Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 284

May 27, 201726 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 27, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT for 26 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2017, 12:32 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 51 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Texas, Webster, Wright43 min
May 27, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley41 min
May 27, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Jasper, Lawrence39 min
May 27, 7:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton, Stone and 1 more5 hr
May 27, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Douglas, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton and 2 more62 min
May 27, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Howell32 min
May 27, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright60 min
May 27, 7:36 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCarter, Ripley24 min
May 27, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon27 min
May 27, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne33 min
May 27, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas61 min
May 27, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence, Newton30 min
May 27, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton51 min
May 27, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Stoddard, Wayne41 min
May 27, 8:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarry, Douglas, McDonald, Ozark, Stone, Taney4 hr
May 27, 8:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHButler, Wayne114 min
May 27, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, McDonald, Newton, Stone, Taney52 min
May 27, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph51 min
May 27, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp63 min
May 27, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, New Madrid, Stoddard34 min
May 27, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHRipley33 min
May 27, 8:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHMississippi, Scott, Stoddard3 hr
May 27, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Randolph39 min
May 27, 9:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHCarter, Ripley113 min
May 27, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Stone38 min
May 27, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion41 min
May 27, 9:34 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencySGFStone, Taney6 hr
May 27, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion52 min
May 27, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence52 min
May 27, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark, Taney40 min
May 27, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi50 min
May 27, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett47 min
May 27, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton42 min
May 27, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett46 min
May 27, 10:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi52 min
May 27, 11:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Newton, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren27 min
May 27, 11:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Newton56 min
May 28, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 284 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2017-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3385 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2017-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3385 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1096 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.5
Supercell composite
15.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

334 
WWUS20 KWNS 272358
SEL4  
SPC WW 272358
ARZ000-MOZ000-280700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 284
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern and western Arkansas
  Southern Missouri

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 700 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to develop within a
highly unstable environment from far southern Missouri into northern
and western Arkansas. Tornadoes will especially be possible with any
storm along a roughly west-east outflow boundary along the
Missouri/Arkansas border vicinity, while semi-discrete supercells or
evolving line-embedded mesovortices would also pose a tornado risk.
Otherwise, widespread and locally intense damaging winds will be
highly likely as storms accelerate east/southeastward this evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Harrison
AR to 35 miles east southeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 275...WW 276...WW
277...WW 278...WW 279...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...WW 283...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean
storm motion vector 29035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 9:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Independence and 8 more94 min
May 27, 9:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis2 hr
May 27, 11:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Sebastian, Washington58 min
May 28, 12:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Columbia, Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead and 10 more5 hr
May 28, 12:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 36 more6 hr
May 28, 12:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Montgomery, Polk23 min
May 28, 2:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Faulkner and 12 more2 hr
May 28, 2:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 6 more2 hr
May 28, 4:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Columbia and 9 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.