Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500

October 14, 201731 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 14, 2017, 4:45 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2017, 4:45 PM CDT (21:45 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2017, 9:20 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 31 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Osage45 min
Oct 14, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPPottawatomie, Wabaunsee36 min
Oct 14, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Franklin38 min
Oct 14, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood49 min
Oct 14, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood55 min
Oct 14, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Lyon63 min
Oct 14, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTElk, Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson68 min
Oct 14, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Cowley, Elk64 min
Oct 14, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Franklin52 min
Oct 14, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Neosho, Wilson, Woodson78 min
Oct 14, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTElk, Greenwood, Wilson67 min
Oct 14, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey48 min
Oct 14, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon47 min
Oct 14, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood53 min
Oct 14, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2017-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 448 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2017-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 324 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
448 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-178 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
838 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 2:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barber, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 28 more3 hr
Oct 14, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCJohnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.