Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 193, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 12, 2018Morton County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 12, 2018, 9:10 PM CDT for Morton County, Kansas. It was in force for 65 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 12, 2018, 9:10 PM CDT (02:10 UTC)
Expired: Jun 12, 2018, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Morton County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 182 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 12, 10:05 PM CDT	HAIL 1	3 W Richfield, KS	CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 3 W RICHFIELD. EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE 3 MILES WEST OF HWY 51 AND 27 INTERSECTION.
Jun 12, 10:05 PM CDT	HAIL 1	3 W Richfield, KS	EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE 3 MILES WEST OF HWY 51 AND 27 INTERSECTION.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 55 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3452 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1860 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 20.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

091 
WUUS53 KDDC 130210
SVRDDC
KSC129-130315-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0193.180613T0210Z-180613T0315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
910 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Morton County in southwestern Kansas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.

* At 909 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles northwest
  of Elkhart, moving northeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Elkhart, Richfield and Wilburton. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 10204 3738 10190 3726 10173 3700 10168
      3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 222DEG 18KT 3713 10203 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

3 follow-up statements

747 
WWUS53 KDDC 130229
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
929 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSC129-130315-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0193.000000T0000Z-180613T0315Z/
Morton KS-
929 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY...

At 928 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northwest of
Wilburton, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Richfield and Wilburton. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 10201 3735 10189 3726 10173 3700 10168
      3703 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 243DEG 24KT 3714 10191 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

020 
WWUS53 KDDC 130244
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
944 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSC129-130315-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0193.000000T0000Z-180613T0315Z/
Morton KS-
944 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY...

At 943 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southwest of
Richfield, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Richfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 10201 3735 10189 3726 10173 3707 10173
      3708 10191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 199DEG 16KT 3719 10188 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

634 
WWUS53 KDDC 130317
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1017 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSC129-130327-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0193.000000T0000Z-180613T0315Z/
Morton KS-
1017 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened. 
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire. However small 
hail and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3720 10201 3735 10189 3726 10173 3707 10173
      3708 10191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 222DEG 18KT 3731 10174 

$$

RBURG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 12, 7:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 7:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
700 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Areas of thunderstorms will be in the forecast tonight through mid
tomorrow morning. The first area of development looks to be along
a stalled frontal boundary roughly from Ashland to St. John. Once
these thunderstorms develop the outflow/cold pool could trigger
convection further west through the rest of the evening along the
boundary back westward to Dodge City. Another area of convection
in association with an upper level shortwave is expected to
develop along the Palmer divide in Colorado and then move south
and eastward into western Kansas after midnight tonight. These
thunderstorms could contain heavy rain as they evolve into a MCS
and move along the frontal boundary with decent enough 850 mb
winds.

Wednesday as the storm activity moves out clouds will hang around
through the early-mid afternoon. Depending on how long the clouds
hang around temperatures are expected to be cooler with highs
mainly in the upper 80s although a few low 90s can't be ruled out.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Hot temperatures will be the general theme as we go into the long
term forecast.

Another complex of storms is forecast to develop from Wednesday
night into Thursday morning. A shortwave trough in eastern
Colorado is forecast to develop convection and move into western
Kansas through the evening and overnight hours.

Winds will pick up out of the southwest through the day Thursday
with 850 mb temperatures warming to around 30 (C) for most
locations we should see highs get back into the upper 90s.

For Friday on it looks like the core of the warmer air will be
firmly in place through the central and southern plains driving
the jet stream well to the north. This should keep us mainly dry
with afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s through the
weekend.

With the forecast position of the jet stream this should keep the
remnants of what is currently Hurricane Bud mainly to the west in
the Rockies through the weekend. However with a large upper level
low moving into the Pacific northwest by next Monday this may
drive some of the tropical moisture into southwest Kansas along
with a cool down in temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 652 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Thunderstorms earlier this evening have developed along a surface
boundary located east of Dodge City and Liberal. These two
locations currently appear the have the better chance for a few
isolated thunderstorms over the next few hours just east of these
airports so have included a VCTS til 03z Wednesday. Elsewhere
thunderstorm probability looks to be very low. Prevailing winds
across western Kansas overnight will be from the southeast at
around 10 knots. BUFR soundings indicating VFR conditions
overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  87  70  97 /  60  60  20   0
GCK  65  87  68  99 /  70  30  20   0
EHA  66  90  67  96 /  60  10  20  10
LBL  67  89  69  98 /  60  30  20   0
HYS  66  86  69  99 /  50  30  20  10
P28  71  87  71  97 /  60  60  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 5:14 AM CDT, 15 hours 56 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
514 AM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-131015-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
514 AM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018 /414 AM MDT Tue Jun 12 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Thunderstorm chances throughout Southwest Kansas
 increase this afternoon/evening, and may linger into Wednesday.
 Without strong upper level forcing, there will be several areas
 of potential storm initiation this afternoon. First being
 boundaries that set up over Western Kansas from convection this
 morning toward Central Kansas; second being along the warm front
 as it lifts northwest into southwestern Kansas (roughly east of
 Highway 183); and finally, where models have been most consistent
 in agreement is around a mid-level vorticity max that the NAM and
 GFS kicks out of Rockies and into Western Kansas late this
 afternoon. Storms that initially develop will have large hail and
 strong to severe wind concerns. If storms congeal into a
 possible convective system tonight, main concerns will be heavy
 rain/flooding, damaging wind and large hail.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
Storms may linger into Wednesday morning.
 Another chance of storms will occur Wednesday night. Thursday
 through Sunday look to remain dry at this time. Monday, rain
 chances return.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed between 5 and 11 pm west of
highway 83 for storms coming in from Colorado, and east of 86 for
storms along boundaries. If storms form into a convective system,
storms will move through Southwest Kansas overnight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 12, 8:30 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
830 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             GARFIELD                38.08N 99.24W
06/12/2018  E2.75 INCH       PAWNEE             KS   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED BASEBALL SIZE BASED ON PICTURE ON
            TWITTER.

&&

RML

Local storm report, Jun 12, 8:33 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
833 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             3 ENE HOPEWELL          37.82N 98.94W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       PRATT              KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE.

&&

RML

Local storm report, Jun 12, 8:52 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     HAIL             1 SE LIBERAL            37.03N 100.92W
06/12/2018  E1.50 INCH       SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PING PONG SIZE BY EM.

&&

RML

Local storm report, Jun 12, 8:56 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
856 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             1 N MACKSVILLE          37.96N 98.97W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       STAFFORD           KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

RML

Special weather statement, Jun 12, 9:02 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
902 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

KSZ084-085-130300-
Stevens KS-Morton KS-
902 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORTON AND SOUTHWESTERN STEVENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 901 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Elkhart. This storm was moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Elkhart, Rolla, Richfield and Wilburton.

LAT...LON 3721 10204 3739 10159 3700 10146 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 224DEG 4KT 3707 10208

FINCH

Local storm report, Jun 12, 9:08 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
908 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             1 SE LIBERAL            37.03N 100.92W
06/12/2018  E1.00 INCH       SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

RML

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 12, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Kiowa	45 min
Jun 12, 7:18 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	3 hr
Jun 12, 7:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford	55 min
Jun 12, 7:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	27 min
Jun 12, 7:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	63 min
Jun 12, 8:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Stafford	61 min
Jun 12, 8:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt, Stafford	23 min
Jun 12, 8:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade, Seward	66 min
Jun 12, 8:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Seward, Stevens	66 min
Jun 12, 9:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	58 min
Jun 12, 9:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Seward, Stevens	40 min
Jun 12, 9:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa	39 min
Jun 12, 9:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Pratt	58 min
Jun 12, 10:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Stanton	56 min
Jun 12, 11:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward, Stevens	56 min
Jun 12, 11:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Stanton	52 min
Jun 12, 11:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	51 min
Jun 13, 12:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Stanton	50 min
Jun 13, 12:28 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	25 min
Jun 13, 12:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant	63 min
Jun 13, 1:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Stanton	64 min
Jun 13, 6:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	65 min
Jun 13, 7:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	45 min
Jun 13, 9:25 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	65 min
Jun 13, 9:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	44 min
Jun 13, 9:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis	42 min
Jun 13, 9:52 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.