Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Bismarck, ND

358 
WWUS53 KBIS 290735
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
235 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

NDC021-029-043-045-047-051-093-290815-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-180629T0815Z/
LaMoure ND-Dickey ND-Kidder ND-Logan ND-McIntosh ND-Emmons ND-
Stutsman ND-
235 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN LAMOURE...WESTERN DICKEY...SOUTHEASTERN KIDDER...LOGAN...
MCINTOSH...EASTERN EMMONS AND SOUTHERN STUTSMAN COUNTIES...

At 234 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northeast of Medina to 10 miles north of Lehr
to near Zeeland, moving east at 65 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  Cleveland around 240 AM CDT.
  Kulm around 250 AM CDT.
  Ashley around 255 AM CDT.
  Jamestown and Edgeley around 300 AM CDT.
  Forbes around 315 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Eldridge, Burnstad, Fredonia, Windsor, Kintyre, Merricourt, Hull,
Millarton, Nortonville and Danzig.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing
widespread wind damage. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure 
and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4596 10019 4655 10000 4701 9978 4699 9860
      4609 9870 4594 9877 4594 9914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0734Z 281DEG 57KT 4698 9923 4644 9932 4601 9982 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

CJS/JNS

797 
WWUS53 KBIS 290752
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
252 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

NDC029-043-290801-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-180629T0815Z/
Kidder ND-Emmons ND-
252 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIDDER AND
EASTERN EMMONS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for
south central and southeastern North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4595 9988 4601 9988 4648 9945 4700 9940
      4699 9860 4609 9870 4594 9877 4594 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 0751Z 272DEG 40KT 4696 9884 4640 9904 4599 9957 

$$

NDC021-045-047-051-093-290815-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-180629T0815Z/
LaMoure ND-Dickey ND-Logan ND-McIntosh ND-Stutsman ND-
252 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN LAMOURE...WESTERN DICKEY...EASTERN LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND
SOUTHERN STUTSMAN COUNTIES...

At 251 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles south of Buchanan to 7 miles northwest of Kulm
to Venturia, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe storms will be near...
  Kulm around 255 AM CDT.
  Jamestown around 300 AM CDT.
  Ashley around 305 AM CDT.
  Edgeley around 310 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Eldridge, Nortonville, Danzig, Green Lake, Fredonia, Windsor, Alfred,
Merricourt, Sydney and Millarton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4595 9988 4601 9988 4648 9945 4700 9940
      4699 9860 4609 9870 4594 9877 4594 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 0751Z 272DEG 40KT 4696 9884 4640 9904 4599 9957 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

CJS/JNS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1250 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

Line of severe thunderstorms continues moving east across central
and southwestern North Dakota. Sever thunderstorm watch remains in
effect until 8 am CDT, however do expect to take counties out of the
watch from west to east throughout the nighttime hours as the line
of storms moves east. Otherwise no big changes in current forecast
for the early morning hours.

UPDATE Issued at 1010 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Based on recent radar trends and evening CAM simulations,
confidence remains high that a widespread wind threat will cross
western and central ND over roughly the next six hours. As the
cold-pool-driven forward propagation takes hold and the the speed
at which the line moves eastward averages 60+ mph, the threat may
rapidly spread eastward faster than even recent HRRR simulations
would suggest. Accordingly, collaboration is taking place with SPC
and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued before 04
UTC to replace the current Tornado Watch and which would likely
extend eastward across most of the state.

UPDATE Issued at 840 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Quick update to add Wells county to the Flash Flood Watch per
radar trends through 0145 UTC, with additional rounds of
convection expected through the night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 412 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Very active late afternoon and night with significant severe
weather expected. Tornado watch was issued during the hour for all
but the northern tier counties along the Canadian border. The
tornado watch is in effect until 11 pm CDT, but it is important to
note that additional watches will likely be needed for this
event, which will last through much of the night. In addition, a
flash flood watch is in effect for west central through north
central counties. Please see previous discussion that covered the
factors supporting the flash flood threat.

Otherwise, SPC meso page continues to show extreme CAPE in excess
of 5000 J/KG across the southwest, decreasing northward.
Convective development has been hindered much of this afternoon
with lack of large scale forcing, which should change as upper
level support increases with approaching upper level trough. CAM
solutions continue to struggle with convection, but all trend
toward a better organized convective system moving in from Montana
this evening.

Friday SPC day 2 outlook continues to show general thunderstorms
for ND, however latest SREF guidance appears to be pointing toward
the possibility of some stronger storms.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 412 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Upper level trough continues moving across the Northern Plains
supporting continued thunderstorm chances through the weekend
under cyclonic flow. High temps cool down into the 70s before
rebounding again into the 80s early next week. Near zonal flow
with occasional impulses working through the flow will support a
continue active pattern with chances of showers/thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

As of 0530z, a line of severe thunderstorms extended from near
Bottineau to east of KMOT to near KBIS to east of KDIK to KHEI.
Variable winds with gusts around 50kts ahead, along, and behind this
line of severe storms as they move east across the state early this
Friday morning. Some locales may see winds in excess of 65kts, large
hail, and LIFR conditions associated with the thunderstorms.
Otherwise southeast winds mainly out ahead of the line of storms,
and northwesterly winds behind the line.

MVFR ceilings possible from time to time after line of storms move
through.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ this morning for
NDZ001>005-009>013-017>019-021>023-031-032.

&&

UPDATE...JV
SHORT TERM...JNS
LONG TERM...JNS
AVIATION...JV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

NDZ001-009-017-031-300600-
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Golden Valley-
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018 /1158 PM MDT Thu Jun 28 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North
Dakota and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM CDT Friday morning. 2
to 4 inches of rain with locally higher amounts had been
expected. Most of the line of strong to severe storms has exited
far western North Dakota, but any more rain that falls may
exacerbate areas already flooded.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The chance for thunderstorms continues Friday and Saturday across
much of western and central North Dakota. A few storms could be
strong Friday across the far south central and James River
Valley, but severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon and tonight.

NDZ002>005-010>013-018>023-025-032>037-040>048-050-051-300600-
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Billings-Stark-
Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-
Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018 /1158 PM MDT Thu Jun 28 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A significant and widespread line of severe thunderstorms was
moving east across central and southwestern North Dakota early
this Friday morning. Damaging winds to near 80 mph, and very heavy
rain are the main threats. Large hail to around golfball size is
also still possible with this line of severe storms tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM CDT Friday morning. 2
to 4 inches of rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The chance for thunderstorms continues Friday and Saturday across
much of western and central North Dakota. A few storms could be
strong Friday across the far south central and James River
Valley, but severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon and tonight.

JV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
136 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WASHBURN                47.29N 101.02W
06/29/2018                   MCLEAN             ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR COUNTY ROAD
            22.

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
139 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E BISMARCK            46.82N 100.75W
06/29/2018                   BURLEIGH           ND   PUBLIC

            SUBMITTED THROUGH NWS WEB PAGE REPORTING
            FORM.

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
142 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     TSTM WND GST     STANTON                 47.33N 101.38W
06/29/2018  M79 MPH          MERCER             ND   MESONET

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
143 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     TSTM WND GST     LINCOLN                 46.76N 100.70W
06/29/2018  M63 MPH          BURLEIGH           ND   PUBLIC

            ALSO HAD PEA SIZE HAIL AND 0.90 INCHES OF
            RAIN. REPORT RELAYED THROUGH BROADCAST
            METEOROLOGIST TO NWS.

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
204 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KARLSRUHE               48.09N 100.62W
06/29/2018  M1.50 INCH       MCHENRY            ND   PUBLIC

            RAIN THIS MORNING.

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
209 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 E MOFFIT              46.68N 100.24W
06/29/2018  M72 MPH          BURLEIGH           ND   MESONET

&&

MH