River Flood Warning 73, NWS Tulsa, OK

408 
WGUS84 KTSA 201941
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Deep Fork River near Beggs affecting Okmulgee County. 
  
  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. 
  
  Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware 
  Counties. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
OKC001-041-210341-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-170521T1912Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.170520T1911Z.170521T0600Z.170521T1312Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 12.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 16.3 feet 
  by Sunday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are 
  affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472

$$

OKC001-021-041-210341-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0074.170521T0056Z-170522T0250Z/
/CWYO2.1.ER.170521T0056Z.170521T1200Z.170521T2050Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River at Chewey.
* from this evening to Sunday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Saturday, the stage was 10.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 14.2 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from near Fidler's 
  Bend to near Hanging Rock. Moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  may result in livestock issues. Travel around Hanging Rock is 
  impacted. Road access near the river is cut off to residential 
  homes southeast of Chewey Bridge. Access to Winset Hollow is cut 
  off. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor 
  flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for 
  floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487

$$

OKC021-210341-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0067.170521T0242Z-170522T1634Z/
/TALO2.2.ER.170521T0242Z.170521T1800Z.170522T1034Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* from this evening to Monday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was  8.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise 
  above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by
  early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the 
  river too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

OKC111-210341-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-170524T0520Z/
/BGSO2.1.ER.170520T0651Z.170522T0600Z.170523T2320Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Deep Fork River near Beggs.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.88 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Deep Fork River near Beggs will continue rising to 
  near 21.2 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, widespread flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs. County roads south of Beggs become impassable including 
  Webster Road. Some county roads northwest of Okmulgee are covered 
  by water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3572 9597 3549 9575 3541 9588 3571 9617

$$

OKC037-210340-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-170521T0716Z/
/SPCO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170520T1200Z.170521T0116Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the latest estimated stage was 23.80 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, widespread flooding affects pasturelands and 
  oil fields between Sapulpa and the Tulsa County line. Barns and 
  other outbuildings may be threatended by minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3606 9599 3599 9598 3592 9614 3600 9615

$$

OKC131-143-210340-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170521T0425Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.170520T1216Z.170520T1615Z.170520T2225Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 26.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville is currently
  cresting and will fall below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588

$$

430 
WGUS84 KTSA 210051
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
751 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-210121-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-170521T0655Z/
/PTAO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* At 6:45 PM Saturday, the stage was 21.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9456 3506 9454 3495 9461 3495 9471 3513 9468

$$

OKC131-143-210121-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170521T0425Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.170520T1216Z.170520T1615Z.170520T2105Z.NO/
751 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* At 6:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 25.74 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue falling 
  and remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
824 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Just sent a quick update. Radar shows cold front now extending
from western Ottawa County, east of Tulsa, down toward McIntosh
County. Cold front has also moved past McAlester with winds out of
the west. Low clouds extend into western Oklahoma but we should
see clearing later in the day from west to east. Cooler and drier
air is moving in, with temps in the mid to upper 50s across
central and northern OK.

Removed all thunder from the forecast, as convection has moved
into central Arkansas. We will still see patchy drizzle and light
showers this morning with little to no accumulation in Tulsa and
points north and west.

We have continued areal flood warnings for 11 counties in the
forecast area and have allowed all flash flood warnings to expire.
There are many river flood warnings in effect with updates coming
soon as new forecast data arrives.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  50  77  56 /  20   0   0   0
FSM   76  54  81  56 /  20  10   0   0
MLC   73  52  79  55 /  20  10   0   0
BVO   70  47  75  53 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   71  48  74  51 /  20  10   0   0
BYV   72  50  74  51 /  20  10   0   0
MKO   72  51  77  54 /  20  10   0   0
MIO   70  48  74  53 /  20  10   0  10
F10   71  52  77  55 /  20   0   0   0
HHW   77  57  81  58 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....30

CORFIDI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
508 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
508 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms across far eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas will be ending this morning. No additional
severe weather is expected, but some flooding issues will continue
early this morning.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The next storm system will bring a chance of thunderstorms Monday
and Tuesday. Moisture and instability look to be too limited to
support any organized severe weather at this time.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.