Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 18, 2017Brown County, Callahan County, Coleman County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 18, 2017, 6:15 PM CDT for Brown County, Callahan County, Coleman County, Texas. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 18, 2017, 6:15 PM CDT (23:15 UTC)
Expired: May 18, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS San Angelo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 18, 1:55 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2097 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -180 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 785 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

454 
WUUS54 KSJT 182315
SVRSJT
TXC049-059-083-190000-
/O.NEW.KSJT.SV.W.0075.170518T2315Z-170519T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
615 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Callahan County in west central Texas...
  Northwestern Brown County in west central Texas...
  Northeastern Coleman County in west central Texas...

* Until 700 PM CDT

* At 614 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Burkett, or
  14 miles north of Coleman, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* This severe thunderstorm will be near,
  Cross Plains around 640 PM CDT. 

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Us-
283 Near The Coleman-Callahan County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A tornado watch remains in effect for the warned area. Tornadoes can
develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not
immediately likely, if one is spotted, act quickly and move to a
place of safety inside a sturdy structure such as a basement or small
interior room.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for west central
Texas.

LAT...LON 3207 9902 3196 9947 3207 9951 3224 9924
      3214 9911 3208 9911 3208 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 247DEG 27KT 3203 9933 

HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 18, 3:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 18, 3:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
341 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

A conditional forecast for severe weather tonight. Strong
instability was present with MUCAPES up to 4000 J/KG and 0-6KM shear
of 45 KTS. Afternoon storms have been to the north of West Central
Texas this afternoon...as surface convergence has been weak earlier
this afternoon. However low level convergence has significantly
increased from Sweetwater to Haskell...where isolated storms were
beginning to develop. If a storm does develop, it could become
severe very quickly with no cap in place. A tornado watch is in
effect for all but the southern tier of West Central Texas until 10
PM.

The better chance of storms may come in after midnight as the upper
low over Utah moves into N. New Mexico, with shortwave rounding it.
Could see some severe weather given the instability, but don't
expect an organized severe weather event.

Friday, the severe weather outlook day 2 again has a slight
risk/enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms as dryline will be along
San Angelo CWA western boundary...from IRAAN to Sweetwater and Roby.
Instabilities will still be high again, with a stronger upper
shortwave moving through in the afternoon...and severe storms
will again be possible along and east of the dryline.

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)

As another upper low moves out of the Central Rockies and over
the Southern Plains, a cold front will be pushed into West
Central Texas Friday night. From Friday night through Sunday
morning, the best chance of showers and thunderstorms will be over
our southeastern counties. Showers and thunderstorms will
generally be south of I-20 Sunday and Sunday night. Most of the
forecast area will have a chance of precipitation Monday through
Tuesday night as the next cold front pushes south through the
forecast area.

High pressure will build over the area on Wednesday bringing dry
weather to the forecast area. A return of southeast winds will
bring warmer temperatures with afternoon highs in the upper 80s
by Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 69  84  60  76 /  40  50  60  40
San Angelo 	 70  87  64  78 /  40  40  60  60
Junction 	 71  85  67  81 /  30  40  40  60
Brownwood 	 70  83  65  76 /  40  40  70  60
Sweetwater 	 67  87  58  76 /  40  30  50  20
Ozona      	 69  88  64  79 /  30  40  40  60

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE BIG COUNTRY, THE CONCHO VALLEY, AND THE HEARTLAND...

Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 3:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
348 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-192100-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
348 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and
evening across much of West Central Texas. Some storms will
become severe and significant severe weather is possible,
including very large hail, isolated tornadoes, damaging winds and
deadly lightning. The best potential for severe weather will be
along and north of a Mertzon to San Angelo to Brownwood line.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The risk for severe weather will continue Friday across the area.
The main hazards will be large hail and damaging winds.

Saturday and Sunday...strong to severe storms are possible,
mainly along the Interstate 10 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation has been activated this afternoon and will
likely be needed Friday afternoon.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 18, 5:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     HAIL             4 SE NOVICE             31.95N  99.58W
05/18/2017  E1.25 INCH       COLEMAN            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700070

19

Local storm report, May 18, 5:26 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
526 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             EULA                    32.34N  99.56W
05/18/2017  E1.75 INCH       CALLAHAN           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700071

MKD

Local storm report, May 18, 5:30 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     HAIL             CLYDE                   32.40N  99.50W
05/18/2017  E1.00 INCH       CALLAHAN           TX   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE WAS REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700072

19

Local storm report, May 18, 5:36 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
536 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     HAIL             7 N COLEMAN             31.93N  99.43W
05/18/2017  E2.50 INCH       COLEMAN            TX   STORM CHASER

            HAIL ALSO TOOK OUT WINDSHIELD

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700073

MKD

Local storm report, May 18, 5:45 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
545 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             20 N COLEMAN            32.12N  99.43W
05/18/2017  E1.75 INCH       CALLAHAN           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF
            LAKE COLEMAN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700074

19

Local storm report, May 18, 6:01 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     20 N COLEMAN            32.12N  99.43W
05/18/2017                   CALLAHAN           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO CARPORTS AND CANOPIES OF
            RESIDENCES AT LAKE COLEMAN. ROOF SHINGLE DAMAGE WAS ALSO
            REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1700075

19

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 18, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor	42 min
May 18, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels	24 min
May 18, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor	49 min
May 18, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman, Shackelford, Taylor	46 min
May 18, 5:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Coleman	23 min
May 18, 5:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman	33 min
May 18, 5:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Shackelford, Throckmorton	52 min
May 18, 6:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Brown, Coleman	37 min
May 18, 6:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Haskell, Throckmorton	23 min
May 18, 6:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SJT	Brown, Callahan, Coleman	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.