Tornado Warning 5, NWS Wakefield, VA

778 
WWUS51 KAKQ 312237
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
637 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

NCC015-041-073-091-312245-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170331T2245Z/
Bertie NC-Hertford NC-Gates NC-Chowan NC-
637 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN BERTIE...SOUTHEASTERN HERTFORD...SOUTH CENTRAL GATES AND
NORTHWESTERN CHOWAN COUNTIES...
    
At 631 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Colerain, or 7 miles west of Ryland, moving east at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Rockyhock around 635 PM EDT. 
  Ryland and Tyner around 645 PM EDT. 

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Goose
Pond, Icaria, Smalls Crossroads, Newsome Store, Mavaton, Arrowhead
Beach, Sign Pine, Cisco, Mill Crossroads and Carter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Please send your reports of hail and or wind damage...including
trees or large limbs downed...by calling NOAA'S National Weather
Service in Wakefield at
...7 5 7...8 9 9...2 4 1 5.&&

LAT...LON 3617 7684 3632 7688 3643 7663 3614 7661
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 252DEG 32KT 3625 7677 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

MRD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service WAKEFIELD VA
338 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure and trailing cold front will move off the Mid Atlantic
coast tonight. High pressure builds over the area for the weekend,
then moves off the coast Monday. Another area of low pressure
crosses the area Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
Warm front snaking its way across the fa attm with a weak wedge
hanging tuff across the nwrn zones. The dry slot continues to
advance ene with skies bcmg pt sunny as far east as the srn Ches
Bay. Meanwhile, the trailing cold front is still west of the
mts. Triple point low and trailing cold front progged to track
east across the region this evening then offshore by 06Z. Storms
developing along the border beginning to pulse a bit with these
being the main cells to watch over the next few hrs. Additional
storms developing along the advancing cold front.

The cold front crosses the area this evening then moves offshore
by 06Z with drier air quickly cutting off pcpn after fropa. Will
carry likely pops this evening then ramp down by 06Z with decreasing
cldns after midnight. Temps fall into the upr 40s - lwr 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure over the Great Lakes Saturday builds SE and over the
Mid Atlantic Sunday before moving off the coast Monday. Moisture
returns later Monday ahead of the next system approaching from the
west. Dry and mild through Monday morning. Highs Saturday from the
upr 50s-lwr 60s along the eastern shore to the upr 60s-mid 70s west
of the Bay. Lows 40-45. A bit cooler Sunday with highs in the 60s
except 55-60 at the beaches. Lows 45-50. Shwrs return late Monday
afternoon across the piedmont. Highs in the upr 50s-lwr 60s ern
shore, mid 60s-lwr 70s west of the bay.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Low pressure and an associated upper trough will track across the
area Monday night into Tuesday. Some timing questions exist with
respect to how soon the pcpn arrives late Monday and how quickly it
exits on Tuesday. The ECMWF solution is faster compared to the GFS
and would allow dry conditions Monday afternoon. Did not get too
specific with the timing just yet...keeping pops in thru the day.
However, would expect pcpn to end sooner given the progressive look
to this feature. Likely/categorical PoPs Monday night (70-80%), then
50-70% Tuesday (highest E/NE). After that, should see a period of
dry wx from late Tue thru Wed night. The next system is expected to
impact the region Thursday into next Friday. Have included chc pops
for now 30-40%. Warm Tues/Wed with highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s.
Cooler next Thu/Fri with highs dropping into the 50s to low 60s by
next Fri.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The main band of rain and embedded thunderstorms with associated IFR
was sliding off the coast at 18Z. Scattered thunderstorms were
developing farther inland and may still impact the TAF sites during
the afternoon. Low pressure over south central Virginia will move
northeast with a trailing cold front moving off the coast by
evening. High pressure begins to build over the Mid Atlantic States
Saturday morning with a clearing sky and VFR conditions. Gusty south
winds this afternoon will veer to southwest and later west during
the evening and overnight.

OUTLOOK...VFR conditions prevail during the weekend as surface high
pressure settles over the region by Sunday. The high moves off the
coast Sunday night and Monday as low pressure becomes centered
over the lower Mississippi Valley. That low will impact the
weather Monday night and Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms
with degraded aviation conditions likely. Improvement is
expected to improve for Tuesday night and Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA hazards have been maintained as is this afternoon. SCA ends for
the rivers at 7 pm...followed by the Sound/Bay at 10 pm.

Cold front slides offshore tonight with winds/waves/seas decreasing
behind the front. Will end SCA for the southern waters at 1 am...and
the northern waters have been extended until 10 am Sat for elevated
seas. SCA's not likely Sat despite weak N surge. May have some seas
up to 5 ft across the outer waters Sat night into Sunday. Will hold
off with any headlines for now given low confidence.

Marine conditions then improve Sunday night into Monday. Another
low pressure system affects the region late Mon/Tue.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

Another coastal flood statement may be needed for the Bay side of
the Lwr MD Eastern Shore for the high tide cycle Sat morning. This
would mainly be for Bishops Head where levels may again come close
to minor flood thresholds.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for
     ANZ635>638.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for
     ANZ630>634.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ650-652-
     654.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPR
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...MPR
LONG TERM...JDM
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...JDM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...JDM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service WAKEFIELD VA
320 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

MDZ021>025-VAZ048-064-075>078-509-510-519-521-522-011930-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Fluvanna-Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-
Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western King and Queen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-
320 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central
Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia and north central
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a slight risk of strong to severe thunderstorms this
evening. Some of the storms may produce strong gusty winds...small
hail...and heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ060>062-065>069-079>090-092-093-095>100-
511>518-520-523>525-011930-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Prince Edward-Cumberland-
Goochland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-
Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Accomack-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-
York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
320 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south
central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms this evening.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. The main threats will
be damaging winds...large hail...and isolated tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

44

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
459 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             FRANKLIN                36.68N 76.94W
03/31/2017  M1.25 INCH       CITY OF FRANKLIN   VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

&&

NWS WAKEFIELD VA
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
510 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HAIL             2 WSW COURTLAND         36.70N 77.10W
03/31/2017  U1.00 INCH       SOUTHAMPTON        VA   PUBLIC

            .

&&

JO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
531 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

NCZ012-013-030-312215-
Hertford-Northampton-Bertie-
531 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BERTIE...
SOUTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON AND WESTERN HERTFORD COUNTIES...

At 531 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Rich Square,
moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ahoskie, Rich Square, Aulander, Woodland, Winton, Cofield,
Powellsville, Roxobel, Union, Kelford, Eagletown, Earleys, Menola,
Mapleton, George, Oak Villa, Saint John, Bartonsville, Millennium and
Proctors Corner.

If you see lightning or hear thunder...you are at risk. Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs...small or weakened trees...and
blowing around trash cans...potted plants...lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3619 7733 3619 7735 3623 7739 3624 7738
      3626 7740 3649 7694 3647 7693 3647 7695
      3641 7695 3639 7691 3623 7686 3617 7731
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 249DEG 31KT 3622 7735

ALB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
533 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             CARRSVILLE              36.71N 76.83W
03/31/2017  M1.00 INCH       ISLE OF WIGHT      VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VERY STRONG WINDS AS WELL.

&&

NWS WAKEFIELD VA
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
601 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 PM     HAIL             BOWERS HILL             36.79N 76.42W
03/31/2017  E1.00 INCH       CITY OF CHESAPEAKE VA   PUBLIC

            .

&&

JO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
604 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             BOWERS HILL             36.78N 76.42W
03/31/2017  E1.75 INCH       CITY OF CHESAPEAKE VA   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS WAKEFIELD VA
IRIS SYSTEM