Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 105
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2017, 3:54 PM EDT for 14 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2017, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2017, 9:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 37 counties
Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway | 39 min |
| Mar 31, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Southampton | 38 min |
| Mar 31, 4:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Greensville | 30 min |
| Mar 31, 4:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk | 51 min |
| Mar 31, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Vance, Warren | 39 min |
| Mar 31, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, City of Suffolk | 54 min |
| Mar 31, 5:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Brunswick, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway | 51 min |
| Mar 31, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Halifax | 20 min |
| Mar 31, 5:34 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk | 26 min |
| Mar 31, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gates, Hertford, Northampton | 49 min |
| Mar 31, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Bertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford, Northampton | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Northampton | 45 min |
| Mar 31, 5:54 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Portsmouth | 36 min |
| Mar 31, 6:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach | 41 min |
| Mar 31, 6:08 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Bertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford | 37 min |
| Mar 31, 6:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Hertford, Northampton | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 6:13 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Camden, Gates | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 6:31 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk | 21 min |
| Mar 31, 6:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Suffolk, City of Virginia Beach | 5 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gates, Hertford, Northampton | 48 min |
| Mar 31, 6:52 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, City of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk | 23 min |
| Mar 31, 7:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Gates, Hertford, Pasquotank and 1 more | 37 min |
| Mar 31, 7:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | City of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 7:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 2 more | 67 min |
| Mar 31, 8:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Pasquotank, Perquimans | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 856 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 178 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 208 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
116
WWUS20 KWNS 311951
SEL5
SPC WW 311951
NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-010200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast North Carolina
Southeast Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have been intensifying along the VA/NC
border. These storms will track toward the Tidewater region,
capable of large hail and perhaps a tornado.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west of South Hill VA to 25
miles east southeast of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 12:53 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 9:57 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 31 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Caswell, Davidson, Davie, Durham, Forsyth and 13 more | 67 min |
| Mar 31, 6:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2017Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.