Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 284
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 27, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT for 26 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT (00:01 UTC)
- Expired
- May 28, 2017, 12:32 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 51 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Texas, Webster, Wright | 43 min |
| May 27, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carter, Ripley | 41 min |
| May 27, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dade, Jasper, Lawrence | 39 min |
| May 27, 7:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton, Stone and 1 more | 5 hr |
| May 27, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton and 2 more | 62 min |
| May 27, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell | 32 min |
| May 27, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright | 60 min |
| May 27, 7:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Carter, Ripley | 24 min |
| May 27, 7:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon | 27 min |
| May 27, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne | 33 min |
| May 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas | 61 min |
| May 27, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 30 min |
| May 27, 8:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton | 51 min |
| May 27, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Stoddard, Wayne | 41 min |
| May 27, 8:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Douglas, McDonald, Ozark, Stone, Taney | 4 hr |
| May 27, 8:21 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Butler, Wayne | 114 min |
| May 27, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald, Newton, Stone, Taney | 52 min |
| May 27, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph | 51 min |
| May 27, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 63 min |
| May 27, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, New Madrid, Stoddard | 34 min |
| May 27, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ripley | 33 min |
| May 27, 8:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Mississippi, Scott, Stoddard | 3 hr |
| May 27, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Randolph | 39 min |
| May 27, 9:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Carter, Ripley | 113 min |
| May 27, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 38 min |
| May 27, 9:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 41 min |
| May 27, 9:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 6 hr |
| May 27, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 52 min |
| May 27, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence | 52 min |
| May 27, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 40 min |
| May 27, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 50 min |
| May 27, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 47 min |
| May 27, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton | 42 min |
| May 27, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 46 min |
| May 27, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 52 min |
| May 27, 11:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Newton, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren | 27 min |
| May 27, 11:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 56 min |
| May 28, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 284 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3385 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -56 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1096 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.5
- Supercell composite
- 15.1
The text
As transmitted.
334
WWUS20 KWNS 272358
SEL4
SPC WW 272358
ARZ000-MOZ000-280700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 284
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and western Arkansas
Southern Missouri
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 700 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to develop within a
highly unstable environment from far southern Missouri into northern
and western Arkansas. Tornadoes will especially be possible with any
storm along a roughly west-east outflow boundary along the
Missouri/Arkansas border vicinity, while semi-discrete supercells or
evolving line-embedded mesovortices would also pose a tornado risk.
Otherwise, widespread and locally intense damaging winds will be
highly likely as storms accelerate east/southeastward this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Harrison
AR to 35 miles east southeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 275...WW 276...WW
277...WW 278...WW 279...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...WW 283...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean
storm motion vector 29035.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 9:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Independence and 8 more | 94 min |
| May 27, 9:59 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis | 2 hr |
| May 27, 11:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 58 min |
| May 28, 12:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Columbia, Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead and 10 more | 5 hr |
| May 28, 12:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 36 more | 6 hr |
| May 28, 12:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Montgomery, Polk | 23 min |
| May 28, 2:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Faulkner and 12 more | 2 hr |
| May 28, 2:53 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 6 more | 2 hr |
| May 28, 4:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Columbia and 9 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.