Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 67
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2017, 9:21 PM CST for 37 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 6, 2017, 9:21 PM CST (03:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 7, 2017, 4:53 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 46 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 11:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone, Newton | 40 min |
| Mar 6, 11:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 24 min |
| Mar 6, 11:51 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 39 min |
| Mar 6, 11:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 50 min |
| Mar 7, 12:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk, Scott | 39 min |
| Mar 7, 12:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Searcy | 35 min |
| Mar 7, 12:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 42 min |
| Mar 7, 12:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 1 more | 39 min |
| Mar 7, 12:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone | 37 min |
| Mar 7, 12:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Carter | 35 min |
| Mar 7, 12:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Perry, Scott, Yell | 47 min |
| Mar 7, 1:26 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Sharp | 49 min |
| Mar 7, 1:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carter, Wayne | 47 min |
| Mar 7, 1:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Perry, Pope, Yell | 38 min |
| Mar 7, 1:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more | 46 min |
| Mar 7, 1:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 19 min |
| Mar 7, 1:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Yell | 50 min |
| Mar 7, 1:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy and 2 more | 46 min |
| Mar 7, 2:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Randolph | 49 min |
| Mar 7, 2:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Sharp | 18 min |
| Mar 7, 2:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 41 min |
| Mar 7, 2:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 48 min |
| Mar 7, 3:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, White | 40 min |
| Mar 7, 3:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 38 min |
| Mar 7, 3:14 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner | 31 min |
| Mar 7, 3:26 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, White | 19 min |
| Mar 7, 3:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 48 min |
| Mar 7, 3:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 629 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1110 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 319 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 542 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.7
- Supercell composite
- 8.2
The text
As transmitted.
089 WWUS20 KWNS 070319 SEL7 SPC WW 070319 ARZ000-MOZ000-071100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 67 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 920 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and central Arkansas Southeast Missouri * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 920 PM until 500 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Semi-discrete supercell storms are expected to develop initially across the northern half of Arkansas through the late evening hours. Given extreme low-level shear and increasingly low-level moisture, any sustained storm could be a capable of producing a tornado. More numerous storms will move across the region later tonight as an upstream cold front approaches from the northwest, with a damaging wind and some tornado risk continuing overnight. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west northwest of Hot Springs AR to 40 miles east of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 61...WW 62...WW 63...WW 64...WW 65...WW 66... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 6:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison and 2 more | 58 min |
| Mar 6, 6:51 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 6, 8:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Conway and 27 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 6, 9:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison and 3 more | 119 min |
| Mar 7, 2:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 47 more | 92 min |
| Mar 7, 3:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 25 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 7, 8:03 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union | 117 min |
| Mar 6, 6:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Andrew, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 32 more | 119 min |
| Mar 6, 7:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 15 more | 116 min |
| Mar 6, 8:22 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 6, 8:52 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 25 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 6, 11:13 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian, Crawford and 38 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.