Severe Thunderstorm Warning 195, NWS Dodge City, KS

367 
WWUS53 KDDC 130253
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
953 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSC083-130302-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-180613T0330Z/
Hodgeman KS-
953 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3775 9968 3791 9963 3791 9957 3792 9957
      3787 9932 3767 9924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0252Z 038DEG 11KT 3783 9945 

$$

KSC047-057-097-130330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-180613T0330Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-Edwards KS-
953 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN FORD...NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS
COUNTIES...

At 952 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of
Kinsley, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Offerle and Windhorst. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3775 9968 3791 9963 3791 9957 3792 9957
      3787 9932 3767 9924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0252Z 038DEG 11KT 3783 9945 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

299 
WWUS53 KDDC 130314
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1014 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSC047-057-097-130324-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-180613T0330Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-Edwards KS-
1014 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FORD...
NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3775 9968 3791 9963 3791 9957 3792 9957
      3787 9932 3767 9924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 014DEG 7KT 3779 9946 

$$

RBURG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
700 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Areas of thunderstorms will be in the forecast tonight through mid
tomorrow morning. The first area of development looks to be along
a stalled frontal boundary roughly from Ashland to St. John. Once
these thunderstorms develop the outflow/cold pool could trigger
convection further west through the rest of the evening along the
boundary back westward to Dodge City. Another area of convection
in association with an upper level shortwave is expected to
develop along the Palmer divide in Colorado and then move south
and eastward into western Kansas after midnight tonight. These
thunderstorms could contain heavy rain as they evolve into a MCS
and move along the frontal boundary with decent enough 850 mb
winds.

Wednesday as the storm activity moves out clouds will hang around
through the early-mid afternoon. Depending on how long the clouds
hang around temperatures are expected to be cooler with highs
mainly in the upper 80s although a few low 90s can't be ruled out.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Hot temperatures will be the general theme as we go into the long
term forecast.

Another complex of storms is forecast to develop from Wednesday
night into Thursday morning. A shortwave trough in eastern
Colorado is forecast to develop convection and move into western
Kansas through the evening and overnight hours.

Winds will pick up out of the southwest through the day Thursday
with 850 mb temperatures warming to around 30 (C) for most
locations we should see highs get back into the upper 90s.

For Friday on it looks like the core of the warmer air will be
firmly in place through the central and southern plains driving
the jet stream well to the north. This should keep us mainly dry
with afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s through the
weekend.

With the forecast position of the jet stream this should keep the
remnants of what is currently Hurricane Bud mainly to the west in
the Rockies through the weekend. However with a large upper level
low moving into the Pacific northwest by next Monday this may
drive some of the tropical moisture into southwest Kansas along
with a cool down in temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 652 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Thunderstorms earlier this evening have developed along a surface
boundary located east of Dodge City and Liberal. These two
locations currently appear the have the better chance for a few
isolated thunderstorms over the next few hours just east of these
airports so have included a VCTS til 03z Wednesday. Elsewhere
thunderstorm probability looks to be very low. Prevailing winds
across western Kansas overnight will be from the southeast at
around 10 knots. BUFR soundings indicating VFR conditions
overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  87  70  97 /  60  60  20   0
GCK  65  87  68  99 /  70  30  20   0
EHA  66  90  67  96 /  60  10  20  10
LBL  67  89  69  98 /  60  30  20   0
HYS  66  86  69  99 /  50  30  20  10
P28  71  87  71  97 /  60  60  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
514 AM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-131015-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
514 AM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018 /414 AM MDT Tue Jun 12 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Thunderstorm chances throughout Southwest Kansas
 increase this afternoon/evening, and may linger into Wednesday.
 Without strong upper level forcing, there will be several areas
 of potential storm initiation this afternoon. First being
 boundaries that set up over Western Kansas from convection this
 morning toward Central Kansas; second being along the warm front
 as it lifts northwest into southwestern Kansas (roughly east of
 Highway 183); and finally, where models have been most consistent
 in agreement is around a mid-level vorticity max that the NAM and
 GFS kicks out of Rockies and into Western Kansas late this
 afternoon. Storms that initially develop will have large hail and
 strong to severe wind concerns. If storms congeal into a
 possible convective system tonight, main concerns will be heavy
 rain/flooding, damaging wind and large hail.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
Storms may linger into Wednesday morning.
 Another chance of storms will occur Wednesday night. Thursday
 through Sunday look to remain dry at this time. Monday, rain
 chances return.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed between 5 and 11 pm west of
highway 83 for storms coming in from Colorado, and east of 86 for
storms along boundaries. If storms form into a convective system,
storms will move through Southwest Kansas overnight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
830 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             GARFIELD                38.08N 99.24W
06/12/2018  E2.75 INCH       PAWNEE             KS   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED BASEBALL SIZE BASED ON PICTURE ON
            TWITTER.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
833 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             3 ENE HOPEWELL          37.82N 98.94W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       PRATT              KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     HAIL             1 SE LIBERAL            37.03N 100.92W
06/12/2018  E1.50 INCH       SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PING PONG SIZE BY EM.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
856 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             1 N MACKSVILLE          37.96N 98.97W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       STAFFORD           KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

RML

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
902 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSZ084-085-130300-
Stevens KS-Morton KS-
902 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORTON AND SOUTHWESTERN STEVENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 901 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Elkhart. This storm was moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Elkhart, Rolla, Richfield and Wilburton.

LAT...LON 3721 10204 3739 10159 3700 10146 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 224DEG 4KT 3707 10208

FINCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
908 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             1 SE LIBERAL            37.03N 100.92W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

RML