Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 105

March 31, 201714 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2017, 3:54 PM EDT for 14 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2017, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2017, 9:30 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway39 min
Mar 31, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSouthampton38 min
Mar 31, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGreensville30 min
Mar 31, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk51 min
Mar 31, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway50 min
Mar 31, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHVance, Warren39 min
Mar 31, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Suffolk54 min
Mar 31, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway51 min
Mar 31, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax20 min
Mar 31, 5:34 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk26 min
Mar 31, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGates, Hertford, Northampton49 min
Mar 31, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford, Northampton47 min
Mar 31, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton45 min
Mar 31, 5:54 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Portsmouth36 min
Mar 31, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach41 min
Mar 31, 6:08 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford37 min
Mar 31, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQHertford, Northampton50 min
Mar 31, 6:13 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach47 min
Mar 31, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Gates46 min
Mar 31, 6:31 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk21 min
Mar 31, 6:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Suffolk, City of Virginia Beach5 hr
Mar 31, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGates, Hertford, Northampton48 min
Mar 31, 6:52 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk23 min
Mar 31, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Camden, Chowan, Gates, Hertford, Pasquotank and 1 more37 min
Mar 31, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk47 min
Mar 31, 7:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 2 more67 min
Mar 31, 8:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Chowan, Currituck, Pasquotank, Perquimans39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
856 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

116 
WWUS20 KWNS 311951
SEL5  
SPC WW 311951
NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-010200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northeast North Carolina
  Southeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
  1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have been intensifying along the VA/NC
border.  These storms will track toward the Tidewater region,
capable of large hail and perhaps a tornado.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west of South Hill VA to 25
miles east southeast of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 12:53 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson and 1 more2 hr
Mar 31, 9:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 31 more2 hr
Mar 31, 2:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Caswell, Davidson, Davie, Durham, Forsyth and 13 more67 min
Mar 31, 6:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2017Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.