Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

914 
WGUS72 KGSP 161536
FFSGSP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1136 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCC199-161800-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180916T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yancey NC-
1136 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY COUNTY...

At 1130 AM EDT, Automated rain gauges indicated as much as 5 inches 
of rain had fallen in parts of the Black Mountains for this event. 
Excessive runoff will continue to filter through the Cane and South 
Toe River basins.  Additional heavy rain is likely to fall across 
the warned area through early afternoon.  

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Mount Mitchell State Park, Celo, Busick, Micaville and B.R.
Parkway-Craggy To Little Switzerland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Runoff from heavy rain into creeks and streams will cause sudden
increases in water levels and flows, even in areas where rainfall has
been light or nonexistent. Hikers, campers and other individuals
outdoors must immediately seek high ground and avoid all streams.

The additional heavy rain will increase the risk of landslides,
especially in areas where slides have occurred in the past. Be
especially alert if you are near a stream, especially at the base of
a mountain or in a cove. Watch for loose-moving soil and rocks or a
sudden increase in streamflow. Leave the area quickly if this is
observed. When driving along roads where the terrain is steep or
rocky, watch and listen for falling rocks, mud, trees and other
debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3593 8215 3586 8214 3584 8215 3582 8213
      3579 8217 3578 8216 3574 8219 3570 8226
      3570 8227 3573 8229 3575 8233 3578 8234
      3580 8234 3582 8236 3588 8234

$$

CSH

766 
WGUS52 KGSP 161747
FFWGSP
NCC199-170000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180917T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
147 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has extended
the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Yancey County in western North Carolina...

* Until 800 PM EDT Sunday.

* At 144 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  occasional heavy rain continuing to fall across the warned area. 
  Locally around 7 inches of rain has fallen today.  Excessive 
  runoff throughout the Cane and South Toe River basins will 
  continue. 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The additional heavy rain will increase the risk of landslides, 
especially in areas where slides have occurred in the past. Be 
especially alert if you are near a stream, especially at the base of 
a mountain or in a cove. Watch for loose-moving soil and rocks or a 
sudden increase in streamflow. Leave the area quickly if this is 
observed. When driving along roads where the terrain is steep or 
rocky, watch and listen for falling rocks, mud, trees and other 
debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3593 8215 3586 8214 3584 8215 3582 8213
      3579 8217 3578 8216 3574 8219 3570 8226
      3570 8227 3573 8229 3575 8233 3578 8234
      3580 8234 3582 8236 3588 8234

$$

CSH

145 
WGUS52 KGSP 162338
FFWGSP
NCC199-170500-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180917T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
738 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has extended
the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Yancey County in western North Carolina...

* Until 100 AM EDT.

* At 735 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated continuous rain over 
  southern Yancey county. Up to three inches of rain has fallen 
  since 500 PM EDT. Flash flooding is already occurring and tropical 
  rain bands will continue to add another two inches of rainfall 
  over the next several hours.  

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Mount Mitchell State Park, Celo, Busick, Micaville and B.R.
  Parkway-Craggy To Little Switzerland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Do not attempt to cross
water-covered roadways, bridges, or low-level crossings. Only a few
inches of rapidly flowing water can carry away your vehicle. It is
not worth the risk. Please TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.

Runoff from heavy rain into creeks and streams will cause sudden
increases in water levels and flows, even in areas where rainfall has
been light or nonexistent. Hikers, campers and other individuals
outdoors must immediately seek high ground and avoid all streams.

The additional heavy rain will increase the risk of landslides,
especially in areas where slides have occurred in the past. Be
especially alert if you are near a stream, especially at the base of
a mountain or in a cove. Watch for loose-moving soil and rocks or a
sudden increase in streamflow. Leave the area quickly if this is
observed. When driving along roads where the terrain is steep or
rocky, watch and listen for falling rocks, mud, trees and other
debris.

When it is safe to do so, please report flood waters or landslides
flowing over roads or threatening property to the National Weather
Service by calling toll free, 1, 800, 2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, by posting on
our Facebook page, or via Twitter using hashtag NWSGSP. Your message
should describe the event and the specific location where it
occurred, including roadways, nearby cross streets, stream names and
other landmarks.

&&

LAT...LON 3593 8215 3586 8214 3584 8215 3582 8213
      3579 8217 3578 8216 3574 8219 3570 8226
      3570 8227 3573 8229 3575 8233 3578 8234
      3580 8234 3582 8236 3588 8234

$$

KRENTZ

051 
WGUS72 KGSP 170450
FFSGSP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1250 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

NCC199-170500-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-180917T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yancey NC-
1250 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 100 AM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3593 8215 3586 8214 3584 8215 3582 8213
      3579 8217 3578 8216 3574 8219 3570 8226
      3570 8227 3573 8229 3575 8233 3578 8234
      3580 8234 3582 8236 3588 8234

$$

LANE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
712 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
The remnants of Florence will continue to track into and through the
western Carolinas this weekend. This will result in a threat for
widespread flooding into Monday. Drying will occur across the
forecast area as Florence pulls away from the southeast early next
week with the rain chances returning towards the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 645 AM EDT: The center of Florence continues to crawl slowly
westward near Columbia. Rain continues to wrap around the northern
half of the storm and across our area, but rates have been generally
modest. That said, there have been some brief heavy amounts. The
heavier rain rates are off the the east but will move in as the
center of Florence moves west this morning then NW this afternoon.
The strong low level flow becomes more easterly increasing the
orographic component and keeping moisture transport high. Given the
forecast track, the heaviest rainfall will be from along the NC/SC
border north across the Foothills and Piedmont to along and near the
Blue Ridge Escarpment. Additional rainfall of up to 6 inches will be
possible across these areas today and tonight. Rainfall drops off to
the SW with one-half to one inch from the Upper Savannah River
Valley north into the SW NC Mountains. 1 to 3 inches may fall
between these two areas. The Flash Flood Watch likely extends too
far west. However, don't want to cancel any portions just yet since
the heaviest rain rates are yet to come.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will become more widespread this morning as
the stronger winds spread in from the east. Therefore, will extend
the Wind Advisory through the day today but portions of the advisory
may be able to be cancelled early.

The tropical tornado threat has increased somewhat this afternoon
and early evening. 0-1 km helicity remains quite high with the
strong low level jet in place. The change is an increase in muCAPE
across the I-77 corridor into the NC Foothills. SPC has upgraded
this area into the Marginal category as a result.

Precip chances, and resulting threats, taper off from SW to NE
overnight. Highs today will be 5 to 10 degrees below normal, while
lows tonight will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday: A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for
portions of the area through Monday evening.

Model guidance remains in fairly good agreement with the placement
of what will be post-tropical Florence over Kentucky Monday morning,
as the system is progged to weaken and become an open 500 mb wave by
late Tuesday. As it propagates up towards the Ohio River Valley but
then pushes eastward with sfc trough, lingering wrap around moisture
will allow for isolated showers to persist across the FA through
Tuesday late afternoon/evening, gradually tapering off from south to
north. Additional rainfall amounts of a quarter of an inch or less
are possible. Overnight Tuesday, PoPs drop off below mentionable wx,
and thus the drying trend begins. Temperatures throughout the short
term will remain just above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 350 AM EDT Sunday: Not much has changed in regards to the
extended forecast period from earlier today, as latest guidance
continues to depict the expansion of high pressure into the
Southeast on Wednesday. Expect this feature to linger through the
end of the week, as guidance depicts the ridge of high pressure
shifting from across the Carolinas and into the Atlantic. As a
result, south-southeasterly flow returns and so does the
infiltration of moisture into the area ahead of an approaching front
from the northwest. Thus, would not entirely rule out a few diurnal
showers as early as Thursday, mainly across the mountains. As the
boundary moves closer to the FA, expect the potential for showers
and thunderstorms to expand across the entire area beginning Friday
afternoon and continuing through the weekend. Rainfall amounts will
be minimal. Temperatures will remain above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Very gusty NE winds will continue across the
area this morning. IFR ceilings are expected by daybreak with IFR
vsby east and MVFR west where the heavier rainfall moves in. IFR
cigs continue through the day with IFR vsby for all but KAND where
rain will be lighter. Gusty NE winds continue as well, but speeds
drop off from west to east during the afternoon. Winds diminish even
more during the evening and turn ESE to SE as the the weakening
center of the Florence remnant moves north across the area.

Outlook: Expect intermittent MVFR or IFR flight restrictions with
periods of moderate to heavy rain early Monday as the remnants of
Florence move north of the western Carolinas. Flight conditions
improve later on Monday and into Tuesday.

Confidence Table...

            11-17Z        17-23Z        23-05Z        05-06Z
KCLT       Med   75%     High  94%     High  94%     High 100%
KGSP       High  81%     High  89%     High  94%     Med   68%
KAVL       High 100%     High  83%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High  94%     High  89%     High 100%
KGMU       High  81%     High  89%     High 100%     High  93%
KAND       High 100%     High  89%     High  94%     Low   53%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for GAZ010-017.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for NCZ033-035>037-
     048>050-052-053-056-057-059-063>065-068>072-082-501>510.
     Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for SCZ001>014-019.
     Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH/SGL
NEAR TERM...RWH
SHORT TERM...SGL
LONG TERM...SGL
AVIATION...RWH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
514 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-052-053-056-057-059-063>065-068>072-082-
501>510-SCZ001>014-019-170915-
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-
Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Northern Jackson-Southern Jackson-
Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-
Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
514 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina,
western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

Tropical Depression Florence will bring significant impacts to the
region through today as it moves west through the western Carolinas
and northeast Georgia. Prepare now for flooding rainfall, landslides
along steep terrain in and near the mountains, and gusty winds that
could damage trees and power lines. Isolated, brief tornadoes are
possible today as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Rainfall from Tropical Depression Florence will linger into Monday.
Thus, the threat of flooding rainfall will continue as well as the
potential for landslides along steep terrain in and near the
mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ010-017-NCZ051-058-062-170915-
Rabun-Habersham-Swain-Graham-Macon-
514 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and western
North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ018-026-028-029-170915-
Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-
514 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated showers are expected today and tonight with gusty winds
at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
630 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S STALLINGS           35.06N 80.69W
09/16/2018                   UNION              NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE CAUSING SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL
            DAMAGE.

&&

LVISIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
656 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

NCZ057-071-072-082-161230-
Rowan NC-Union NC-Mecklenburg NC-Cabarrus NC-
656 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT CABARRUS...MECKLENBURG...ROWAN
AND UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 830 AM EDT...

At 652 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an
incoming band of heavy rain along a line extending from 8 miles
southeast of Salisbury to near Monroe, and moving northwest at 40
mph. The band of rain extends farther southeast into northern South
Carolina, and the heavy rain will persist across the Charlotte Metro
area for some time. Expect increased ponding of water and some rises
on area waterways. As the rain continues to fall, Flood Advisories
or Flash Flood Warnings may be needed over the next few hours.
Residents and motorists are urged to exercise extreme caution today.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Huntersville, Kannapolis, Downtown Concord, Monroe,
Salisbury, Central Charlotte, South Charlotte, Northeast Charlotte
and Southwest Charlotte.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters.

These heavy rain may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
and tv stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3516 8044 3519 8028
      3481 8032 3482 8080 3494 8078 3511 8093
      3506 8106 3513 8105 3516 8100 3534 8099
      3536 8092 3537 8099 3549 8094 3551 8074
      3568 8077 3579 8073 3572 8034 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1052Z 118DEG 34KT 3556 8040 3499 8049

TDP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
819 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WOODLAWN                35.79N 82.04W
09/16/2018  E0 MPH           MCDOWELL           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE ON A HOUSE ON HICKS CHAPEL LOOP.

&&

TPALMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
824 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE CHARLOTTE          35.17N 80.79W
09/16/2018                   MECKLENBURG        NC   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            THE STREAMGAUGE AT MCMULLEN CREEK ABOVE LINCREST PLACE
            ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 813AM, RISING OVER 5 FEET IN
            LESS THAN 3 HOURS. AT THIS STAGE, THE CREEK WILL BE
            OVERTOPPING ADDISON DRIVE AND LINCREST ROAD. THE CREEK
            WILL CONTINUE TO RISE WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN THROUGH THE
            DAY.

&&

TPALMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
842 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      INDIAN TRAIL            35.07N 80.68W
09/16/2018                   UNION              NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF A VEHICLE STUCK IN 6-8
            OF WATER ON FAITH CHURCH RD AND LAKE PARK.

&&

TPALMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
920 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW FAIRVIEW          35.12N 80.60W
09/16/2018                   UNION              NC   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            THE STREAMGAUGE AT GOOSE CREEK AT MILL GROVE ROAD 4 NE
            INDIAN TRAIL ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 845AM, RISING
            ALMOST 6 FEET IN 4 HOURS. THE CREEK IS STILL RISING AND
            WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS ADDITIONAL RAIN FALLS.

&&

TPALMER