Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321

July 29, 201821 counties in Kansas; 16 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 29, 2018, 1:59 AM CDT for 21 counties in Kansas; 16 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2018, 1:59 AM CDT (06:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2018, 7:07 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Creek County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 3 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 2:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth30 min
Jul 29, 2:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Reno, Rice, Saline61 min
Jul 29, 2:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Woods, Woodward47 min
Jul 29, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, Kingman, Reno61 min
Jul 29, 3:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDDCPratt3 hr
Jul 29, 3:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, Reno, Sedgwick39 min
Jul 29, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Garfield, Grant, Major52 min
Jul 29, 4:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Grant, Kay, Noble49 min
Jul 29, 4:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee53 min
Jul 29, 5:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2018-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1797 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2018-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1797 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1480 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Gove, Graham, Logan, Norton, Rawlins and 2 more89 min
Jul 28, 11:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 12 more2 hr
Jul 29, 4:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Sedgwick and 1 more2 hr
Jul 29, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman59 min
Jul 29, 2:07 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGreeley, Sherman, Wallace8 hr
Jul 29, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Gove, Logan, Rawlins, Sheridan, Thomas and 1 more7 hr
Jul 29, 5:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Lane, Logan, Rawlins and 5 more53 min
Jul 29, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Sherman, Wallace67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.