Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Goodland, KS

045 
WWUS53 KGLD 162211
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
511 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC063-162230-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170516T2230Z/
Gove KS-
511 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GOVE COUNTY...

At 510 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southwest of
Quinter, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Quinter and Park. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 98 and
110.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 10025 3893 10044 3913 10042 3913 10016
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 195DEG 41KT 3900 10034 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DLF

154 
WWUS53 KGLD 162221
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
521 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

KSC063-162231-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170516T2230Z/
Gove KS-
521 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GOVE COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 530 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3893 10025 3893 10044 3913 10042 3913 10016
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 206DEG 28KT 3905 10027 

$$

DLF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
400 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 400 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017

Update issued to add in Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224 for
Gove...Graham and Norton counties until 05z.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 255 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017

An upper level low pressure area was located over southern Arizona
early this afternoon with a weather disturbance ahead of it
initiating some thunderstorms across the far west and east-southeast
parts of the forecast area. For the rest of the afternoon and
evening am expecting an increase coverage and intensity as upper
level jet moves over the area. From midnight through early Wednesday
morning dry air aloft should prevent precipitation from developing
across all but far eastern Colorado. Around and shortly before
sunrise wraparound moisture/precipitation increases behind the
departing wound up low pressure center. Northwest winds will
increase into the 20 to 30 mph range from much of the area by
sunrise as well. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the mid 40s
west to mid 50s east.

For Wednesday main weather story will be the wind. Northwest winds
of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph are expected. Wraparound
showers and extensive cloud cover expected in the morning for some
with a decrease in coverage in the afternoon. Afternoon temperatures
look to reach the mid 60s across the north to the mid 70s across the
south.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 155 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017

The first of two upper lows continues northeast of the region
Wednesday night reaching the Great Lakes. Dry conditions return to
much of the area with upper ridging building in behind the low.
However, the dry period is short lived with another round of
precipitation moving in from the west.

Late Wednesday into Thursday, a second and stronger upper low tracks
from the northern desert southwest towards the High Plains,
reintroducing showers and thunderstorms to the forecast.
Precipitation chances enter from the west late Wednesday and persist
across the area through Friday night. Potential for severe weather
appears to remain south and east of the region.

The system advances to the northeast on Saturday and surface high
pressure settles in, yielding dry weather for the majority of the
weekend under west/northwest flow aloft. The next opportunity for
showers and thunderstorms will be early next week when another upper
shortwave swings through the High Plains.

The cooling trend continues at the end of the work week as cooler
air filters into the region and drops temperatures into the upper
40s to upper 50s for Friday. Highs rebound over the weekend,
reaching the mid 60s to mid 70s by Monday. Low temperatures will
mainly be in the 40s Wednesday night. However, Thursday and Friday
nights show lows in the 30s. This may be enough to produce a brief
rain snow mix in parts of eastern Colorado both nights. Low
temperatures recover into the 40s this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1115 AM MDT Tue May 16 2017

For KGLD and KMCK, vfr conditions expected through about 06z or so
then mvfr-ifr conditions for the remainder of the period. Big
picture suggests a weather disturbance currently over southwest
Arizona will make its way into the area shortly before sunrise
Wednesday morning then into central Nebraska by the end of the
period. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible at both sites
from 23z-05z, some severe with large hail, damaging winds and
locally heavy rainfall. Should have a lull in activity in the
05z-08z timeframe. After 08z low level clouds fill in behind the
system leading to the mvfr/ifr cigs. Winds shift to the northwest
and steadily increase with gusts to 35kts expected. Wraparound
showers possible as well ending from southwest to northeast at the
tail end of the period.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
250 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-171200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
250 PM MDT Tue May 16 2017 /350 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Colorado...
extreme southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening.
The primary threats will be hail to the size of golfballs, damaging
winds and locally heavy rainfall. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Low temperatures are expected to fall into the low to mid 30s
generally along and west of the Colorado Kansas border early Saturday
morning. Frost and freeze conditions are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1150 AM MDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             10 S HAIGLER            39.87N 101.94W
05/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       CHEYENNE           KS   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

HILL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1246 PM MDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     HAIL             3 E HAIGLER             40.01N 101.88W
05/15/2017  M1.50 INCH       DUNDY              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DELAYED REPORT.

&&

HUSTED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
245 PM MDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 SSE RULETON           39.22N 101.80W
05/15/2017                   SHERMAN            KS   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT. SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF OF HOUSE.

&&

HILL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
333 PM MDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             SEIBERT                 39.30N 102.87W
05/16/2017  E0.75 INCH       KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOSTLY PEA SIZED WITH A FEW LARGER PIECES.

&&

TLYNCH