Flash Flood Warning 54, NWS Springfield, MO

376 
WGUS73 KSGF 280341
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1041 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC009-043-109-119-145-209-213-280530-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0054.000000T0000Z-170528T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Newton MO-Christian MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-McDonald MO-Barry MO-
Lawrence MO-
1041 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN NEWTON...CHRISTIAN...NORTHERN TANEY...STONE...NORTHERN
MCDONALD...BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 1040 PM CDT, The Department of Transportation reported flash 
flooding in the warned area. Up to three inches of rain has already 
fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

Creeks, streams, and low water crossings will be especially
susceptible to the dangers of flash flooding.
Locations in the warning include...
Nixa...                           Ozark...
Neosho...                         Branson...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Roaring River State Park...
Monett...                         Aurora...
Cassville...                      Silver Dollar City...
Kimberling City...                Forsyth...
Anderson...                       Merriam Woods...
Sparta...                         Crane...
Shell Knob...                     Goodman...
Purdy...                          Reeds Spring...

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water
crossings...
Highway 43 at Buffalo Creek west of Anderson...
Highway 13 at Railey Creek near Reeds Spring...
Highway 13 at Pine Run northwest of Galena...
Route U at Pedelo Creek northeast of Sparta...
and Route Y at Flat Creek just northeast of Cassville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3678 9462 3709 9307 3708 9290 3681 9291
      3680 9288 3671 9288 3661 9367 3660 9462

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
641 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been ongoing across the area for a couple of hours
now. Surface boundary extends from southern Illinois across
southern Missouri to a surface low over north-central Oklahoma.
The environment is extremely unstable with SBCAPE from our 18z
sounding over 5000 J/kg and 0-6km shear at around 50 kts.  This
initial round is starting to become more linear with outflow
pushing the boundary southward.

The second round looks to be developing both in southeast Kansas
and northeast Oklahoma per SPC discussions. Will need to monitor
this closely as models...such as the HRRR...are tending to keep
the convection tied to the surface boundary. If this were to
materialize...would need to monitor for training of cells and
locally heavy rainfall along this east-west boundary.

Surface front will begin to push through the area during the
morning hours on Sunday. Rain should be out of all but south-
central Missouri by Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The upper level system then remains across the northern Great
Lakes region through Tuesday before an upper level ridge over the
western states begins to push it eastward. This will keep us in
northwest flow for the first half of the forecast period. Monday
and Tuesday should be dry but conditions will become unsettled
from Wednesday on.

By Thursday...an upper level trough begins to move out of the
desert southwest which will once again increase our rain chances.
Temperatures during the period will be at or slightly above
seasonal normals with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s
and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Second round of convection currently moving through the
area...mainly affecting KSGF/KJLN at this time but will be
affecting KBBG within the next hour or so. The main front should
start to pass through the area after 08z. The front will bring an
end to the thunderstorms but ceilings should lower to MVFR/IFR for
most the morning hours. Ceilings should begin to lift to VFR
after 18z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-282130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Tornado risk.
  Significant Hail risk.
  Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe storms will continue to impact the Ozarks
  late this afternoon into tonight as very strong instability
  and wind shear remain in place ahead of a surface boundary.

  The potential exists for supercell thunderstorms as storms
  initially begin to develop. If these supercells do form, hail
  up to the size of baseballs, damaging winds, and tornadoes
  will all be possible.

  The storms will eventually become more linear in nature as the
  cold pool develops and will become capable of producing
  widespread damaging wind gusts. Gusts over 75 mph will be
  possible. Tornadoes will also be possible with any portions of
  the line which bow towards the east. This has the potential to
  produce power outages.

  Along with the risk for severe thunderstorms, frequent
  lightning and locally heavy rainfall can be expected. Localized
  flooding of low water crossings will be possible where the
  heavier rainfall occurs. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect
  through 7 AM Sunday. Localized rainfall amounts of up to 4
  inches will be possible if training storms develop.

  Those with outdoor plans tonight are urged to pay close
  attention to the weather and have a plan in place to move to a
  sturdy shelter when severe weather threatens.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  A few lingering strong to severe storms will impact portions of
  south central Missouri Sunday morning before the system moves
  completely through the region. Large hail and damaging winds
  will be the primary concern.

  The next chance of storms comes towards the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  the entire area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
713 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW MONETT             36.94N 93.95W
05/27/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GETTING NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN - HWY
            PP 2 MILES NORTH OF HWY 37 BETWEEN MONETT
            AND PIERCE.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
714 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     HAIL             HARTVILLE               37.25N 92.51W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       WRIGHT             MO   PUBLIC

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
715 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             GREENFIELD              37.42N 93.84W
05/27/2017  E1.75 INCH       DADE               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
718 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HAIL             1 NE AVA                36.96N 92.65W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN AVA.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BATTLEFIELD             37.12N 93.37W
05/27/2017                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BATTLEFIELD FIRE REPORTED MULTIPLE TREES
            DOWN ACROSS BATTLEFIELD FROM WEST TO EAST.
            FR 137 AND GRAY ROCK TREE DOWN APPROXIMATELY
            15-20 INCHES. TREE INTO HOUSE AT 5924 S.
            HILLTOP, AND REQUESTING HWY DEPARTMENT
            ASSISTANCE. BATTLEFIELD STATION 1 IS ALSO
            EXPERIENCING FLOODING IN THEIR PARKING LOT.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
724 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 PM     HAIL             7 S SENECA              36.74N 94.61W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   PUBLIC

&&

SR