Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1148 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A cold front will continue moving through the area during the
first few hours of the forecast period and will be accompanied by
a line of showers and thunderstorms. VFR conditions will then
prevail from late tonight through the rest of the forecast period.
West to northwest winds will become gusty Tuesday afternoon, with
the winds diminishing quickly around sunset.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 943 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Tornado watch #64 continues through 3 am...and have recently added
Pittsburg and Latimer counties to the watch. Cold front has
entered northeast Oklahoma this evening...with a line of storms
currently situated along the boundary that extended southwest from
northwest Craig county through northwest Creek county...moving
east. Well ahead of the front...other discrete storms were across
northwest Arkansas...and carried a slightly higher tornadic
potential.

Front will continue to move east overnight. Have tailored pops
accordingly...with most precip to be east of the area after
09-10z. For the most part have left temperatures as they
are...with most tweaks coming to pops and winds based off of
recent trends.

Updated ZFP/AFM/PFM out shortly.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

AVIATION...05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1218 AM CST Tue Mar 7 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1218 AM CST Tue Mar 7 2017

...Tornado watch #64 continues for parts of eastern OK and
   northwest AR until 3 am...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Overnight.

TORNADO.
    RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
    ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Parts of Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast of a Sulpher Springs Arkansas
                            to Wilson Oklahoma line.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Cold front continues to push through Eastern Oklahoma this evening.
Out ahead of the boundary...isolated supercells continue across parts
of northwest Arkansas and will continue to carry an enhanced tornado
potential through midnight. The strongest storms within the line
along the cold front will primarily exhibit a large hail and
straight line wind threat as they continue to move east through the
remainder of the region tonight. However...low tornadic potential
cannot be ruled out. A brief period of locally heavy rainfall can be
expected with the strongest activity. Storms will exit northwest
Arkansas after 3 am.

Additionally...gusty winds will continue overnight...ahead and
behind the front. Gusts between 25 and 35 mph on either side of
the boundary will persist overnight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Fire Weather Potential.
WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential and Fire Weather Potential.
THURSDAY through Saturday...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Fire weather is a concern through the rest of the week, especially
for areas which receive little or no rain today. Thunderstorm
chances return by the end of the week.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1141 PM CST MON MAR 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1058 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SALINA                  36.29N 95.15W
03/06/2017                   MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND ROOF DAMAGE FROM THUNDERSTORM
            WINDS.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1142 PM CST MON MAR 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MUSKOGEE                35.75N 95.37W
03/06/2017                   MUSKOGEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO CHURCH ON SIDE SIDE OF CITY FROM THUNDERSTORM
            WINDS.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1155 PM CST MON MAR 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 PM     HAIL             2 W CHECOTAH            35.47N 95.56W
03/06/2017  E0.88 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1159 PM CST MON MAR 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FAYETTEVILLE            36.06N 94.16W
03/06/2017                   WASHINGTON         AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS NEAR WEDDINGTON AND
            STEAMBOAT ON WEST SIDE OF FAYETTEVILLE.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1211 AM CST TUE MAR 07 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HIGHFILL                36.26N 94.36W
03/06/2017                   BENTON             AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM
            WINDS. HIGHWAY 12 BLOCKED BY SMALL TREE DOWNED BY HIGH
            WINDS.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 AM CST TUE MAR 07 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW WILBURTON          34.90N 95.33W
03/06/2017  M64 MPH          LATIMER            OK   MESONET

&&

JDS