Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 129, NWS Blacksburg, VA

October 11, 2018Amherst County, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this flash flood warning at Oct 11, 2018, 3:19 PM EDT for Amherst County, Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 11, 2018, 3:19 PM EDT (19:19 UTC)
Expired: Oct 11, 2018, 10:39 PM EDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Amherst County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

349 
WGUS51 KRNK 111919
FFWRNK
VAC009-120315-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FF.W.0129.181011T1919Z-181012T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
319 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in BLACKSBURG has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Amherst County in central Virginia...

* Until 1115 PM EDT Thursday

* At 319 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain moving into the 
  warned area from the south. This will create saturated conditions 
  for later this afternoon into the evening when the outer 
  circulation of Tropical Storm Michael interacts with a frontal 
  boundary approaching from the west. Up to one inch of rain has 
  already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly and 
  continue into the evening hours.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Amherst...
  Forks Of Buffalo...
  Clifford...
  Madison Heights...
  and Snowden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 7907 3771 7906 3770 7899 3755 7890
      3754 7887 3750 7892 3750 7895 3743 7902
      3742 7907 3739 7907 3740 7912 3751 7922
      3751 7934 3759 7938 3761 7944 3766 7935
      3779 7927 3781 7923 3779 7920 3781 7914

$$

JR

3 follow-up statements

737 
WGUS71 KRNK 112132
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC009-120315-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181012T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Amherst VA-
532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR 
AMHERST COUNTY...

At 529 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area. Law enforcement reported that there was already standing water 
on many roads. Up to one inch of rain has already fallen and more 
heavy rain is expected to fall in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Amherst...
Forks Of Buffalo...
Clifford...
Madison Heights...
and Snowden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 7907 3771 7906 3770 7899 3755 7890
      3754 7887 3750 7892 3750 7895 3743 7902
      3742 7907 3739 7907 3740 7912 3751 7922
      3751 7934 3759 7938 3761 7944 3766 7935
      3779 7927 3781 7923 3779 7920 3781 7914

$$

JR

232 
WGUS71 KRNK 112243
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
643 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC009-120315-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181012T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Amherst VA-
643 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR 
AMHERST COUNTY...

At 641 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area. Law enforcement reported that there was already standing water 
on many roads. Up to two inches of rain has already fallen and more 
heavy rain is expected to fall in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Amherst...
Forks Of Buffalo...
Clifford...
Madison Heights...
and Snowden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 7907 3771 7906 3770 7899 3755 7890
      3754 7887 3750 7892 3750 7895 3743 7902
      3742 7907 3739 7907 3740 7912 3751 7922
      3751 7934 3759 7938 3761 7944 3766 7935
      3779 7927 3781 7923 3779 7920 3781 7914

$$

KK

231 
WGUS71 KRNK 120239
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1039 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC009-120243-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181012T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Amherst VA-
1039 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR AMHERST COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters are slowly receding across 
the area. An areal flood warning has been issued for this region. 
Runoff from the heavy rains have caused several creeks and streams 
to go out of their banks. Please continue to heed any remaining road 
closures.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3778 7907 3771 7906 3770 7899 3755 7890
      3754 7887 3750 7892 3750 7895 3743 7902
      3742 7907 3739 7907 3740 7912 3751 7922
      3751 7934 3759 7938 3761 7944 3766 7935
      3779 7927 3781 7923 3779 7920 3781 7914

$$

KK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 11, 2:27 PM EDT, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 2:27 PM EDT, 52 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
227 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Michael will pass southeast of the area by this
evening and offshore overnight bringing ongoing rain to an end.
Cooler high pressure builds in on Friday and lingers into the
weekend with drier weather expected.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 210 PM EDT Thursday...

Michael will pass to the southeast by this evening and in
conjunction with a trailing cold front should shift deeper
moisture to the east and out of the area after sunset. Much
drier air following the front will surge in overnight resulting
in the advection of fallish type air by morning. Thus will keep
the trend in decreasing pops from southwest to northeast into
this evening before seeing things go dry by midnight. However
strong subsidence following Michael and behind the front will
result in a couple surges in north/northwest winds this evening,
and again overnight as gradient winds with the cool advection
rush in. Pressure rises remain impressive so expect gusts to
warning levels southwest and elsewhere mainly southern sections
just in the wake of the tropical system early this evening.
Otherwise leaving going wind headlines in place across the
region given wet soil conditions and potential to see trees
topple. Expect may be able to drop much of the flash flood watch
espcly west where currently tapering off but will hold off on
that until rain tapers off more. Expect drying to make for
clearing skies overnight although mixing likely to hold lows up
some with lows well into the 40s mountains and low/mid 50s east.

High pressure to nose in from the west as the upper flow
flattens. This should help to diminish the pressure gradient
during the afternoon with a very nice fall afternoon under
sunshine and crisp dewpoints in the 30s/40s. Continued cool
advection will help hold highs in the mid/upper 50s mountains to
60s Blue Ridge and around 70 piedmont where aided by downslope.
&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

High pressure will build in behind a weak cold front Friday night. This
will bring some showers to the Appalachians and central mid Atlantic
region into Saturday morning, followed by our first real taste of fall
this weekend. However the pattern will remain progressive and as the
high slides off to the east on Sunday, another frontal system will
approach from the west with some isentropic lift and bring some showers
back to the region on Sunday into Sunday night.

For the first time in a good while, temperatures will be a good bit
below normal. Expect high temperatures to be in the low to mid 60s east
of the Blue Ridge to the mid/upper 50s to the west. Lows will generally
be in the 40s with some 30s possible in the valleys west of the Ridge.
&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 300 PM EDT Thursday...

The slow moving frontal boundary will move through the Appalachians and
central mid Atlantic region early next week with a good chance of
showers Monday into Tuesday. High pressure will then build in with fair
weather expected for the middle of next week.

Temperatures will trend down through the week and generally remain
below normal. Highs east of the Blue Ridge will go from the lower
70s on Monday to the middle 60s by Thursday, while readings west of
the Ridge go from the middle 60s to the upper 50s/near 60. Lows will
trend from the mid 50s east/upper 40s west to middle 40s east/near
40 west.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Thursday...

Poor flying conditions to persist through much of the afternoon
with some gradual improvement possible from west to east by this
evening as Michael and the attendant cold front move east.
This will allow rain bands to continue over the area this
afternoon with coverage decreasing over the mountains by mid
afternoon while increasing across eastern locations before
tapering off this evening.

Winds will shift around to the northwest and pick up this
afternoon with gusts 30 to 35 kts possible espcly near KDAN
this afternoon/evening

As we head toward 00z, will start to see drying out from the
southwest to northeast and expect all taf sites excluding
KBLF/KLWb to improve to VFR this evening with low clouds
lingering a while longer in the mountains.

Northwest winds will be quite strong overnight espcly mountains
where gusts to 40 kts could occur.

Strong northwest winds will be common Friday morning in the
mountains in the wake of Michael along with areas of mountain
turbulence. Otherwise looking at widespread VFR across the
region on Friday with winds diminishing during the afternoon.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower how strong winds are and clearing to VFR.

Extended Discussion...

Generally VFR anticipated over the weekend. Another front
arrives Monday with possible sub-VFR cigs/vsbys with showers.
Front should push to the southeast by Tuesday although sub-VFR
cigs may persist.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 225 PM EDT Thursday...

Heavy rain bands have now shifted east to along/east of the Blue
Ridge where another 2-5 inches could occur into early this
evening. Rain should gradually taper off to the west through the
rest of the afternoon with only light added amounts likely. Thus
will keep the going flash flood watch going for a while longer
over the west, and into tonight out east where heavy rain will
be slower to end.

This should allow things to transition from more of a flash
flood threat over the mountains to a flood or river flood
concern with flash flood potential lingering out east into the
evening.

The heavy rainfall of up to 6 inches in spots around Roanoke
since 9 am will push the Roanoke River into flood this evening
with high end moderate flooding along the Dan River into Friday
as well as along the New River at Radford. Flooding along the
Yadkin River will also occur.
&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>014-
     017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ009-012-
     015.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ013-014-016-017-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ015-016.
NC...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018-019.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ003>006-020.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS
AVIATION...JH/PM/WP
HYDROLOGY...JH/WP

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 10:53 AM EDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NCZ019-VAZ012-121500-
Wilkes-Wythe-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-121500-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ016-121500-
Carroll-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ003-020-VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-043-121500-
Surry-Yadkin-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ034-035-045>047-121500-
Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ023-024-121500-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ010-011-018-121500-
Bland-Giles-Craig-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ009-121500-
Smyth-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-121500-
Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ004-121500-
Stokes-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ007-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-121500-
Tazewell-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition, periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected as
Michael moves by this afternoon. Localized flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ059-121500-
Charlotte-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 11, 2:43 PM EDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
243 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW STEWARTSVILLE     37.28N 79.84W
10/11/2018  M52.00 MPH       BEDFORD            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN AND MEASURED 52 MPH WIND GUST ON
            HAZELWOOD TERRACE.

&&

SK

Local storm report, Oct 11, 2:55 PM EDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
255 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE FANCY GAP          36.68N 80.68W
10/11/2018                   CARROLL            VA   911 CALL CENTER

            A SMALL CREEK ALONG FISHER ROAD FLOODED RAPIDLY, FORCING
            THE EVACUATION OF 13 CHILDREN FROM A DAYCARE CENTER.

&&

16

Local storm report, Oct 11, 2:57 PM EDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
257 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WALNUT COVE             36.29N 80.14W
10/11/2018                   STOKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE ROADS BEING CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ACROSS THE
            COUNTY, INCLUDING WALNUT COVE AND KING AREAS. FIRST
            REPORTS CAME IN JUST BEFORE 230PM.

&&

SK

Local storm report, Oct 11, 3:12 PM EDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
312 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 PM     FLASH FLOOD      YADKINVILLE             36.06N 80.61W
10/11/2018                   YADKIN             NC   PUBLIC

            COURTNEY HUNTSVILLE ROAD CLOSED BY FLOODING BETWEEN
            WISHON ROAD AND COURTNEY CHURCH ROAD.

&&

VJ

Local storm report, Oct 11, 3:13 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
313 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NNW FRIES             36.77N 80.99W
10/11/2018                   CARROLL            VA   PUBLIC

            BRUSH CREEK NEAR IVANHOE ROAD IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS,
            WITH WATER ENTERING NEARBY HOMES, FORCING EVACUATIONS.

&&

16

Local storm report, Oct 11, 3:17 PM EDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
317 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STONEVILLE              36.47N 79.91W
10/11/2018                   ROCKINGHAM         NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUE UNDERWAY ON STONEVILLE RD NEAR STONEVILLE
            AND COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORT AS MANY AS 10 ROADS CLOSED
            DUE TO FLOODING ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

SK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Carroll, Grayson, City of Galax	45 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Montgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford	42 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Giles	48 hr
Oct 10, 11:05 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Carroll, Grayson, City of Galax	6 hr
Oct 11, 12:30 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Bland, Giles, Pulaski, Wythe	9 hr
Oct 11, 2:22 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington	38 min
Oct 11, 2:31 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington	29 min
Oct 11, 4:43 AM EDT	Wind Advisory	RNK	Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 31 more	30 hr
Oct 11, 7:26 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Carroll, Grayson, City of Galax	6 hr
Oct 11, 9:22 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Bland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford	6 hr
Oct 11, 10:01 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Floyd, Montgomery, Patrick	6 hr
Oct 11, 10:50 AM EDT	High Wind Warning	RNK	Carroll, Grayson, City of Galax	13 hr
Oct 11, 10:59 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Franklin, Henry, Roanoke, City of Martinsville, City of Roanoke	10 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Pittsylvania, City of Danville	61 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Halifax	4 days
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Halifax	4 days
Oct 11, 11:27 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	City of Salem	9 hr
Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Carroll, City of Galax	6 hr
Oct 11, 1:13 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Grayson	6 hr
Oct 11, 1:38 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Bedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Lynchburg	12 hr
Oct 11, 1:43 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Appomattox, Buckingham, Charlotte, Halifax	12 hr
Oct 11, 2:02 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem	22 hr
Oct 11, 2:43 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	RNK	Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem	6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Bland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford	6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville	65 min
Oct 11, 3:23 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Craig	18 hr
Oct 11, 3:42 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RNK	Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville	48 min
Oct 11, 3:57 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Floyd, Montgomery, Patrick	3 hr
Oct 11, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville	64 min
Oct 11, 4:14 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	RNK	Pittsylvania, City of Danville	6 hr
Oct 11, 4:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Appomattox, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania	58 min
Oct 11, 4:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Buckingham	53 min
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Pittsylvania	29 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax	51 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	RNK	Charlotte, Halifax	3 days
Oct 11, 6:47 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Carroll, City of Galax	12 hr
Oct 11, 6:52 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Floyd, Montgomery, Patrick	6 hr
Oct 11, 7:10 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RNK	Giles	3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2018 Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.