I-25 Corridor and Southeast Plains. Best
chances of storms moving across the terminals this afternoon and
early evening will be at COS, with the best severe threat generally
east of the terminals. At any rate, can't rule out MVFR and brief
IFR conditions gusty outflow winds, heavy rain, and hail through the
early evening. Another round of storm looks to move across the
eastern Plains later this evening, with outflow from Northeast
Colorado and Northwest Kansas spreading low clouds back across the
southeast Plains. Expecting MVFR and IFR cigs at COS and PUB aft
06Z, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms also possible
through early Monday morning. Low clouds to diminish through mid
morning, with drier conditions and VFR conditions expected through
the afternoon, with chances of storms remaining confined to the
higher terrain.

Mainly VFR conditions expected at ALS over the next 24 hours.
Again, can't rule out an isolated tsra across the area through the
afternoon, though with lesser coverage expected, will keep VCTS in
taf. Skies clear out overnight, and could see low cloud and patchy
fog develop early Monday morning, however, with drier northwesterly
flow expected across the area, will not include in the taf attm.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT this evening through late
tonight for COZ095>099.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...MW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 12:20 PM MDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1220 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

COZ058>089-093>099-301830-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1220 PM MDT Sun Jul 29 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain capable of producing flash
flooding will be possible today over the southeast Colorado
plains and the adjacent mountains.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across
the mountains through the early afternoon, with storms moving south
and east across the I-25 Corridor and the southeast plains through
the late afternoon an evening. Storms will increase in coverage
and intensity as they move into a more unstable atmosphere across
Eastern Colorado, with the best chances of severe storm development
east of the line from Monument to Trinidad after 2 pm and lasting
well into the evening hours across the far southeast plains. Large
hail up to 2 inches in diameter along with winds gusts up to 70
mph are the main severe storm threats, with an isolated tornado
also possible.

Rains capable of producing flash flooding will be possible this
evening into the nighttime hours over the far southeast plains,
especially across Bent, Prowers, Kiowa and Baca counties as these
areas have seen heavy rains over the last few days.

Although storms will be more isolated and generally fast moving,
there remains a risk of flash flooding over the burn scars this
afternoon, if storms develop or move over the recent burn areas.
Burn scar flash flooding may also occur once again this evening
as thunderstorms are expected to re-develop along the southern
mountains as an outflow boundary interacts with the higher terrain
during the evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Easterly upslope flow and an upper disturbance across the region
will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms on Monday.
Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with the flash flood
threat elevated over area burn scars and areas that have seen
heavy rainfall over the past few days. In addition, lightning and
small hail will be possible. The greatest threat for heavier
rainfall will be over the Eastern Mountains.

Isolated thunderstorm activity is possible Tuesday afternoon over
the San Juan and southern Sangre de Cristo mountain ranges.
Lightning will be the primary threat.

Northwest flow aloft with embedded disturbances will lead to daily
afternoon and evening thunderstorms across the region Wednesday
through Saturday. Initial development will occur over the mountain
areas, spreading south and east during the evening hours. Locally
heavy rainfall will continue to be a main threat, especially for
burn scars and areas that are already saturated. Lightning, strong
wind gusts and small hail will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely this afternoon and tonight across the eastern mountains and
all of the southeast plains.

23/23

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 29, 10:09 AM MDT, 5 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1009 AM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NW COLORADO SPRINGS   38.85N 104.85W
07/29/2018  M0.67 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 STORM TOTAL.

&&

MW
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 1:36 PM MDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
136 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COZ081-084-085-292000-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
136 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TELLER AND
NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM MDT...

At 136 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Monument, or 16 miles north of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at
35 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado Springs, Woodland Park, Monument, Air Force Academy, Palmer
Lake, Black Forest, Peyton, Gleneagle, Falcon and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3904 10436 3876 10456 3902 10507 3913 10500
      3913 10475
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 297DEG 31KT 3906 10492

KT
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 2:09 PM MDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
209 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COZ084-085-292045-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
209 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY UNTIL 245
PM MDT...

At 209 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
eastern Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado Springs, Hanover, Black Forest, Ellicott, Schriever AFB,
Peterson AFB, Falcon and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 10489 3905 10475 3880 10424 3859 10442
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 308DEG 36KT 3888 10465

KT
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 2:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
230 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COZ081-082-085-292045-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
230 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN TELLER AND SOUTHWESTERN
EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM MDT...

At 229 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Cascade, or 9 miles west of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at 35
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado Springs, Manitou Springs, and Chipita Park.
LAT...LON 3885 10506 3894 10499 3884 10461 3866 10481
      3880 10493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 302DEG 30KT 3888 10499

28
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 2:50 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
250 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COZ067-068-070-071-292115-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft CO-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft CO-
250 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL RIO GRANDE AND
NORTH CENTRAL CONEJOS COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM MDT...

At 249 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles southwest of Monte Vista, or 29 miles west of Alamosa, moving
southeast at 25 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rural areas of south central Rio Grande county and northern Conejos
county.

LAT...LON 3740 10654 3753 10639 3732 10601 3712 10624
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 311DEG 23KT 3742 10640

28
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:58 PM MDT, 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
358 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

COZ081-085-086-292215-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
358 PM MDT SUN JUL 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO AND NORTH
CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

At 358 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fort Carson, or 8 miles south of Colorado Springs, moving southeast
at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Fort Carson, Stratmoor,
Security, and Widefield.

LAT...LON 3870 10492 3882 10475 3865 10448 3847 10473
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 318DEG 19KT 3871 10478

28

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 6:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent26 min
Jul 28, 6:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca35 min
Jul 28, 6:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca37 min
Jul 28, 7:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca19 min
Jul 28, 7:07 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca38 min
Jul 28, 7:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso33 min
Jul 28, 7:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca35 min
Jul 29, 4:00 AM MDTFlash Flood WatchPUBBaca, Bent, Kiowa, Prowers21 hr
Jul 29, 1:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso24 min
Jul 29, 2:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso36 min
Jul 29, 2:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso15 min
Jul 29, 2:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBConejos25 min
Jul 29, 3:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso17 min
Jul 29, 5:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano34 min
Jul 29, 5:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster27 min
Jul 29, 5:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas34 min
Jul 29, 5:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster13 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.