Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Goodland, KS

737 
WWUS53 KGLD 160133
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
833 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

KSC063-109-160200-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170516T0200Z/
Logan KS-Gove KS-
833 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN LOGAN AND NORTHWESTERN GOVE COUNTIES...

At 832 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles north of
Scott State Lake, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Oakley, Grainfield, Grinnell and The Monument Rocks. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 76 and 94.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 10094 3913 10045 3877 10077 3875 10092
      3884 10105
TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 210DEG 45KT 3884 10088 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Husted

890 
WWUS53 KGLD 160140
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
840 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

KSC063-109-160200-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170516T0200Z/
Logan KS-Gove KS-
840 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN LOGAN AND NORTHWESTERN GOVE COUNTIES...

At 840 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 12 miles south of
Oakley, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Oakley, Grainfield and Grinnell. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 76 and 94.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 10090 3913 10045 3888 10067 3885 10085
      3893 10096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 208DEG 53KT 3895 10081 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Husted

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
454 PM MDT Mon May 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 235 PM MDT Mon May 15 2017

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to quickly
develop after about 4 pm mdt this afternoon as a weather disturbance
moves in from the south-southwest and interacts with the dryline.
The activity is expected to move toward the northeast and should be
out of the area around 11 pm mdt. Clouds will quickly decrease
behind the thunderstorms. Southerly winds will remain in the breezy
category overnight keeping modest low level moisture in the area.
Low temperatures will remain mild for this time of year with upper
40s to low 50s in far eastern Colorado, mid 50s to low 60s east of
the state line.

Variable winds under 10 mph expected for much of the morning Tuesday
before establishing a south to southeast component at 10 to 20 mph
by mid afternoon. 850mb temperatures cool about 5F across the area
supporting highs in the mid 70s to around 80 in far eastern
Colorado, low to mid 80s elsewhere. Showers and thunderstorms, some
severe, are possible during the mid to late afternoon hours through
evening for much of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 211 PM MDT Mon May 15 2017

For Tuesday night, the dry line is anticipated to be further west
than previously forecast, sharpening over the eastern portion of the
forecast area before progressing east. A surface low moves across
the region with deep layer shear increasing to values exceeding 40
knots. Additionally, MUCAPE values of 2000+ J/kg and steep mid
level lapse rates favor severe thunderstorm development along the
dry line into the evening hours. The main threats with these
storms will be very large hail (2 inches in diameter or greater)
and strong winds. A tornado cannot be ruled out. Meanwhile, the
first of two upper closed lows advances from the desert southwest
and across the High Plains Tuesday night. This negatively tilted
trough and cold front bring additional shower and thunderstorm
chances to the area, moving from west to east.

Precipitation chances associated with the aforementioned low
continue into Wednesday. Severe potential decreases with reduced
parameters in between the two systems pegged to impact the long term
period. A brief dry period is expected midday Wednesday due to a
shortwave ridge overhead.

Models begin to diverge on Thursday and Friday with the handling of
the second (primary) upper closed low. As this system digs across
the northern desert southwest and enters the High Plains, it
generates shower and thunderstorm chances late Wednesday through
Friday. At this time it appears the better severe threat should be
east/south of the forecast area. Hope to have a better idea of what
will come out of this system in the coming days as differences are
resolved.

Conditions dry out over the weekend as the upper system exits and
heads towards the Great Lakes. There are some lingering chances into
Saturday, but it's not clear if that or the dry solution will pan
out. Depends on how quickly the disturbance leaves the area.
Westerly flow develops aloft on Monday.

Temperatures cool for the first part of the period, from the 70s on
Wednesday to the 50s/low 60s on Friday. Highs rebound over the
weekend and are back in the 70s on Monday. Low temperatures fall
from the mid 40s/mid 50s Tuesday night to the low 30s/low 40s Friday
night before warming this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 454 PM MDT Mon May 15 2017

For KGLD...Mainly VFR conditions thru the forecast period. There
is a chance for thunderstorms that may bring conditions down due
to hail and heavy rain thru 02z-03z Tuesday. Winds SSW 15-30kts
thru 12z Tuesday...then WNW around 10kts thru 17z then becoming SE
5-10kts. LLWS 07z-12z 180@55kts.

For KMCK...Mainly VFR conditions thru the forecast period. There
is a chance for thunderstorms that may bring conditions down due
to hail and heavy rain thru 06z Tuesday. Winds SSE 15-30kts thru
10z Tuesday...then SSW around 10kts thru 17z then becoming SE
5-10kts. LLWS 06z-12z 190@35-45kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1035 AM MDT Mon May 15 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-161200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1035 AM MDT Mon May 15 2017 /1135 AM CDT Mon May 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Colorado...
extreme southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Severe thunderstorms are expected from mid afternoon through the
evening hours generally along and east of a line from Benkelman
Nebraska to Burlington and Cheyenne Wells Colorado. Large hail,
damaging winds over 60 mph and locally heavy rainfall will be the
primary threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Another round of severe thunderstorms is expected across the eastern
half of the area from late Tuesday afternoon into the overnight
hours. The best chance for severe weather will be roughly along and
east of a line from Oakley to Atwood to Stratton Nebraska. Very
large hail, 2 inches in diameter or greater, along with damaging
winds will be the main threats. However, a tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed after 4 PM MDT (5 PM CDT).

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
648 PM MDT MON MAY 15 2017

KSZ001-013-160100-
Sherman KS-Cheyenne KS-
648 PM MDT MON MAY 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND NORTH
CENTRAL SHERMAN COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 700 PM MDT/800
PM CDT/...

At 648 PM MDT/748 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 13 miles north of Goodland, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wheeler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT/1000
PM CDT/ for northwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3942 10174 3954 10192 3981 10169 3964 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 220DEG 37KT 3954 10177

Husted

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
653 PM MDT MON MAY 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             LYDIA                   38.28N 101.29W
05/15/2017  M1.50 INCH       WICHITA            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0645 PM     HAIL             LYDIA                   38.28N 101.29W
05/15/2017  M1.50 INCH       WICHITA            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A MIX OF AN INCH TO 1.50 INCHES

0645 PM     HAIL             LYDIA                   38.28N 101.29W
05/15/2017  M1.50 INCH       WICHITA            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
702 PM MDT MON MAY 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     TSTM WND GST     MCCOOK                  40.20N 100.62W
05/15/2017  M53 MPH          RED WILLOW         NE   ASOS

&&

JN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
806 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

KSZ001-002-160115-
Rawlins KS-Cheyenne KS-
806 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND
SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 815 PM
CDT...

At 805 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles southeast of Bird City, or 19 miles east of St. Francis, moving
northeast at 70 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bird City, McDonald and Beardsley.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
northwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3967 10114 3957 10146 3957 10149 3971 10159
      3989 10124
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 240DEG 62KT 3968 10145

Husted

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
811 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

KSZ003-015-160130-
Sheridan KS-Decatur KS-
811 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN AND EASTERN
DECATUR COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

At 811 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Dresden to 7 miles east of
Selden. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Dresden, Leoville and Kanona.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
northwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3992 10038 3948 10024 3941 10051 3972 10058
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 232DEG 25KT 3970 10050 3951 10044

Husted

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
713 PM MDT MON MAY 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     HAIL             MARIENTHAL              38.49N 101.21W
05/15/2017  E2.00 INCH       WICHITA            KS   PUBLIC

            PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND HEN EGG SIZE HAIL. DAMAGED
            SCREEN DOOR ON HOUSE.

&&

DR