Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 461
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 22, 2017, 12:23 PM EDT for 42 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2017, 12:23 PM EDT (16:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 57 counties
Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Erie County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Warren County, PA, Addison County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 12:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Orleans, Wayne and 1 more | 56 min |
| Aug 22, 12:34 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 26 min |
| Aug 22, 12:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Wyoming | 65 min |
| Aug 22, 1:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Monroe, Ontario, Oswego, Wayne | 67 min |
| Aug 22, 1:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 60 min |
| Aug 22, 1:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 67 min |
| Aug 22, 1:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming | 49 min |
| Aug 22, 2:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Lewis, Oswego | 55 min |
| Aug 22, 2:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Clearfield, Elk, McKean, Warren | 66 min |
| Aug 22, 2:12 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston | 33 min |
| Aug 22, 2:19 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Steuben, Yates | 28 min |
| Aug 22, 2:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Clinton, Franklin, St. Lawrence | 66 min |
| Aug 22, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence | 62 min |
| Aug 22, 2:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 58 min |
| Aug 22, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Livingston and 1 more | 57 min |
| Aug 22, 2:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Oneida | 26 min |
| Aug 22, 2:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 3:11 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Lewis | 34 min |
| Aug 22, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Oneida | 34 min |
| Aug 22, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Clinton, Elk, Lycoming, Potter, Tioga | 76 min |
| Aug 22, 3:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Lewis | 30 min |
| Aug 22, 3:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Wyoming | 55 min |
| Aug 22, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Herkimer | 60 min |
| Aug 22, 3:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Clinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence | 63 min |
| Aug 22, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wyoming | 45 min |
| Aug 22, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Onondaga | 33 min |
| Aug 22, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida | 24 min |
| Aug 22, 4:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 4:13 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Onondaga | 32 min |
| Aug 22, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery | 56 min |
| Aug 22, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton | 19 min |
| Aug 22, 4:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca | 31 min |
| Aug 22, 4:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Ontario | 19 min |
| Aug 22, 4:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Cortland, Madison, Onondaga | 36 min |
| Aug 22, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Oneida | 31 min |
| Aug 22, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Warren | 43 min |
| Aug 22, 4:55 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Herkimer | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 5:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk, McKean, Potter | 66 min |
| Aug 22, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Oswego | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 5:12 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida, Otsego | 27 min |
| Aug 22, 5:17 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cameron, McKean | 43 min |
| Aug 22, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tioga and 1 more | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 5:28 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Fulton, Herkimer, Montgomery | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 61 min |
| Aug 22, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 55 min |
| Aug 22, 5:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Potter | 37 min |
| Aug 22, 5:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Saratoga, Warren | 66 min |
| Aug 22, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 48 min |
| Aug 22, 5:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans | 59 min |
| Aug 22, 5:51 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Potter | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 6:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Chittenden, Grand Isle, Lamoille, Washington | 33 min |
| Aug 22, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 53 min |
| Aug 22, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady | 34 min |
| Aug 22, 6:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer | 40 min |
| Aug 22, 6:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Madison, Oneida, Otsego | 49 min |
| Aug 22, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Caledonia, Chittenden, Essex, Lamoille, Orange and 4 more | 77 min |
| Aug 22, 7:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Herkimer, Montgomery | 56 min |
| Aug 22, 7:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming | 22 min |
| Aug 22, 7:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Schenectady, Schoharie | 55 min |
| Aug 22, 7:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 58 min |
| Aug 22, 8:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Saratoga, Washington | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 87 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -80 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 932 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 163 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
929 WWUS20 KWNS 221619 SEL1 SPC WW 221619 NYZ000-PAZ000-VTZ000-LEZ000-LOZ000-230100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 461 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of New York Northern Pennsylvania Western Vermont Lake Erie Lake Ontario * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Numerous storm clusters and lines are expected to develop this afternoon and progress east-northeast. Strong gusts producing damaging winds and a couple tornadoes are anticipated. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 115 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Saranac Lake NY to 25 miles southeast of Bradford PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Grams
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 11:55 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 23 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 22, 2:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton and 22 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 22, 3:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Delaware, Dutchess, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Sullivan and 1 more | 67 min |
| Aug 22, 3:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga and 4 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Delaware, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Sullivan, Westchester | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland and 21 more | 87 min |
| Aug 22, 5:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer, Washington | 116 min |
| Aug 22, 7:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Kings and 8 more | 113 min |
| Aug 22, 11:54 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Greene and 5 more | 66 min |
| Aug 22, 12:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Butler and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 22, 2:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 13 more | 91 min |
| Aug 22, 4:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 13 more | 66 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in New York, 2017Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Tornado Watches in Vermont, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.