Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 501
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 14, 2017, 5:09 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 14, 2017, 5:09 PM CDT (22:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 15, 2017, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 79 counties
Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Bates County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 5:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock | 43 min |
| Oct 14, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Warren | 79 min |
| Oct 14, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Linn, Miami | 46 min |
| Oct 14, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Clay, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 46 min |
| Oct 14, 5:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Hancock | 44 min |
| Oct 14, 5:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson | 37 min |
| Oct 14, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Knox | 45 min |
| Oct 14, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | McDonough | 54 min |
| Oct 14, 6:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cass, Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette | 42 min |
| Oct 14, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Lafayette, Saline | 30 min |
| Oct 14, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 31 min |
| Oct 14, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Hancock | 20 min |
| Oct 14, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Knox, Peoria, Stark | 47 min |
| Oct 14, 6:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Schuyler | 27 min |
| Oct 14, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Miami | 42 min |
| Oct 14, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Johnson, Lafayette | 25 min |
| Oct 14, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Peoria | 51 min |
| Oct 14, 6:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Knox | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline | 31 min |
| Oct 14, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Marshall, Peoria, Tazewell, Woodford | 45 min |
| Oct 14, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Miami | 39 min |
| Oct 14, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Marshall, Peoria, Tazewell, Woodford | 49 min |
| Oct 14, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Grundy, LaSalle, Livingston | 57 min |
| Oct 14, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Bates, Henry | 28 min |
| Oct 14, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren | 62 min |
| Oct 14, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | McLean | 33 min |
| Oct 14, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion, Monroe, Shelby | 45 min |
| Oct 14, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Livingston | 31 min |
| Oct 14, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Pike | 50 min |
| Oct 14, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Pettis, Saline | 47 min |
| Oct 14, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard | 41 min |
| Oct 14, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau | 39 min |
| Oct 14, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Gasconade, Moniteau and 2 more | 46 min |
| Oct 14, 10:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle and 2 more | 8 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 594 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
The text
As transmitted.
296 WWUS20 KWNS 142206 SEL1 SPC WW 142206 IAZ000-ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-150600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 501 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 510 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Iowa Northern and western Illinois Far eastern Kansas Northern Missouri * Effective this Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning from 510 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Storms will continue to intensify in multiple pre-frontal corridors across the region. Some hail will initially be possible, but damaging winds should be the primary risk along with some potential for tornadoes, particularly as low-level shear steadily strengthens this evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles east southeast of Marseilles IL to 15 miles west of Olathe KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 500... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 3:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Cass, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 14, 6:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Cass, Cook, DeWitt, DuPage, Ford and 21 more | 89 min |
| Oct 14, 4:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Cass, Clarke, Fremont, Madison and 8 more | 84 min |
| Oct 14, 2:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Barber, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 28 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 25 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 14, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Cole and 14 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.