Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 37, NWS Raleigh, NC

November 13, 2018Chatham County, Lee County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Nov 13, 2018, 12:15 AM EST for Chatham County, Lee County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 13, 2018, 9:06 AM EST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 13, 2018, 12:15 AM EST (05:15 UTC)
In effect from: Nov 13, 2018, 9:06 AM EST
Expired: Nov 17, 2018, 5:19 AM EST
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Chatham County, NC, Lee County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Deep River near Moncure (MONN7). The gauge peaked at 12.30 ft at Nov 13, 2018, 10:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 8 ft
Minor stage: 9 ft
Moderate stage: 14 ft
Major stage: 18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02102000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

644 
WGUS42 KRAH 130515
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1215 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-131714-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0037.181113T1500Z-181116T0051Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T1500Z.181114T0000Z.181115T1251Z.NO/
1215 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Deep River At Moncure.
* from this morning to Thursday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:45 PM Monday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  this morning and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by this 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat 

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   7.5 Tue 12 AM   9.6   9.1   6.6   5.0      

&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

12 follow-up statements

151 
WGUS82 KRAH 131408
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-140207-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.181113T1406Z-181116T0600Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1800Z.181115T1800Z.NO/
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  12.2 Tue 09 AM  10.7   9.5   8.3   6.7   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC051-140207-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.181113T1043Z.181114T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by 
  Thursday early afternoon, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  18.9 Tue 09 AM  23.1  23.5  23.1  21.7  19.8


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

254 
WGUS82 KRAH 132048
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0000Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T1200Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  2:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  11.5 Tue 03 PM   9.6   8.2   9.0   7.2   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181115T1251Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0000Z.181115T0051Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  3:31 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  17.6 Tue 04 PM  17.0  12.0  12.1  10.9   8.0


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-140847-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.181113T2143Z-181118T0530Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.181113T2143Z.181114T1800Z.181117T1730Z.NO/
348 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 32.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 49.9 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  32.4 Tue 03 PM  48.6  47.1  41.1  36.1  30.9


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

451 
WGUS82 KRAH 140309
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181114T1800Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181114T0600Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   9.2 Tue 10 PM   7.6   8.8   7.2   5.4      


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181115T1128Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0600Z.181114T2328Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  17.9 Tue 10 PM  11.3  11.6  11.0   8.1      


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-141508-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T1200Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1800Z.181118T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 37.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.8 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
  at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant 
  lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  37.3 Tue 09 PM  41.7  36.4  36.7  32.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

108 
WGUS82 KRAH 141035
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0313Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T1513Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   9.1 Wed 05 AM     9.3   9.6   9.7   7.2   5.9


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181117T1232Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T0116Z.181117T0032Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  5:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun 

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.4 Wed 05 AM    14.4   9.5  14.3  12.0   8.7


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-142234-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T1330Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1800Z.181118T0130Z.NO/
535 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  5:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 41.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun  

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  41.5 Wed 05 AM    43.3  41.3  36.4  37.0  32.8


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

691 
WGUS82 KRAH 150108
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
808 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-151308-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0730Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T1930Z.NO/
808 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  10.3 Wed 08 PM     9.8   9.5   7.5   6.3   4.7

&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC051-151308-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T1200Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1530Z.181118T0000Z.NO/
808 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 41.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  41.5 Wed 07 PM    38.0  35.2  36.7  32.5  26.1

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

494 
WGUS82 KRAH 151035
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
535 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-152235-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1100Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T2300Z.NO/
535 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  4:45 AM Thursday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  10.5 Thu 05 AM    10.5  10.3   8.1   6.3   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-152235-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T1200Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181115T1028Z.181116T1800Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
535 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  5:01 AM Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 14.9 feet by Friday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  13.9 Thu 05 AM    14.2  14.7  11.9   9.5   6.8


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-152235-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181119T0536Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181114T1530Z.181118T1736Z.NO/
535 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 40.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.2 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  40.6 Thu 05 AM    40.0  41.3  41.9  36.4  30.3


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

526 
WGUS82 KRAH 151729
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-160528-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1100Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T2300Z.NO/
1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 11:45 AM Thursday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecastED.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9  10.5 Thu 12 PM  10.0   8.2   6.4   4.8   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-160528-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T1200Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181115T1100Z.181116T0000Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 12:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.7 feet by thursday
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage friday evening.
* At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
* At 13.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  14.5 Thu 12 PM  14.5  12.1   9.7   7.4   6.7


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-160528-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181119T0325Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181116T1800Z.181118T1525Z.NO/
1229 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 12:00 PM Thursday the stage was 40.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 42.4 feet by Friday
  early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday morning.
* At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* At 32.0 feet, Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  40.9 Thu 12 PM  42.3  41.1  35.8  29.3  23.0


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

419 
WGUS82 KRAH 160101
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1300Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181117T0100Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...9.0 feet is Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  11.1 Thu 07 PM    10.3   8.1   6.5   4.9   3.9

&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T0925Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181115T1100Z.181116T0600Z.181116T2125Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 7:46 PM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...14.0 feet is Minor flood stage. The boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, the river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.1 Thu 08 PM    15.3  12.2   9.5   7.4   5.4

&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T2248Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181117T0000Z.181118T1048Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 41.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 43.6 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, the boat ramp and lower parking lot at 
  Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  41.7 Thu 07 PM    42.6  41.6  34.7  29.8  23.5

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC051-161301-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181120T1312Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.181113T1043Z.181115T0815Z.181120T0112Z.NO/
801 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At 7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood problems begin in Fort Bragg near 
  the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Little River
  Manchester  18  23.0 Thu 07 PM    21.9  22.3  21.1  19.0  17.2

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

093 
WGUS82 KRAH 161140
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
640 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-162339-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1032Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T2232Z.NO/
640 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  5:45 AM Friday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  10.0 Fri 06 AM     9.9   8.1   6.5   4.9   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-162339-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T0930Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.181115T1100Z.181116T1200Z.181116T2130Z.NO/
640 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  6:31 AM Friday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.6 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue  

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.5 Fri 07 AM    15.6  11.4   9.7   7.3   5.4


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-162339-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T2248Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181117T0000Z.181118T1048Z.NO/
640 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  6:00 AM Friday the stage was 43.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 43.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue  

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  43.0 Fri 06 AM    43.1  41.9  34.7  29.8  23.5


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

454 
WGUS82 KRAH 161837
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
137 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-170637-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T0803Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T2003Z.NO/
137 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 12:45 PM Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late friday afternoon.
* At 9.0 feet minor flood stage occurs. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   9.4 Fri 01 PM   7.8   6.8   5.1   3.9   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-170637-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181117T0833Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.181115T1100Z.181116T1346Z.181116T2033Z.NO/
137 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  1:16 PM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late friday afternoon.
* At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  14.6 Fri 01 PM  11.2   9.7   7.4   5.4   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-170637-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181118T2224Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181117T0000Z.181118T1024Z.NO/
137 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  1:00 PM Friday the stage was 43.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecasted.
* The river will continue rising to near 43.6 feet by friday
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet,the banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  43.4 Fri 01 PM  41.6  34.6  30.1  23.8  19.4


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

573 
WGUS82 KRAH 170039
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
739 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-171157-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1157Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181116T2357Z.NO/
739 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  6:45 PM Friday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet,flooding is likely occurring upstream of the 
  gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 in Lee 
  county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   9.0 Fri 07 PM     8.4   6.8   5.3   4.0   3.3

&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC051-171238-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-181119T0600Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.181113T2257Z.181116T2030Z.181118T1800Z.NO/
739 PM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, the boat ramp and lower parking lot at 
  Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  43.3 Fri 07 PM    41.9  36.2  31.8  26.3  23.8

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

970 
WGUS82 KRAH 171019
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
519 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-171049-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-181117T1157Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.181113T0555Z.181113T1530Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
519 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  4:45 AM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 7:00 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   8.6 Sat 05 AM     8.5   6.8   5.3   4.0   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 12, 8:55 PM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 8:55 PM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
855 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will move southwest to northeast
through the Southeast U.S. tonight through Tuesday, followed by
passage of a strong cold front Tuesday night. Cold high pressure
will return Wednesday. Another area of low pressure will approach
central NC from the southwest Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 850 PM Monday...

...Minor flooding expected in the urban areas, along with small
streams and creeks in the Triad and Triangle areas through the
overnight...

Rainfall has been a widespread soaking today into this evening. Most
areas have now seen 1 to 2 inches as of 800 PM, with the heaviest
totals in the Piedmont. Greensboro reported 1.80 through 800 PM,
Raleigh 1.75, and Burlington 1.72. Stream gauges in the Greensboro
area have been rising especially around Buffalo Creek, Horsepin
Creek, and Ryan Creek were nearing flood stage. Urban and small
stream flooding is already occurring there. Same deal with Chapel
Hill with some streams reported near bankfull already. Rivers are
also now rising with the Haw River at Haw River and at Bynum
expected to reach minor flooding later tonight. These are areas
that typically flood in a flood plain and are near streams and creeks
in urban areas.

The flash flood guidance has been lowering and was now in the 1.5 to
2 inch range in 6 hours. Radar and satellite data indicate plenty of
rain to come, with several waves noted in the flow from Augusta GA
to Columbia SC to near Greensboro. These waves will continue aid in
the dynamic lift within the low to mid level SSW jet a top our
ongoing CAD event. We are lucky that the instability is NIL due to
the cool stable pool over all of our region, even in the SE Coastal
Plain. With the coastal front likely stalling very near the coast or
possibly just inland, the very heavy rain with convection is not
expected in our region, except for a possible brief elevated storm or two
around Fayetteville and Goldsboro may enhance hourly rates later
tonight.

Widespread flash flooding is not expected at this time due to the
stratiform rain event - up to 0.25 to 0.33 of an inch per hour in
the heavier frontal bands. With additional rains of 1 to locally 2
inches still to fall, there will still be lots of runoff, just not
as it would be in convective rains in excess of an inch or more per
hour. Models are also suggesting the rainfall will be heaviest
through 400 am in the NW before the banding of heavier rains shift
more east of the Triad into central and eastern parts of NC through
700 or 800 am.

With the CAD in place, lows will remain nearly steady in the upper 30s
and 40s in the Piedmont. Temperatures in the Coastal Plain should rise
into the 50s to near 60 as the coastal front nears. Temperatures
will fall again on Tuesday in the SE as the front gets pushes back
offshore as the low pressure passes by.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM Monday...

Anomalously high PWs will hold over our area early Tue, before being
shunted to the SE and S late Tue into Tue night. The southern
portion of the mid level trough will close off over NE TX while the
northern portion remains progressive over SE Canada. While the mid
level flow will veer slightly in response, we'll still keep a steady
stream of mid and high level moisture over the state. In the low
levels, both the low level jet and the surface low that forms along
the E NC front will both track quickly up the Mid Atlantic and
Northeast coast early Tue, allowing the front to ease eastward
during the day. The surface high attempting to build in from the W
will be initially hindered by the higher terrain, such that we'll be
left with abundant low level moisture and weak low level flow that
will serve to keep clouds locked in for much of the day. While
forcing for ascent won't be as strong or deep as today, the presence
of the upper jet from OH NE through the Maritimes will keep at least
weak upper divergence over our area, necessitating a continuation of
high pops Tue, trending down NW to SE Tue night as the front settles
just to our SE. Expect chilly highs from the lower 50s to lower 60s.
Lows from the mid 30s to lower 40s with partial clearing possible in
the far NW late. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 305 PM Monday...

Wednesday we will get a little break from the heavy precipitation as
a surface high pressure moves across the Ohio Valley and into the
mid-Atlantic states. Most of the area should remain dry, especially
north of US-64 but the GFS never does clear out precipitation across
the southern areas. That being said both the NAM and ECMWF do in
fact clear the state so will only carry slight chance across the
south. Cold air advection around the front of the high will bring
northerly flow and high temperatures only topping out in the mid
40s.

By Thursday morning both the GFS and the ECMWF bring the surface
high into northern New England and introduce precipitation across
central during the early morning hours. With the high not able to
filter enough cold air in from the north in time, temperatures in
the Triad and the VA border counties should stay slightly above
freezing and keep precipitation all liquid with the exception of a
few inconsequential sleet pellets. One thing to keep an eye on
however is that the NAM becomes a bit of an outlier by Thursday
morning in a key way as it is further south with the surface high
across the mid-Atlantic which keeps precipitation out of the area
till after 12z Thursday but as a consequence, filter colder air into
the Triad and NW Piedmont. Looking at forecast soundings, this would
present an opportunity for a couple hours of freezing rain in the
Triad. With antecedent temperatures well above freezing, it is
likely that even in this scenario, any ice accrual would be very
minimal but it is worth keeping an eye on over the next couple of
model cycles to see if it falls more in line with the GFS and the
ECMWF. For the forecast, have kept temperatures slightly above
freezing and all precipitation liquid at this time. Rain will
continue through the day on Thursday and into Thursday night before
clearing out before 12z on Friday. Rainfall amounts looks to be
slightly lower than the early week system and so have a storm total
QPF of between 1.5 and 2 inches at this time which should put us
somewhere between 4-5 inches for the week. Will need to keep an eye
on how much rain we get in our river basins to identify any
potential for river flooding later in the weekend as water works its
way downstream. Low temps should be in the mid 30s but if the
precipitation clears out quicker, the Triad could drop into the
lower 30s.

Clearing will commence on Friday with high pressure moving into the
area which will remain in place through the weekend. Highs in the
50s with lows in the mid 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 740 PM Monday...

24 Hour TAF Period: Poor/adverse aviation conditions are expected to
continue over central NC over the 24 hour TAF period, as a strong
storm system continues to moves SW to NE through the region tonight,
bringing a large shield of rain and associated IFR/LIFR conditions.
Low level wind shear will also be possible between 00Z-08Z tonight,
particularly at FAY/RWI where light winds at the surface will
strengthen to 35-45 kts from the SE at 1500-2000 ft AGL. Marginal
LLWS will be possible as far west as KRDU.

Continued poor aviation conditions will lingering into Tuesday
afternoon, with cigs possibly lifting to low end MVFR by late in the
TAF period with periods of drizzle and light rain still possible.

Outlook: High pressure is expected to build into the area late
Tuesday into Wednesday, with a brief period VFR conditions expected
on Wednesday. Another low pressure system is expected to move in
from the SSW and brings a return to IFR/LIFR conditions and high
rain chances Wed night, lasting through Thu night. VFR conditions
will follow on Fri/Sat as high pressure builds in from the SW.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...Badgett
SHORT TERM...Hartfield
LONG TERM...Ellis
AVIATION...BSD/Hartfield

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 12, 11:23 PM EST, 52 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-140430-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
1123 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Widespread rain along with periods of heavy rain will continue over
central North Carolina through tonight. Storm total rainfall amounts
by early Tuesday should range between 2 and 3 inches, with locally 4
inches in the eastern Piedmont. This rainfall will lead to plenty of
urban and small stream flooding, with the potential for isolated
flash flooding in urban areas around the Triangle and Greensboro. In
addition, some minor river flooding on the Haw, Neuse, and Tar Rivers
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Another round of widespread rain, possibly heavy, is expected
late Wednesday into Thursday. Another 1 to 2 inches of rain is
expected. This may lead to additional flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 12, 11:21 PM EST, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1121 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ENE GREENSBORO        36.10N 79.78W
11/12/2018                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ROAD CLOSURE AT YANCEYVILLE ST AND E
            CORNWALLIS DR DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

JFD

Local storm report, Nov 12, 11:54 PM EST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1154 PM EST MON NOV 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE CARRBORO           35.92N 79.07W
11/12/2018                   ORANGE             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE ROADS WERE REPORTED FLOODED IN
            CHAPEL HILL, INCLUDING UMSTEAD ROAD, ESTES
            DRIVE, CLELAND ROAD, AND OLD MASON FARM
            ROAD.

&&

BSD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 12, 7:11 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Guilford	6 hr
Nov 12, 8:37 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Guilford	6 hr
Nov 12, 8:49 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Durham, Orange	8 hr
Nov 12, 9:47 PM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Alamance	37 hr
Nov 12, 9:47 PM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Chatham	45 hr
Nov 12, 9:54 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Wake	9 hr
Nov 12, 10:07 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Alamance, Durham, Orange, Person	9 hr
Nov 12, 11:21 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Anson, Chatham, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery and 5 more	3 hr
Nov 12, 11:27 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Chatham, Lee, Wake	6 hr
Nov 12, 11:59 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Nash, Vance, Warren	6 hr
Nov 13, 12:08 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Sampson, Scotland	3 hr
Nov 13, 2:08 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wayne	52 min
Nov 13, 2:12 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Moore, Randolph	6 hr
Nov 13, 2:18 AM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Davidson	6 hr
Nov 13, 2:32 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wayne	28 min
Nov 13, 2:52 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Johnston	41 hr
Nov 13, 3:31 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Anson, Stanly	19 hr
Nov 13, 4:24 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Harnett	30 hr
Nov 13, 4:35 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Cumberland	5 days
Nov 13, 4:39 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Johnston	4 days
Nov 13, 4:48 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Durham	6 hr
Nov 13, 6:34 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Chatham, Wake	6 hr
Nov 13, 7:54 AM EST	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Person	6 hr
Nov 13, 8:57 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Franklin	53 hr
Nov 13, 9:00 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Wayne	9 days
Nov 13, 9:02 AM EST	River Flood Warning	RAH	Cumberland	5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018 Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.