River Flood Warning 42, NWS Raleigh, NC

476 
WGUS42 KRAH 131400
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
900 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-140201-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.181113T1358Z-181117T1108Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0000Z.181116T2308Z.NO/
900 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neuse River At Smithfield.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.4 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  14.9 Tue 08 AM  19.9  19.6  16.5  13.9  12.3


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-140201-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181115T2217Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181115T2217Z.181118T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
900 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by Sunday
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18   9.8 Tue 08 AM  14.2  16.8  19.4  20.6  21.0


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

111 
WGUS82 KRAH 132051
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
351 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-140851-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-181116T1200Z/
/CLYN7.2.ER.181113T0823Z.181114T1200Z.181116T0000Z.NO/
351 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  3:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  12.7 Tue 03 PM  15.2  10.9   7.6   6.3   5.8


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-140851-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181117T1108Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0000Z.181116T2308Z.NO/
351 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  3:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.4 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  16.5 Tue 03 PM  19.9  19.6  16.5  13.9  12.3


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-140851-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181115T2217Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181115T2217Z.181118T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
351 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  3:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by Sunday morning.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  10.9 Tue 03 PM  14.2  16.8  19.4  20.6  21.0


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

475 
WGUS82 KRAH 140318
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1018 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-141518-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-181115T1540Z/
/CLYN7.2.ER.181113T0823Z.181114T0600Z.181115T0340Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  13.7 Tue 09 PM   7.3   5.9   5.7   4.5      


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-141518-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181116T1338Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0000Z.181116T0138Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  17.5 Tue 09 PM  18.3  13.4  13.5  11.1      


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-141518-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181116T0325Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181116T0325Z.181119T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
  midnight and continue to rise to near 21.8 feet by Sunday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  11.5 Tue 09 PM  16.2  19.0  21.0  21.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

080 
WGUS82 KRAH 141020
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
520 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-142220-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-181115T1825Z/
/CLYN7.2.ER.181113T0823Z.181114T0745Z.181115T0625Z.NO/
520 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  14.0 Wed 04 AM    13.9   7.7   5.9   5.7   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-142220-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0000Z.181116T0600Z.NO/
520 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  18.6 Wed 04 AM    19.1  18.6  14.3  14.2  11.5


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-142220-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181116T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181116T0400Z.181119T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
520 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and continue to rise to near 21.7 feet by early Monday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR 1915 bridge and upstream of the US 117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun 

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  12.1 Wed 04 AM    12.4  16.1  19.0  20.8  21.5


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

779 
WGUS82 KRAH 150236
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
936 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-151435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181116T2100Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181116T0900Z.NO/
936 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, flooding cuts off the water treatment 
  plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  19.9 Wed 09 PM    18.9  14.6  14.2  11.9   9.2

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-151435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181116T2217Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181116T2217Z.181119T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Friday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  13.1 Wed 09 PM    13.7  16.7  19.1  20.3  20.8

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

987 
WGUS82 KRAH 151104
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
604 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-152304-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181116T1808Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181116T0608Z.NO/
604 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  5:15 AM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  19.4 Thu 05 AM    19.3  13.4  11.1  11.2   8.6


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-152304-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181116T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181116T2200Z.181119T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
604 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Friday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  5:15 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 20.5 feet by early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  13.6 Thu 05 AM    13.8  16.8  19.1  20.3  20.5


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

368 
WGUS82 KRAH 151749
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-160548-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181116T1923Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181116T0723Z.NO/
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 12:15 PM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecasted.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight Friday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  18.6 Thu 12 PM  14.0  13.6  11.2   8.6   7.5


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-160548-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181116T2034Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181116T2034Z.181119T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1249 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* Until Friday afternoon, further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 12:15 PM Thursday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecasted.
* The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by Monday morning.
* At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force Base.
* At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill Road
  begin to flood.
* At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  14.2 Thu 12 PM  16.8  19.3  20.5  21.0  19.9


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

893 
WGUS82 KRAH 160054
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
754 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-161254-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181117T0632Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181116T1832Z.NO/
754 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, the Smithfield town park and the Neuse 
  riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, flooding begins along the Neuse riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  17.8 Thu 07 PM    16.5  13.6  11.0   7.9   6.9

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-161254-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181117T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181117T1330Z.181119T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Saturday morning until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, water overflows the banks at the SR1915 
  bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  14.8 Thu 07 PM    16.0  17.9  19.4  20.6  20.1

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

870 
WGUS82 KRAH 161147
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
647 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-162347-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181117T1416Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181117T0216Z.NO/
647 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  6:15 AM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue  

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  17.3 Fri 06 AM    17.3  13.7  11.0   7.9   6.9


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-162347-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181117T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181117T1330Z.181119T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
647 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Saturday morning until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  6:15 AM Friday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue  

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  15.6 Fri 06 AM    16.0  17.9  19.4  20.6  20.1


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

479 
WGUS82 KRAH 161852
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
152 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-170651-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181118T0130Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181117T1330Z.NO/
152 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  1:15 PM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  17.0 Fri 01 PM  15.2  11.2   8.0   7.1   6.5


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-170651-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181117T2000Z-181121T1851Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181117T2000Z.181119T1800Z.181121T0651Z.NO/
152 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Saturday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  1:15 PM Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecasted.
* The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  16.0 Fri 01 PM  17.5  18.9  20.2  19.8  17.4


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

524 
WGUS82 KRAH 170032
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
732 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-171232-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181118T0240Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181117T1440Z.NO/
732 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  6:15 PM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, flooding begins along the Neuse riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  16.5 Fri 06 PM    15.4  11.9   8.0   7.4   9.9

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-171232-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181118T0400Z-181121T1942Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181118T0400Z.181119T1800Z.181121T0742Z.NO/
732 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Saturday evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 6:15 PM Friday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow late 
  evening and continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, water overflows the banks at the SR1915 
  bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  16.4 Fri 06 PM    17.2  18.5  20.1  19.8  17.5

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

990 
WGUS82 KRAH 171025
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
525 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-172224-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181117T2311Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181117T1111Z.NO/
525 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Saturday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  15.2 Sat 04 AM    14.9  11.2   8.0   7.5  13.0


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-172224-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181117T2348Z-181121T1942Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181117T2348Z.181119T1800Z.181121T0742Z.NO/
525 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from this evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:15 AM Saturday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  17.2 Sat 04 AM    17.4  18.6  20.1  19.8  17.5


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

011 
WGUS82 KRAH 171416
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
916 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-171446-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181117T2311Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.181113T1339Z.181115T0100Z.181117T1056Z.NO/
916 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  5:56 AM Saturday.
* The river will continue to fall to 11.6 feet by Sunday morning.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  14.7 Sat 08 AM  11.6   8.7   7.5  13.0  14.9


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
435 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will move southwest to northeast
through the Southeast U.S. today, followed by the passage of a
strong cold front tonight. Cold high pressure will return Wednesday.
Another area of low pressure will approach central NC from the
southwest Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

A complex and unsettled weather will persist across central NC
through mid week, with another shot of locally heavy/excessive
rainfall late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Bands of moderate-locally heavy-rain exiting the Coastal Plain at
0830Z with patchy light in its wake. A moist mid/upper level SW flow
will maintain an abundantly moist air mass over central NC through
tonight, characterized by precip water values 1.2-1.6 inches (NW-
SE). Perturbations in the SW flow aloft will trigger scattered rain
showers throughout the morning through early afternoon. A slightly
more pronounced perturbation will approach from the SW later this
afternoon, increasing rain coverage once again though rainfall
intensity will be much less compared to the rains of Monday
afternoon-evening. The passage of this perturbation early this
evening will aid to drag a strong cold front into central NC
tonight. This boundary expected to slip sewd across our region this
evening. Nly flow on the back side of the front will advect a
notably cooler and slightly drier air mass into the lower levels of
the atmosphere while the flow aloft will remain SW. this overrunning
will maintain cloudy skies tonight into Wednesday.

The slipping of the front southward will diminish rain coverage and
intensity this evening with the highest rain chances confined to the
southern counties late tonight into the overnight. This will give
much of the region a needed respite from the rain.

Temperatures across the SE will fall this morning as the coastal
trough migrates back to the offshore waters, then stabilize/recover
this afternoon. Temperatures across the north-northwest should
recover some but still remain well below normal for mid November.
Highs should range from the upper 40s/around 50 NW to the upper 50s
SE. Behind the front, temperatures will stumble into the 30s across
most of the Piedmont, with lower 40s across the SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 435 AM Tuesday...

A sfc dry air ridge will extend into central NC early Wednesday. The
cool stable air mass will limit rain chances for the most part with
just a slight/small chance of light over the southern counties.
While the lower levels will be cool and dry, a persistent SW flow
aloft will maintain a steady stream of moisture, result in
widespread overcast skies. The lack of sun and an unseasonably cold
air mass will result in temperatures a solid 15-18 degrees below
normal, generally in the mid-upper 40s.

Another potent s/w will round the base of the l/w trough over the
lower MS Valley and initiate a sfc wave to develop off the SE U.S.
coast Wednesday night. The approach of the s/w will back the 805mb
wind to a sely direction Wednesday night, increasing isentropic
upglide Wednesday night, leading to an expansive area of moderate
to locally heavy rain. At this time, appears the highest rainfall
intensity will be near or immediately west of our western periphery.
Considering our recent round of heavy rain, a flash flood watch may
be needed for sections of the Piedmont late Wednesday night into
Thursday, once it becomes more certain where the axis of heavy.
rainfall will lie.

While bulk of the precip will be rain, there is an outside chance
that the rain in the far NW Piedmont may mix at times with some
sleet during the pre dawn hours Thursday. Sfc temperatures are
forecast to hover near or just above freezing so not too overly
concerned about freezing rain occurring to the extent to cause any
ice accrual. Will need to monitor the temperature in vicinity of the
higher terrain over far western-northwest Forsyth County where
temperatures will have the highest risk of slipping just below
freezing just long enough prior to sunrise Thu to permit a brief
period of freezing rain to occur. Analyzing model forecast soundings
and running a couple in-house winter p-type algorithms indicate a
cold rain for the NW Piedmont, so will keep it simple for now and
maintain the mention of rain late Wednesday night/early Thu.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

Through Thursday Night: The upper level low over the MS River Valley
will deepen and lift east-northeast on Thursday, then eastward over
the Appalachians and through the Virginias through Friday. Meanwhile
at the surface, a CAD airmass over the western half of NC that will
linger into Thursday/Thursday night. A pair of lows will develop and
move northeastward, parallel to one another, with NC in the middle.
The first will develop in association with the parent low aloft,
while the second will develop along the existing front over the
Southeast US coast and track northeast along the East Coast. Expect
precipitation associated with the systems to begin before daybreak
Thursday, with the best chances for rainfall across the area between
midnight Thursday and midnight Friday. The GFS continues to the the
faster model, but timing is only off by 6 hrs or less. Thursday's
high temperatures are a bit tricky, but expect upper 30s NW to low
50s SE, albeit highly dependent on the coastal low and lingering
wedge. Lows generally in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Friday through Monday: As the lows lift off to the northeast away
from the region the forecast is expected to dry out. While cooler
air will advect into the area in the wake of the lows, the surface
high will linger over the Gulf Coast. As a result, overnight lows
will remain well below normal, while high temperatures will actually
moderate in the wake of the system. Temperatures are actually
expected to hold fairly steady through the remainder of the forecast
period, with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the mid 30s. A
reinforcing cold front may bring a better push of cold air early
next week, however it's too far out to say for sure.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 110 AM Tuesday...

Widespread adverse/poor aviation conditions will persist across
central NC through this morning with slight improvement anticipated
this afternoon into the evening hours. Wide rain will gradually
taper off through 10Z, with scattered showers expected across the
region after 10Z. Another batch of scattered-numerous showers will
lift newd across central NC this afternoon. Ceilings are expected to
remain IFR/LIFR through 14z, then lift mainly into the MVFR category
this afternoon. Ceilings may briefly lift into the VFR category late
this afternoon-evening before lowering back into the MVFR category.

Another round of rain and persistent low ceilings will occur
Wednesday through Thursday across central NC. A definitive
improvement in aviation conditions with VFR parameters anticipated
for Friday and Saturday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...WSS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-140430-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Widespread rain along with periods of heavy rain will continue over
central North Carolina through tonight. Storm total rainfall amounts
by early Tuesday should range between 2 and 3 inches, with locally 4
inches in the eastern Piedmont. This rainfall will lead to plenty of
urban and small stream flooding, with the potential for isolated
flash flooding in urban areas around the Triangle and Greensboro. In
addition, some minor river flooding on the Haw, Neuse, and Tar Rivers
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Another round of widespread rain, possibly heavy, is expected
late Wednesday into Thursday. Another 1 to 2 inches of rain is
expected. This may lead to additional flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1121 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ENE GREENSBORO        36.10N 79.78W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ROAD CLOSURE AT YANCEYVILLE ST AND E
            CORNWALLIS DR DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1154 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE CARRBORO           35.92N 79.07W
11/12/2018                   ORANGE             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE ROADS WERE REPORTED FLOODED IN
            CHAPEL HILL, INCLUDING UMSTEAD ROAD, ESTES
            DRIVE, CLELAND ROAD, AND OLD MASON FARM
            ROAD.

&&

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
101 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1118 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW MONTICELLO         36.17N 79.71W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ECKERSON ROAD WAS REPORTED FLOODED AT
            PRIVATE DRIVE.

&&

BSD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ042-078-089-130800-
Johnston NC-Sampson NC-Wayne NC-
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WITH A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL AFFECT
WAYNE...NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 300 AM EST...

At 206 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 13
miles north of Clinton, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this heavy shower.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Fremont, Walnut Creek, Pikeville, Newton Grove, Eureka,
Hobbton, Mar-Mac, Brogden and Nahunta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 7782 3520 7815 3519 7816 3518 7816
      3506 7843 3521 7855 3559 7792 3559 7782
      3553 7782 3543 7783 3541 7781 3539 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0706Z 236DEG 40KT 3518 7842

WSS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ078-130800-
Wayne NC-
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL
300 AM EST...

At 232 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mount Olive, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Mount Olive, Walnut Creek, Seven Springs, Brogden, Cliffs
Of The Neuse State Park and Elroy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 7782 3532 7783 3518 7783 3516 7788
      3515 7789 3517 7793 3516 7797 3518 7799
      3519 7802 3519 7804 3518 7807 3518 7811
      3523 7815 3543 7783 3541 7781 3538 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 236DEG 39KT 3520 7802

WSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
259 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW PURNELL           36.03N 78.60W
11/13/2018                   WAKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLASH FLOODING IS CAUSING THE NEW LIGHT
            CREEK TO OVERFLOW A BRIDGE ON MANGUM DAIRY
            ROAD. THE ROAD IS IMPASSABLE.

&&

KC