Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 124, NWS Jackson, MS

December 27, 2018Forrest County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Dec 27, 2018, 9:29 PM CST for Forrest County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 28, 2018, 5:13 AM CST. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2018, 9:29 PM CST (03:29 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 28, 2018, 5:13 AM CST
Expired
Dec 30, 2018, 8:40 PM CST
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Forrest County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black Creek near Brooklyn (BKNM6).

Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02479130, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

898 
WGUS44 KJAN 280329
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
929 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. Rainfall 
amounts greater than forecast may take the rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-290928-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0124.181228T1113Z-181229T2006Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.181228T1113Z.181228T1800Z.181229T0806Z.NO/
929 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* from late tonight to Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...With 3.71 inches of additional rainfall in the forecast, the creek
  will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and will continue to rise to
  near 22.0 feet early tomorrow afternoon.  
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water approaches the south side of Brooklyn.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  13.0 Thu 09 PM  20.7  18.7  12.6  22.0 12 PM 12/28


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
9 follow-up statements
352 
WGUS84 KJAN 281445
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Leaf River At Hattiesburg affecting Forrest County 
  Bouie Creek Near Near Hattiesburg affecting Covington and Forrest 
  Counties 
  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-292045-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0126.181228T1428Z-190102T1300Z/
/HATM6.2.ER.181228T1345Z.181229T1800Z.190102T0100Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Leaf River At Hattiesburg
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Water is beginning to enter homes on Curie 
  Street.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water begins to cover streets and highways 
  in low lying areas along the river.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water begins to cover road at a trailer park
  about 3 miles downstream of the Highway 11 bridge.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Leaf River 
Hattiesburg    22  22.1 Fri 08 AM  26.3  26.4  25.6  26.5 12 PM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3119 8914 3126 8927 3161 8938 3164 8929
      3130 8921 3125 8914             



$$

MSC031-035-292045-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-181230T1428Z/
/HBGM6.1.ER.181228T1005Z.181229T0600Z.181230T0228Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bouie Creek Near Near Hattiesburg
* until Sunday morning.
* At  7:45 AM Friday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.  
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low land flooding begins near the river.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet
  on Apr 1 2005. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Bouie Creek
Near Hattiesbu 18  19.8 Fri 08 AM  21.2  13.7   9.7  21.5 12 AM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3133 8929 3146 8953 3153 8966 3159 8960
      3151 8948 3143 8932             



$$

MSC035-292045-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181230T1300Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.181228T1639Z.181229T0600Z.181230T0100Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Sunday morning.
* At  7:45 AM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 22.0 feet just after midnight 
  tonight.  
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water approaches the south side of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 21.8 feet...Portions of JC Burt Road flood in the Camp 
  Dantzler area begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4 feet
  on Mar 23 2012. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  19.1 Fri 08 AM  21.4  19.1  14.9  22.0 12 AM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

MSC067-292045-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.3.ER.181228T0451Z.181230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 AM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Water reaches the underclearence of State 
  Highway 15 bridge.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Water begins to flood houses in the the 
  northeast portion of Laurel along the creek between U.S. Highway 11
  and Interstate 59. Water covers Brown Street and Center Avenue in 
  South laurel.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.0 feet
  on Mar 13 2016. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  17.5 Fri 08 AM  18.2  19.7  17.0  20.0 12 AM 12/30


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-292045-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-190101T1255Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.181228T1148Z.181230T0000Z.190101T0055Z.NO/
845 AM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.0 feet early 
  Sunday morning.  
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.4 feet
  on Feb 13 2013. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  25.9 Fri 08 AM  29.7  29.9  27.4  30.0 12 AM 12/30


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
203 
WGUS84 KJAN 282244
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
444 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-300444-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T0414Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1800Z.181230T1614Z.NO/
444 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Sunday evening.
* At  3:45 PM Friday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.  
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water approaches the south side of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 21.8 feet...Portions of JC Burt Road flood in the Camp 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  21.5 Fri 04 PM  23.4  21.2  13.4  24.0 12 PM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
857 
WGUS44 KJAN 290304
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
904 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018


...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-300903-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181230T2141Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1800Z.181230T0941Z.NO/
904 PM CST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Black Creek Near Brooklyn.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 feet
  on Mar 13 2016. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several structures flood along Carnes Road 
  just upstream of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 24.9 feet...Water begins to affect homes on the south 
  side of Main Street.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  22.8 Fri 08 PM  24.8  19.0  10.1  25.0 12 PM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
744 
WGUS84 KJAN 291037
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
437 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-301637-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T0918Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1800Z.181230T2118Z.NO/
437 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until late Sunday night.
* At  3:45 AM Saturday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet this 
  afternoon.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 feet
  on Mar 13 2016. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several structures flood along Carnes Road 
  just upstream of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 24.9 feet...Water begins to affect homes on the south 
  side of Main Street.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  24.6 Sat 04 AM  25.1  22.7  12.8  25.5 12 PM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
157 
WGUS84 KJAN 291313
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
713 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-301912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T1443Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181230T0000Z.181231T0243Z.NO/
713 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Monday morning.
* At  6:45 AM Saturday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet this 
  evening.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 feet
  on Mar 13 2016. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several structures flood along Carnes Road 
  just upstream of Brooklyn.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  25.1 Sat 07 AM  24.3  15.9  10.8  26.0 06 PM 12/29


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
957 
WGUS84 KJAN 291737
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1137 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-302336-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T1305Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1615Z.181231T0105Z.NO/
1137 AM CST Sat Dec 29 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Monday morning.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 feet
  on Mar 13 2016. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Several structures flood along Carnes Road 
  just upstream of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 24.9 feet...Water begins to affect homes on the south 
  side of Main Street.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  25.2 Sat 11 AM  23.4  15.9  10.8     cresting          


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$
466 
WGUS84 KJAN 300207
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Bouie Creek Near Near Hattiesburg affecting Covington and Forrest 
  Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Leaf River At Hattiesburg affecting Forrest County 
  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-310600-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-181231T0600Z/
/HATM6.2.ER.181228T1345Z.181229T0100Z.181230T1800Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Leaf River At Hattiesburg
* Until late Sunday night.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water begins to cover road at a trailer park
  about 3 miles downstream of the Highway 11 bridge.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Leaf River 
Hattiesburg    22  22.8 Sat 07 PM  22.3  21.3  19.9     Crested          


&&


LAT...LON 3119 8914 3126 8927 3161 8938 3164 8929
      3130 8921 3125 8914             



$$

MSC031-035-300237-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-181230T1200Z/
/HBGM6.1.ER.181228T1005Z.181229T0200Z.181229T2339Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Bouie Creek Near Near Hattiesburg.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  5:39 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.5 feet Monday 
  morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Bouie Creek
Near Hattiesbu 18  17.4 Sat 08 PM  16.0  12.5   9.5    Below Flood          


&&


LAT...LON 3133 8929 3146 8953 3153 8966 3159 8960
      3151 8948 3143 8932             



$$

MSC035-310807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-190101T0224Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1615Z.181231T1424Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* Until Monday evening.
* At  6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water approaches the south side of Brooklyn.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  24.7 Sat 07 PM  23.8  20.6  14.7    Crested          


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

MSC067-310807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-190103T0600Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.181228T0451Z.181228T2000Z.190102T1800Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early Wednesday afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.4 feet
  on Apr 9 2014. 
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  17.1 Sat 08 PM  17.0  16.1  14.8    Crested         


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-310807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-190102T0310Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.181228T1148Z.181231T0000Z.190101T1510Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 30.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet 
  tomorrow evening.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.1 feet
  on Jan 30 1994. 
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  30.5 Sat 07 PM  31.4  31.1  25.9  32.0 06 PM 12/30


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-310807-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-190104T0130Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.181228T1436Z.181230T1200Z.190103T1330Z.NO/
807 PM CST Sat Dec 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* Until Thursday evening.
* At  4:45 PM Saturday the stage was 34.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is currently cresting and will begin falling
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 34.5 feet...Water approaches the top of the boat ramp on
  the river at Shubuta.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  34.6 Sat 05 PM  35.1  34.7  34.6    Cresting          


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
265 
WGUS84 KJAN 301501
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
901 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-311334-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T1334Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1615Z.181231T0134Z.NO/
901 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Monday morning.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage this evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4 feet
  on Mar 23 2012. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water approaches the south side of Brooklyn.
* Impact...At 21.8 feet...Portions of JC Burt Road flood in the Camp 
  Dantzler area begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Parking areas flood along the creek.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flooding occurs along lowland near the 
  river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  22.3 Sun 08 AM  17.3  12.7  10.2    falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

MSC067-312059-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.181228T0451Z.181228T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet this 
  afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.2 feet
  on Jan 6 2015. 
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  17.5 Sun 08 AM  16.8  16.2  15.7  17.7 12 PM 12/30


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-312059-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-190102T0310Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.181228T1148Z.181231T0600Z.190101T1510Z.NO/
901 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 31.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.1 feet
  on Jan 30 1994. 
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  31.7 Sun 08 AM  31.1  25.9  20.5  32.0 12 AM 12/31


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-312059-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-190104T1330Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.181228T1436Z.181230T1800Z.190104T0130Z.NO/
901 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* until Friday morning.
* At  7:00 AM Sunday the stage was 31.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.7 feet
  on Apr 11 2014. 
* Impact...At 34.5 feet...Water approaches the top of the boat ramp on
  the river at Shubuta.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  31.9 Sun 07 AM  34.8  34.5  33.8     M M          


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
646 
WGUS84 KJAN 310240
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
840 PM CST Sun Dec 30 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC035-310310-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-181231T1334Z/
/BKNM6.2.ER.181228T1645Z.181229T1615Z.181231T0100Z.NO/
840 PM CST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn.
* At  7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  7:00 PM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.3 feet Tuesday 
  morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  19.8 Sun 08 PM  18.3  16.3  13.3     Falling         


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 27, 9:23 PM CST, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 9:23 PM CST, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
923 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER THE PINE BELT...

.UPDATE...
Heavy rainfall continues over the eastern portions of the area
this evening and anticipate this to continue into the overnight
hours. Four to six inches with locally higher amounts have fallen
over the Pine Belt with a general two to five inches over the
remainder of the area. Hi-res models indicate that the bands of
heavy rain will continua to move across the Pine Belt into the
early overnight hours, before becoming lighter and beginning to
finally shift to the east by 3 to 4 am. A flash flood watch
remains in effect until 6am for areas generally east of the I-55
corridor. Six to eight inches with locally higher amounts of total
accumulations are likely for the Pine Belt, with lighter amounts
further west and north.

Patchy areas of fog is possible for areas across the delta
overnight. The rain should begin to dissipate and move east of the
area early on Thursday. /15/

&&

Prior discussion below:

Tonight and tomorrow. The northern portions of the line weakened
as it moved to the east. Early rain and clouds limited the risks.
Gusty winds continued as the line moved further east. Instability
was much better across the south, seems to be just on the edge of
the CWA. Cooler air was quickly moving in behind the boundary and
will likely keep any severe chances south of highway 98 for the
next couple hours.

Hi-res models show a few lows developing to the south and
moving along the line with very high rainfall amounts this evening
into early Friday. Considered expanding the watch to catch the metro
and the southwest, but doesn't look like much more rain will
redevelop in the western zones. Models continued to suggest the
boundary will slow up and possibly stall over the southeast.
There was some slowing but not sure the system will completely
stall over the area. Looks like waves of rain sometimes heavy will
continue through the evening. With models really hitting the
higher rainfall amounts significant was added for portions of the
southeast. Water was already covering several roads. Radar
estimates were under done and thinking is rainfall amounts will be
in the 5-10 inch range based on model estimates. There have been
a number of flood reports around the CWA today. Widespread steady
moderate rain with some periods of heavy rain will continue
through tonight with antecedent conditions great for mostly run-
off.

Guidance has struggled with temps today...good warm advection ahead
of the boundary with the strong gradient winds and good cold
advection behind the boundary. Will stick with the current trend,
where temps have fallen into the 50s and keep things steady through
the evening. None of the guidance seem to catch the cold advection

 Friday night through Monday: A rather wet pattern will continue
through the first half of next week. With the front temporarily
stalling just southeast of the area, we'll see a lull in the rain
Friday night. Heading through the weekend, broad scale lift north of
this front will become enhanced as an upper jet streak amplifies
from the Southern Plains through the Ohio Valley. This will bring
about a resurgence of mainly stratiform rain Saturday into Sunday.
Isolated embedded storms will be possible at times as limited
elevated instability is forecast. On Sunday, the upper trough will
begin to pivot gradually eastward, and the stalled front will return
northward across the region as a warm front.

As a mid level shortwave traverses the upper trough early next week,
a surface low will develop and track along the front, bringing it
eastward into the area on Monday. This will result is an uptick in
rain chances Sunday night into Monday, with greater potential for
storms as a more unstable airmass lifts northward into the area.
Because strong deep layer shear will be in place over the region, we
will need to watch this system for severe weather potential over the
next few days for eventual inclusion in the HWO/graphics.

Tuesday through next Thursday: Model solutions diverge somewhat
toward the end of the forecast period. The upper trough is expected
to hang up just northwest of the area early next week before finally
pushing farther southeast mid to late next week. The timing of this
evolution will have a bearing on what happens with the surface
front, with some solutions stalling it briefly just southeast of the
area and others being more progressive pushing the front past the
area. The stalling solution would result in cold rain sticking
around especially over the southern half of the area through
Wednesday, while the more progressive solution would result in rain
ending much sooner. With colder air filtering behind the front as
precipitation lingers, there is some potential for winter weather to
develop along the northern edge of the precip shield. With model
agreement still rather weak, confidence is too low to mention p-type
changes in the forecast this far out. However, this will be another
thing to keep an eye on during the coming week. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:
Showers and thunderstorms are bringing a mix of VFR/MVFR/IFR
conditions to most TAF sites this evening. The showers have ended
for GWO/GLH, but expect IFR/LIFR conditions later this evening as
low clouds develop. The showers will continue at JAN/HKS into the
evening hours, but the remaining sites will continue to see
MVFR/IFR/LIFR conditions, as the showers and storms continue into
the overnight hours. Expect improving ceilings after 14-16Z for
sites along and west of I-55, but the low clouds may hang on for
the remaining sites for much of the period. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       53  62  42  52 /  84  17   9  58
Meridian      57  67  43  55 /  99  66  10  58
Vicksburg     48  59  40  51 /  33   5   7  55
Hattiesburg   62  69  49  55 /  99  76  21  67
Natchez       49  61  43  50 /  62   7  13  68
Greenville    45  56  34  48 /  12   8   6  29
Greenwood     49  58  36  52 /  37   5   7  31

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM CST Friday for MSZ030-031-033-038-
     039-044>046-049>052-054>058-061>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

15
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 7:57 PM CST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034-035-
040-041-047-290200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Washington-Humphreys-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ029-030-032-036-037-042-043-048-053-059>061-290200-
Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-Madison MS-Hinds-
Claiborne-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi,
and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.
Additional rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ031-033-038-039-044-045-049-050-054-055-062-290200-
Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Rankin-Scott-
Copiah-Simpson-Lincoln-
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. Total rain
amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected with locally higher amounts
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ046-051-052-056>058-063-290200-
Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, widespread flash flooding is likely and significant
flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or closed and
some structural flooding and water rescues are likely. Moderate
to major river flooding will also be likely. Total rainfall
amounts ranging from 5 to 8 inches are expected with locally
higher amounts possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ064>066-072>074-290200-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
757 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, widespread flash flooding is likely and significant
flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or closed and
some structural flooding and water rescues are likely. Moderate
to major river flooding will also be likely. Total rainfall
amounts ranging from 5 to 8 inches are expected with locally
higher amounts possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be completely ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 27, 8:12 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
812 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.25N 89.83W
12/27/2018                   MARION             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AT LEAST A DOZEN MAJOR CITY STREETS ARE
            IMPASSABLE AND AT LEAST 10 BUSINESSES HAVE
            TAKEN ON WATER. THE RETENTION POND IN THE
            CENTER OF THE CITY IS OVERFLOWING. WATER IS
            IN SEVERAL HOMES IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR THE
            WEST SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Dec 27, 8:52 PM CST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
852 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0823 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE WEST HATTIESBURG  31.32N 89.36W
12/27/2018                   LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE ACROSS THE
            COUNTY, BUT SEVERAL WERE LOCATED IN THE
            LAMAR PARK AND SAM RAYBORN DRIVE AREAS.
            THREE TO FOUR HOMES HAD WATER IN THEM,
            AROUND THIS SAME LOCATION.

&&

JC
Special weather statement, Dec 27, 8:58 PM CST, 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
858 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

MSZ066-280330-
Jones MS-
858 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN JONES COUNTY UNTIL 930
PM CST...

At 857 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Tuckers Crossing, or 8 miles east of Ellisville, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Mill Creek around 915 PM CST.
  Sandersville around 920 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3147 8902 3157 8919 3182 8904 3183 8894
      3155 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 0257Z 213DEG 31KT 3159 8906

BYB
Local storm report, Dec 27, 9:04 PM CST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
904 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N PETAL               31.40N 89.26W
12/27/2018                   FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A HOME ON LEEVILLE ROAD IN PETAL HAS TAKEN
            ON WATER. THE FIRE STATION ON MACEDONIA ROAD
            HAS ALSO TAKEN ON SOME WATER.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Dec 27, 9:05 PM CST, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE HATTIESBURG       31.33N 89.30W
12/27/2018                   FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIX VEHICLE WATER RESCUES OCCURRED IN THE
            CITY OF HATTIESBURG.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Dec 27, 9:14 PM CST, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
914 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HEAVY RAIN       15 S COLUMBIA           31.04N 89.81W
12/27/2018  M11.25 INCH      MARION             MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF 11.25
            INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED IN SANDY HOOK.

&&

JC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 6:39 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion4 hr
Dec 27, 7:56 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNoxubee13 days
Dec 27, 8:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake14 days
Dec 27, 8:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake15 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson19 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence20 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson13 hr
Dec 27, 8:58 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones32 min
Dec 27, 9:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest47 hr
Dec 27, 9:25 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANJones12 days
Dec 27, 9:31 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke4 days
Dec 27, 9:44 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lawrence and 2 more4 hr
Dec 27, 10:30 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion4 hr
Dec 27, 11:10 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANJones4 hr
Dec 27, 11:14 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar46 min
Dec 27, 11:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLamar3 hr
Dec 28, 12:17 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLauderdale6 hr
Dec 28, 1:25 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANClarke3 hr
Dec 28, 1:58 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Forrest, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones and 3 more6 hr
Dec 28, 2:40 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANForrest, Jones, Lamar110 min
Dec 28, 3:04 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANJones3 hr
Dec 28, 4:21 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANClarke114 min
Dec 28, 4:34 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANForrest, Jones, Lamar116 min
Dec 28, 6:07 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANForrest51 hr
Dec 28, 7:47 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion6 hr
Dec 28, 7:57 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton6 hr
Dec 28, 9:33 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMarion23 hr
Dec 28, 12:08 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke21 days
Dec 28, 1:47 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Forrest, Jasper, Jones, Lamar and 1 more24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.