Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 66

March 6, 201744 counties in Illinois; 11 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2017, 8:52 PM CST for 44 counties in Illinois; 11 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2017, 8:52 PM CST (02:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 7, 2017, 2:41 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 86 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Washington County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

51 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 8:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNScotland81 min
Mar 6, 9:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Jones55 min
Mar 6, 9:07 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNJones, Linn26 min
Mar 6, 9:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDubuque56 min
Mar 6, 9:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Lee, Louisa, Muscatine74 min
Mar 6, 9:31 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNDubuque, Jackson, Jones44 min
Mar 6, 9:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby57 min
Mar 6, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJackson63 min
Mar 6, 9:42 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXKnox, Shelby28 min
Mar 6, 9:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton71 min
Mar 6, 9:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMercer, Rock Island83 min
Mar 6, 9:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau66 min
Mar 6, 9:55 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNJackson38 min
Mar 6, 9:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess64 min
Mar 6, 10:01 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau29 min
Mar 6, 10:02 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Shelby28 min
Mar 6, 10:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar44 min
Mar 6, 10:10 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNRock Island24 min
Mar 6, 10:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren77 min
Mar 6, 10:17 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Scott31 min
Mar 6, 10:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike55 min
Mar 6, 10:22 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXAdams, Brown30 min
Mar 6, 10:23 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNClinton, Scott26 min
Mar 6, 10:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside49 min
Mar 6, 10:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Fulton, Knox, Mason, Peoria, Schuyler and 1 more28 min
Mar 6, 10:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Stephenson, Whiteside67 min
Mar 6, 10:44 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren31 min
Mar 6, 10:46 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNCarroll20 min
Mar 6, 10:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike50 min
Mar 6, 10:56 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNCarroll, Whiteside27 min
Mar 6, 10:58 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNHenry, Mercer32 min
Mar 6, 10:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Knox, Peoria, Schuyler, Stark62 min
Mar 6, 10:59 PM CSTTornado WarningILXKnox19 min
Mar 6, 11:03 PM CSTTornado WarningILXKnox42 min
Mar 6, 11:08 PM CSTTornado WarningILXFulton, Knox37 min
Mar 6, 11:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Putnam, Whiteside77 min
Mar 6, 11:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Mason, Morgan, Scott54 min
Mar 6, 11:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Fulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Peoria and 2 more56 min
Mar 6, 11:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall, Peoria, Stark, Woodford38 min
Mar 7, 12:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington60 min
Mar 7, 12:03 AM CSTTornado WarningILXMcLean, Tazewell27 min
Mar 7, 12:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXLogan, Menard, Morgan, Sangamon25 min
Mar 7, 12:08 AM CSTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Putnam17 min
Mar 7, 12:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery52 min
Mar 7, 12:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, McLean, Marshall, Woodford54 min
Mar 7, 12:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, DeWitt, Logan, Macon, Morgan, Sangamon60 min
Mar 7, 12:34 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXJefferson26 min
Mar 7, 12:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair57 min
Mar 7, 12:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery39 min
Mar 7, 1:11 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXFayette, Montgomery21 min
Mar 7, 1:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Marion, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 39 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 407 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
39 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-343 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1016 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
407 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
489 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

716 
WWUS20 KWNS 070246
SEL6  
SPC WW 070246
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-071000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 66
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
850 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Iowa
  Western Illinois
  Eastern Missouri

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 850 PM
  until 400 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible

SUMMARY...A fast-moving squall line will further accelerate
east-northeastward through the late evening and overnight hours,
posing a damaging wind and tornado risk across eastern portions of
Iowa and Missouri into western Illinois.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Dubuque IA
to 55 miles southwest of Farmington MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 61...WW 62...WW 63...WW
64...WW 65...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 7:42 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 12 more63 min
Mar 6, 8:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander3 hr
Mar 6, 8:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 24 more2 hr
Mar 6, 10:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, DeKalb, DeWitt, Ford, Grundy, Kane and 11 more60 min
Mar 6, 10:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Champaign, Christian, Coles, Cook, DeKalb and 25 more4 hr
Mar 6, 11:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland and 31 more2 hr
Mar 7, 1:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar, Iroquois and 3 more97 min
Mar 7, 2:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 8 more92 min
Mar 6, 6:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Allamakee, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton and 57 more2 hr
Mar 6, 6:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 22 more58 min
Mar 6, 6:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 32 more119 min
Mar 6, 6:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more8 hr
Mar 6, 7:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 15 more116 min
Mar 6, 9:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald119 min
Mar 6, 9:21 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Perry and 3 more8 hr
Mar 7, 3:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPemiscot8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.