River Flood Warning 41, NWS Raleigh, NC

151 
WGUS82 KRAH 131408
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-140207-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.181113T1406Z-181116T0600Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1800Z.181115T1800Z.NO/
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  12.2 Tue 09 AM  10.7   9.5   8.3   6.7   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC051-140207-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.181113T1043Z.181114T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by 
  Thursday early afternoon, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  18.9 Tue 09 AM  23.1  23.5  23.1  21.7  19.8


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

157 
WGUS82 KRAH 132052
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
352 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-140851-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.181113T1043Z.181116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
352 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  3:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by 
  Thursday evening, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  19.5 Tue 03 PM  21.6  22.8  23.1  21.9  20.5


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC007-167-140822-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181114T0822Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.181113T0906Z.181113T1400Z.181113T2022Z.NO/
352 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At  3:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant 
  overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river gage site is inundated and 
  inaccessible.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Rocky River
 Norwood          20  20.1 Tue 03 PM   8.4  11.6   8.7   4.6   3.6


&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$

NCC069-140851-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0043.181114T0351Z-181115T2010Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.181114T0351Z.181114T1800Z.181115T0810Z.NO/
352 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from this evening to Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 21.7 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Major flood stage. Homes and businesses along
  Johnson Street flood. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in 
  Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
 Louisburg        20  16.8 Tue 03 PM  21.4  19.3  14.7  11.9   9.4


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

045 
WGUS82 KRAH 140317
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1017 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-141517-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.181113T1043Z.181116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by 
  Thursday evening, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  19.6 Tue 10 PM  22.2  22.7  21.5  20.3      


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

867 
WGUS82 KRAH 141028
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
527 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-142226-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.181113T1043Z.181116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
527 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  5:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by 
  early Friday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Little River
  Manchester  18  20.0 Wed 05 AM    20.4  22.6  23.4  22.5  21.3


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

920 
WGUS42 KRAH 150010
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
710 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-151210-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
710 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for The Little River At Manchester.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Little River
 Manchester       18  23.8 Wed 07 PM  24.2  22.7  22.1  20.7  18.7      

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

971 
WGUS82 KRAH 150111
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
811 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-151310-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T0900Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181116T0000Z.181119T2100Z.NO/
811 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Manchester Road is flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Little River
  Manchester  18  24.0 Wed 08 PM    24.0  23.3  22.1  20.8  18.7

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

430 
WGUS82 KRAH 150433
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1133 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-151632-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T0900Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T1200Z.181119T2100Z.NO/
1133 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At 11:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by 
  Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Little River
  Manchester  18  24.6 Wed 11 PM    25.3  23.3  22.1  20.8  18.7


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

126 
WGUS82 KRAH 151026
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
526 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-152226-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T0936Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T1800Z.181119T2136Z.NO/
526 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
  bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
  of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87)
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Little River
  Manchester  18  24.7 Thu 05 AM    24.9  23.8  22.4  20.9  18.8


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

115 
WGUS82 KRAH 151737
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1237 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-160536-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1237 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At 12:15 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecasted.
* The river will continue to fall this afternoon and evening.
* At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Little River
 Manchester       18  24.2 Thu 12 PM  23.4  22.6  21.4  19.9  18.1


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC069-160536-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181116T0600Z/
/LOUN7.2.ER.181114T0651Z.181114T2216Z.181115T1800Z.NO/
1237 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Tar River At Louisburg.
* At 12:16 PM Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Tar River
 Louisburg        20  20.1 Thu 12 PM  16.8  18.4  14.7  10.3   8.3


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

419 
WGUS82 KRAH 160101
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1300Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181117T0100Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...9.0 feet is Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  11.1 Thu 07 PM    10.3   8.1   6.5   4.9   3.9

&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T0925Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181115T1100Z.181116T0600Z.181116T2125Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 7:46 PM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...14.0 feet is Minor flood stage. The boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, the river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.1 Thu 08 PM    15.3  12.2   9.5   7.4   5.4

&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T2248Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181117T0000Z.181118T1048Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 41.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 43.6 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, the boat ramp and lower parking lot at 
  Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  41.7 Thu 07 PM    42.6  41.6  34.7  29.8  23.5

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC051-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T1312Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181120T0112Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At 7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood problems begin in Fort Bragg near 
  the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Little River
  Manchester  18  23.0 Thu 07 PM    21.9  22.3  21.1  19.0  17.2

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

717 
WGUS82 KRAH 161142
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
642 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-162341-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T1312Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181120T0112Z.NO/
642 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  6:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue 

Little River
  Manchester  18  20.9 Fri 06 AM    20.8  21.6  20.8  19.0  17.2


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

357 
WGUS82 KRAH 161841
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
141 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-170641-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181117T1200Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.181115T2119Z.181116T0531Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
141 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  1:16 PM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Haw River
 Bynum            11  11.4 Fri 01 PM   9.5   7.6   6.9   6.3   6.0


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-170641-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T0000Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181119T1200Z.NO/
141 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecasted.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* At 18.0 feet, Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Little River
 Manchester       18  19.7 Fri 01 PM  19.3  19.0  18.0  16.5  14.8


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

015 
WGUS82 KRAH 170040
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
740 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-171239-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181119T1000Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181118T2200Z.NO/
740 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At  7:15 PM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, minor flood problems begin in Fort Bragg 
  near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Little River
  Manchester  18  19.0 Fri 07 PM    18.5  18.4  17.4  16.2  14.6

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

680 
WGUS82 KRAH 171028
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
528 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-172228-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181119T1200Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181119T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  5:15 AM Saturday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Little River
  Manchester  18  18.7 Sat 05 AM    18.7  18.5  17.4  16.2  14.6


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

682 
WGUS82 KRAH 171446
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
946 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC191-180245-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0044.181118T0000Z-181121T1708Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.181118T0000Z.181119T1800Z.181121T0508Z.NO/
946 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from this evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecasted.
* The river will rise above flood stage by friday evening 
  and continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by Monday early afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  17.7 Sat 09 AM  18.7  20.1  19.7  17.1  14.3


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC051-180245-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181119T0454Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181116T2030Z.181118T1654Z.NO/
946 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 41.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* At 32.0 feet, Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  41.1 Sat 09 AM  35.9  31.6  26.5  23.5  22.4


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC051-180245-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181119T2100Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181119T0900Z.NO/
946 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.9 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Little River
 Manchester       18  18.8 Sat 09 AM  18.8  17.8  16.2  14.6  13.3


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

439 
WGUS82 KRAH 180122
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
822 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-181321-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181119T0748Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181116T2030Z.181118T1948Z.NO/
822 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  38.9 Sat 07 PM    36.4  31.8  26.5  23.5  22.4


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC051-181321-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181119T0300Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181118T1500Z.NO/
822 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late morning tomorrow.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Little River
  Manchester  18  18.6 Sat 08 PM    18.1  17.2  16.2  14.6  13.3


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

699 
WGUS82 KRAH 181106
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
606 AM EST Sun Nov 18 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-181136-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181119T0300Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181118T0648Z.NO/
606 AM EST Sun Nov 18 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  5:45 AM Sunday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 1:48 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.2 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
  
&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu 

Little River
  Manchester  18  17.4 Sun 06 AM    17.3  16.2  15.4  14.4  13.3


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
435 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will move southwest to northeast
through the Southeast U.S. today, followed by the passage of a
strong cold front tonight. Cold high pressure will return Wednesday.
Another area of low pressure will approach central NC from the
southwest Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

A complex and unsettled weather will persist across central NC
through mid week, with another shot of locally heavy/excessive
rainfall late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Bands of moderate-locally heavy-rain exiting the Coastal Plain at
0830Z with patchy light in its wake. A moist mid/upper level SW flow
will maintain an abundantly moist air mass over central NC through
tonight, characterized by precip water values 1.2-1.6 inches (NW-
SE). Perturbations in the SW flow aloft will trigger scattered rain
showers throughout the morning through early afternoon. A slightly
more pronounced perturbation will approach from the SW later this
afternoon, increasing rain coverage once again though rainfall
intensity will be much less compared to the rains of Monday
afternoon-evening. The passage of this perturbation early this
evening will aid to drag a strong cold front into central NC
tonight. This boundary expected to slip sewd across our region this
evening. Nly flow on the back side of the front will advect a
notably cooler and slightly drier air mass into the lower levels of
the atmosphere while the flow aloft will remain SW. this overrunning
will maintain cloudy skies tonight into Wednesday.

The slipping of the front southward will diminish rain coverage and
intensity this evening with the highest rain chances confined to the
southern counties late tonight into the overnight. This will give
much of the region a needed respite from the rain.

Temperatures across the SE will fall this morning as the coastal
trough migrates back to the offshore waters, then stabilize/recover
this afternoon. Temperatures across the north-northwest should
recover some but still remain well below normal for mid November.
Highs should range from the upper 40s/around 50 NW to the upper 50s
SE. Behind the front, temperatures will stumble into the 30s across
most of the Piedmont, with lower 40s across the SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 435 AM Tuesday...

A sfc dry air ridge will extend into central NC early Wednesday. The
cool stable air mass will limit rain chances for the most part with
just a slight/small chance of light over the southern counties.
While the lower levels will be cool and dry, a persistent SW flow
aloft will maintain a steady stream of moisture, result in
widespread overcast skies. The lack of sun and an unseasonably cold
air mass will result in temperatures a solid 15-18 degrees below
normal, generally in the mid-upper 40s.

Another potent s/w will round the base of the l/w trough over the
lower MS Valley and initiate a sfc wave to develop off the SE U.S.
coast Wednesday night. The approach of the s/w will back the 805mb
wind to a sely direction Wednesday night, increasing isentropic
upglide Wednesday night, leading to an expansive area of moderate
to locally heavy rain. At this time, appears the highest rainfall
intensity will be near or immediately west of our western periphery.
Considering our recent round of heavy rain, a flash flood watch may
be needed for sections of the Piedmont late Wednesday night into
Thursday, once it becomes more certain where the axis of heavy.
rainfall will lie.

While bulk of the precip will be rain, there is an outside chance
that the rain in the far NW Piedmont may mix at times with some
sleet during the pre dawn hours Thursday. Sfc temperatures are
forecast to hover near or just above freezing so not too overly
concerned about freezing rain occurring to the extent to cause any
ice accrual. Will need to monitor the temperature in vicinity of the
higher terrain over far western-northwest Forsyth County where
temperatures will have the highest risk of slipping just below
freezing just long enough prior to sunrise Thu to permit a brief
period of freezing rain to occur. Analyzing model forecast soundings
and running a couple in-house winter p-type algorithms indicate a
cold rain for the NW Piedmont, so will keep it simple for now and
maintain the mention of rain late Wednesday night/early Thu.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

Through Thursday Night: The upper level low over the MS River Valley
will deepen and lift east-northeast on Thursday, then eastward over
the Appalachians and through the Virginias through Friday. Meanwhile
at the surface, a CAD airmass over the western half of NC that will
linger into Thursday/Thursday night. A pair of lows will develop and
move northeastward, parallel to one another, with NC in the middle.
The first will develop in association with the parent low aloft,
while the second will develop along the existing front over the
Southeast US coast and track northeast along the East Coast. Expect
precipitation associated with the systems to begin before daybreak
Thursday, with the best chances for rainfall across the area between
midnight Thursday and midnight Friday. The GFS continues to the the
faster model, but timing is only off by 6 hrs or less. Thursday's
high temperatures are a bit tricky, but expect upper 30s NW to low
50s SE, albeit highly dependent on the coastal low and lingering
wedge. Lows generally in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Friday through Monday: As the lows lift off to the northeast away
from the region the forecast is expected to dry out. While cooler
air will advect into the area in the wake of the lows, the surface
high will linger over the Gulf Coast. As a result, overnight lows
will remain well below normal, while high temperatures will actually
moderate in the wake of the system. Temperatures are actually
expected to hold fairly steady through the remainder of the forecast
period, with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the mid 30s. A
reinforcing cold front may bring a better push of cold air early
next week, however it's too far out to say for sure.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 110 AM Tuesday...

Widespread adverse/poor aviation conditions will persist across
central NC through this morning with slight improvement anticipated
this afternoon into the evening hours. Wide rain will gradually
taper off through 10Z, with scattered showers expected across the
region after 10Z. Another batch of scattered-numerous showers will
lift newd across central NC this afternoon. Ceilings are expected to
remain IFR/LIFR through 14z, then lift mainly into the MVFR category
this afternoon. Ceilings may briefly lift into the VFR category late
this afternoon-evening before lowering back into the MVFR category.

Another round of rain and persistent low ceilings will occur
Wednesday through Thursday across central NC. A definitive
improvement in aviation conditions with VFR parameters anticipated
for Friday and Saturday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...WSS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-140430-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Widespread rain along with periods of heavy rain will continue over
central North Carolina through tonight. Storm total rainfall amounts
by early Tuesday should range between 2 and 3 inches, with locally 4
inches in the eastern Piedmont. This rainfall will lead to plenty of
urban and small stream flooding, with the potential for isolated
flash flooding in urban areas around the Triangle and Greensboro. In
addition, some minor river flooding on the Haw, Neuse, and Tar Rivers
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Another round of widespread rain, possibly heavy, is expected
late Wednesday into Thursday. Another 1 to 2 inches of rain is
expected. This may lead to additional flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1121 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ENE GREENSBORO        36.10N 79.78W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ROAD CLOSURE AT YANCEYVILLE ST AND E
            CORNWALLIS DR DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1154 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE CARRBORO           35.92N 79.07W
11/12/2018                   ORANGE             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE ROADS WERE REPORTED FLOODED IN
            CHAPEL HILL, INCLUDING UMSTEAD ROAD, ESTES
            DRIVE, CLELAND ROAD, AND OLD MASON FARM
            ROAD.

&&

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
101 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1118 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW MONTICELLO         36.17N 79.71W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ECKERSON ROAD WAS REPORTED FLOODED AT
            PRIVATE DRIVE.

&&

BSD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ042-078-089-130800-
Johnston NC-Sampson NC-Wayne NC-
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WITH A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL AFFECT
WAYNE...NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 300 AM EST...

At 206 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 13
miles north of Clinton, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this heavy shower.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Fremont, Walnut Creek, Pikeville, Newton Grove, Eureka,
Hobbton, Mar-Mac, Brogden and Nahunta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 7782 3520 7815 3519 7816 3518 7816
      3506 7843 3521 7855 3559 7792 3559 7782
      3553 7782 3543 7783 3541 7781 3539 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0706Z 236DEG 40KT 3518 7842

WSS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ078-130800-
Wayne NC-
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL
300 AM EST...

At 232 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mount Olive, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Mount Olive, Walnut Creek, Seven Springs, Brogden, Cliffs
Of The Neuse State Park and Elroy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 7782 3532 7783 3518 7783 3516 7788
      3515 7789 3517 7793 3516 7797 3518 7799
      3519 7802 3519 7804 3518 7807 3518 7811
      3523 7815 3543 7783 3541 7781 3538 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 236DEG 39KT 3520 7802

WSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
259 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW PURNELL           36.03N 78.60W
11/13/2018                   WAKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLASH FLOODING IS CAUSING THE NEW LIGHT
            CREEK TO OVERFLOW A BRIDGE ON MANGUM DAIRY
            ROAD. THE ROAD IS IMPASSABLE.

&&

KC