River Flood Warning 47, NWS Blacksburg, VA

923 
WGUS41 KRNK 111857
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
257 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major Severity for the following 
rivers in Virginia...
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties

The rainfall from the remains of Michael have been extreme across 
parts of the Roanoke River basin with some rain gauges showing
4 to 6 inches since 800 AM this morning in Roanoke County. 
The rapid runoff from all the rain will drive stages along the
Roanoke to levels not seen since at least 2004 during Hurricane Jeanne.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-120656-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0047.181011T1848Z-181013T0701Z/
/RONV2.3.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0000Z.181012T1901Z.NO/
257 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until late Friday night
* At 02PM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by this 8 PM
this evening.
* This stage compares to a crest of 17.82 feet on Sept 27 2004.


&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

pc

843 
WGUS81 KRNK 112319
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
719 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River at Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 

The Roanoke River at Roanoke crested briefly within the past two
hours at a stage of 16.4 feet but a second crest at a slightly
higher stage is forecast to occur later tonight as water from the
upper watershed continues to runoff and move downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will by tomorrow morning or sooner
if conditions warrant.


&&

VAC161-770-775-120719-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0847Z/
/RONV2.3.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0600Z.181012T2047Z.NO/
719 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until late Friday night. 
* at 07PM Thursday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will have a second rise to near 17.4 feet by 
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage
  tomorrow afternoon.
* The initial crest of 16.4 feet is the highest stage since
  Sep 28 2004 when the river hit 17.8 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

pc

370 
WGUS41 KRNK 120252
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...Flooding Forecast Changed from Major to Moderate Severity
   for the following rivers in Virginia...
   
   Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke County...City of Roanoke...
   and City of Salem
   
...Moderate Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers in
Virginia...

   Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County
  
...Minor Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers in
Virginia...

   Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...
   Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
...Minor Severity Flooding for the following rivers in Virginia...

   Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
   Halifax Counties

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues to cause flooding along the Roanoke, Dan, and 
New River basins.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.3.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0600Z.181012T1845Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Roanoke River at Roanoke...
* until late Friday night.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.4 feet...and slowly rising.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. Moderate Flood Stage is 12.0 feet. Major
  Flood Stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND Major flooding is forecast. 
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 16.7 feet tonight
  then begin to fall around daybreak. The river is forecast to fall
  below flood stage Friday evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.181012T0610Z-181013T1218Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0610Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0618Z.UU/
352 AM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Pigg River at Sandy Level...
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 15.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 23.3 feet Friday evening. The river is forecast
  to fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Water begins to overtop Toshes Road bridge
  (Route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T1231Z-181013T2347Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T1231Z.181013T0000Z.181013T1147Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


* for the Roanoke River at Brookneal...
* until Saturday evening.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 19.0 feet...and rising 
  rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 23.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.9 feet Friday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 13 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121451-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.181012T0229Z-181016T0240Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0600Z.181015T1440Z.NO/
1052 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Roanoke River at Randolph...
* until Monday evening.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 27.6 feet by Saturday morning...
  and then remain above flood through Sunday.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

RAB

222 
WGUS81 KRNK 120853
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...
 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania 
  County 


Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
&&

VAC121-155-750-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0246Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T2046Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will now steadily fall throughout the day. 
  It is expected to fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Dedman Center at Radford University 
  affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1538Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0338Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 
  feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1845Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until late tonight. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 14 and 15 feet this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T1218Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0618Z.UU/
953 AM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 15.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Water begins to overtop Toshes Road bridge
  (Route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T0820Z-181014T1900Z/
/BROV2.2.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181014T0700Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2 
  feet on Jan 26 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181017T0200Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T1800Z.181016T1400Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until Tuesday evening. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T1306Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0706Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 23.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181014T1521Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T0321Z.NR/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday morning. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 28 and 30 feet today, then begin falling
  tonight and Saturday, falling below flood stage early Sunday morning.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T1426Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0226Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T0842Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T0600Z.181015T2042Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Monday night. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 32 feet late tonight. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-120923-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181012T1805Z/
/ELKN7.2.ER.181011T1809Z.181011T2200Z.181012T0740Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* until this afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 17.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Impact...at 18.5 feet...Rockford Road near Rockford floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$

586 
WGUS81 KRNK 121615
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski Counties and 
  the City of Radford   
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and Summers 
  Counties 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...Pittsylvania 
  Counties and the City of Danville 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued late this evening.

&&

VAC121-155-750-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0057Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T1857Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...All of Dedman Center lower parking lots 
  are flooded.
* Flood history...The river crested at 23.8 feet at 230AM Friday, 
  October 12. This was the seventh highest crest on record and this 
  crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0 feet feet on Jan 15 1995. 
  More recently, the river crested at 21.1 feet on Jan 31 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1149Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1315Z.181012T2349Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...There is significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...The river crested at 19.5 feet around 9AM. This was the
  fifth highest crest on record and compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Oct 26 1918. More recently, the river crested at 18.1 feet
  on Feb 01 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121645-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1131Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 7.8 feet and falling. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Wiley Drive low water bridge is flooded.
* Flood History...The river crested at 16.4 feet around 510PM, 
  Thursday, Oct 11. This was the eighth highest crest on record and 
  compares to a previous crest of 15.6 feet on Feb 23 2003. 

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0853Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0253Z.UU/
515 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Water reaches Graves Bridge Rd. 
  (Route 990) downstream from gage.
* Flood history...The crest of 19.2 feet compares to a previous 
  crest of 19.5 feet Nov 4 1985. 

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1703Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0503Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...water floods low-lying fields and woods. 
* Flood history...The crest at 25.5 feet around 10AM compares to a 
  previous crest of 25.4 feet on Mar 28 1993. More recently the river 
  crested at 24.5 feet on May 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0800Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0600Z.181014T2000Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this evening.  
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25 feet...water is several feet deep on parts of
  River Road and Black Walnut Road. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 feet
  on Oct 24 1991. More recently, the river crested at 27.2 feet on 
  Feb 24 2003.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0307Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T2107Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 24.2 feet and was slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at a nearby home. Dan Valley Road and Water Street in Mayodan
  and Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison are flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 feet 
  on Sept 29 2004 when the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne crossed the area. 
  More recently, on Sep 18 2018, the river crested at 24.9 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0245Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1445Z.NR/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Sunday
  morning.
*Impact...at 25.5 feet...Major Flood Stage...several riverside industries
  close and numerous residences in the City of Danville are flooded. 
*Flood History...The crest of 30.0 feet around 10PM, Oct 11, was the highest 
  crest on record. The previous record was 28.6 feet on Sep 7 1996 caused 
  by the remnants of Hurricane Fran. More recently, the river crested at 
  25.3 feet on April 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T2149Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0949Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.2 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.3 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 29.1 feet on 
  April 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1152Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181015T2352Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by Saturday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.6 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 30.2 feet on 
  Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1231 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Michael will move across the central Carolinas
later this afternoon then off the Virginia coast tonight.
Cooler high pressure builds in on Friday and lingering into the
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1045 AM EDT Thursday...

Based on reports of trees already being toppled due to the
onset of winds across the ridges will go ahead and start the
wind headline products now. This also includes an upgrade to a
high wind warning across a few southwest counties with an
advisory over the remainder of the region into early Friday.
Some short term models really ramp up the winds on back of
Michael this afternoon as the front interacts so expecting a
jump in speeds soon. No other changes for now.

Previous update as of 1000 AM EDT Thursday...

Heaviest rainfall continues across the western sections associated
with banding to the north of Michael and within convergence
into the surface cold front now along the Appalachians. Latest
short term models gradually shift bands east as the front to the
west also starts to undercut via winds becoming more north to
northwest from west to east this afternoon. This should act to
decrease rainfall rates over the mountains early this afternoon
while heavier rain heads into the piedmont sections before
exiting by sunset. However given efficiency of the tropical
rainfall, bumped up QPF amounts over the west to start and a bit
over the southeast where guidance shows a period of stronger
lift before deeper moisture exits. Other concern could be with
isolated spinup tors far southeast pending the degree of any
heating and given appearance of lightning in spots added more
thunder mention southeast. Otherwise winds remain elevated and
given that are not seeing much mix down will keep the wind
advisory timing going for this afternoon with adjustments likely
needed later to cover the post Michael gustiness. Left temps
close to previous with only a slow rise into the 70s expected.

Also tornado watch 409 until 9 pm just issued for a few eastern
counties.

Previous discussion as of 300 AM EDT Thursday..

High confidence forecast for flooding and wind threat.

Looking at another busy day as TS Michael tracks from eastern GA to
central NC by mid afternoon, then off the VA Tidewater by midnight.

We currently are in a holding pattern in terms of moderate to heavy
rainfall, although scattered showers are still moving from south to
north across the forecast area, especially over the
mountains/adjacent foothills.

Regional radar showing northern edge of rain band with Michael
pushing into Southwest NC. There is also a ribbon of rainfall from
eastern Ohio south into the Smokies associated with a front.

Higher-resolution models showing the moderate to heavier bands from
Michael reaching our NC mountains by 6am, then progressing northeast
into southern VA by mid morning, while frontal forcing moves a band
of showers into the WV mountains by mid-late morning as well.
Tropical moisture/higher PWATs stay along/east of the Blue Ridge,
and per coordination with WPC will see higher rainfall set up
along/east of the Blue Ridge with another 2 to 5+ inches expected
today into this evening, with the higher amounts in southside VA
into the NC piedmont. West of the Blue Ridge amounts will stay
mostly under 2 inches. Given where it rained hardest yesterday with
flooding, will keep the flash flood watches in the mountains to
account for the fact that not much rain will likely lead to more
flooding.

We will see the rain shield exit the mountains by mid-late afternoon
and the piedmont this evening.

Winds though sub-tropical storm force will gust as high as 40
mph at times today across the southern half of the CWA. With wet
ground it will not take as much wind to down trees, and thus
possibly create issues with power outages. Therefore, wind
advisories have been posted for the southern half of the CWA for
this afternoon into Friday morning. Post storm gradient and
pressure rises will keep winds gusty into Friday morning along
the Blue Ridge.

Another issue to watch later this morning into the afternoon will be
for isolated spin-up  tornadoes. SPC has a marginal risk in the
piedmont but confidence is low, per lack of decent banding features
so far. However, not out of the question to see some, as models
depict 200-300 SRH in the 0-2km layer pushing across the NC piedmont
into southside VA by 18z, then weakening after 21z. Will highlight
this in the HWO.

As we head through the night tonight, dewpoints will drop off into
the 40s. You will definitely notice a change when you head out the
door Friday morning.

As for temps did not go too warm today given clouds and rain, so
basically tacked on 5-8 degrees to lows this morning with highs
ranging from the mid 60s to around 70 in the west, to mid to upper
70s.

Expect cooler lows tonight, with 40s in the mountain to 50s east.
Wet ground and mixing may keep temps from falling as far as they
could.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...

Remnants of Hurricane Michael will be tracking off the northeast
coast while high pressure covers the forecast area. Cooler drier air
will grace the area as Friday's highs will range from the upper 50s
to lower 60s across the mountains to the upper 60s to lower 70s east
of the Blue Ridge.

A northern stream disturbance will track across the Ohio Valley
Friday night into Saturday morning. This system will bring a chance
for showers, mainly across southeastern West Virginia. A cold front
will follow this disturbance keeping temperatures cool with
Saturday's highs in the 50s across the mountains to 60s east. High
pressure will bring a re-enforcing shot of cooler air Saturday night
with a few mountain locations dropping into the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

October finally feels like, October.

A large scale upper trough is forecast to reside over the
eastern 2/3rds of the country the entire week, amplifying by
mid-week as series of short waves digging south from Canada
resulting in a fairly extensive cold intrusion to much of the
central and eastern CONUS. Model consensus is for some
unseasonably cold air (yep summer to winter) to overtake areas
which were basking in unseasonable warmth, and in some cases
extreme enough to permit the frozen form of precipitation across
the upper Mid-West and Great Lakes into parts of New England
where 850 mb temps plunge low enough to support snow.

For the central Mid-Atlantic it will certainly feel like
October, if not favor some November sort of temperatures which
would be permissible for frost formation for parts of the
forecast area...especially the mountain valleys. Precipitation
chances appear somewhat limited, but there will be opportunities
for showers associated with each passing shortwave trough,
Monday favoring a day for showers, and then again toward mid
week. Monday might actually turn out to be a little wetter than
forecast, models trending toward some over-running associated
with a frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Thursday...

Poor flying conditions to persist through much of the afternoon
with some gradual improvement possible from west to east by this
evening as Michael and the attendant cold front move east.
This will allow rain bands to continue over the area this
afternoon with coverage decreasing over the mountains by mid
afternoon while increasing across eastern locations before
tapering off this evening.

Winds will shift around to the northwest and pick up this
afternoon with gusts 30 to 35 kts possible espcly near KDAN
this afternoon/evening

As we head toward 00z, will start to see drying out from the
southwest to northeast and expect all taf sites excluding
KBLF/KLWb to improve to VFR this evening with low clouds
lingering a while longer in the mountains.

Northwest winds will be quite strong overnight espcly mountains
where gusts to 40 kts could occur.

Strong northwest winds will be common Friday morning in the
mountains in the wake of Michael along with areas of mountain
turbulence. Otherwise looking at widespread VFR across the
region on Friday with winds diminishing during the afternoon.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower how strong winds are and clearing to VFR.

Extended Discussion...

Generally VFR anticipated over the weekend. Another front
arrives Monday with possible sub-VFR cigs/vsbys with showers.
Front should push to the southeast by Tuesday although sub-VFR
cigs may persist.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 450 AM Thursday...

3 to 7 inches of rain fell across upper portions of the New
River basin Wednesday afternoon/evening. As Michael moves in
with another 1 to 3 inches of rain in this basin, plus 2 to 6
inches across the Dan River, some river flooding is possible.

In the near term, convective elements with tropical moisture
with PWATS at records highs (as 06z sounding showing 1.88" at
RNK and normally we should be at 0.69" for October 11th), will
lead to flash flooding threat over the southern half of the
forecast area.

As we work into the afternoon and after the rain ends, main stem
rivers will already be responding. Some minor flooding, possibly
moderate flooding along the New River and Dan River is likely.

As for other rivers, such as the Yadkin and Roanoke, will see
how much occurs in the headwaters and downstream and gage that
this afternoon for flood potential.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>014-
     017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ009-012-
     015.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ013-014-016-017-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ015-016.
NC...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018-019.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ003>006-020.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AL/WP
NEAR TERM...JH/WP
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...JH/PM/WP
HYDROLOGY...JH/PM/WP

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NCZ019-VAZ012-121500-
Wilkes-Wythe-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-121500-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ016-121500-
Carroll-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ003-020-VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-043-121500-
Surry-Yadkin-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ034-035-045>047-121500-
Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ023-024-121500-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ010-011-018-121500-
Bland-Giles-Craig-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ009-121500-
Smyth-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-121500-
Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ004-121500-
Stokes-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ007-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-121500-
Tazewell-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition, periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected as
Michael moves by this afternoon. Localized flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ059-121500-
Charlotte-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
136 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0111 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 SE FRIES              36.67N 80.92W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF GALAX      VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MUDSLIDE HAS CLOSED BOTH LANES OF EAST STUART DRIVE
            BETWEEN GLENDALE RD AND MEADOW ST. CREWS WORKING TO OPEN
            ROAD.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
138 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROANOKE                 37.28N 79.96W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF ROANOKE    VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ROANOKE FIREMAN REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED
            IN ROANOKE, INCLUDING PARTS OF 24TH ST AND COLONIAL
            AVENUE.

&&

LOCONTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
139 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S EAST BEND           36.16N 80.51W
10/11/2018                   YADKIN             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            LOGAN CREEK FLOWING ACROSS BLINKLEY AND BALTIMORE ROADS.
            ROADS ARE CLOSED.

&&

BMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
145 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE FANCY GAP          36.70N 80.66W
10/11/2018                   CARROLL            VA   PUBLIC

            GREENBERRY RD AT LITTLE SNAKE CREEK NEAR FANCY GAP
            FLOODED AS REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

SK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
148 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ENE GLADE VALLEY      36.50N 81.00W
10/11/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SCENIC VALLEY RD BRIDGE OVER BRUSH CREEK COMPLETELY
            UNDERWATER WITH DEBRIS FLOATING OVER IT.

&&

SK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
159 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE PULASKI            37.04N 80.79W
10/11/2018                   PULASKI            VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TOWN OF PULASKI EMS REPORTS CRESCENT ST IN PULASKI IS CUT
            OFF AS SWOLLEN PEAK CREEK IS WASHING OVER THE STREET.
            ALSO REPORTED THAT WATER IS APPROACHING BASEMENTS ALONG
            PEAK CREEK IN PULASKI.

&&

LOCONTO