Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 236

May 18, 201746 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 18, 2017, 1:55 PM CDT for 46 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2017, 1:55 PM CDT (18:55 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 5 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor42 min
May 18, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Runnels24 min
May 18, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor49 min
May 18, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Shackelford, Taylor46 min
May 18, 5:22 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTColeman23 min
May 18, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman33 min
May 18, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford, Throckmorton52 min
May 18, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTBrown, Coleman37 min
May 18, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman45 min
May 18, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton23 min
May 18, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Taylor44 min
May 18, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland57 min
May 18, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTBrown39 min
May 18, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman45 min
May 18, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTBrown31 min
May 18, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche45 min
May 18, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEastland25 min
May 18, 8:10 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDComanche50 min
May 18, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland33 min
May 18, 8:15 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTBrown45 min
May 18, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman40 min
May 18, 8:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDComanche, Eastland6 hr
May 18, 8:37 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSJTBrown38 min
May 18, 8:39 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDComanche36 min
May 18, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche, Eastland62 min
May 18, 8:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTBrown, Callahan, Coleman5 hr
May 18, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown34 min
May 18, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDComanche32 min
May 18, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche65 min
May 18, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague48 min
May 18, 9:43 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDComanche32 min
May 18, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Stephens44 min
May 18, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Nolan, Runnels, Taylor43 min
May 18, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, San Saba28 min
May 18, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMills63 min
May 18, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche, Hamilton41 min
May 18, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague40 min
May 18, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTRunnels, Taylor46 min
May 18, 10:35 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHamilton, Mills25 min
May 18, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Stephens49 min
May 18, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche, Hamilton, Mills43 min
May 18, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Taylor45 min
May 18, 11:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Taylor41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2097 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 93 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2097 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-180 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
785 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

940 
WWUS20 KWNS 181852
SEL6  
SPC WW 181852
TXZ000-190300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  portions of northern and central Texas

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop in the
next hour or so across portions of northern and central Texas,
expanding in coverage as they spread eastward/northeastward through
the afternoon and evening hours.  Along with risk for a couple of
tornadoes, very large/destructive hail and damaging wind gusts will
be likely with the strongest storms/bands of storms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Abilene TX to 45
miles southeast of Fort Worth TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 235...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 12:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 37 more117 min
May 18, 12:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Hardeman, Wichita, Wilbarger2 hr
May 18, 1:18 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArcher, Baylor, Childress, Clay, Collingsworth, Cottle and 12 more7 hr
May 18, 3:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, Hardeman, Knox, Wichita, Wilbarger88 min
May 18, 4:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Collin and 39 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.