Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 262

March 6, 2017Johnson County, Miami County, Wyandotte County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 6, 2017, 7:19 PM CST for Johnson County, Miami County, Wyandotte County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2017, 7:19 PM CST (01:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2017, 9:15 PM CST
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 24 counties

Johnson County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 707 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2017-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 333 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
707 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1970 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
333 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
9.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

433 
ACUS11 KWNS 070120
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070119 
MOZ000-KSZ000-070315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0719 PM CST Mon Mar 06 2017

Areas affected...Northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...

Valid 070119Z - 070315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.

SUMMARY...Portions of northwestern Missouri have a conditional
significant tornado threat this evening.

DISCUSSION...Radar shows line of pre-frontal convection has quickly
transitioned into supercells. The Kansas City area VWP shows 0-1 SRH
over 600 m2/s2, along with 2-3 mb pressure falls noted over the last
two hours.  Unless the cold front/outflow from the squall line
undercuts the cells, there could be a threat of significant
tornadoes over northwest Missouri this evening.

..Jewell.. 03/07/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38699509 39089503 39929476 40279424 40529374 40519324
            40199280 39769279 39199314 38739355 38549398 38499456
            38569488 38699509

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 6:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Crawford and 9 more58 min
Mar 6, 6:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin and 9 more119 min
Mar 6, 6:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 8 more8 hr
Mar 6, 8:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Howell and 10 more3 hr
Mar 6, 8:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 19 more2 hr
Mar 6, 8:52 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 25 more6 hr
Mar 6, 9:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald119 min
Mar 6, 9:21 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Perry and 3 more8 hr
Mar 6, 11:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian, Crawford and 38 more2 hr
Mar 7, 2:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cape Girardeau, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot and 2 more92 min
Mar 7, 3:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPemiscot8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.