Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 126, NWS Blacksburg, VA

October 11, 20184 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this flash flood warning at Oct 11, 2018, 1:43 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 12 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 1:43 PM EDT (17:43 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2018, 1:45 AM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Appomattox County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Halifax County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 11, 4:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 S Appomattox, VAPURDUMS BRANCH WAS SEVERAL FEET OUT OF ITS BANKS, WITH WATER OBSERVED ENTERING APARTMENTS ALONG RED HOUSE ROAD.
Oct 11, 4:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 E Mt Airy, VAFLOODING ALONG BRUSH CREEK HAS COMPLETELY WASHED OUT PUMPING HILL ROAD NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF NATHALIE.
Oct 11, 7:17 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 E Centenary, VASHARPS CREEK LEFT ITS BANKS, CROSSED DIANA MILL ROAD, AND WASHED A VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANT DOWNSTREAM. OFFICIALS PERFORMED A WATER RESCUE.
Oct 11, 8:23 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Ne Wingina, VAVERY HEAVY RAIN CAUSED A ROADWAY TO BE WASHED OUT NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SYCAMORE CREEK ROAD AND WOODLAND CHURCH ROAD.
Oct 11, 9:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 Ene Charlotte Court H, VA*** 2 FATAL *** SEVERAL SWIFT WATER RESCUES ACROSS THE COUNTY DURING THE EVENING AND INTO OVERNIGHT, BUT AT MT HARMONY RD WHERE IT CROSSES SPENCER CREEK A VEHICLE WITH 3 OCCUPANTS WAS OVERTAKEN BY FLOOD WATERS AROUND 9PM. ONE PERSON WAS RESCUED BUT THE OTHER T

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 137 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 147 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

129 
WGUS51 KRNK 111743
FFWRNK
VAC011-029-037-083-120545-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FF.W.0126.181011T1743Z-181012T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
143 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in BLACKSBURG has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Appomattox County in central Virginia...
  Charlotte County in south central Virginia...
  Halifax County in south central Virginia...
  Buckingham County in central Virginia...

* Until 145 AM EDT Friday

* At 139 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain moving into the 
  warned area from the south. This will create saturated conditions 
  for later this afternoon into the evening when the outer 
  circulation of Tropical Storm Michael interacts with a frontal 
  boundary approaching from the west. Up to one inch of rain has 
  already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly and 
  continue into the evening hours.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Buckingham...
  South Boston...
  Appomattox...
  Halifax...
  and Keysville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 7846 3740 7859 3723 7869 3708 7844
      3689 7849 3670 7865 3663 7855 3669 7868
      3654 7873 3654 7922 3706 7909 3702 7891
      3720 7882 3725 7892 3744 7901 3754 7882
      3763 7882 3764 7872 3780 7849 3769 7824

$$

JR
2 follow-up statements
484 
WGUS71 KRNK 120047
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
847 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC011-029-037-083-120545-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0126.000000T0000Z-181012T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Appomattox VA-Charlotte VA-Halifax VA-Buckingham VA-
847 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM EDT FOR 
APPOMATTOX...CHARLOTTE...HALIFAX AND BUCKINGHAM COUNTIES...

At 844 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned
area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding 
will continue. The Slate river near Arvonia is at 13.8 feet and out 
of its banks and flooding. Watch for flooding along Randolph creek. 

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Buckingham...
South Boston...
Appomattox...
Halifax...
and Keysville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 7846 3740 7859 3723 7869 3708 7844
      3689 7849 3670 7865 3663 7855 3669 7868
      3654 7873 3654 7922 3706 7909 3702 7891
      3720 7882 3725 7892 3744 7901 3754 7882
      3763 7882 3764 7872 3780 7849 3769 7824

$$

KK
418 
WGUS71 KRNK 120543
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
143 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2018

VAC011-029-037-083-120552-
/O.EXP.KRNK.FF.W.0126.000000T0000Z-181012T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Appomattox VA-Charlotte VA-Halifax VA-Buckingham VA-
143 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR 
APPOMATTOX...CHARLOTTE...HALIFAX AND BUCKINGHAM COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE
AT 145 AM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding has transitioned into
general areal flooding, which will continue for several hours
into Friday morning.  As a result, the Flash Flood Warning for this
area has been allowed to expire and will instead be replaced with an
areal flood warning.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3734 7846 3740 7859 3723 7869 3708 7844
      3689 7849 3670 7865 3663 7855 3669 7868
      3654 7873 3654 7922 3706 7909 3702 7891
      3720 7882 3725 7892 3744 7901 3754 7882
      3763 7882 3764 7872 3780 7849 3769 7824

$$

RAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 11, 12:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 12:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1231 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Michael will move across the central Carolinas
later this afternoon then off the Virginia coast tonight.
Cooler high pressure builds in on Friday and lingering into the
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1045 AM EDT Thursday...

Based on reports of trees already being toppled due to the
onset of winds across the ridges will go ahead and start the
wind headline products now. This also includes an upgrade to a
high wind warning across a few southwest counties with an
advisory over the remainder of the region into early Friday.
Some short term models really ramp up the winds on back of
Michael this afternoon as the front interacts so expecting a
jump in speeds soon. No other changes for now.

Previous update as of 1000 AM EDT Thursday...

Heaviest rainfall continues across the western sections associated
with banding to the north of Michael and within convergence
into the surface cold front now along the Appalachians. Latest
short term models gradually shift bands east as the front to the
west also starts to undercut via winds becoming more north to
northwest from west to east this afternoon. This should act to
decrease rainfall rates over the mountains early this afternoon
while heavier rain heads into the piedmont sections before
exiting by sunset. However given efficiency of the tropical
rainfall, bumped up QPF amounts over the west to start and a bit
over the southeast where guidance shows a period of stronger
lift before deeper moisture exits. Other concern could be with
isolated spinup tors far southeast pending the degree of any
heating and given appearance of lightning in spots added more
thunder mention southeast. Otherwise winds remain elevated and
given that are not seeing much mix down will keep the wind
advisory timing going for this afternoon with adjustments likely
needed later to cover the post Michael gustiness. Left temps
close to previous with only a slow rise into the 70s expected.

Also tornado watch 409 until 9 pm just issued for a few eastern
counties.

Previous discussion as of 300 AM EDT Thursday..

High confidence forecast for flooding and wind threat.

Looking at another busy day as TS Michael tracks from eastern GA to
central NC by mid afternoon, then off the VA Tidewater by midnight.

We currently are in a holding pattern in terms of moderate to heavy
rainfall, although scattered showers are still moving from south to
north across the forecast area, especially over the
mountains/adjacent foothills.

Regional radar showing northern edge of rain band with Michael
pushing into Southwest NC. There is also a ribbon of rainfall from
eastern Ohio south into the Smokies associated with a front.

Higher-resolution models showing the moderate to heavier bands from
Michael reaching our NC mountains by 6am, then progressing northeast
into southern VA by mid morning, while frontal forcing moves a band
of showers into the WV mountains by mid-late morning as well.
Tropical moisture/higher PWATs stay along/east of the Blue Ridge,
and per coordination with WPC will see higher rainfall set up
along/east of the Blue Ridge with another 2 to 5+ inches expected
today into this evening, with the higher amounts in southside VA
into the NC piedmont. West of the Blue Ridge amounts will stay
mostly under 2 inches. Given where it rained hardest yesterday with
flooding, will keep the flash flood watches in the mountains to
account for the fact that not much rain will likely lead to more
flooding.

We will see the rain shield exit the mountains by mid-late afternoon
and the piedmont this evening.

Winds though sub-tropical storm force will gust as high as 40
mph at times today across the southern half of the CWA. With wet
ground it will not take as much wind to down trees, and thus
possibly create issues with power outages. Therefore, wind
advisories have been posted for the southern half of the CWA for
this afternoon into Friday morning. Post storm gradient and
pressure rises will keep winds gusty into Friday morning along
the Blue Ridge.

Another issue to watch later this morning into the afternoon will be
for isolated spin-up  tornadoes. SPC has a marginal risk in the
piedmont but confidence is low, per lack of decent banding features
so far. However, not out of the question to see some, as models
depict 200-300 SRH in the 0-2km layer pushing across the NC piedmont
into southside VA by 18z, then weakening after 21z. Will highlight
this in the HWO.

As we head through the night tonight, dewpoints will drop off into
the 40s. You will definitely notice a change when you head out the
door Friday morning.

As for temps did not go too warm today given clouds and rain, so
basically tacked on 5-8 degrees to lows this morning with highs
ranging from the mid 60s to around 70 in the west, to mid to upper
70s.

Expect cooler lows tonight, with 40s in the mountain to 50s east.
Wet ground and mixing may keep temps from falling as far as they
could.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...

Remnants of Hurricane Michael will be tracking off the northeast
coast while high pressure covers the forecast area. Cooler drier air
will grace the area as Friday's highs will range from the upper 50s
to lower 60s across the mountains to the upper 60s to lower 70s east
of the Blue Ridge.

A northern stream disturbance will track across the Ohio Valley
Friday night into Saturday morning. This system will bring a chance
for showers, mainly across southeastern West Virginia. A cold front
will follow this disturbance keeping temperatures cool with
Saturday's highs in the 50s across the mountains to 60s east. High
pressure will bring a re-enforcing shot of cooler air Saturday night
with a few mountain locations dropping into the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

October finally feels like, October.

A large scale upper trough is forecast to reside over the
eastern 2/3rds of the country the entire week, amplifying by
mid-week as series of short waves digging south from Canada
resulting in a fairly extensive cold intrusion to much of the
central and eastern CONUS. Model consensus is for some
unseasonably cold air (yep summer to winter) to overtake areas
which were basking in unseasonable warmth, and in some cases
extreme enough to permit the frozen form of precipitation across
the upper Mid-West and Great Lakes into parts of New England
where 850 mb temps plunge low enough to support snow.

For the central Mid-Atlantic it will certainly feel like
October, if not favor some November sort of temperatures which
would be permissible for frost formation for parts of the
forecast area...especially the mountain valleys. Precipitation
chances appear somewhat limited, but there will be opportunities
for showers associated with each passing shortwave trough,
Monday favoring a day for showers, and then again toward mid
week. Monday might actually turn out to be a little wetter than
forecast, models trending toward some over-running associated
with a frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Thursday...

Poor flying conditions to persist through much of the afternoon
with some gradual improvement possible from west to east by this
evening as Michael and the attendant cold front move east.
This will allow rain bands to continue over the area this
afternoon with coverage decreasing over the mountains by mid
afternoon while increasing across eastern locations before
tapering off this evening.

Winds will shift around to the northwest and pick up this
afternoon with gusts 30 to 35 kts possible espcly near KDAN
this afternoon/evening

As we head toward 00z, will start to see drying out from the
southwest to northeast and expect all taf sites excluding
KBLF/KLWb to improve to VFR this evening with low clouds
lingering a while longer in the mountains.

Northwest winds will be quite strong overnight espcly mountains
where gusts to 40 kts could occur.

Strong northwest winds will be common Friday morning in the
mountains in the wake of Michael along with areas of mountain
turbulence. Otherwise looking at widespread VFR across the
region on Friday with winds diminishing during the afternoon.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower how strong winds are and clearing to VFR.

Extended Discussion...

Generally VFR anticipated over the weekend. Another front
arrives Monday with possible sub-VFR cigs/vsbys with showers.
Front should push to the southeast by Tuesday although sub-VFR
cigs may persist.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 450 AM Thursday...

3 to 7 inches of rain fell across upper portions of the New
River basin Wednesday afternoon/evening. As Michael moves in
with another 1 to 3 inches of rain in this basin, plus 2 to 6
inches across the Dan River, some river flooding is possible.

In the near term, convective elements with tropical moisture
with PWATS at records highs (as 06z sounding showing 1.88" at
RNK and normally we should be at 0.69" for October 11th), will
lead to flash flooding threat over the southern half of the
forecast area.

As we work into the afternoon and after the rain ends, main stem
rivers will already be responding. Some minor flooding, possibly
moderate flooding along the New River and Dan River is likely.

As for other rivers, such as the Yadkin and Roanoke, will see
how much occurs in the headwaters and downstream and gage that
this afternoon for flood potential.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>014-
     017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ009-012-
     015.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ013-014-016-017-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ015-016.
NC...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018-019.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ003>006-020.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AL/WP
NEAR TERM...JH/WP
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...JH/PM/WP
HYDROLOGY...JH/PM/WP
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 10:53 AM EDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NCZ019-VAZ012-121500-
Wilkes-Wythe-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-121500-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ016-121500-
Carroll-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ003-020-VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-043-121500-
Surry-Yadkin-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ034-035-045>047-121500-
Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ023-024-121500-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ010-011-018-121500-
Bland-Giles-Craig-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ009-121500-
Smyth-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-121500-
Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ004-121500-
Stokes-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ007-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-121500-
Tazewell-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition, periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected as
Michael moves by this afternoon. Localized flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ059-121500-
Charlotte-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:18 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
118 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WNW ROANOKE           37.29N 80.03W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF SALEM      VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SMALL MUDSLIDE REPORTED NEAR LAKESIDE AS WELL AS SEVERAL
            AREAS OF WATER CROSSING THE ROAD ON 419 IN ROANOKE
            COUNTY.

&&

BMG
Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:28 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
128 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S ENNICE              36.47N 81.01W
10/11/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER FLOWING OVER RICH HILL ROAD.ROADDAMAGED.

&&

BMG
Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:29 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
129 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      3 N ROARING GAP         36.45N 80.98W
10/11/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A LANDSLIDE WHICH OCCURRED ON MOUNTAIN VIEW ROAD IN GLADE
            VALLEY DESTROYED A CAMPER AND AN OUTBUILDING. DEBRIS AND
            MUD IS BLOCKING THE ROAD. REPORT VIA TWITTER.

&&

LOCONTO
Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:36 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
136 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0111 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 SE FRIES              36.67N 80.92W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF GALAX      VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MUDSLIDE HAS CLOSED BOTH LANES OF EAST STUART DRIVE
            BETWEEN GLENDALE RD AND MEADOW ST. CREWS WORKING TO OPEN
            ROAD.

&&

LOCONTO
Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:38 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
138 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROANOKE                 37.28N 79.96W
10/11/2018                   CITY OF ROANOKE    VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ROANOKE FIREMAN REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED
            IN ROANOKE, INCLUDING PARTS OF 24TH ST AND COLONIAL
            AVENUE.

&&

LOCONTO
Local storm report, Oct 11, 1:39 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
139 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S EAST BEND           36.16N 80.51W
10/11/2018                   YADKIN             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            LOGAN CREEK FLOWING ACROSS BLINKLEY AND BALTIMORE ROADS.
            ROADS ARE CLOSED.

&&

BMG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax45 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKMontgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford42 hr
Oct 10, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles48 hr
Oct 10, 11:05 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 12:30 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Giles, Pulaski, Wythe9 hr
Oct 11, 2:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBotetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington38 min
Oct 11, 2:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBotetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington29 min
Oct 11, 4:43 AM EDTWind AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 31 more30 hr
Oct 11, 7:26 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 9:22 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKBland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford6 hr
Oct 11, 10:01 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick6 hr
Oct 11, 10:50 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax13 hr
Oct 11, 10:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, Roanoke, City of Martinsville, City of Roanoke10 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville61 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax4 days
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax4 days
Oct 11, 11:27 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCity of Salem9 hr
Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, City of Galax6 hr
Oct 11, 1:13 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKGrayson6 hr
Oct 11, 1:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Lynchburg12 hr
Oct 11, 2:02 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem22 hr
Oct 11, 2:43 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Radford6 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville65 min
Oct 11, 3:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAmherst7 hr
Oct 11, 3:23 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCraig18 hr
Oct 11, 3:42 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville48 min
Oct 11, 3:57 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick3 hr
Oct 11, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville64 min
Oct 11, 4:14 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville6 hr
Oct 11, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania58 min
Oct 11, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham53 min
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania29 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax51 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax3 days
Oct 11, 6:47 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKCarroll, City of Galax12 hr
Oct 11, 6:52 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Patrick6 hr
Oct 11, 7:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKGiles3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.