Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 461

August 22, 201742 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 22, 2017, 12:23 PM EDT for 42 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 22, 2017, 12:23 PM EDT (16:23 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 57 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Erie County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Warren County, PA, Addison County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 12:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFGenesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Orleans, Wayne and 1 more56 min
Aug 22, 12:34 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua26 min
Aug 22, 12:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Wyoming65 min
Aug 22, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Monroe, Ontario, Oswego, Wayne67 min
Aug 22, 1:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin, St. Lawrence60 min
Aug 22, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego67 min
Aug 22, 1:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming49 min
Aug 22, 2:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Lewis, Oswego55 min
Aug 22, 2:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clearfield, Elk, McKean, Warren66 min
Aug 22, 2:12 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFAllegany, Livingston33 min
Aug 22, 2:19 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMSteuben, Yates28 min
Aug 22, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Franklin, St. Lawrence66 min
Aug 22, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex, Franklin, St. Lawrence62 min
Aug 22, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego58 min
Aug 22, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Livingston and 1 more57 min
Aug 22, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida26 min
Aug 22, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga35 min
Aug 22, 3:11 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFLewis34 min
Aug 22, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida34 min
Aug 22, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clinton, Elk, Lycoming, Potter, Tioga76 min
Aug 22, 3:15 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFLewis30 min
Aug 22, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Wyoming55 min
Aug 22, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer60 min
Aug 22, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence63 min
Aug 22, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wyoming45 min
Aug 22, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga33 min
Aug 22, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida24 min
Aug 22, 4:10 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMMadison, Oneida35 min
Aug 22, 4:13 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga32 min
Aug 22, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery56 min
Aug 22, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton19 min
Aug 22, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Seneca31 min
Aug 22, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOntario19 min
Aug 22, 4:39 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMCortland, Madison, Onondaga36 min
Aug 22, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego, Wayne35 min
Aug 22, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida31 min
Aug 22, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Warren43 min
Aug 22, 4:55 PM EDTTornado WarningALYHerkimer35 min
Aug 22, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk, McKean, Potter66 min
Aug 22, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOswego35 min
Aug 22, 5:12 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMMadison, Oneida, Otsego27 min
Aug 22, 5:17 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCameron, McKean43 min
Aug 22, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tioga and 1 more39 min
Aug 22, 5:28 PM EDTTornado WarningALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery47 min
Aug 22, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis61 min
Aug 22, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington55 min
Aug 22, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter37 min
Aug 22, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Saratoga, Warren66 min
Aug 22, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex48 min
Aug 22, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans59 min
Aug 22, 5:51 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPPotter39 min
Aug 22, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Chittenden, Grand Isle, Lamoille, Washington33 min
Aug 22, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter, Tioga53 min
Aug 22, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady34 min
Aug 22, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer40 min
Aug 22, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Madison, Oneida, Otsego49 min
Aug 22, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Niagara47 min
Aug 22, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Caledonia, Chittenden, Essex, Lamoille, Orange and 4 more77 min
Aug 22, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery56 min
Aug 22, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming22 min
Aug 22, 7:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Schenectady, Schoharie55 min
Aug 22, 7:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWashington58 min
Aug 22, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer, Saratoga, Washington62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 87 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
87 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
932 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

929 
WWUS20 KWNS 221619
SEL1  
SPC WW 221619
NYZ000-PAZ000-VTZ000-LEZ000-LOZ000-230100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 461
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  New York
  Northern Pennsylvania
  Western Vermont
  Lake Erie
  Lake Ontario

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Numerous storm clusters and lines are expected to develop
this afternoon and progress east-northeast. Strong gusts producing
damaging winds and a couple tornadoes are anticipated.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 115 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Saranac
Lake NY to 25 miles southeast of Bradford PA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 11:55 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 23 more3 hr
Aug 22, 2:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton and 22 more2 hr
Aug 22, 3:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelaware, Dutchess, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Sullivan and 1 more67 min
Aug 22, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga and 4 more8 hr
Aug 22, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDelaware, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Sullivan, Westchester8 hr
Aug 22, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland and 21 more87 min
Aug 22, 5:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer, Washington116 min
Aug 22, 7:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Kings and 8 more113 min
Aug 22, 11:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Greene and 5 more66 min
Aug 22, 12:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Butler and 16 more8 hr
Aug 22, 2:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 13 more91 min
Aug 22, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Blair, Butler, Cambria and 13 more66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New York, 2017Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Tornado Watches in Vermont, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.