Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 67

March 6, 201737 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2017, 9:21 PM CST for 37 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2017, 9:21 PM CST (03:21 UTC)
Expired
Mar 7, 2017, 4:53 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 11:20 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Newton40 min
Mar 6, 11:25 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKPolk, Scott24 min
Mar 6, 11:51 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy39 min
Mar 6, 11:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy50 min
Mar 7, 12:21 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott39 min
Mar 7, 12:25 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy35 min
Mar 7, 12:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy42 min
Mar 7, 12:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 1 more39 min
Mar 7, 12:53 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone37 min
Mar 7, 12:55 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHCarter35 min
Mar 7, 12:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Perry, Scott, Yell47 min
Mar 7, 1:26 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp49 min
Mar 7, 1:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Wayne47 min
Mar 7, 1:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Yell38 min
Mar 7, 1:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more46 min
Mar 7, 1:54 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Sharp19 min
Mar 7, 1:55 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Yell50 min
Mar 7, 1:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy and 2 more46 min
Mar 7, 2:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGRandolph49 min
Mar 7, 2:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp18 min
Mar 7, 2:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph41 min
Mar 7, 2:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren, White48 min
Mar 7, 3:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, White40 min
Mar 7, 3:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene38 min
Mar 7, 3:14 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFaulkner31 min
Mar 7, 3:26 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKFaulkner, White19 min
Mar 7, 3:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDunklin, Pemiscot48 min
Mar 7, 3:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 629 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 319 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
629 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1110 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
319 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
542 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.7
Supercell composite
8.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

089 
WWUS20 KWNS 070319
SEL7  
SPC WW 070319
ARZ000-MOZ000-071100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 67
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
920 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern and central Arkansas
  Southeast Missouri

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 920 PM
  until 500 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Semi-discrete supercell storms are expected to develop
initially across the northern half of Arkansas through the late
evening hours. Given extreme low-level shear and increasingly
low-level moisture, any sustained storm could be a capable of
producing a tornado. More numerous storms will move across the
region later tonight as an upstream cold front approaches from the
northwest, with a damaging wind and some tornado risk continuing
overnight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles west northwest of Hot
Springs AR to 40 miles east of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 61...WW 62...WW 63...WW
64...WW 65...WW 66...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 6:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison and 2 more58 min
Mar 6, 6:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more8 hr
Mar 6, 8:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Conway and 27 more3 hr
Mar 6, 9:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison and 3 more119 min
Mar 7, 2:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 47 more92 min
Mar 7, 3:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 25 more8 hr
Mar 7, 8:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union117 min
Mar 6, 6:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 32 more119 min
Mar 6, 7:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 15 more116 min
Mar 6, 8:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 19 more2 hr
Mar 6, 8:52 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 25 more6 hr
Mar 6, 11:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian, Crawford and 38 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.