River Flood Warning 40, NWS Raleigh, NC

960 
WGUS42 KRAH 131402
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
902 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-140202-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181116T0645Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0000Z.181115T1845Z.NO/
902 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cape Fear River At Lillington.* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  15.8 Tue 09 AM  18.6  14.9  12.0  10.0   7.7


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-140202-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0045.181113T2116Z-181118T0530Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.181113T2116Z.181114T1800Z.181117T1730Z.NO/
902 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* from this afternoon to late Saturday night, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  this afternoon and continue to rise to near 49.9 feet by tomorrow 
  early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  24.7 Tue 08 AM  48.6  47.1  41.1  36.1  30.9


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

254 
WGUS82 KRAH 132048
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0000Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T1200Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  2:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  11.5 Tue 03 PM   9.6   8.2   9.0   7.2   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181115T1251Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0000Z.181115T0051Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  3:31 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  17.6 Tue 04 PM  17.0  12.0  12.1  10.9   8.0


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.181113T2143Z-181118T0530Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.181113T2143Z.181114T1800Z.181117T1730Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 32.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 49.9 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  32.4 Tue 03 PM  48.6  47.1  41.1  36.1  30.9


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

451 
WGUS82 KRAH 140309
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181114T1800Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181114T0600Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   9.2 Tue 10 PM   7.6   8.8   7.2   5.4      


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181115T1128Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0600Z.181114T2328Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  17.9 Tue 10 PM  11.3  11.6  11.0   8.1      


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T1200Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1800Z.181118T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 37.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.8 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  37.3 Tue 09 PM  41.7  36.4  36.7  32.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

108 
WGUS82 KRAH 141035
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0313Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T1513Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   9.1 Wed 05 AM     9.3   9.6   9.7   7.2   5.9


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181117T1232Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0116Z.181117T0032Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  5:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun 

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.4 Wed 05 AM    14.4   9.5  14.3  12.0   8.7


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T1330Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1800Z.181118T0130Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  5:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 41.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  41.5 Wed 05 AM    43.3  41.3  36.4  37.0  32.8


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

898 
WGUS82 KRAH 141532
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1032 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-141602-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181117T1232Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0116Z.181114T1354Z.NO/
1032 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 10:01 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  8:54 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.6 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  13.7 Wed 10 AM  13.6  13.5  11.7   9.1   7.0


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
402 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will move southwest to northeast
through the Southeast U.S. today, followed by the passage of a
strong cold front tonight. Cold high pressure will return Wednesday.
Another area of low pressure will approach central NC from the
southwest Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

A complex and unsettled weather will persist across central NC
through mid week, with another shot of locally heavy/excessive
rainfall late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Bands of moderate-locally heavy-rain exiting the Coastal Plain at
0830Z with patchy light in its wake. A moist mid/upper level SW flow
will maintain an abundantly moist air mass over central NC through
tonight, characterized by precip water values 1.2-1.6 inches (NW-
SE). Perturbations in the SW flow aloft will trigger scattered rain
showers throughout the morning through early afternoon. A slightly
more pronounced perturbation will approach from the SW later this
afternoon, increasing rain coverage once again though rainfall
intensity will be much less compared to the rains of Monday
afternoon-evening. The passage of this perturbation early this
evening will aid to drag a strong cold front into central NC
tonight. This boundary expected to slip sewd across our region this
evening. Nly flow on the back side of the front will advect a
notably cooler and slightly drier air mass into the lower levels of
the atmosphere while the flow aloft will remain SW. this overrunning
will maintain cloudy skies tonight into Wednesday.

The slipping of the front southward will diminish rain coverage and
intensity this evening with the highest rain chances confined to the
southern counties late tonight into the overnight. This will give
much of the region a needed respite from the rain.

Temperatures across the SE will fall this morning as the coastal
trough migrates back to the offshore waters, then stabilize/recover
this afternoon. Temperatures across the north-northwest should
recover some but still remain well below normal for mid November.
Highs should range from the upper 40s/around 50 NW to the upper 50s
SE. Behind the front, temperatures will stumble into the 30s across
most of the Piedmont, with lower 40s across the SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

Coming shortly.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 355 AM Tuesday...

Through Thursday Night: The upper level low over the MS River Valley
will deepen and lift east-northeast on Thursday, then eastward over
the Appalachians and through the Virginias through Friday. Meanwhile
at the surface, a CAD airmass over the western half of NC that will
linger into Thursday/Thursday night. A pair of lows will develop and
move northeastward, parallel to one another, with NC in the middle.
The first will develop in association with the parent low aloft,
while the second will develop along the existing front over the
Southeast US coast and track northeast along the East Coast. Expect
precipitation associated with the systems to begin before daybreak
Thursday, with the best chances for rainfall across the area between
midnight Thursday and midnight Friday. The GFS continues to the the
faster model, but timing is only off by 6 hrs or less. Thursday's
high temperatures are a bit tricky, but expect upper 30s NW to low
50s SE, albeit highly dependent on the coastal low and lingering
wedge. Lows generally in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Friday through Monday: As the lows lift off to the northeast away
from the region the forecast is expected to dry out. While cooler
air will advect into the area in the wake of the lows, the surface
high will linger over the Gulf Coast. As a result, overnight lows
will remain well below normal, while high temperatures will actually
moderate in the wake of the system. Temperatures are actually
expected to hold fairly steady through the remainder of the forecast
period, with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the mid 30s. A
reinforcing cold front may bring a better push of cold air early
next week, however it's too far out to say for sure.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 110 AM Tuesday...

Widespread adverse/poor aviation conditions will persist across
central NC through this morning with slight improvement anticipated
this afternoon into the evening hours. Wide rain will gradually
taper off through 10Z, with scattered showers expected across the
region after 10Z. Another batch of scattered-numerous showers will
lift newd across central NC this afternoon. Ceilings are expected to
remain IFR/LIFR through 14z, then lift mainly into the MVFR category
this afternoon. Ceilings may briefly lift into the VFR category late
this afternoon-evening before lowering back into the MVFR category.

Another round of rain and persistent low ceilings will occur
Wednesday through Thursday across central NC. A definitive
improvement in aviation conditions with VFR parameters anticipated
for Friday and Saturday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...WSS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-140430-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Widespread rain along with periods of heavy rain will continue over
central North Carolina through tonight. Storm total rainfall amounts
by early Tuesday should range between 2 and 3 inches, with locally 4
inches in the eastern Piedmont. This rainfall will lead to plenty of
urban and small stream flooding, with the potential for isolated
flash flooding in urban areas around the Triangle and Greensboro. In
addition, some minor river flooding on the Haw, Neuse, and Tar Rivers
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Another round of widespread rain, possibly heavy, is expected
late Wednesday into Thursday. Another 1 to 2 inches of rain is
expected. This may lead to additional flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1121 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ENE GREENSBORO        36.10N 79.78W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ROAD CLOSURE AT YANCEYVILLE ST AND E
            CORNWALLIS DR DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1154 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE CARRBORO           35.92N 79.07W
11/12/2018                   ORANGE             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE ROADS WERE REPORTED FLOODED IN
            CHAPEL HILL, INCLUDING UMSTEAD ROAD, ESTES
            DRIVE, CLELAND ROAD, AND OLD MASON FARM
            ROAD.

&&

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
101 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1118 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW MONTICELLO         36.17N 79.71W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ECKERSON ROAD WAS REPORTED FLOODED AT
            PRIVATE DRIVE.

&&

BSD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ042-078-089-130800-
Johnston NC-Sampson NC-Wayne NC-
208 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WITH A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL AFFECT
WAYNE...NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 300 AM EST...

At 206 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 13
miles north of Clinton, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this heavy shower.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Fremont, Walnut Creek, Pikeville, Newton Grove, Eureka,
Hobbton, Mar-Mac, Brogden and Nahunta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 7782 3520 7815 3519 7816 3518 7816
      3506 7843 3521 7855 3559 7792 3559 7782
      3553 7782 3543 7783 3541 7781 3539 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0706Z 236DEG 40KT 3518 7842

WSS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

NCZ078-130800-
Wayne NC-
232 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY UNTIL
300 AM EST...

At 232 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mount Olive, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Mount Olive, Walnut Creek, Seven Springs, Brogden, Cliffs
Of The Neuse State Park and Elroy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, and other light outdoor objects.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 7782 3532 7783 3518 7783 3516 7788
      3515 7789 3517 7793 3516 7797 3518 7799
      3519 7802 3519 7804 3518 7807 3518 7811
      3523 7815 3543 7783 3541 7781 3538 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 236DEG 39KT 3520 7802

WSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
259 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW PURNELL           36.03N 78.60W
11/13/2018                   WAKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLASH FLOODING IS CAUSING THE NEW LIGHT
            CREEK TO OVERFLOW A BRIDGE ON MANGUM DAIRY
            ROAD. THE ROAD IS IMPASSABLE.

&&

KC