Tornado Warning 17, NWS Jacksonville, FL

985 
WWUS52 KJAX 021957
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
257 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

FLC089-GAC039-022015-
/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-181202T2015Z/
Nassau FL-Camden GA-
257 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EST FOR
NORTHEASTERN NASSAU AND SOUTH CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTIES...
    
At 257 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Kingsland, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Kingsland around 300 PM EST.
  St. Marys around 310 PM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3072 8173 3079 8175 3090 8169 3073 8154
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 246DEG 35KT 3078 8169 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

WOLF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
847 AM EST Sun Dec 2 2018

...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...Radar has been showing clusters of showers and
thunderstorms through the early morning across se GA. 12z
soundings continued to show some instability above a near-
surface inversion. Severe threat minimal until inversion is
erased, as shown on the 12z TAE sounding. Not much heating
Today, but increasing surface dewpoints to or just above 70
will help destabilize airmass yielding 1000-1500 J/Kg CAPE.
Surface winds will veer a little to SW, but strong speed
shear with low-level jet will still promote SRH values of
200-300...any local backing of wind will enhance this.
This environment supports scattered supercell storms, as
depicted on the HRRR model, with damaging winds and hail,
with a tornado threat as well. Corridor of greatest threat,
during the time window of 1pm thru 9pm, looks to be from
TAE across AMG/AYS to Jesup/BQK. HRRR suggests activity
will continue well into the night, working se toward the
JAX area late.

2-3 inches of rain have fallen across se GA...so will
have to monitor for locally heavy rain again Today and
Tonight across this area that could promote flooding. Storm
motion should be fairly quick, so flood threat primarily where
we see any training of storms over the same area.

Made some adjustments to hourly POP/Weather grids, but
no other changes at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...S to SW winds may be occasionally gusty
Today. VFR conditions are expected Today with potential
for MVFR conditions this evening. Showers and T-storms
expected to be mainly N and W of TAF sites Today...with
best chance of any showers by late afternoon near KSSI
and KGNV.

&&

.MARINE...A slow moving cold front is approaching the region
from the West Today and will then stall over area waters Tonight
through Monday. The cold front is expected to push Southeast of
the region Monday night and Tuesday morning as high pressure
builds to the West. The high will build to the Northwest
Wednesday, then to the North on Thursday.

Rip Currents: Low Risk through Tuesday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  79  64  70  47 /  80  80  70  20
SSI  76  66  73  51 /  50  70  80  50
JAX  82  70  77  53 /  40  50  80  50
SGJ  81  69  78  57 /  40  30  70  50
GNV  81  71  78  55 /  40  40  70  50
OCF  83  71  80  58 /  30  30  70  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Waters
     from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

Wolf/23/Shashy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1244 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

GAZ150-162>164-021830-
Ware GA-Clinch GA-Echols GA-Charlton GA-
1244 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ECHOLS...CENTRAL WARE...
CENTRAL CLINCH AND NORTHWESTERN CHARLTON COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EST...

* At 1243 PM EST, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
  Boggy Bay to near Jennings. Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

* Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible with these storms.

* Locations impacted include...
  Waycross, Statenville, Braganza, Boggy Bay and Needham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3126 8236 3125 8234 3105 8218 3072 8264
      3061 8287 3062 8313
TIME...MOT...LOC 1743Z 233DEG 43KT 3110 8238 3058 8317

WOLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
109 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     FLOOD            WAYCROSS                31.21N 82.36W
12/02/2018                   Ware               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS ROAD FLOODING ISSUES AROUND THE CITY LIMITS OF
            WAYCROSS. FLOODING NEARING THE DOORS OF SOME RESIDENCES.

1250 PM     LIGHTNING        WNW WAYCROSS            31.21N 82.36W
12/02/2018                   Ware               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            HOME DAMAGED DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKE IN WAYCROSS OFF OF
            CARSWELL AVENUE TEBEAU STREET.

1250 PM     LIGHTNING        4 NNW WAYCROSS          31.26N 82.38W
12/02/2018                   Ware               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            HOME DAMAGED BY LIGHTNING STRIKE NEAR LUCILLE STREET IN
            NORTH WAYCROSS.

&&

ASHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
140 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

FLZ020-022>024-GAZ150-152-153-162>165-021930-
Columbia FL-Baker FL-Hamilton FL-Inland Nassau FL-Ware GA-
Inland Glynn GA-Inland Camden GA-Clinch GA-Brantley GA-Echols GA-
Charlton GA-
140 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN NASSAU...
NORTHWESTERN BAKER...NORTHEASTERN COLUMBIA...NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN...SOUTHWESTERN GLYNN...SOUTHERN ECHOLS...SOUTHERN
BRANTLEY...SOUTHEASTERN WARE...SOUTHEASTERN CLINCH AND CHARLTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EST...

* At 139 PM EST, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
  Hickox to near Jasper. Movement was east at 40 mph. Radar
  indicated some rotation with several storms...tornadoes can occur
  rapidly with little or no advanced warning.

* Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and funnel clouds possible with these
  storms.

* Locations impacted include...
  Folkston, Fargo, Stephen Foster State Park, Homeland, Hickox,
  Needmore, Race Pond, Winokur and Tarboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3062 8309 3116 8203 3116 8169 3080 8190
      3047 8247
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 262DEG 35KT 3108 8198 3059 8297

WOLF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
146 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

GAZ132-149-021930-
Atkinson GA-Coffee GA-
146 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN COFFEE AND
NORTHWESTERN ATKINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EST...

* At 146 PM EST, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Willacoochee, moving east at 30
  mph.

* Winds in excess of 45 mph and funnel clouds possible with this
  storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Douglas and Willacoochee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 8289 3139 8282 3131 8305 3132 8306
      3135 8308 3135 8310 3137 8311 3139 8311
      3140 8314 3143 8314 3146 8315
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 258DEG 27KT 3141 8308

ZIBURA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
159 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     FLOOD            11 N BAXLEY             31.92N 82.36W
12/02/2018                   Appling            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO ROADS HAVING FLOODING ACROSS THEM IN NORTHERN APPLING
            COUNTY OFF OF DOYLE ROAD.

&&

ASHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
200 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

GAZ152>154-164-165-022000-
Inland Glynn GA-Inland Camden GA-Coastal Glynn GA-Brantley GA-
Charlton GA-
200 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN...WEST
CENTRAL GLYNN...SOUTHEASTERN BRANTLEY AND NORTHEASTERN CHARLTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EST...

* At 159 PM EST, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles southeast of Hickox, or 10
  miles south of Nahunta, moving northeast at 30 mph. Some rotation
  is being detected with this storm.

* Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Waverly, Waynesville and Thalmann.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3097 8197 3108 8202 3131 8170 3114 8157
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 243DEG 25KT 3105 8194

WOLF