Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 49, NWS Blacksburg, VA

October 11, 2018Campbell County, Charlotte County, Halifax County, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Oct 11, 2018, 6:32 PM EDT for Campbell County, Charlotte County, Halifax County, Virginia. It took effect at Oct 12, 2018, 4:20 AM EDT. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 6:32 PM EDT (22:32 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 12, 2018, 4:20 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 13, 2018, 9:22 PM EDT
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Campbell County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Halifax County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Roanoke River at Brookneal (BROV2).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
23 ft
Moderate stage
27 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02062500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

475 
WGUS41 KRNK 112232
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
632 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...
  Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane
Michael will cause rapid rises along the lower Roanoke (Staunton)
River and the Pigg River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC143-121031-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0048.181012T0337Z-181013T0329Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0337Z.181012T1200Z.181012T2129Z.UU/
1132 PM GMT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level
* from late tonight until late Friday night
* At 11PM Thursday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 22.1 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...Water reaches underside of Toshes Road 
  bridge (route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121031-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T1333Z-181014T0122Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T1333Z.181013T0000Z.181013T1322Z.NO/
632 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal
* from Friday morning until Saturday evening
* At 05PM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood Stage is 23.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast with a crest near 26 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.1 feet by tomorrow evening.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121031-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0050.181012T1926Z-181015T0454Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T1926Z.181013T1800Z.181014T1654Z.NO/
632 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph
* from Friday afternoon until late Sunday night
* At 05PM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast with a crest from 28 to 29 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.4 feet by Saturday early afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water starts to reach base of Randolph 
  Post Office.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

pc
5 follow-up statements
370 
WGUS41 KRNK 120252
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...Flooding Forecast Changed from Major to Moderate Severity
   for the following rivers in Virginia...
   
   Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke County...City of Roanoke...
   and City of Salem
   
...Moderate Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers in
Virginia...

   Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County
  
...Minor Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers in
Virginia...

   Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...
   Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
...Minor Severity Flooding for the following rivers in Virginia...

   Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
   Halifax Counties

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues to cause flooding along the Roanoke, Dan, and 
New River basins.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.3.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0600Z.181012T1845Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Roanoke River at Roanoke...
* until late Friday night.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.4 feet...and slowly rising.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. Moderate Flood Stage is 12.0 feet. Major
  Flood Stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND Major flooding is forecast. 
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 16.7 feet tonight
  then begin to fall around daybreak. The river is forecast to fall
  below flood stage Friday evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.181012T0610Z-181013T1218Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0610Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0618Z.UU/
352 AM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Pigg River at Sandy Level...
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 15.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 23.3 feet Friday evening. The river is forecast
  to fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Water begins to overtop Toshes Road bridge
  (Route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T1231Z-181013T2347Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T1231Z.181013T0000Z.181013T1147Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


* for the Roanoke River at Brookneal...
* until Saturday evening.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 19.0 feet...and rising 
  rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 23.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.9 feet Friday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 13 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.181012T0229Z-181016T0240Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0600Z.181015T1440Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Roanoke River at Randolph...
* until Monday evening.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 27.6 feet by Saturday morning...
  and then remain above flood through Sunday.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

RAB
222 
WGUS81 KRNK 120853
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...
 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania 
  County 


Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
&&

VAC121-155-750-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0246Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T2046Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will now steadily fall throughout the day. 
  It is expected to fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Dedman Center at Radford University 
  affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1538Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0338Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 
  feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1845Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until late tonight. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 14 and 15 feet this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T1218Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0618Z.UU/
953 AM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 15.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Water begins to overtop Toshes Road bridge
  (Route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T0820Z-181014T1900Z/
/BROV2.2.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181014T0700Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2 
  feet on Jan 26 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181017T0200Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T1800Z.181016T1400Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until Tuesday evening. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T1306Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0706Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 23.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181014T1521Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T0321Z.NR/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday morning. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 28 and 30 feet today, then begin falling
  tonight and Saturday, falling below flood stage early Sunday morning.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T1426Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0226Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T0842Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T0600Z.181015T2042Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Monday night. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 32 feet late tonight. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-120923-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181012T1805Z/
/ELKN7.2.ER.181011T1809Z.181011T2200Z.181012T0740Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* until this afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 17.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Impact...at 18.5 feet...Rockford Road near Rockford floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$
586 
WGUS81 KRNK 121615
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski Counties and 
  the City of Radford   
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and Summers 
  Counties 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...Pittsylvania 
  Counties and the City of Danville 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued late this evening.

&&

VAC121-155-750-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0057Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T1857Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...All of Dedman Center lower parking lots 
  are flooded.
* Flood history...The river crested at 23.8 feet at 230AM Friday, 
  October 12. This was the seventh highest crest on record and this 
  crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0 feet feet on Jan 15 1995. 
  More recently, the river crested at 21.1 feet on Jan 31 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1149Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1315Z.181012T2349Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...There is significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...The river crested at 19.5 feet around 9AM. This was the
  fifth highest crest on record and compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Oct 26 1918. More recently, the river crested at 18.1 feet
  on Feb 01 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121645-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1131Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 7.8 feet and falling. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Wiley Drive low water bridge is flooded.
* Flood History...The river crested at 16.4 feet around 510PM, 
  Thursday, Oct 11. This was the eighth highest crest on record and 
  compares to a previous crest of 15.6 feet on Feb 23 2003. 

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0853Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0253Z.UU/
515 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Water reaches Graves Bridge Rd. 
  (Route 990) downstream from gage.
* Flood history...The crest of 19.2 feet compares to a previous 
  crest of 19.5 feet Nov 4 1985. 

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1703Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0503Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...water floods low-lying fields and woods. 
* Flood history...The crest at 25.5 feet around 10AM compares to a 
  previous crest of 25.4 feet on Mar 28 1993. More recently the river 
  crested at 24.5 feet on May 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0800Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0600Z.181014T2000Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this evening.  
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25 feet...water is several feet deep on parts of
  River Road and Black Walnut Road. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 feet
  on Oct 24 1991. More recently, the river crested at 27.2 feet on 
  Feb 24 2003.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0307Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T2107Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 24.2 feet and was slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at a nearby home. Dan Valley Road and Water Street in Mayodan
  and Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison are flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 feet 
  on Sept 29 2004 when the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne crossed the area. 
  More recently, on Sep 18 2018, the river crested at 24.9 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0245Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1445Z.NR/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Sunday
  morning.
*Impact...at 25.5 feet...Major Flood Stage...several riverside industries
  close and numerous residences in the City of Danville are flooded. 
*Flood History...The crest of 30.0 feet around 10PM, Oct 11, was the highest 
  crest on record. The previous record was 28.6 feet on Sep 7 1996 caused 
  by the remnants of Hurricane Fran. More recently, the river crested at 
  25.3 feet on April 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T2149Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0949Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.2 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.3 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 29.1 feet on 
  April 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1152Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181015T2352Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by Saturday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.6 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 30.2 feet on 
  Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
002 
WGUS81 KRNK 121723
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...
  and Pittsylvania Counties and the City of Danville
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski Counties and City of 
  Radford  
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 

 Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued late this evening.

&&

VAC121-155-750-130057-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0057Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T1857Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 14.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Riverside parking lots are affected
* Flood history...The river crested at 23.8 feet at 230AM Friday, 
  October 12. This was the seventh highest crest on record and this 
  crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0 feet feet on Jan 15 1995. 
  More recently, the river crested at 21.1 feet on Jan 31 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130122-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1149Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1315Z.181012T2349Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 18.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...The river crested at 19.5 feet around 9AM, Oct 12. This was the
  fifth highest crest on record and compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Oct 26 1918. More recently, the river crested at 18.1 feet
  on Feb 01 2013.  

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC143-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0642Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1415Z.181013T0042Z.UU/
623 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 18.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage late this evening.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Water reaches Graves Bridge Rd. 
  (Route 990) downstream from gage.
* Flood history...The crest of 18.3 feet compares to a previous 
  crest of  18.5 feet on Jan 28 1998. More recently, the river 
  crested at 17.2 feet on Nov 10 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1545Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1245Z.181013T0345Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 25.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this evening.
* Flood history...The crest at 25.5 feet around 10AM, Oct 12 compares to a 
  previous crest of 25.4 feet on Mar 28 1993. More recently the river 
  crested at 24.5 feet on May 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0700Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0000Z.181014T1900Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.7 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.1 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water starts to reach base of Randolph 
  Post Office. At 25 feet...water is several feet deep on parts of
  River Road and Black Walnut Road. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 feet
  on Oct 24 1991. More recently, the river crested at 27.2 feet on 
  Feb 24 2003. 

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0540Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T2340Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until late Saturday night. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 24.2 feet and was near crest.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches the base 
  of deck at a nearby home. Dan Valley Road and Water Street in Mayodan
  and Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison are flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 feet 
  on Sept 29 2004 when the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne crossed the area. 
  More recently, on Sep 18 2018, the river crested at 24.9 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0600Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1800Z.NR/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 27.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday 
  early afternoon.
*Impact...at 25.5 feet...Major Flood Stage...several riverside industries
  close and numerous residences in the City of Danville are flooded. 
*Flood History...The crest of 30.0 feet around 10PM, Oct 11, was the highest 
  crest on record. The previous record was 28.6 feet on Sep 7 1996 caused 
  by the remnants of Hurricane Fran. More recently, the river crested at 
  25.3 feet on April 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181016T0035Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T1235Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.4 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.1 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.3 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 29.1 feet on 
  April 26 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1528Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181016T0328Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 12PM Friday the stage was 29.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by Saturday  
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday evening. 
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58. At 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.6 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 30.2 feet on 
  Apr 27 2017. 
&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
147 
WGUS81 KRNK 122135
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
535 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...
  Charlotte and Halifax Counties
 
Heavy rainfall fell across the area Wednesday and Thursday as a result of Hurricane Michael. River levels are beginning to fall, but flooding will
continue along the lower end of the New River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

&&

VAC143-122205-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0642Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1415Z.181012T1850Z.UU/
1035 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until further notice.
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 7.1 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage early this afternoon and
  is expected to remain below flood stage until further notice.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-122205-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1545Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1245Z.181012T2033Z.NO/
535 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until further notice.
* at 5 PM Friday the stage was 22.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river crested near 25.5 feet this morning shortly after
  daybreak...and started falling...falling below flood stage
  within just before 5 PM EDT Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Low-lying fields and woods are flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 22.3 
  feet on Feb 17 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130534-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0532Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181012T2045Z.181014T1732Z.NO/
535 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night or early Monday morning.
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 28.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* The river is expected to crest this evening near 28.5 feet...
  then is forecast to fall...falling below flood stage Sunday
  Night or early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water starts to reach base of Randolph 
  Post Office.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

RAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 11, 5:57 PM EDT, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 5:57 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
557 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Michael will pass southeast of the area by this
evening and offshore overnight bringing ongoing rain to an end.
Cooler high pressure builds in on Friday and lingers into the
weekend with drier weather expected.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 655 PM EDT Thursday...

Quick update to drop the tornado watch across the east given
that much of the area has slipped behind the cold front. Could
still see isolated stronger storms east of Lynchburg but think
the tornadic threat has diminished. Otherwise few changes to the
remainder of the headlines.

Previous discussion as of 210 PM EDT Thursday...

Michael will pass to the southeast by this evening and in
conjunction with a trailing cold front should shift deeper
moisture to the east and out of the area after sunset. Much
drier air following the front will surge in overnight resulting
in the advection of fallish type air by morning. Thus will keep
the trend in decreasing pops from southwest to northeast into
this evening before seeing things go dry by midnight. However
strong subsidence following Michael and behind the front will
result in a couple surges in north/northwest winds this evening,
and again overnight as gradient winds with the cool advection
rush in. Pressure rises remain impressive so expect gusts to
warning levels southwest and elsewhere mainly southern sections
just in the wake of the tropical system early this evening.
Otherwise leaving going wind headlines in place across the
region given wet soil conditions and potential to see trees
topple. Expect may be able to drop much of the flash flood watch
espcly west where currently tapering off but will hold off on
that until rain tapers off more. Expect drying to make for
clearing skies overnight although mixing likely to hold lows up
some with lows well into the 40s mountains and low/mid 50s east.

High pressure to nose in from the west as the upper flow
flattens. This should help to diminish the pressure gradient
during the afternoon with a very nice fall afternoon under
sunshine and crisp dewpoints in the 30s/40s. Continued cool
advection will help hold highs in the mid/upper 50s mountains to
60s Blue Ridge and around 70 piedmont where aided by downslope.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

High pressure will build in behind a weak cold front Friday night. This
will bring some showers to the Appalachians and central mid Atlantic
region into Saturday morning, followed by our first real taste of fall
this weekend. However the pattern will remain progressive and as the
high slides off to the east on Sunday, another frontal system will
approach from the west with some isentropic lift and bring some showers
back to the region on Sunday into Sunday night.

For the first time in a good while, temperatures will be a good bit
below normal. Expect high temperatures to be in the low to mid 60s east
of the Blue Ridge to the mid/upper 50s to the west. Lows will generally
be in the 40s with some 30s possible in the valleys west of the Ridge.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

The slow moving frontal boundary will move through the Appalachians and
central mid Atlantic region early next week with a good chance of
showers Monday into Tuesday. High pressure will then build in with fair
weather expected for the middle of next week.

Temperatures will trend down through the week and generally remain
below normal. Highs east of the Blue Ridge will go from the lower
70s on Monday to the middle 60s by Thursday, while readings west of
the Ridge go from the middle 60s to the upper 50s/near 60. Lows will
trend from the mid 50s east/upper 40s west to middle 40s east/near
40 west.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Thursday...

Poor flying conditions to persist through much of the afternoon
with some gradual improvement possible from west to east by this
evening as Michael and the attendant cold front move east.
This will allow rain bands to continue over the area this
afternoon with coverage decreasing over the mountains by mid
afternoon while increasing across eastern locations before
tapering off this evening.

Winds will shift around to the northwest and pick up this
afternoon with gusts 30 to 35 kts possible espcly near KDAN
this afternoon/evening

As we head toward 00z, will start to see drying out from the
southwest to northeast and expect all taf sites excluding
KBLF/KLWb to improve to VFR this evening with low clouds
lingering a while longer in the mountains.

Northwest winds will be quite strong overnight espcly mountains
where gusts to 40 kts could occur.

Strong northwest winds will be common Friday morning in the
mountains in the wake of Michael along with areas of mountain
turbulence. Otherwise looking at widespread VFR across the
region on Friday with winds diminishing during the afternoon.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower how strong winds are and clearing to VFR.

Extended Discussion...

Generally VFR anticipated over the weekend. Another front
arrives Monday with possible sub-VFR cigs/vsbys with showers.
Front should push to the southeast by Tuesday although sub-VFR
cigs may persist.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 225 PM EDT Thursday...

Heavy rain bands have now shifted east to along/east of the Blue
Ridge where another 2-5 inches could occur into early this
evening. Rain should gradually taper off to the west through the
rest of the afternoon with only light added amounts likely. Thus
will keep the going flash flood watch going for a while longer
over the west, and into tonight out east where heavy rain will
be slower to end.

This should allow things to transition from more of a flash
flood threat over the mountains to a flood or river flood
concern with flash flood potential lingering out east into the
evening.

The heavy rainfall of up to 6 inches in spots around Roanoke
since 9 am will push the Roanoke River into flood this evening
with high end moderate flooding along the Dan River into Friday
as well as along the New River at Radford. Flooding along the
Yadkin River will also occur.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>014-
     017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ009-012-
     015.
     Flash Flood Watch until 5 AM EDT Friday for VAZ013-014-016-017-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ015-016.
NC...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018-019.
     Flash Flood Watch until 5 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-020.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS
AVIATION...JH/PM/WP
HYDROLOGY...JH/WP
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 5:52 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NCZ019-VAZ012-122200-
Wilkes-Wythe-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-122200-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ016-122200-
Carroll-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ003-020-VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-043-122200-
Surry-Yadkin-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ023-024-034-035-045>047-122200-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ010-011-018-122200-
Bland-Giles-Craig-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ009-122200-
Smyth-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ004>006-VAZ044-058-122200-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ007-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-122200-
Tazewell-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition, periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected as
Michael moves by this afternoon. Localized flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ059-122200-
Charlotte-
552 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 11, 5:57 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
557 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WSW ROANOKE           37.26N 80.02W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF SALEM      VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BARNHARDT CREEK WAS FLOODED SEVERAL FEET OUT OF ITS BANK.
            WATER WAS FLOWING ACROSS CRAVENS CREEK ROAD AND WATER WAS
            ENTERING HOMES ALONG THE BANKS OF THE CREEK.

&&

16
Local storm report, Oct 11, 5:59 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
559 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUBLIN                  37.12N 80.70W
10/11/2018                   PULASKI            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEAK CREEK WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS AND RISING RAPIDLY NEAR
            COOL SPRINGS FOOTBALL FIELD AT RANDOLPH PARK.

&&

VJ
Local storm report, Oct 11, 6:02 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
602 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 SE FRIES              36.67N 80.92W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF GALAX      VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HEAVY RAIN RESULTED IN A DEBRIS FLOW ALONG EAST STUART
            DRIVE.

&&

16
Local storm report, Oct 11, 6:10 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
610 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE GALAX CITY        36.64N 80.91W
10/11/2018                   GRAYSON            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WARDS MILL BRANCH WAS FLOODED OUT OF ITS BANKS, AND WAS
            FLOWING SEVERAL INCHES DEEP OVER COAL CREEK ROAD.

&&

16
Local storm report, Oct 11, 6:12 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
612 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DANVILLE CITY           36.58N 79.42W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF DANVILLE   VA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ABOUT A DOZEN WATER RESCUES OF PEOPLE IN VEHICLES IN THE
            CITY, SOME IN SWIFT WATER, FROM ABOUT 430PM AND
            CONTINUING AS OF 6PM. MOST OF THESE ON RIVERSIDE DR.
            SHELTER OPENED UP FOR SOME OF THESE FOLKS.

&&

SK
Local storm report, Oct 11, 6:20 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
620 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AMHERST                 37.58N 79.05W
10/11/2018                   AMHERST            VA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY STARTING AROUND
            330PM AND REPORTS HAVE BEEN COMING IN ALL AFTERNOON.

&&

SK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax45 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKMontgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford42 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles48 hr
Oct 10, 11:05 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 12:30 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Giles, Pulaski, Wythe9 hr
Oct 11, 2:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBotetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington38 min
Oct 11, 2:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBotetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington29 min
Oct 11, 4:43 AM EDTWind AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 31 more30 hr
Oct 11, 7:26 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 9:22 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKBland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford6 hr
Oct 11, 10:01 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick6 hr
Oct 11, 10:50 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax13 hr
Oct 11, 10:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, Roanoke, City of Martinsville, City of Roanoke10 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville61 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax4 days
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax4 days
Oct 11, 11:27 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCity of Salem9 hr
Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 1:13 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKGrayson6 hr
Oct 11, 1:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Lynchburg12 hr
Oct 11, 1:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham, Charlotte, Halifax12 hr
Oct 11, 2:02 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem22 hr
Oct 11, 2:43 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville65 min
Oct 11, 3:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAmherst7 hr
Oct 11, 3:23 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCraig18 hr
Oct 11, 3:42 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville48 min
Oct 11, 3:57 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick3 hr
Oct 11, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville64 min
Oct 11, 4:14 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville6 hr
Oct 11, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania58 min
Oct 11, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham53 min
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania29 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax3 days
Oct 11, 6:47 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCarroll, City of Galax12 hr
Oct 11, 6:52 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick6 hr
Oct 11, 7:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKGiles3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.