Severe Thunderstorm Warning 257, NWS Springfield, MO

521 
WWUS53 KSGF 280308
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1008 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC153-213-280330-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0257.000000T0000Z-170528T0330Z/
Ozark MO-Taney MO-
1008 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN OZARK AND SOUTHEASTERN TANEY COUNTIES...

At 1008 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles northeast
of Diamond City, or 18 miles southeast of Forsyth, moving east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Bull Shoals Lake...               Theodosia...
Sundown...                        Protem...
Rueter...                         Long Run...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3669 9299 3669 9262 3650 9265 3650 9301
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 265DEG 29KT 3658 9281 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

885 
WWUS53 KSGF 280326
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1026 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC153-213-280335-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0257.000000T0000Z-170528T0330Z/
Ozark MO-Taney MO-
1026 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN OZARK AND
SOUTHEASTERN TANEY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1030 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3669 9299 3669 9262 3650 9265 3650 9301
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 262DEG 19KT 3659 9270 

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
641 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been ongoing across the area for a couple of hours
now. Surface boundary extends from southern Illinois across
southern Missouri to a surface low over north-central Oklahoma.
The environment is extremely unstable with SBCAPE from our 18z
sounding over 5000 J/kg and 0-6km shear at around 50 kts.  This
initial round is starting to become more linear with outflow
pushing the boundary southward.

The second round looks to be developing both in southeast Kansas
and northeast Oklahoma per SPC discussions. Will need to monitor
this closely as models...such as the HRRR...are tending to keep
the convection tied to the surface boundary. If this were to
materialize...would need to monitor for training of cells and
locally heavy rainfall along this east-west boundary.

Surface front will begin to push through the area during the
morning hours on Sunday. Rain should be out of all but south-
central Missouri by Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The upper level system then remains across the northern Great
Lakes region through Tuesday before an upper level ridge over the
western states begins to push it eastward. This will keep us in
northwest flow for the first half of the forecast period. Monday
and Tuesday should be dry but conditions will become unsettled
from Wednesday on.

By Thursday...an upper level trough begins to move out of the
desert southwest which will once again increase our rain chances.
Temperatures during the period will be at or slightly above
seasonal normals with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s
and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Second round of convection currently moving through the
area...mainly affecting KSGF/KJLN at this time but will be
affecting KBBG within the next hour or so. The main front should
start to pass through the area after 08z. The front will bring an
end to the thunderstorms but ceilings should lower to MVFR/IFR for
most the morning hours. Ceilings should begin to lift to VFR
after 18z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-282130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Tornado risk.
  Significant Hail risk.
  Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe storms will continue to impact the Ozarks
  late this afternoon into tonight as very strong instability
  and wind shear remain in place ahead of a surface boundary.

  The potential exists for supercell thunderstorms as storms
  initially begin to develop. If these supercells do form, hail
  up to the size of baseballs, damaging winds, and tornadoes
  will all be possible.

  The storms will eventually become more linear in nature as the
  cold pool develops and will become capable of producing
  widespread damaging wind gusts. Gusts over 75 mph will be
  possible. Tornadoes will also be possible with any portions of
  the line which bow towards the east. This has the potential to
  produce power outages.

  Along with the risk for severe thunderstorms, frequent
  lightning and locally heavy rainfall can be expected. Localized
  flooding of low water crossings will be possible where the
  heavier rainfall occurs. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect
  through 7 AM Sunday. Localized rainfall amounts of up to 4
  inches will be possible if training storms develop.

  Those with outdoor plans tonight are urged to pay close
  attention to the weather and have a plan in place to move to a
  sturdy shelter when severe weather threatens.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  A few lingering strong to severe storms will impact portions of
  south central Missouri Sunday morning before the system moves
  completely through the region. Large hail and damaging winds
  will be the primary concern.

  The next chance of storms comes towards the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  the entire area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
844 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     HAIL             THAYER                  36.52N 91.54W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       OREGON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
851 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FREMONT HILLS           37.07N 93.25W
05/27/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

            PICTURE FROM SOCIAL MEDIA SHOWED SEVERAL
            TREES DOWN IN A NEIGHBORHOOD.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
909 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N KIMBERLING CITY     36.65N 93.42W
05/27/2017                   STONE              MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS SEVERAL
            ROADWAYS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE AROUND THE
            KIMBERLING CITY AREA.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
912 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             4 S IBERIA              38.03N 92.29W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       MILLER             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR IBERIA.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
925 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0923 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BRANSON                 36.64N 93.22W
05/27/2017                   TANEY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORT SEVERAL ROADS
            FLOODED IN THE BRANSON AREA.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
941 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0941 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W BRANSON             36.64N 93.25W
05/27/2017                   TANEY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRE DEPARTMENT
            REPORTS NUMEROUS HIGH WATER RESCUES ACROSS
            THE BRANSON AREA AT THIS TIME. PEOPLE
            TRAPPED IN CARS.

&&

MG