Severe Thunderstorm Warning 281, NWS Wichita, KS

960 
WWUS53 KICT 150057
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
757 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSC099-125-133-205-150130-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0281.000000T0000Z-171015T0130Z/
Wilson KS-Labette KS-Neosho KS-Montgomery KS-
757 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILSON...NORTHERN LABETTE...NEOSHO AND NORTHEASTERN
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

At 757 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles north of
Thayer, or 6 miles south of Chanute, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Parsons, Chanute, Neodesha, Erie, St. Paul, Thayer, Altoona,
Galesburg, Stark, Earlton, Lake Parsons, Dennis, Chanute Airport and
South Mound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 9508 3733 9574 3743 9574 3766 9557
      3774 9528 3773 9509 3739 9509 3738 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0057Z 249DEG 32KT 3758 9549 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

MCGUIRE

348 
WWUS53 KICT 150112
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
812 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSC125-205-150121-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0281.000000T0000Z-171015T0130Z/
Wilson KS-Montgomery KS-
812 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILSON AND
NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3734 9552 3746 9551 3768 9543 3774 9528
      3773 9509 3739 9509 3738 9508 3737 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 247DEG 43KT 3762 9526 

$$

KSC099-133-150130-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0281.000000T0000Z-171015T0130Z/
Labette KS-Neosho KS-
812 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN LABETTE AND NEOSHO COUNTIES...

At 811 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Erie, moving
east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Parsons, Erie, St. Paul, Thayer, Galesburg, Stark, Lake Parsons,
Dennis, South Mound and Parsons Tri City Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9552 3746 9551 3768 9543 3774 9528
      3773 9509 3739 9509 3738 9508 3737 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 247DEG 43KT 3762 9526 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MCGUIRE

312 
WWUS53 KICT 150128
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
828 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSC099-133-150138-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0281.000000T0000Z-171015T0130Z/
Labette KS-Neosho KS-
828 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN LABETTE AND NEOSHO
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3734 9552 3746 9551 3768 9543 3774 9528
      3773 9509 3739 9509 3738 9508 3737 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 244DEG 46KT 3770 9505 

$$

MCGUIRE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
700 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This afternoon, a line of thunderstorms developed, as expected,
along a NE-SW oriented warm front that, at 2 PM, extended from
extreme Southeast Nebraska, through KGBD, then thru Southwest KS
where it curved sharply W into Southeast CO. The cold front will
continue to be a MAJOR player in the forecast for the rest of the
afternoon & tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This Evening:
A SHARP, positively-tilted upper-deck wave extends from along the
Saskatchewan/Manitoba border to the CO/NM border. As this intense
upper wave surges E tonight, the afore-mentioned warm front would
transition into a cold front & surge SE through the remainder of
Central & Southeast KS. The front should reach the KS Turnpike ~9
PM. SE of the front, a very warm, moist environment will combine
with steep lapse rates to induce significant destabilization
across the SE half of KS this afternoon & early evening. Bulk
shear is STRONG, & will likely reach 65-70kts close to the front &
MLCAPES from ~2,000-2,500 J/KG supercells are certain. Both large
hail (around ping pong ball-sized) & 60 to 70 mph winds are
anticipated. As the cold front surges SE, the primary threat would
be damaging winds as the bowing potential would increase. The
northwest winds in the wake of frontal passage are strong.
Sustained speeds from 25-35 mph with gusts ~45 mph are likely
across nearly all of Central & South-Central KS, especially from
7-11 PM. The Wind Advisory obviously remains intact.

Overnight:
With the SE-surging cold front surging crossing all of Southeast
KS 11PM-Mid Night all thunderstorms should clear Southeast KS 9-10
PM by which time only a few post-frontal showers should exist over
Southeast KS. NW 15-25 mph winds will continue to funnel much
cooler air into KS.

Sun-Tue Night:
All will be quiet across KS as strong high pressure spreads SE
across KS Sun & Sun Night. As the high ventures SE into the Mid-MS
Valley & Southern Plains lower-deck would quickly become S/SW to
enable temps to slowly rebound.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Wed-Fri:
Warm & dry weather will dominate as a strong & broad mid-upper
high pressure spreads E across most of the U.S.

Sat-Sat Night:
Any chances for thunderstorms (& they're low) should not arrive
until next Sat night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

+TSRA, several of which are SVR with 57-61kt gusts, extend from NW
MO, thru KUKL, to KWLD. The +TSRA are sprinting E/NE ~52kts & will
greatlyu impact KCNU til ~03Z, at which time a strong cold front
surging SE will force all TSRA S-SE of the terminal. At issuance,
the strong cold front curved from far NW MO, thru KEWK & KP28, to
the OK Panhandle. Post-frontal winds are STRONG with sustained 26
to 30 kts likely across all of Central & South-Central KS til ~04Z
when diminishment would occur as strong high pressure spreads SE
across Wrn KS. Although all areas outside of the +TSRA would be
VFR, sct decks ~2,000ft will exist across the region til ~06Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  64  42  70 /  80   0   0   0
Hutchinson      43  63  40  70 /  50   0   0   0
Newton          44  62  41  69 /  80   0   0   0
ElDorado        45  63  41  69 /  90   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   47  64  41  69 /  80   0   0   0
Russell         40  64  39  73 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      40  64  39  72 /  10   0   0   0
Salina          42  63  40  72 /  40   0   0   0
McPherson       43  62  39  70 /  50   0   0   0
Coffeyville     50  64  41  69 /  90   0   0   0
Chanute         48  62  40  69 / 100   0   0   0
Iola            48  62  40  69 / 100   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    49  63  40  69 / 100   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Sunday for KSZ032-033-047>052-067-
068-082-083-091-092.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EPS
SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...EPS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
510 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152215-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
510 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central, South
Central and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Numerous thunderstorms, several of which may be severe with hail as
large as golf balls and 60 to 70 mph winds, are likely across most
of South-Central and all of Southeast Kansas this evening. For
further details, please refer to Severe Thunderstorm Watch number
500 that is effect until mid-night.

Any thunderstorms that occur in Central Kansas may produce penny-
sized hail and winds around 50 mph early this evening.

After cold frontal passage, northwest winds will greatly increase,
especially along and west of I-135 where 30 to 35 mph sustained
speeds with gusts from 45 to 50 mph are likely later this evening.
For further details, please refer to the Wind Advisory that remains
in effect for all of Central and most of South-Central Kansas from
7 PM until 1 AM CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
645 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINFIELD                37.27N 96.97W
10/14/2017                   COWLEY             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE SNAPPED

&&

MWM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
659 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ069-093-094-098-150045-
Butler KS-Cowley KS-Chautauqua KS-Elk KS-
659 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southeastern Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Northeastern Cowley County in south central Kansas...
  Northwestern Chautauqua County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southwestern Elk County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 745 PM CDT

* At 657 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Burden, or 6 miles northeast of
  Winfield...moving northeast at 60 mph.

wind gusts up to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Burden, Dexter, Grenola, Atlanta, Latham, Cambridge and Winfield
  City Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central and southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3713 9689 3734 9698 3765 9653 3761 9652
      3760 9652 3724 9639
TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 245DEG 54KT 3732 9686

CARUSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
704 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     TSTM WND GST     YATES CENTER            37.87N 95.74W
10/14/2017  E60 MPH          WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MWM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
710 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     TSTM WND DMG     IOLA                    37.93N 95.40W
10/14/2017                   ALLEN              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNAPPED POWER POLES REPORTED

&&

MWM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
724 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW EUREKA             37.84N 96.32W
10/14/2017                   GREENWOOD          KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1 MILE OF UTILITY POLES DOWN ON P RD WITH MULTIPLE TREES
            BLOWN DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAYS NNW OF THE EUREKA LAKE AREA

&&

MWM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
733 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 W BURDEN              37.31N 96.92W
10/14/2017  E70 MPH          COWLEY             KS   PUBLIC

            WIND GUST OF APPROXIMATELY 70MPH. 8 INCH DIAMETER
            TREELIMB BROKEN.

&&

TAV