Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 66, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 19, 2017, 8:46 PM CDT for Adair County, Delaware County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 20, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2017, 8:46 PM CDT (01:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 20, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 21, 2017, 7:51 AM CDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Adair County, OK, Delaware County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Illinois River (AR OK) near Watts (WTTO2). The gauge peaked at 17.28 ft at May 20, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07195500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
641 WGUS44 KTSA 200146 FLWTSA BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Warning National Weather Service Tulsa OK 846 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 ...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. OKC001-041-200946- /O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0066.170520T1700Z-170521T0945Z/ /WTTO2.1.ER.170520T1700Z.170521T0000Z.170521T0345Z.NO/ 846 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a * Flood Warning for The Illinois River near Watts * from Saturday afternoon to late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Friday, the stage was 4.69 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Saturday evening. * Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ OKC021-200946- /O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0067.170521T0425Z-170522T0808Z/ /TALO2.1.ER.170521T0425Z.170521T1200Z.170522T0208Z.NO/ 846 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a * Flood Warning for The Illinois River near Tahlequah * from Saturday evening to late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 PM Friday, the stage was 5.74 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise above flood stage late Saturday evening and continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Sunday evening. * Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge near Eagles Bluff may be threatened. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496 $$
6 follow-up statements
993 WGUS84 KTSA 200807 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 307 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. OKC001-041-201607- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0066.170520T2146Z-170521T1300Z/ /WTTO2.1.ER.170520T2146Z.170521T0000Z.170521T0700Z.NO/ 307 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Watts. * from this afternoon to Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 5.41 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday before dawn. * Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to near Fidler's Bend. Permanent campgrounds are affected. Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ OKC021-201607- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0067.170521T0500Z-170522T1100Z/ /TALO2.1.ER.170521T0500Z.170521T1800Z.170522T0500Z.NO/ 307 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Tahlequah. * from late tonight to Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 6.60 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise above flood stage Sunday before dawn and continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday before dawn . * Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge near Eagles Bluff may be threatened. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496 $$
327 WGUS84 KTSA 201443 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 943 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. OKC001-041-202243- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0066.170520T1714Z-170521T2000Z/ /WTTO2.1.ER.170520T1714Z.170521T0000Z.170521T1400Z.NO/ 943 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Watts. * until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 10.88 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 16.9 feet by this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Sunday morning. * Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ Lacy
408 WGUS84 KTSA 201941 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Deep Fork River near Beggs affecting Okmulgee County. Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware Counties. Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. OKC001-041-210341- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-170521T1912Z/ /WTTO2.1.ER.170520T1911Z.170521T0600Z.170521T1312Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Watts. * until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 12.33 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts is expected to rise above flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 16.3 feet by Sunday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning. * Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ OKC001-021-041-210341- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0074.170521T0056Z-170522T0250Z/ /CWYO2.1.ER.170521T0056Z.170521T1200Z.170521T2050Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River at Chewey. * from this evening to Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:15 PM Saturday, the stage was 10.43 feet. * Flood stage is 12.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 14.2 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon. * Impact...At 15.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend to near Hanging Rock. Moderate flooding of agricultural lands may result in livestock issues. Travel around Hanging Rock is impacted. Road access near the river is cut off to residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge. Access to Winset Hollow is cut off. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487 $$ OKC021-210341- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0067.170521T0242Z-170522T1634Z/ /TALO2.2.ER.170521T0242Z.170521T1800Z.170522T1034Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Tahlequah. * from this evening to Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 8.75 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday morning. * Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496 $$ OKC111-210341- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-170524T0520Z/ /BGSO2.1.ER.170520T0651Z.170522T0600Z.170523T2320Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night... The Flood Warning continues for The Deep Fork River near Beggs. * until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:15 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.88 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Deep Fork River near Beggs will continue rising to near 21.2 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday evening. * Impact...At 21.0 feet, widespread flooding of agricultural lands occurs. County roads south of Beggs become impassable including Webster Road. Some county roads northwest of Okmulgee are covered by water. && LAT...LON 3572 9597 3549 9575 3541 9588 3571 9617 $$ OKC037-210340- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-170521T0716Z/ /SPCO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170520T1200Z.170521T0116Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until late tonight... The Flood Warning continues for The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa. * until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 PM Saturday, the latest estimated stage was 23.80 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to below flood stage by this evening. * Impact...At 24.0 feet, widespread flooding affects pasturelands and oil fields between Sapulpa and the Tulsa County line. Barns and other outbuildings may be threatended by minor flooding. && LAT...LON 3606 9599 3599 9598 3592 9614 3600 9615 $$ OKC131-143-210340- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170521T0425Z/ /CVLO2.1.ER.170520T1216Z.170520T1615Z.170520T2225Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Caney River near Collinsville. * until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 26.25 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville is currently cresting and will fall below flood stage by late this afternoon. * Impact...At 26.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. && LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588 $$
366 WGUS84 KTSA 210119 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 819 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware Counties. Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. OKC001-041-210919- /O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-170521T1912Z/ /WTTO2.1.ER.170520T2007Z.170521T0600Z.170521T1312Z.NO/ 819 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Watts. * until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 15.63 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue rising to near 16.3 feet Sunday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning. * Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ OKC001-021-041-210919- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-170522T0409Z/ /CWYO2.1.ER.170521T0624Z.170521T1200Z.170521T2209Z.NO/ 819 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River at Chewey. * until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:15 PM Saturday, the stage was 11.19 feet. * Flood stage is 12.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey is expected to rise above flood stage Sunday before dawn and continue to rise to near 13.4 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon. * Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487 $$ OKC021-210919- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0067.170521T0244Z-170522T1634Z/ /TALO2.2.ER.170521T0244Z.170521T1800Z.170522T1034Z.NO/ 819 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Tahlequah. * until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 10.07 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah is expected to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday morning. * Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496 $$ OKC037-210919- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-170521T1248Z/ /SPCO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170520T1200Z.170521T0648Z.NO/ 819 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning... The Flood Warning continues for The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa. * until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 23.40 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to below flood stage by Sunday before dawn. * Impact...At 24.0 feet, widespread flooding affects pasturelands and oil fields between Sapulpa and the Tulsa County line. Barns and other outbuildings may be threatended by minor flooding. && LAT...LON 3606 9599 3599 9598 3592 9614 3600 9615 $$
993 WGUS84 KTSA 210700 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 200 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. Illinois River at Chewey affecting Adair...Cherokee and Delaware Counties. Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. OKC001-041-211500- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-170521T1925Z/ /WTTO2.2.ER.170520T2007Z.170521T0300Z.170521T1325Z.NO/ 200 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Watts. * until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 16.40 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue falling to below flood stage by this morning. * Impact...At 17.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to Fidler's Bend. Farmlands and permanent campgrounds are affected. A few cabins in the Fidler's Bend area may have minor flooding. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$ OKC001-021-041-211459- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-170522T0217Z/ /CWYO2.1.ER.170521T0507Z.170521T1200Z.170521T2017Z.NO/ 200 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River at Chewey. * until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:15 AM Sunday, the stage was 12.18 feet. * Flood stage is 12.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River at Chewey will continue rising to near 13.2 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late this afternoon. * Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Fidler's Bend to near Hanging Rock. Water begins to affect access to Winset Hollow. Road access near the river to residential homes southeast of Chewey Bridge may be compromised. Water impacts 630 Road east of the Cherokee/Adair County line. Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9472 3611 9471 3606 9481 3612 9487 $$ OKC021-211459- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-170522T1651Z/ /TALO2.2.ER.170521T0313Z.170522T0000Z.170522T1051Z.NO/ 200 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning... The Flood Warning continues for The Illinois River near Tahlequah. * until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 11.64 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising to near 14.0 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday morning. * Impact...At 14.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Hanging Rock downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge near Eagles Bluff will be impassable. Extreme turbulence makes the river too hazardous for floating. && LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496 $$ OKC101-211459- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-170522T0600Z/ /MKGO2.1.ER.170516T0900Z.170520T2145Z.170522T0000Z.NO/ 200 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Arkansas River near Muskogee. * until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 1:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 29.31 feet. * Flood stage is 28.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue falling to near flood stage by this evening and will then fluctuate around flood stage through at least Wednesday. * Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating marina north of the OG&E power plant may be flooded. && LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537 $$
014 WGUS84 KTSA 211251 FLSTSA Flood Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 751 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair and Delaware Counties. OKC001-041-211321- /O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-170521T1925Z/ /WTTO2.2.ER.170520T2007Z.170521T0300Z.170521T0957Z.NO/ 751 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Illinois River near Watts. * At 7:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 11.11 feet. * Flood stage is 13.0 feet. * The river fell below flood stage early this morning. * Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue falling and remain below flood stage. * Impact...At 13.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from the Arkansas border to near Fidler's Bend. Extreme turbulence makes the river unsafe for floating. && LAT...LON 3619 9474 3615 9453 3607 9453 3611 9472 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 19, 6:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 19, 6:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
607 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017
.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Ongoing convection along the I-44 corridor is expected to increase
in coverage and spread eastward through the evening and early
morning hours. Aviation impacts should be expected with additional
lower ceilings following the frontal passage across all terminals
through the morning hours. VFR conditions are likely by Sat
afternoon.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 324 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017/
DISCUSSION...
Latest surface analysis shows a stalled front across western
Oklahoma with various convective boundaries across the area.
Strong to severe storms are ongoing across northwest Arkansas.
More storms are approaching the area from southern and central
Oklahoma and this marks the next wave. Tornado watch will be
issued shortly.
Latest model guidance and radar trends would suggest the heaviest
rain will be across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
However with front and upper trough still west of the area, and
ongoing convection, will maintain flash flood watch and add
Pushmataha/Choctaw counties to the watch. The main severe threat
will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes where storms can
take advantage of existing boundaries/increased SRH. Flash
flooding will also be a threat with another 1-3 inches of rain
possible, with the heaviest rains likely along and south of
Interstate 40.
Precipitation will end across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas Saturday morning, with clearing from west to east by
Saturday afternoon. Cold front may make it to our western zones
by Saturday morning, and have lowered min temps a bit for this
possibility. Weather will be much improved by Sunday with light
winds and highs in the 70s. Overnight lows will be chilly by
Sunday morning, ranging from the mid to upper 40s across
northeast Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas to mid 50s across southeast
Oklahoma.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 57 72 51 77 / 90 20 0 0
FSM 68 76 52 79 / 100 50 0 0
MLC 62 74 52 78 / 100 30 0 0
BVO 55 70 45 76 / 90 20 0 0
FYV 63 71 47 74 / 80 40 0 0
BYV 64 74 49 74 / 80 40 0 0
MKO 62 72 51 77 / 90 30 0 0
MIO 62 72 48 75 / 90 20 0 0
F10 61 73 51 77 / 90 20 0 0
HHW 66 76 55 80 / 100 60 0 0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for OKZ049-053>076.
AR...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for ARZ001-002-010-
011-019-020-029.
&&
AVIATION...07Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 4:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 454 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 454 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 ...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES THRU TONIGHT... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited. AREA....Along and especially southeast of Interstate 44. ONSET...Ongoing. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Significant. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast of Interstate 44. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Primarily along and southeast of Interstate 44. ONSET...Ongoing. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Significant. AREA...Primarily along and southeast of Interstate 44. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms through this evening along and south of I-40 across Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas. There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas through this evening. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats. Isolated tornadoes are possible where storms interact with lingering boundaries, or with any bowing line segments late this afternoon and into the evening. Storms will continue to form along and southeast of Interstate 44 late this afternoon, likely remaining elevated in nature. Several clusters of storms will continue to lift northeast across Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas through tonight. Other scattered storms may develop near a developing surface low or trough and ahead of the cold front across North Central Oklahoma either late this afternoon or into the evening and will move across generally far Northeast Oklahoma this evening. The better probability for surface-based updraft development, and threat of isolated tornadoes, remains across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas south of an outflow boundary. A locally enhanced tornado threat will exist with storms that can interact with this boundary. There were multiple swaths of 2 to 4 inch rains across Eastern Oklahoma from last night's convection. Depending on how convection evolves today and whether this convection tracks over these same areas, there will be a flash flood threat. There may be some river flooding that occurs as well, but this will depend on the basins where the heavy rains fall. At this time, the heavier rains are more likely to fall generally near and south of I-44. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...No Hazards. MONDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. WEDNESDAY through THURSDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Showers and thunderstorms will end from west to east during the day Saturday. The next storm system will affect the area Monday into Tuesday bringing a chance of thunderstorms, but only a limited risk of severe weather. weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 19, 7:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
738 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0738 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 S KIEFER 35.92N 96.07W
05/19/2017 CREEK OK TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 75A BETWEEN 161ST STREET SOUTH AND
171ST STREET SOUTH.
&&
KAHLocal storm report, May 19, 8:02 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
802 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NW BIXBY 35.97N 95.92W
05/19/2017 E60 MPH TULSA OK TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KAHLocal storm report, May 19, 8:12 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
812 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0806 PM TSTM WND GST 3 N CLAREMORE 36.36N 95.62W
05/19/2017 E60 MPH ROGERS OK TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 19, 8:13 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
813 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 PM TSTM WND GST 5 W PRYOR 36.31N 95.41W
05/19/2017 E60 MPH MAYES OK EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 19, 8:31 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0827 PM HAIL 6 W HULBERT 35.93N 95.25W
05/19/2017 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE OK TRAINED SPOTTER
ALSO ESTIMATED 55 MPH WIND GUSTS.
&&
KAHLocal storm report, May 19, 8:37 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
837 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0834 PM FLASH FLOOD OKMULGEE 35.62N 95.96W
05/19/2017 OKMULGEE OK TRAINED SPOTTER
WATER 6 INCHES DEEP ON SOME STREETS IN TOWN. SOME STREETS
CLOSED.
&&
KAHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 7:06 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Creek, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers and 2 more | 7 hr |
| May 19, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee | 47 min |
| May 19, 7:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Delaware | 29 min |
| May 19, 7:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Tulsa | 23 min |
| May 19, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more | 50 min |
| May 19, 8:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa | 6 hr |
| May 19, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa | 61 min |
| May 19, 8:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Muskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner | 47 min |
| May 19, 8:46 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee | 56 hr |
| May 19, 9:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | McIntosh | 57 min |
| May 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Ottawa | 51 min |
| May 19, 9:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Adair, Cherokee | 50 min |
| May 19, 9:50 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Okmulgee | 5 days |
| May 19, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 39 min |
| May 19, 9:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 6 hr |
| May 19, 10:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Pittsburg | 32 min |
| May 19, 10:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Adair | 36 min |
| May 19, 11:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more | 6 hr |
| May 19, 11:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah | 6 hr |
| May 19, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair | 23 min |
| May 20, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 43 min |
| May 20, 1:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 58 min |
| May 20, 1:51 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Okfuskee and 5 more | 18 hr |
| May 20, 2:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Latimer | 55 min |
| May 20, 2:48 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | LeFlore | 57 min |
| May 20, 3:09 AM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 36 hr |
| May 20, 4:13 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 54 hr |
| May 20, 4:19 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | LeFlore, Pushmataha | 4 hr |
| May 20, 8:55 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 3 more | 36 hr |
| May 20, 8:58 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 46 hr |
| May 20, 8:58 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 45 hr |
| May 20, 9:30 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Creek | 17 hr |
| May 20, 9:30 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Rogers, Tulsa | 16 hr |
| May 20, 9:41 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 37 hr |
| May 20, 10:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 19 hr |
| May 20, 10:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 18 hr |
| May 20, 2:39 PM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware | 12 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.