Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 110, NWS Jackson, MS

December 27, 20186 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Dec 27, 2018, 6:39 PM CST for 6 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2018, 6:39 PM CST (00:39 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2018, 10:30 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Emergency
Flash flood emergency
Flood severity
None

Counties Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 27, 6:48 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD1 Wnw Petal, MSA FEW APARTMENTS WERE FLOODED IN PETAL.
Dec 27, 7:25 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD2 Ne Hattiesburg, MSSEVERAL BUSINESSES ON FRONT STREET AND EAST PINE ST IN HATTIESBURG ARE TAKING ON WATER.
Dec 27, 8:02 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD2 Se Hattiesburg, MSMANY HOUSES ALONG ROUSE ROAD ARE FLOODED.
Dec 27, 8:03 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD12 Sse Columbia, MSWATER RESCUES FROM VEHICLES AND HOMES WERE ONGOING AT HIGHWAY 43 SOUTH AND CLEAR CREEK CHURCH ROAD.
Dec 27, 8:09 PM CSTFLASH FLOODColumbia, MSAT LEAST A DOZEN MAJOR CITY STREETS ARE IMPASSABLE AND AT LEAST 10 BUSINESSES HAVE TAKEN ON WATER. THE RETENTION POND IN THE CENTER OF THE CITY IS OVERFLOWING. WATER IS IN SEVERAL HOMES IN LOW-LYING AREAS NEAR THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN.
Dec 27, 8:20 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD4 N Petal, MSA HOME ON LEEVILLE ROAD IN PETAL HAS TAKEN ON WATER. THE FIRE STATION ON MACEDONIA ROAD HAS ALSO TAKEN ON SOME WATER.
Dec 27, 8:23 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD1 Ene West Hattiesburg, MSMULTIPLE ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE ACROSS THE COUNTY, BUT SEVERAL WERE LOCATED IN THE LAMAR PARK AND SAM RAYBORN DRIVE AREAS. THREE TO FOUR HOMES HAD WATER IN THEM, AROUND THIS SAME LOCATION.
Dec 27, 8:25 PM CSTHEAVY RAIN 11.2515 S Columbia, MSBROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF 11.25 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED IN SANDY HOOK.
Dec 27, 8:30 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD1 Nne Hattiesburg, MSSIX VEHICLE WATER RESCUES OCCURRED IN THE CITY OF HATTIESBURG.
Dec 27, 9:30 PM CSTHEAVY RAIN 8.192 N Petal, MS8.19 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED TO WDAM BY A VIEWER ON WILLIAMSBURG DRIVE.
Dec 27, 10:31 PM CSTHEAVY RAIN 8Sumrall, MSRELAYED VIA WDAM FROM A VIEWER IN SUMRALL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 8 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 9 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-12-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1187 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-12-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 365 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1187 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
480 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
365 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
395 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.5
Supercell composite
14.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

903 
WGUS54 KJAN 280039
FFWJAN
MSC031-035-065-067-073-091-280430-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0110.181228T0039Z-181228T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
639 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR THE COLUMBIA TO HATTIESBURG AREA...

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Marion County in south central Mississippi...
  Forrest County in southeastern Mississippi...
  Southeastern Covington County in southeastern Mississippi...
  Lamar County in southeastern Mississippi...
  Southwestern Jones County in southeastern Mississippi...
  Southeastern Jefferson Davis County in south central Mississippi...

* Until 1030 PM CST.

* At 631 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Extreme amounts of flash 
  flooding are occurring in the warning area with numerous roads 
  closed, and many homes and businesses are being threatened.

This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for the Columbia to Hattiesburg 
area. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND 
NOW!

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Hattiesburg, Petal, Columbia, Kokomo, West Hattiesburg, Sandy Hook,
  Purvis, Sumrall, Morgantown, Goss, Bunker Hill, Sanford, Improve,
  Melba, Rawls Springs, Eastabuchie, Pickwick, Mclaurin, Pinebur and
  Sunrise.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

&&

LAT...LON 3107 8984 3107 8992 3113 8994 3113 9001
      3117 9001 3118 9003 3123 9001 3149 8980
      3157 8907 3143 8907 3143 8914 3110 8915
      3110 8954 3100 8963 3100 8983

$$

EC
2 follow-up statements
790 
WGUS74 KJAN 280230
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
830 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

MSC031-035-065-067-073-091-280430-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0110.000000T0000Z-181228T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Marion MS-Forrest MS-Covington MS-Lamar MS-Jones MS-
Jefferson Davis MS-
830 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR THE COLUMBIA TO HATTIESBURG AREA...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR
MARION...FORREST...SOUTHEASTERN COVINGTON...LAMAR...SOUTHWESTERN
JONES AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES...

At 816 PM CST, local law enforcement reported ongoing flash flooding 
across the warned area with numerous roads closed, reports of 
businesses and homes taking on water in Hattiesburg and Columbia, 
and ongoing water rescues in portions of southern Marion County. 
Estimated rainfall amounts so far across the warned area range from 
4 to 8 inches.

This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for the Columbia to Hattiesburg area 
and remains a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND 
NOW!

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Hattiesburg, Petal, Columbia, Kokomo, West Hattiesburg, Sandy Hook,
Purvis, Sumrall, Morgantown, Goss, Bunker Hill, Sanford, Improve,
Melba, Rawls Springs, Eastabuchie, Pickwick, Mclaurin, Pinebur and
Sunrise.

Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

&&

LAT...LON 3107 8984 3107 8992 3113 8994 3113 9001
      3117 9001 3118 9003 3123 9001 3149 8980
      3157 8907 3143 8907 3143 8914 3110 8915
      3110 8954 3100 8963 3100 8983

$$

BYB
767 
WGUS74 KJAN 280338
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
938 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

MSC031-035-065-067-073-091-280430-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0110.000000T0000Z-181228T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Marion MS-Forrest MS-Covington MS-Lamar MS-Jones MS-
Jefferson Davis MS-
938 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR COLUMBIA TO SUMRALL TO HATTIESBURG TO 
MOSELLE...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR
MARION...NORTHERN FORREST...SOUTHEASTERN COVINGTON...LAMAR...
SOUTHWESTERN JONES AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES...

At 933 PM CST, local law enforcement reported ongoing flash flooding 
across the warned area with numerous roads closed, reports of 
businesses and homes taking on water in Hattiesburg and Columbia, 
and ongoing water rescues in portions of southern Marion County. 
Estimated rainfall amounts so far across the warned area range from 
5 to 10 inches.

This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for the Columbia to Sumrall to 
Hattiesburg to Moselle area and remains a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS 
SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Hattiesburg, Petal, Columbia, Kokomo, Sandy Hook, West Hattiesburg,
Sumrall, Morgantown, Rawls Springs, Bunker Hill, Eastabuchie,
Pickwick, Sanford, Pinebur, Sunrise, Macedonia, Moselle, Improve,
Baxterville and Melba.

Additional localized rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible 
in the warned area through the remainder of the night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

&&

LAT...LON 3107 8984 3107 8992 3113 8994 3113 9001
      3117 9001 3118 9003 3123 9001 3139 8984
      3152 8956 3157 8907 3143 8907 3143 8914
      3126 8915 3115 8952 3100 8964 3100 8983

$$

BYB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Dec 27, 6:16 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 6:16 PM CST, 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
616 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:
Showers and thunderstorms are bringing a mix of VFR/MVFR/IFR
conditions to most TAF sites this evening. The showers have ended
for GWO/GLH, but expect IFR/LIFR conditions later this evening as
low clouds develop. The showers will continue at JAN/HKS into the
evening hours, but the remaining sites will continue to see
MVFR/IFR/LIFR conditions, as the showers and storms continue into
the overnight hours. Expect improving ceilings after 14-16Z for
sites along and west of I-55, but the low clouds may hang on for
the remaining sites for much of the period. /15/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and tomorrow. The northern portions of the line weakened
as it moved to the east. Early rain and clouds limited the risks.
Gusty winds continued as the line moved further east. Instability
was much better across the south, seems to be just on the edge of
the CWA. Cooler air was quickly moving in behind the boundary and
will likely keep any severe chances south of highway 98 for the
next couple hours.

Hi-res models show a few lows developing to the south and
moving along the line with very high rainfall amounts this evening
into early Friday. Considered expanding the watch to catch the metro
and the southwest, but doesn't look like much more rain will
redevelop in the western zones. Models continued to suggest the
boundary will slow up and possibly stall over the southeast.
There was some slowing but not sure the system will completely
stall over the area. Looks like waves of rain sometimes heavy will
continue through the evening. With models really hitting the
higher rainfall amounts significant was added for portions of the
southeast. Water was already covering several roads. Radar
estimates were under done and thinking is rainfall amounts will be
in the 5-10 inch range based on model estimates. There have been
a number of flood reports around the CWA today. Widespread steady
moderate rain with some periods of heavy rain will continue
through tonight with antecedent conditions great for mostly run-
off.

Guidance has struggled with temps today...good warm advection ahead
of the boundary with the strong gradient winds and good cold
advection behind the boundary. Will stick with the current trend,
where temps have fallen into the 50s and keep things steady through
the evening. None of the guidance seem to catch the cold advection

 Friday night through Monday: A rather wet pattern will continue
through the first half of next week. With the front temporarily
stalling just southeast of the area, we'll see a lull in the rain
Friday night. Heading through the weekend, broad scale lift north of
this front will become enhanced as an upper jet streak amplifies
from the Southern Plains through the Ohio Valley. This will bring
about a resurgence of mainly stratiform rain Saturday into Sunday.
Isolated embedded storms will be possible at times as limited
elevated instability is forecast. On Sunday, the upper trough will
begin to pivot gradually eastward, and the stalled front will return
northward across the region as a warm front.

As a mid level shortwave traverses the upper trough early next week,
a surface low will develop and track along the front, bringing it
eastward into the area on Monday. This will result is an uptick in
rain chances Sunday night into Monday, with greater potential for
storms as a more unstable airmass lifts northward into the area.
Because strong deep layer shear will be in place over the region, we
will need to watch this system for severe weather potential over the
next few days for eventual inclusion in the HWO/graphics.

Tuesday through next Thursday: Model solutions diverge somewhat
toward the end of the forecast period. The upper trough is expected
to hang up just northwest of the area early next week before finally
pushing farther southeast mid to late next week. The timing of this
evolution will have a bearing on what happens with the surface
front, with some solutions stalling it briefly just southeast of the
area and others being more progressive pushing the front past the
area. The stalling solution would result in cold rain sticking
around especially over the southern half of the area through
Wednesday, while the more progressive solution would result in rain
ending much sooner. With colder air filtering behind the front as
precipitation lingers, there is some potential for winter weather to
develop along the northern edge of the precip shield. With model
agreement still rather weak, confidence is too low to mention p-type
changes in the forecast this far out. However, this will be another
thing to keep an eye on during the coming week. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       53  62  42  52 /  95  17   9  58
Meridian      57  67  43  55 /  96  66  10  58
Vicksburg     48  59  40  51 /  47   5   7  55
Hattiesburg   62  69  49  55 /  96  76  21  67
Natchez       49  61  43  50 /  70   7  13  68
Greenville    45  56  34  48 /  19   8   6  29
Greenwood     49  58  36  52 /  62   5   7  31

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MSZ030-031-033-038-
     039-044>046-049>052-054>058-061>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

15
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 5:05 PM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034-035-
040-041-047-060-282315-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Washington-Humphreys-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-Adams-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ029-030-032-036-037-042-043-048-053-059-282315-
Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-Madison MS-Hinds-
Claiborne-Jefferson-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi,
and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.
Additional rain amounts of around an inch expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ031-033-038-039-044-045-049-050-054-282315-
Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Rankin-Scott-
Copiah-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. Total rain
amounts of 3 to 5 inches expected with locally higher amounts
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ046-051-052-056>058-063>066-282315-
Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, widespread flash flooding is likely and significant
flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or closed and
some structural flooding and water rescues are likely. Moderate
to potentially major river flooding will also be likely. Total
rain amounts of 5 to 7 inches expected with locally higher amounts
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. The main
risk with any severe thunderstorms will be locally damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ061-282315-
Franklin MS-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. The main
risk with any severe thunderstorms will be locally damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in
low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.
Additional rain amounts of around an inch expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ055-062-282315-
Simpson-Lincoln-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, areas of flash flooding likely and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. Total rain
amounts of 3 to 5 inches expected with locally higher amounts
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. The main
risk with any severe thunderstorms will be locally damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ072>074-282315-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
505 PM CST Thu Dec 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and tornadoes cannot yet
be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, widespread flash flooding is likely and significant
flooding is possible. Many roads could be flooded or closed and
some structural flooding and water rescues are likely. Moderate
to major river flooding will also be likely. Total rain amounts
of 5 to 7 inches expected with locally higher amounts possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 27, 4:34 PM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
434 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.25N 89.83W
12/27/2018                   MARION             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS FLOODED IN TOWN WITH SEVERAL
            CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Dec 27, 4:37 PM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
437 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW COLUMBIA          31.23N 89.89W
12/27/2018                   MARION             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            INTENSE RAINFALL CAUSED A MUDSLIDE FROM A
            GRAVEL ROAD TO POUR MUD AND GRAVEL ACROSS
            HWY 586. THE ROAD HAD TO BE CLOSED FOR A
            PERIOD OF TIME TO REMOVE THE LARGE AMOUNTS
            OF EARTH DEBRIS.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Dec 27, 4:42 PM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE LAUREL            31.70N 89.13W
12/27/2018                   JONES              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WERE FLOODED IN THE CITY OF
            LAUREL AND MULTIPLE VEHICLE CRASHES ON I-59
            IN LAUREL. TWO HOMES HAD TREES FALL ON THEM,
            WHICH RESULTED IN HEAVY DAMAGE AND ARE
            UNINHABITABLE. THESE HOMES WERE ON
            SPRINGHILL ROAD AND OLD HIGHWAY 15 SOUTH.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Dec 27, 4:59 PM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
459 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      9 SSE ROXIE             31.38N 91.03W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW COUNTY ROADS IN THE SW PART OF THE
            COUNTY WERE UNDER WATER FOR A PERIOD OF
            TIME.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:27 PM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
527 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 8 WNW ROCKY SPRINGS     32.15N 90.94W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            A UTILITY WIRE WAS DOWNED OFF US 61.

0146 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW MOUND             32.35N 91.03W
12/27/2018  M40 MPH          MADISON            LA   ASOS

            OBSERVED AT THE KTVR AIRPORT.

0839 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E BASKIN              32.25N 91.65W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           LA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED ON LA 577/BASKIN
            CROWVILLE RD WEST OF CROWVILLE.

0841 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GILBERT                 32.05N 91.66W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES AND SOME POWER LINES DOWN.

0843 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N WASHINGTON          31.61N 91.30W
12/27/2018  M41 MPH          ADAMS              MS   PUBLIC

            OBSERVED AT THE NATCHEZ AIRPORT.

0843 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE WINNSBORO          32.22N 91.61W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN, OFF HWY 17.

0844 AM     TSTM WND DMG     11 SSW DELHI            32.30N 91.55W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MANY TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND CROWVILLE,
            TREES DOWN ON HOMES, ROOF DAMAGE AND POWER
            LINES DOWN. MUCH OF THIS IS ALONG HWY 17.
            POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0925 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE TALLULAH           32.46N 91.14W
12/27/2018                   MADISON            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 1 INJ ***
            WIND BLOW A CAR OFF THE ROAD INTO A DITCH
            AND CRASHED. A CHILD WAS TRAPPED AND
            INJURED.

0926 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S RICHMOND            32.33N 91.17W
12/27/2018                   MADISON            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 603.

0927 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE RICHMOND           32.36N 91.13W
12/27/2018                   MADISON            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN ALONG SAM VILARDO RD ALONG
            WITH A FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 602.

0941 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE FLOWOOD           32.31N 90.08W
12/27/2018  M40 MPH          RANKIN             MS   ASOS

            OBSERVED AT THE JAN AIRPORT.

0947 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW VICKSBURG         32.35N 90.88W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE AT THE CENTRAL FIRE STATION.

0948 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N VICKSBURG           32.35N 90.87W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS WARREN
            COUNTY.

0949 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNW VICKSBURG         32.39N 90.90W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   PUBLIC

            REPORTS OF SOME OVERTURNED TRAILERS.

0952 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE VICKSBURG          32.37N 90.83W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE AT THE CULKIN WATER DISTRICT
            BUILDING OFF US 61.

0953 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW JACKSON            32.33N 90.22W
12/27/2018  M40 MPH          HINDS              MS   ASOS

            OBSERVED AT THE HKS AIRPORT.

0954 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE VICKSBURG          32.34N 90.85W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLASH FLOODING OCCURRED ON CLAY STREET AND
            HIGHWAY 61 SOUTH.

0957 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE VICKSBURG          32.39N 90.78W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED ALONG OAK RIDGE RD,
            FREETOWN RD, AND WOODSTONE DR.

1000 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW COLUMBUS          33.49N 88.43W
12/27/2018                   LOWNDES            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A TREE WAS UPROOTED ALONG 3RD STREET SOUTH
            FROM GRADIENT WINDS.

1016 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE SATARTIA          32.63N 90.53W
12/27/2018                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO A HOME ON POTTERS
            RIDGE ROAD IN THE PHOENIX COMMUNITY.

1020 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S LOUISE              32.96N 90.59W
12/27/2018                   HUMPHREYS          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN NEAR MT. ZION CHURCH.

1023 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 N BOLTON             32.49N 90.49W
12/27/2018                   HINDS              MS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM
            10 N BOLTON. A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN AT COX
            FERRY AND FRANK HALL ROADS IN THE
            BROWNSVILLE AREA.

1026 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SILVER CITY             33.10N 90.49W
12/27/2018                   HUMPHREYS          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TELEPHONE POLE AND POWER LINES DOWN.

1027 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W BENTONIA            32.64N 90.44W
12/27/2018                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 433 W, WEST OF
            BENTONIA. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

1028 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW BELZONI            33.19N 90.49W
12/27/2018                   HUMPHREYS          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN.

1030 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW BYWY               33.43N 89.26W
12/27/2018                   CHOCTAW            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON THE NATCHEZ TRACE.

1035 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE YAZOO CITY        32.88N 90.38W
12/27/2018                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON A HOUSE ON WILDWOOD
            TERRACE EXT IN YAZOO CITY.

1035 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S YAZOO CITY          32.85N 90.41W
12/27/2018                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE ON A HOUSE.

1041 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 N CLINTON             32.43N 90.35W
12/27/2018                   HINDS              MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES AND LINES DOWN ALONG CLINTON-TINNIN
            RD.

1045 AM     TSTM WND DMG     EDEN                    32.98N 90.32W
12/27/2018                   YAZOO              MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES AND LINES DOWN.

1046 AM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NE FLORA              32.63N 90.22W
12/27/2018                   MADISON            MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 8
            NE FLORA. TREES AND LINES DOWN ALONG
            VIRLILIA RD.

1055 AM     FLASH FLOOD      9 NW ROCKY SPRINGS      32.17N 90.94W
12/27/2018                   WARREN             MS   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD REPORT FROM 9
            NW ROCKY SPRINGS. REPORT OF JEFF DAVIS RD.
            FLOODED NEAR 61.

1100 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE NATCHEZ           31.54N 91.37W
12/27/2018                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW NEIGHBORHOOD STREETS ARE FLOODED IN
            NATCHEZ, LINDBURG AREA.

1106 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW LEXINGTON         33.12N 90.06W
12/27/2018                   HOLMES             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES DOWN WITH ONE BLOCKING HWY 12,
            JUST WEST OF TOWN.

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S PICKENS             32.82N 89.96W
12/27/2018                   MADISON            MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES AND LINES DOWN NEAR OLD HWY 51 RD AND
            OAKS RD.

1125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE NATCHEZ            31.54N 91.37W
12/27/2018                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CAR FLOATING WITH WATER RESCUE UNDERWAY AT
            TURTLE LN AND EASTWOOD RD.

1135 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE SALLIS            33.01N 89.73W
12/27/2018                   ATTALA             MS   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES AND LINES DOWN ALONG SALLIS-MCADAMS
            RD.

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      9 SSE ROXIE             31.38N 91.03W
12/27/2018                   FRANKLIN           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW COUNTY ROADS IN THE SW PART OF THE
            COUNTY WERE UNDER WATER FOR A PERIOD OF
            TIME.

1259 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW WEST POINT         33.60N 88.66W
12/27/2018                   CLAY               MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN WHICH CAUSED A POWER
            OUTAGE NEAR LITTLE STREET IN WEST POINT.

0116 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE JACKSON            32.31N 90.19W
12/27/2018                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            2 CARS SUBMERGED UNDER WATER ON MONUMENT ST
            AT THE VIADUCT.

0331 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE HATTIESBURG        31.33N 89.29W
12/27/2018                   FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE STREETS INSIDE THE HATTIESBURG CITY
            LIMITS ARE FLOODED.

0335 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW COLUMBIA          31.23N 89.89W
12/27/2018                   MARION             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            INTENSE RAINFALL CAUSED A MUDSLIDE FROM A
            GRAVEL ROAD TO POUR MUD AND GRAVEL ACROSS
            HWY 586. THE ROAD HAD TO BE CLOSED FOR A
            PERIOD OF TIME TO REMOVE THE LARGE AMOUNTS
            OF EARTH DEBRIS.

0340 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.25N 89.83W
12/27/2018                   MARION             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS FLOODED IN TOWN WITH SEVERAL
            CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0429 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE LAUREL            31.70N 89.13W
12/27/2018                   JONES              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WERE FLOODED IN THE CITY OF
            LAUREL AND MULTIPLE VEHICLE CRASHES ON I-59
            IN LAUREL. TWO HOMES HAD TREES FALL ON THEM,
            WHICH RESULTED IN HEAVY DAMAGE AND ARE
            UNINHABITABLE. THESE HOMES WERE ON
            SPRINGHILL ROAD AND OLD HIGHWAY 15 SOUTH.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 27, 5:28 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
528 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N HATTIESBURG         31.34N 89.30W
12/27/2018                   FORREST            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PROVIDENCE ST CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. 5 CARS
            STALLED IN FLOOD WATERS.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 7:56 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNoxubee13 days
Dec 27, 8:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake14 days
Dec 27, 8:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake15 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson19 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence20 days
Dec 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson13 hr
Dec 27, 8:58 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones32 min
Dec 27, 9:20 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest47 hr
Dec 27, 9:25 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANJones12 days
Dec 27, 9:29 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANForrest71 hr
Dec 27, 9:31 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke4 days
Dec 27, 9:44 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lawrence and 2 more4 hr
Dec 27, 10:30 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion4 hr
Dec 27, 11:10 PM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANJones4 hr
Dec 27, 11:14 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar46 min
Dec 27, 11:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLamar3 hr
Dec 28, 12:17 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLauderdale6 hr
Dec 28, 1:25 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANClarke3 hr
Dec 28, 1:58 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Forrest, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones and 3 more6 hr
Dec 28, 2:40 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANForrest, Jones, Lamar110 min
Dec 28, 3:04 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANJones3 hr
Dec 28, 4:21 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANClarke114 min
Dec 28, 4:34 AM CSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJANForrest, Jones, Lamar116 min
Dec 28, 6:07 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANForrest51 hr
Dec 28, 7:47 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion6 hr
Dec 28, 7:57 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton6 hr
Dec 28, 9:33 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMarion23 hr
Dec 28, 12:08 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke21 days
Dec 28, 1:47 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANClarke, Covington, Forrest, Jasper, Jones, Lamar and 1 more24 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.