Severe Thunderstorm Warning 276, NWS Wichita, KS

121 
WWUS53 KICT 142322
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
622 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSC049-073-205-207-150000-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-171015T0000Z/
Elk KS-Wilson KS-Woodson KS-Greenwood KS-
622 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN ELK...NORTHWESTERN WILSON...SOUTHWESTERN WOODSON AND
SOUTHERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES...

At 621 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of
Severy, or 11 miles southeast of Eureka, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Eureka, Toronto, Severy, Fall River, Climax, Coyville, Fall River
Lake, Cross Timbers State Park, Toronto Lake, Batesville, Piedmont
and Fall River State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.


&&

LAT...LON 3748 9638 3777 9648 3794 9585 3764 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 247DEG 42KT 3772 9612 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

CARUSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
333 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This afternoon, a line of thunderstorms developed, as expected,
along a NE-SW oriented warm front that, at 2 PM, extended from
extreme Southeast Nebraska, through KGBD, then thru Southwest KS
where it curved sharply W into Southeast CO. The cold front will
continue to be a MAJOR player in the forecast for the rest of the
afternoon & tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This Evening:
A SHARP, positively-tilted upper-deck wave extends from along the
Saskatchewan/Manitoba border to the CO/NM border. As this intense
upper wave surges E tonight, the afore-mentioned warm front would
transition into a cold front & surge SE through the remainder of
Central & Southeast KS. The front should reach the KS Turnpike ~9
PM. SE of the front, a very warm, moist environment will combine
with steep lapse rates to induce significant destabilization
across the SE half of KS this afternoon & early evening. Bulk
shear is STRONG, & will likely reach 65-70kts close to the front &
MLCAPES from ~2,000-2,500 J/KG supercells are certain. Both large
hail (around ping pong ball-sized) & 60 to 70 mph winds are
anticipated. As the cold front surges SE, the primary threat would
be damaging winds as the bowing potential would increase. The
northwest winds in the wake of frontal passage are strong.
Sustained speeds from 25-35 mph with gusts ~45 mph are likely
across nearly all of Central & South-Central KS, especially from
7-11 PM. The Wind Advisory obviously remains intact.

Overnight:
With the SE-surging cold front surging crossing all of Southeast
KS 11PM-Mid Night all thunderstorms should clear Southeast KS 9-10
PM by which time only a few post-frontal showers should exist over
Southeast KS. NW 15-25 mph winds will continue to funnel much
cooler air into KS.

Sun-Tue Night:
All will be quiet across KS as strong high pressure spreads SE
across KS Sun & Sun Night. As the high ventures SE into the Mid-MS
Valley & Southern Plains lower-deck would quickly become S/SW to
enable temps to slowly rebound.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Wed-Fri:
Warm & dry weather will dominate as a strong & broad mid-upper
high pressure spreads E across most of the U.S.

Sat-Sat Night:
Any chances for thunderstorms (& they're low) should not arrive
until next Sat night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Scattered elevated thunderstorms will persist into mid-afternoon
from south-central into northeast Kansas. Isolated small hail and
gusty winds could accompany these storms.

A strong cold front from southeast nebraska to northwest Kansas,
will surge rapidly southward across the remainder of Kansas late
this afternoon and evening. South-southwesterly winds of 15-20
knots with gusts of 25-30 knots, will shift to northwesterly
behind the front. Strong northwesterly gusts of 35-45 knots will
affect central/south-central Kansas this evening, before peak
gusts diminish overnight. A quasi-linear band of strong-severe
storms is expected to develop with the frontal surge very late
this afternoon/evening, across south-central/southeast Kansas.
Damaging winds will be the main threat, with a lesser chance of
large hail.

IFR/MVFR ceilings over northwest/north-central Kansas early this
afternoon, may try to filter southward into central Kansas through
early this evening behind the front, although ceiling heights are
expected to improve.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  64  42  70 /  70   0   0   0
Hutchinson      43  63  40  70 /  40   0   0   0
Newton          44  62  41  69 /  60   0   0   0
ElDorado        45  63  41  69 /  70   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   47  64  41  69 /  70   0   0   0
Russell         40  64  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      40  64  39  72 /  10   0   0   0
Salina          42  63  40  72 /  30   0   0   0
McPherson       43  62  39  70 /  40   0   0   0
Coffeyville     50  64  41  69 /  90   0   0   0
Chanute         48  62  40  69 / 100   0   0   0
Iola            48  62  40  69 / 100   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    49  63  40  69 / 100   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT Sunday for
KSZ032-033-047>052-067-068-082-083-091-092.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EPS
SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...JMC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
510 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152215-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
510 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central, South
Central and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Numerous thunderstorms, several of which may be severe with hail as
large as golf balls and 60 to 70 mph winds, are likely across most
of South-Central and all of Southeast Kansas this evening. For
further details, please refer to Severe Thunderstorm Watch number
500 that is effect until mid-night.

Any thunderstorms that occur in Central Kansas may produce penny-
sized hail and winds around 50 mph early this evening.

After cold frontal passage, northwest winds will greatly increase,
especially along and west of I-135 where 30 to 35 mph sustained
speeds with gusts from 45 to 50 mph are likely later this evening.
For further details, please refer to the Wind Advisory that remains
in effect for all of Central and most of South-Central Kansas from
7 PM until 1 AM CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
436 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TSTM WND GST     MATFIELD GREEN          38.16N 96.56W
10/14/2017  E60 MPH          CHASE              KS   STORM CHASER

            ESTIMATED 60MPH WIND GUST VERIFIED

&&

TAV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
502 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ069-070-142245-
Butler KS-Greenwood KS-
502 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  East central Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Northwestern Greenwood County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 545 PM CDT

* At 459 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 15 miles east of El Dorado...moving
  east at 50 mph.

Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Eureka, Hamilton, Rosalia, Eureka City Lake, Thrall, Eureka Airport
  and El Dorado State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central and southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3776 9670 3790 9675 3808 9618 3783 9610
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 254DEG 45KT 3785 9658

CARUSO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
510 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ082-091-092-142300-
Harper KS-Sumner KS-Kingman KS-
510 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Eastern Harper County in south central Kansas...
  Western Sumner County in south central Kansas...
  Southeastern Kingman County in south central Kansas...

* Until 600 PM CDT

* At 509 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles northeast of Manchester, or
  8 miles southeast of Anthony...moving northeast at 35 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Anthony, Conway Springs, Argonia, Norwich, Mayfield, Milan, Bluff
  City, Danville, Freeport, Perth and Runnymede.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3714 9811 3755 9781 3748 9781 3747 9773
      3712 9738 3700 9795 3700 9799
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 246DEG 31KT 3707 9791

CARUSO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
529 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ069-093-142315-
Butler KS-Cowley KS-
529 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southern Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Northern Cowley County in south central Kansas...

* Until 615 PM CDT

* At 528 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Douglass...moving northeast at
  45 mph.

wind gusts up to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Douglass, Udall, Leon, Atlanta, Latham, Rock, Winfield City Lake
  and Beaumont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3726 9715 3751 9715 3782 9653 3743 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 238DEG 39KT 3745 9698

CARUSO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
532 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ051-052-068-142330-
McPherson KS-Harvey KS-Marion KS-
532 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southeastern McPherson County in central Kansas...
  North central Harvey County in south central Kansas...
  Marion County in central Kansas...

* Until 630 PM CDT

* At 531 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Goessel, or 9 miles northeast
  of Hesston...moving east at 55 mph.

Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Hesston, Hillsboro, Marion, Moundridge, Canton, Goessel,
  Lincolnville, Ramona, Lehigh, Tampa, Durham, Lost Springs, Marion
  Lake and Pilsen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central, central and east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3852 9693 3852 9682 3835 9682 3835 9684
      3830 9684 3811 9755 3827 9768 3861 9708
      3861 9693
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 248DEG 48KT 3825 9732

CARUSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
540 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 NW EUREKA            37.92N 96.42W
10/14/2017  E70 MPH          GREENWOOD          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60-70 ESTIMATED WIND SPEED

&&

MWM