Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 111

April 2, 201714 parishes in Louisiana; 45 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 2, 2017, 4:52 PM CDT for 14 parishes in Louisiana; 45 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2017, 4:52 PM CDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 59 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Saint Helena, West Feliciana38 min
Apr 2, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin32 min
Apr 2, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXEast Feliciana32 min
Apr 2, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Madison, Tensas41 min
Apr 2, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANTensas44 min
Apr 2, 5:59 PM CDTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Madison, Tensas26 min
Apr 2, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada28 min
Apr 2, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMadison, Tensas25 min
Apr 2, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMadison, Tensas60 min
Apr 2, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington, Yazoo61 min
Apr 2, 6:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas4 hr
Apr 2, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Warren57 min
Apr 2, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence, Lincoln67 min
Apr 2, 7:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Warren5 hr
Apr 2, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Madison, Yazoo44 min
Apr 2, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Livingston18 min
Apr 2, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds51 min
Apr 2, 7:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Yazoo4 hr
Apr 2, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge37 min
Apr 2, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Rankin, Yazoo51 min
Apr 2, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Simpson49 min
Apr 2, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison, Scott45 min
Apr 2, 9:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott4 hr
Apr 2, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jones, Smith28 min
Apr 2, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott39 min
Apr 2, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Tensas4 hr
Apr 2, 10:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin, Madison, Tensas4 hr
Apr 2, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia26 min
Apr 2, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson46 min
Apr 2, 11:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Yazoo4 hr
Apr 2, 11:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANConcordia4 hr
Apr 2, 11:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton4 hr
Apr 2, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin62 min
Apr 2, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson, Lincoln61 min
Apr 3, 12:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANWarren3 hr
Apr 3, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Lincoln48 min
Apr 3, 12:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin4 hr
Apr 3, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge34 min
Apr 3, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson47 min
Apr 3, 1:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake, Madison, Scott3 hr
Apr 3, 1:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena36 min
Apr 3, 1:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Rankin, Scott, Simpson and 1 more66 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1500 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

068 
WWUS20 KWNS 022149
SEL1  
SPC WW 022149
LAZ000-MSZ000-030700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 111
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
450 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeastern Louisiana
  Central and southern Mississippi

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 450 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...The tornado and organized severe-wind threat will increase
through the remainder of this evening as a warm front moves across
the region ahead of a line of thunderstorms initially in Louisiana. 
That line will sweep into the watch area, absorbing nearby
supercells and generating its own circulations, with embedded
tornadoes possible.  A few separate supercells also should occur
ahead of the line, offering tornadoes and isolated large hail.  See
SPC mesoscale discussion 405 for initial meteorological reasoning.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east southeast of Baton Rouge
LA to 40 miles east northeast of Greenwood MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 110...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 9:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Sabine, Vernon2 hr
Apr 2, 9:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Lafayette, Livingston and 5 more85 min
Apr 2, 10:39 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 13 more5 hr
Apr 2, 12:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSabine83 min
Apr 2, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 7 more116 min
Apr 2, 1:34 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu and 28 more7 hr
Apr 2, 2:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, LaSalle, Natchitoches, Rapides, Sabine, Vernon and 1 more54 min
Apr 2, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Charles, Saint Helena and 6 more3 hr
Apr 2, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 13 more92 min
Apr 2, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Catahoula and 7 more96 min
Apr 2, 3:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Montgomery, Sunflower and 1 more29 min
Apr 2, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBolivar, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, Grenada, Itawamba and 9 more84 min
Apr 2, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCalhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee and 7 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2017Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.