Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 19, 2017Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at May 19, 2017, 5:01 PM CDT for Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2017, 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2017, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK

County Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -97 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
968 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 19, 3:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 3:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
324 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Latest surface analysis shows a stalled front across western
Oklahoma with various convective boundaries across the area.
Strong to severe storms are ongoing across northwest Arkansas.
More storms are approaching the area from southern and central
Oklahoma and this marks the next wave. Tornado watch will be
issued shortly.

Latest model guidance and radar trends would suggest the heaviest
rain will be across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
However with front and upper trough still west of the area, and
ongoing convection, will maintain flash flood watch and add
Pushmataha/Choctaw counties to the watch. The main severe threat
will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes where storms can
take advantage of existing boundaries/increased SRH. Flash
flooding will also be a threat with another 1-3 inches of rain
possible, with the heaviest rains likely along and south of
Interstate 40.

Precipitation will end across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas Saturday morning, with clearing from west to east by
Saturday afternoon. Cold front may make it to our western zones
by Saturday morning, and have lowered min temps a bit for this
possibility. Weather will be much improved by Sunday with light
winds and highs in the 70s. Overnight lows will be chilly by
Sunday morning, ranging from the mid to upper 40s across
northeast Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas to mid 50s across southeast
Oklahoma.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  72  51  77 /  90  20   0   0
FSM   68  76  52  79 / 100  50   0   0
MLC   62  74  52  78 / 100  30   0   0
BVO   55  70  45  76 /  90  20   0   0
FYV   63  71  47  74 /  80  40   0   0
BYV   64  74  49  74 /  80  40   0   0
MKO   62  72  51  77 /  90  30   0   0
MIO   62  72  48  75 /  90  20   0   0
F10   61  73  51  77 /  90  20   0   0
HHW   66  76  55  80 / 100  60   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

LONG TERM....06

CORFIDI
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 4:54 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
454 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
454 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES THRU TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA....Along and especially southeast of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast of Interstate 44.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Primarily along and southeast of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Primarily along and southeast of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms through this
evening along and south of I-40 across Southeast Oklahoma into
West Central Arkansas. There is a slight risk of severe
thunderstorms across Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas
through this evening. Damaging winds and large hail are the main
threats. Isolated tornadoes are possible where storms interact
with lingering boundaries, or with any bowing line segments late
this afternoon and into the evening.

Storms will continue to form along and southeast of Interstate 44
late this afternoon, likely remaining elevated in nature. Several
clusters of storms will continue to lift northeast across Eastern Oklahoma
and Western Arkansas through tonight. Other scattered storms may
develop near a developing surface low or trough and ahead of the
cold front across North Central Oklahoma either late this
afternoon or into the evening and will move across generally far
Northeast Oklahoma this evening. The better probability for
surface-based updraft development, and threat of isolated
tornadoes, remains across southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas south of an outflow boundary. A locally enhanced tornado
threat will exist with storms that can interact with this
boundary.

There were multiple swaths of 2 to 4 inch rains across Eastern
Oklahoma from last night's convection. Depending on how convection
evolves today and whether this convection tracks over these same
areas, there will be a flash flood threat. There may be some river
flooding that occurs as well, but this will depend on the basins
where the heavy rains fall. At this time, the heavier rains are
more likely to fall generally near and south of I-44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation
of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY through THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will end from west to east during the
day Saturday. The next storm system will affect the area Monday
into Tuesday bringing a chance of thunderstorms, but only a
limited risk of severe weather.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 19, 1:18 PM CDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
118 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

OKZ068-070>072-074-191845-
Haskell OK-Muskogee OK-Sequoyah OK-Cherokee OK-McIntosh OK-
118 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HASKELL...
NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH...NORTHWESTERN SEQUOYAH...SOUTHWESTERN CHEROKEE
AND MUSKOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM CDT...

At 118 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Muskogee to 6 miles northwest of Enterprise.
Movement was east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Fort Gibson...
Checotah...                       Warner...
Gore...                           Porum...
Webbers Falls...                  Oktaha...
Braggs...                         Rentiesville...
Briartown...                      Greenleaf State Park...
Pumpkin Center...                 Keefeton...
Summit...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 264 and
288.

LAT...LON 3528 9511 3526 9545 3530 9545 3530 9550
      3528 9552 3526 9551 3526 9556 3580 9550
      3583 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 260DEG 31KT 3577 9536 3531 9542
Special weather statement, May 19, 1:47 PM CDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
147 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ARZ001-OKZ062-063-067>072-074-191930-
Benton AR-Haskell OK-Adair OK-Muskogee OK-Sequoyah OK-Cherokee OK-
Delaware OK-Wagoner OK-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-
147 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BENTON...DELAWARE...
CENTRAL HASKELL...NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH...WESTERN SEQUOYAH...
SOUTHEASTERN MAYES...WESTERN ADAIR...SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER...CHEROKEE
AND EASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 146 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Spavinaw to 2 miles west of
Whitefield. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Tahlequah...
Sallisaw...                       Stigler...
Jay...                            Fort Gibson...
Warner...                         Vian...
Locust Grove...                   Salina...
Gore...                           West Siloam Springs...
Colcord...                        Kansas...
Porum...                          Okay...
Webbers Falls...                  Hulbert...
Spavinaw...                       Whitefield...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 272 and
304.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3650 9452 3532 9487 3516 9543
      3630 9529 3658 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 238DEG 32KT 3631 9498 3526 9528
Special weather statement, May 19, 3:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
346 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ARZ010-019-OKZ069-192115-
Washington AR-Crawford AR-Adair OK-
346 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

At 346 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles northwest of
Natural Dam, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Devils Den State Park...          Odell...
Clyde...                          Morrow...

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
Arkansas...and northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3577 9425 3564 9450 3564 9455 3573 9464
      3591 9441
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 230DEG 24KT 3571 9453
Special weather statement, May 19, 3:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
347 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ARZ001-002-011-192115-
Carroll AR-Madison AR-Benton AR-
347 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON...
NORTHWESTERN MADISON AND NORTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

At 347 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Seligman to 2 miles northwest of War Eagle. Movement
was northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Eureka Springs...                 Garfield...
Gateway...                        Beaver...
War Eagle...                      Hobbs State Park...
Hill Top...                       Beaver Lake...
Walnut Hill...                    Larue...
Bland...                          Busch...
Lookout...                        Oak Hill...

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3630 9369 3623 9389 3624 9401 3621 9401
      3621 9405 3650 9401 3650 9367
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 239DEG 32KT 3652 9394 3629 9397
Special weather statement, May 19, 4:03 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
403 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

OKZ060-061-064>067-070-192130-
Tulsa OK-Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Rogers OK-Okfuskee OK-Wagoner OK-
Creek OK-
403 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ROGERS...
SOUTHEASTERN CREEK...WESTERN WAGONER...NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE...
OKMULGEE...SOUTHEASTERN TULSA AND EASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

At 403 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles north of Bald Hill to 3 miles south of Castle.
Movement was northeast at 60 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Broken Arrow...                   Okmulgee...
Okemah...                         Bixby...
Jenks...                          Okfuskee...
Coweta...                         Haskell...
Inola...                          Morris...
Beggs...                          Mounds...
Bearden...                        Castle...
Preston...                        Stonebluff...
Bald Hill...                      Okmulgee State Park...
Welty...                          Oneta...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 212 and
222.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for east central
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3565 9646 3621 9552 3569 9569 3534 9644
      3546 9644 3546 9647
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 212DEG 50KT 3580 9583 3542 9638
Special weather statement, May 19, 5:01 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
501 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

OKZ062-067-192230-
Wagoner OK-Mayes OK-
501 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MAYES AND CENTRAL
WAGONER COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

At 501 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 6 miles west of
Wagoner, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Chouteau...                       Locust Grove...
Sportsmen Acres Community...      Mazie...
Murphy...

LAT...LON 3630 9528 3623 9512 3591 9549 3597 9558
      3608 9548 3608 9544 3612 9544
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 219DEG 43KT 3599 9547

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee43 min
May 18, 7:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage32 min
May 18, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACreek, Tulsa45 min
May 18, 8:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee24 min
May 18, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa35 min
May 18, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee42 min
May 18, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington48 min
May 18, 9:05 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa115 min
May 18, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Wagoner24 min
May 18, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee48 min
May 18, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okmulgee, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and 1 more49 min
May 18, 9:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig, Nowata25 min
May 18, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg65 min
May 18, 9:48 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg42 min
May 18, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee36 min
May 18, 10:00 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMcIntosh30 min
May 18, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more57 min
May 18, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more38 min
May 18, 10:23 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMuskogee, Wagoner37 min
May 18, 10:28 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah47 min
May 18, 10:37 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Wagoner38 min
May 18, 10:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSARogers3 hr
May 18, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, LeFlore, Mayes and 3 more48 min
May 18, 11:00 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee45 min
May 18, 11:01 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Wagoner44 min
May 18, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Rogers48 min
May 18, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha48 min
May 18, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Delaware, Sequoyah59 min
May 18, 11:32 PM CDTTornado WarningTSADelaware43 min
May 18, 11:34 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair, Delaware41 min
May 18, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg48 min
May 18, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah42 min
May 18, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha62 min
May 19, 2:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPawnee44 min
May 19, 3:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSATulsa34 min
May 19, 3:58 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSATulsa32 min
May 19, 8:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage23 hr
May 19, 8:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage, Tulsa62 hr
May 19, 8:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSATulsa71 hr
May 19, 8:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACreek38 hr
May 19, 8:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAWashington71 hr
May 19, 8:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSARogers, Tulsa4 days
May 19, 8:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa5 days
May 19, 10:57 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSATulsa33 min
May 19, 11:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage23 min
May 19, 1:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee27 min
May 19, 1:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes43 min
May 19, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes26 min
May 19, 2:21 PM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee3 days
May 19, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Delaware41 min
May 19, 3:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair29 min
May 19, 4:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee, Okmulgee27 min
May 19, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner42 min
May 19, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee48 min
May 19, 5:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMayes, Okmulgee, Wagoner30 min
May 19, 5:16 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Mayes, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Rogers and 2 more119 min
May 19, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Mayes2 min
May 19, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Mayes51 min
May 19, 6:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee8 hr
May 19, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Ottawa, Wagoner60 min
May 19, 6:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee26 min
May 19, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee62 min
May 19, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more67 min
May 19, 12:13 AM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton, Carroll47 min
May 19, 3:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACarroll28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.