Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Bismarck, ND

274 
WWUS53 KBIS 290638
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
138 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

NDC037-290647-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180629T0715Z/
Grant ND-
138 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for
south central North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4595 10125 4628 10102 4664 10092 4663 9992
      4594 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 276DEG 42KT 4662 10041 4629 10062 4607 10108 

$$

NDC029-059-085-290715-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180629T0715Z/
Sioux ND-Morton ND-Emmons ND-
138 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR SIOUX...SOUTHEASTERN MORTON AND EMMONS COUNTIES...

At 137 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 11 miles northwest of Hazelton to Prairie Knights
Resort to 7 miles west of Selfridge, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Braddock around 155 AM CDT.
  Linton around 200 AM CDT.
  Fort Yates around 205 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Fort
Rice, Temvik, Breien, Kintyre, Hazelton Recreation Area, Cattail
Recreation Area, Beaver Bay Recreation Area, Hull and Huff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms.
&&

LAT...LON 4595 10125 4628 10102 4664 10092 4663 9992
      4594 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 276DEG 42KT 4662 10041 4629 10062 4607 10108 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CJS/JNS

656 
WWUS53 KBIS 290651
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
151 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

NDC059-290700-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180629T0715Z/
Morton ND-
151 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for
south central North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4595 10098 4624 10070 4663 10047 4663 9992
      4594 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 281DEG 52KT 4662 10013 4627 10036 4600 10084 

$$

NDC029-085-290715-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-180629T0715Z/
Sioux ND-Emmons ND-
151 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN SIOUX AND EMMONS COUNTIES...

At 150 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles northwest of Braddock to 6 miles west of
Linton to 4 miles southeast of Selfridge, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Linton and Braddock around 155 AM CDT.
  Strasburg around 200 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Kintyre, Temvik, Cattail Recreation Area, Beaver Bay Recreation Area
and Hull.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4595 10098 4624 10070 4663 10047 4663 9992
      4594 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 281DEG 52KT 4662 10013 4627 10036 4600 10084 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CJS/JNS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1250 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

Line of severe thunderstorms continues moving east across central
and southwestern North Dakota. Sever thunderstorm watch remains in
effect until 8 am CDT, however do expect to take counties out of the
watch from west to east throughout the nighttime hours as the line
of storms moves east. Otherwise no big changes in current forecast
for the early morning hours.

UPDATE Issued at 1010 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Based on recent radar trends and evening CAM simulations,
confidence remains high that a widespread wind threat will cross
western and central ND over roughly the next six hours. As the
cold-pool-driven forward propagation takes hold and the the speed
at which the line moves eastward averages 60+ mph, the threat may
rapidly spread eastward faster than even recent HRRR simulations
would suggest. Accordingly, collaboration is taking place with SPC
and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued before 04
UTC to replace the current Tornado Watch and which would likely
extend eastward across most of the state.

UPDATE Issued at 840 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Quick update to add Wells county to the Flash Flood Watch per
radar trends through 0145 UTC, with additional rounds of
convection expected through the night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 412 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Very active late afternoon and night with significant severe
weather expected. Tornado watch was issued during the hour for all
but the northern tier counties along the Canadian border. The
tornado watch is in effect until 11 pm CDT, but it is important to
note that additional watches will likely be needed for this
event, which will last through much of the night. In addition, a
flash flood watch is in effect for west central through north
central counties. Please see previous discussion that covered the
factors supporting the flash flood threat.

Otherwise, SPC meso page continues to show extreme CAPE in excess
of 5000 J/KG across the southwest, decreasing northward.
Convective development has been hindered much of this afternoon
with lack of large scale forcing, which should change as upper
level support increases with approaching upper level trough. CAM
solutions continue to struggle with convection, but all trend
toward a better organized convective system moving in from Montana
this evening.

Friday SPC day 2 outlook continues to show general thunderstorms
for ND, however latest SREF guidance appears to be pointing toward
the possibility of some stronger storms.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 412 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Upper level trough continues moving across the Northern Plains
supporting continued thunderstorm chances through the weekend
under cyclonic flow. High temps cool down into the 70s before
rebounding again into the 80s early next week. Near zonal flow
with occasional impulses working through the flow will support a
continue active pattern with chances of showers/thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

As of 0530z, a line of severe thunderstorms extended from near
Bottineau to east of KMOT to near KBIS to east of KDIK to KHEI.
Variable winds with gusts around 50kts ahead, along, and behind this
line of severe storms as they move east across the state early this
Friday morning. Some locales may see winds in excess of 65kts, large
hail, and LIFR conditions associated with the thunderstorms.
Otherwise southeast winds mainly out ahead of the line of storms,
and northwesterly winds behind the line.

MVFR ceilings possible from time to time after line of storms move
through.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ this morning for
NDZ001>005-009>013-017>019-021>023-031-032.

&&

UPDATE...JV
SHORT TERM...JNS
LONG TERM...JNS
AVIATION...JV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018

NDZ001-009-017-031-300600-
Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Golden Valley-
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018 /1158 PM MDT Thu Jun 28 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North
Dakota and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM CDT Friday morning. 2
to 4 inches of rain with locally higher amounts had been
expected. Most of the line of strong to severe storms has exited
far western North Dakota, but any more rain that falls may
exacerbate areas already flooded.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The chance for thunderstorms continues Friday and Saturday across
much of western and central North Dakota. A few storms could be
strong Friday across the far south central and James River
Valley, but severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon and tonight.

NDZ002>005-010>013-018>023-025-032>037-040>048-050-051-300600-
Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-
Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Billings-Stark-
Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-
Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
1258 AM CDT Fri Jun 29 2018 /1158 PM MDT Thu Jun 28 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A significant and widespread line of severe thunderstorms was
moving east across central and southwestern North Dakota early
this Friday morning. Damaging winds to near 80 mph, and very heavy
rain are the main threats. Large hail to around golfball size is
also still possible with this line of severe storms tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM CDT Friday morning. 2
to 4 inches of rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The chance for thunderstorms continues Friday and Saturday across
much of western and central North Dakota. A few storms could be
strong Friday across the far south central and James River
Valley, but severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon and tonight.

JV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1222 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1219 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE KENMARE            48.70N 102.05W
06/29/2018  E2.00 INCH       WARD               ND   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED THROUGH BROADCAST
            METEOROLOGIST. LOCATION ESTIMATED.

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1226 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     TSTM WND GST     HEBRON                  46.90N 102.05W
06/29/2018  E60 MPH          MORTON             ND   PUBLIC

            BRANCHES DOWN IN HEBRON. REPORT RELAYED BY
            BROADCAST METEOROLOGIST. WIND SPEED
            ESTIMATED.

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1249 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1233 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW NEW SALEM          46.86N 101.43W
06/29/2018  M58 MPH          MORTON             ND   MESONET

            NDOT WIND EQUIPMENT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
102 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     TSTM WND GST     WASHBURN                47.29N 101.03W
06/29/2018  E60 MPH          MCLEAN             ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JP MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
108 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 N TURTLE LAKE         47.58N 100.89W
06/29/2018  M65 MPH          MCLEAN             ND   MESONET

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
113 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1212 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 NNE SAWYER            48.15N 100.99W
06/29/2018  M60 MPH          MCHENRY            ND   MESONET

&&

MH