Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224

May 16, 201729 counties in Iowa; 29 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 16, 2017, 4:57 PM CDT for 29 counties in Iowa; 29 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2017, 4:57 PM CDT (21:57 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 97 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Webster County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

56 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove26 min
May 16, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell50 min
May 16, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders41 min
May 16, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Seward34 min
May 16, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith47 min
May 16, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington40 min
May 16, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer50 min
May 16, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips40 min
May 16, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Dodge, Douglas, Lancaster, Sarpy, Saunders and 1 more52 min
May 16, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith51 min
May 16, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell47 min
May 16, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore23 min
May 16, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster34 min
May 16, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison45 min
May 16, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Harlan30 min
May 16, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Mills, Pottawattamie42 min
May 16, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby38 min
May 16, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie47 min
May 16, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Webster33 min
May 16, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Otoe36 min
May 16, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLincoln14 min
May 16, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton46 min
May 16, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford43 min
May 16, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Kearney, Phelps42 min
May 16, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona41 min
May 16, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby65 min
May 16, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie57 min
May 16, 7:20 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXShelby20 min
May 16, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills24 min
May 16, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick29 min
May 16, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Crawford, Sac49 min
May 16, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDIda33 min
May 16, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer15 min
May 16, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson26 min
May 16, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass37 min
May 16, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCarroll16 min
May 16, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Saline23 min
May 16, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Greene, Sac, Webster45 min
May 16, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Pocahontas, Sac42 min
May 16, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Dallas, Greene and 1 more38 min
May 16, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista23 min
May 16, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Saline, Seward33 min
May 16, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Hamilton, Humboldt, Webster, Wright42 min
May 16, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas40 min
May 16, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Johnson, Lancaster, Otoe38 min
May 16, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie33 min
May 16, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLincoln, Russell41 min
May 16, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills47 min
May 16, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Greene, Guthrie22 min
May 16, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Franklin, Hancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Webster and 1 more49 min
May 16, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie37 min
May 16, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage28 min
May 16, 10:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Taylor44 min
May 16, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold, Union26 min
May 16, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips38 min
May 16, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 356 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
356 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-358 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 7:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 26 more56 min
May 15, 8:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth, Mitchell, Osceola and 3 more115 min
May 15, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Howard, Mitchell, Winneshiek5 hr
May 15, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more3 hr
May 16, 2:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Hancock and 12 more92 min
May 16, 3:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 23 more2 hr
May 16, 2:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Ford and 16 more27 min
May 16, 2:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 20 more8 hr
May 16, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace88 min
May 15, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan and 1 more56 min
May 15, 7:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Madison and 9 more3 hr
May 15, 10:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan and 1 more67 min
May 16, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Scotts Bluff, Sioux119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.